FXOpen Trader Posted November 28, 2023 Author Share Posted November 28, 2023 Natural Gas Prices Fall to More than 2-month Lows Yesterday, XNG/USD quotes dropped below the 2,900 level for the first time since mid-September. This was helped by the fact that the NatGasWeather weather forecasting model late last week showed a cooling trend in December in the US, but this was replaced by warming over the weekend. According to analyst forecasts from Analysts Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co., published on Monday: → natural gas reserves at the end of winter could be 2 trillion cubic feet (previously forecast 1.9 trillion); → price could be USD 2.75 (previous forecast was USD 3 or less). VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog... Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXOpen Trader Posted November 28, 2023 Author Share Posted November 28, 2023 USD/JPY, GBP/USD, and EUR/USD Market Analysis: The US Dollar Continues to Fall The downward movement in the American currency, which began at the end of October, resumed with renewed vigour at the beginning of the current five-day trading period. Thus, the euro/US dollar pair is consolidating at 1.0900, the pound/US dollar pair has confidently strengthened above 1.2600, and USD/JPY sellers have broken through the resistance at 149. Nevertheless, the coming trading sessions are quite saturated with the fundamentals, so it is possible to see both the strengthening of existing trends and the beginning of corrective pullbacks from the main movements. USD/JPY The cooling of the US labour market and lower inflation are contributing to increased bearish sentiment on the dollar. More and more market participants are becoming confident that the most aggressive rate-tightening cycle of the last couple of decades is behind us, and the Fed could cut its benchmark interest rate as soon as the first quarter of 2024. On the contrary, the Bank of Japan has been adhering to a policy of ultra-low interest rates for a long time, and if it decides to change the current vector of monetary policy, the dollar/yen pair may suffer significant losses. Last week, on the USD/JPY chart, the pair almost tested a significant support level at 147.00. Greenback buyers managed to correct to 149.70, but yesterday evening the pair was trading below 149.00. Today we are waiting for data on the US consumer confidence index from CB for November. Analysts expect a decline in the indicator, which may contribute to a retest of 147.00. We could consider cancelling the downward scenario only after a confident strengthening above 150.00. VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog... Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXOpen Trader Posted November 29, 2023 Author Share Posted November 29, 2023 EUR/USD Extends Rally While USD/JPY Nosedives EUR/USD gained bullish momentum above the 1.0930 resistance. USD/JPY is declining and showing bearish signs below the 148.20 level. Important Takeaways for EUR/USD and USD/JPY Analysis Today The Euro remained in a bullish zone and climbed above the 1.0965 resistance zone. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near 1.0975 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen. USD/JPY is trading in a bearish zone below the 148.20 and 147.40 levels. There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near 147.40 on the hourly chart at FXOpen. EUR/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair started fresh above the 1.0900 zone. The Euro climbed above the 1.0930 resistance zone against the US Dollar, as mentioned in the previous analysis. The pair even settled above the 1.0965 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, it tested the 1.1020 resistance. A high is formed near 1.1017 and the pair is now consolidating gains. If there is a downside correction, the pair might test the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.0935 swing low to the 1.1017 high at 1.0975. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support near 1.0975. The next major support is near the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.0935 swing low to the 1.1017 high and the 50-hour simple moving average at 1.0965. If there is a downside break below 1.0965, the pair could drop toward the 1.0930 support. The main support on the EUR/USD chart is near 1.0895, below which the pair could start a major decline. On the upside, the pair is now facing resistance near 1.1020. The next major resistance is near the 1.1050 level. An upside break above 1.1050 could set the pace for another increase. In the stated case, the pair might rise toward 1.1140. VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog... Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXOpen Trader Posted November 29, 2023 Author Share Posted November 29, 2023 EUR/USD Analysis: Price Reaches the Level of 1.1000 Before yesterday's trading session, the last time 1 euro was 1.1 USD was in the first half of August. The growth of the rate was facilitated by the weakening of the dollar, which occurred against the background of the words of Christopher Waller, a member of the Fed Board of Governors, who is known for his hawkish policies. But he has already softened his position. "I am increasingly confident that policy is currently well positioned to slow the economy and get inflation back to 2 percent," he said yesterday, however, adding that if the decline in inflation continues “for a few more months... three months, four months, five months... we can start reducing the discount rate just because inflation is lower.” The expected rate cut could mark the beginning of a new period of looser monetary policy. Therefore, financial markets reacted by increasing the prices of currencies relative to the dollar — in particular, the euro reached a psychological level. VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog... Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXOpen Trader Posted November 29, 2023 Author Share Posted November 29, 2023 NASDAQ Composite Index Heralds a Fine Time for Tech Stocks In the ever-fluctuating landscape of financial markets, the NASDAQ exchange, home to some of the world's most prominent technology stocks, has been a bastion of volatility over the past two years. This week, the NASDAQ index continues its upward trajectory, reaching its highest point in five days, marking a notable shift in sentiment for the technology-focused venue. As of the close of the New York trading session yesterday, the NASDAQ index has demonstrated resilience and vigour. A closer look at the five-day moving average reveals a climb to the highest point in five days, showcasing the current bullish sentiment among investors. Over the course of the last month, the NASDAQ index has experienced an impressive gain of 12%, underlining the sustained positive momentum. VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog... Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXOpen Trader Posted November 29, 2023 Author Share Posted November 29, 2023 EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY Analysis: US Dollar Falls to Its Lowest Level Since Mid-August EUR/USD The euro strengthened on Monday as the dollar fell on expectations that the Federal Reserve will not raise rates again. Traders this week will have to weigh data on how the US economy performed in the third quarter, as well as key data on consumer inflation and spending, both of which could play an important role in setting expectations for the timing of the first rate cut. The focus this week will be Thursday's October US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) report, which is said to be the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, as well as eurozone consumer inflation data for greater clarity on where prices and monetary policy are heading. According to the EUR/USD technical analysis, the nearest resistance can be seen at 1.1023, a breakout to the upside could trigger a rise to 1.1046. On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.0966, a break below could take the pair towards 1.0924. At the highs of the week, a new ascending channel has formed. Now, the price has moved away from the upper border of the channel and may continue its corrective decline. VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog... Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXOpen Trader Posted November 30, 2023 Author Share Posted November 30, 2023 Today OPEC+ May Announce New Oil Production Cuts According to WSJ, the reduction could be 1 million barrels per day. Saudi Arabia is in favour of cuts, but the idea causes disagreements among other members of the organisation. In anticipation of news about the OPEC+ decision, the price of oil is rising - this indicates that market participants assess the possibility of new production cuts as quite real, even if we are not talking about 1 million barrels per day. The price is approaching its maximum for November. VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog... Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXOpen Trader Posted November 30, 2023 Author Share Posted November 30, 2023 BTC/USD Analysis: New High for the Year Shows Bulls Are Indecisive During November, the price of bitcoin increased by approximately 10% in anticipation of the launch of a bitcoin ETF. But the positive sentiment of crypto investors is seriously overshadowed by news regarding Binance: → Changpeng Zhao resigned as head of Binance.US, pleading guilty to money laundering charges. He also agreed to pay $50 million in a lawsuit from the US Department of Justice, and his company will have to pay $4.3 billion. This fine to Binance was one of the largest in the history of punishment of corporations. In addition, Zhao faces up to 10 years in prison. The judges banned him from leaving the United States until the proceedings are completed. → Cristiano Ronaldo was sued for $1 billion for advertising Binance. This was done by people who claim they suffered losses by buying unregistered securities that the sports star was promoting. VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog... Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXOpen Trader Posted November 30, 2023 Author Share Posted November 30, 2023 Stock Market Reaction to US GDP News According to data released yesterday, the US economy is growing at a stronger pace than expected. Thus, US GDP in the 3rd quarter increased by 5.3% in annual terms (an increase of 4.9% was expected). Combined with softening rhetoric from the Federal Reserve, this is a positive signal for US stock markets, which have shown impressive performance: in November, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite indices rose by 8.5% and 11%, respectively (the final figure will be known later, since today – last day of the month), which is the best month since July 2022. VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog... Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXOpen Trader Posted November 30, 2023 Author Share Posted November 30, 2023 European Currencies at Strategic Levels The downward trend in the US currency continues to gain momentum. Thus, the euro/dollar pair yesterday tested important resistance at 1.1000, the pound/dollar pair strengthened to 1.2700, and the usd/cad pair fell below 1.3600. A lot of important groundwork is expected today in both the European and American sessions. Depending on the published data, these pairs may either go into correction or continue the main movements. GBP/USD The British currency is growing for the third week in a row. Yesterday, buyers of the pair managed to rise above 1.2700, but so far there has been no confident consolidation above this level. A reversal bar has formed at 1.2660 on the daily timeframe. If it begins to work out, a corrective price reduction to 1.2600-1.2500 is possible. A price move above yesterday's high at 1.2730 may contribute to a test of the psychological level at 1.3000. Today at 10:00 GMT+3, we are waiting for data on the Nationwide House Price Index in the UK for November. VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog... Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXOpen Trader Posted December 1, 2023 Author Share Posted December 1, 2023 AUD/USD Trims Gains While NZD/USD Extends Increase AUD/USD is correcting gains from the 0.6675 zone. NZD/USD is rising and could extend its increase above the 0.6185 resistance zone. Important Takeaways for AUD USD and NZD USD Analysis Today The Aussie Dollar started a downside correction below the 0.6650 level against the US Dollar. There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance near 0.6620 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen. NZD/USD is gaining bullish momentum above the 0.6120 support. There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near 0.6140 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen. AUD/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 0.6530 support. The Aussie Dollar was able to clear the 0.6600 resistance to move into a positive zone against the US Dollar. Finally, the pair tested the 0.6675 zone before it started a downside correction. The recent swing high was formed near 0.6634 and the pair is now trading below the 50-hour simple moving average. There was a move below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6570 swing low to the 0.6634 high. On the downside, initial support is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6570 swing low to the 0.6634 high at 0.6600. The next support could be the 0.6570 zone. If there is a downside break below the 0.6570 support, the pair could extend its decline toward 0.6530. Any more losses might signal a move toward 0.6450. On the upside, the AUD/USD chart indicates that the pair is now facing resistance near a connecting bearish trend line at 0.6620. The first major resistance might be 0.6650. An upside break above the 0.6650 resistance might send the pair further higher. The next major resistance is near the 0.6675 level. Any more gains could clear the path for a move toward the 0.6740 resistance zone. VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog... Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXOpen Trader Posted December 1, 2023 Author Share Posted December 1, 2023 The USD/CAD Rate Drops to Its Minimum of 2 Months This morning, 1 USD was selling for less than 1.354 Canadian dollars – for the first time since October 1st. The strengthening of the Canadian dollar and the weakening of the USD was facilitated by the news published yesterday: → Canada's real gross domestic product (GDP) grew by 0.1% in September, which exceeded analysts' expectations and reduced the relevance of the recession scenario in Canada. → The number of applications for unemployment benefits in the US for the week amounted to 218k (a week earlier it was 211k), which may indicate a cooling of the US economy. → The price index for personal consumption expenditures (PCE) fell to 3% from the previous value of 3.4%. While 3% remains too high to declare victory over inflation, it marks a new series low that is sure to reduce the likelihood of a Fed rate hike. In our previous analysis of the USD/CAD market, we wrote that the price could form a rebound from support in the area of 1.36625. However, the rebound to point E was very weak, and after the breakdown, the level 1.36625 showed resistance properties. VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog... Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXOpen Trader Posted December 1, 2023 Author Share Posted December 1, 2023 Market Analysis: UK100 Shows Bullish Signs On the morning of Friday, December 1, the UK stock market index rose to its November highs. This was facilitated by the fundamental background: → among the UK100 growth leaders are shares of companies mining ore and other resources. As metal prices rise and industry in China shows signs of recovery; → general sentiment on the world's stock markets due to the fact that the policy of raising rates pursued by the central banks of Western countries has come to an end. Fed Chairman Powell is expected to speak this evening, which could provide more evidence of this. → Since the UK100 index has performed weaker relative to other indices (due to higher inflation in the UK), it may be undervalued. VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog... Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXOpen Trader Posted December 1, 2023 Author Share Posted December 1, 2023 EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and USD/JPY Analysis: US Dollar Growing Against Euro and Pound The US personal consumer spending price index rose 3% in October from a year earlier, down from the three-month rate of 3.4%, although still above the Fed's 2% target, raising the possibility of an early rate cut. Jobless claims rose over the past week, indicating a slowing labour market. Inflation, as measured by the price index for personal consumption expenditures (PCE), remained unchanged in October after rising 0.4% in September. EUR/USD According to the technical analysis of EUR/USD, the pair is showing noticeable growth, correcting after an active decline the day before, which turned out to be the most significant in the last few weeks. The euro is testing the 1.0900 mark for an upward breakout, awaiting the publication of macroeconomic statistics from the EU and the USA. Among other things, speeches are expected throughout the day from the heads of the US Federal Reserve and the ECB, who are likely to comment on the likelihood of ending the monetary policy tightening program amid a sharp slowdown in price pressure. The day before, November inflation data was published in the eurozone. The consumer price index in annual terms fell from 2.9% to 2.4%, which was significantly lower than forecasts of 2.7% and was the slowest growth rate since July 2021, and in monthly terms the figure was -0.5%. Core inflation slowed from 4.2% to 3.6% in annual terms, which was also below expectations at 3.9%, and in monthly terms the index decreased by 0.6%. At the same time, the day before, ECB head Christine Lagarde said that price growth could resume in the near future due to certain factors. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.0940, a break higher could trigger a rise towards 1.1000. On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.0872, a break below could take the pair towards 1.0800. Based on the lows of two days, a new downward channel has formed. Now the price has moved away from the lower border of the channel and may continue to rise. VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog... Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXOpen Trader Posted December 2, 2023 Author Share Posted December 2, 2023 Watch FXOpen's 27 November - 1 December Weekly Market Wrap Video Weekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: EUROPEAN CURRENCIES, US GDP NEWS, OPEC+, NATURAL GAS PRICES Get the latest scoop on the week's hottest headlines, all in one convenient video. Join Gary Thomson, the COO of FXOpen UK, as he breaks down the most significant news reports and shares his expert insights. European Currencies at Strategic Levels #EUROCurrencies Stock Market Reaction to US GDP News #USGDP Today OPEC+ May Announce New Oil Production Cuts #OPEC Natural Gas Prices Fall to More than 2-month Lows #NaturalGas Stay in the know and empower yourself with our short, yet power-packed video. Watch it now and stay updated with FXOpen. Don't miss out on this invaluable opportunity to sharpen your trading skills and make informed decisions. FXOpen YouTube Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice. #fxopen #fxopenyoutube #fxopenuk #fxopenint #weeklyvideo Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXOpen Trader Posted December 7, 2023 Author Share Posted December 7, 2023 S&P 500 Analysis: Why Santa May Have Problems Rallying It is traditionally believed that the Santa Rally occurs at the end of December and the first days of January, but according to many opinions it is acceptable to think that it begins much earlier. At the beginning of December, the values of the S&P 500 index came close to the highs of the year in the area of 4,611, but have declined to date, forming a number of bearish signs: → the candle on November 29 has a long upper shadow — a sign of seller activity; → the same can be said about yesterday’s candle; → candles on December 1-4 form a bearish engulfing pattern; → all of the listed candles form a head-and-shoulders pattern (shown by the letters SHS). That is, the chart indicates activation of sellers near the yearly high — and this is a problem that can affect the so-called Santa Claus rally (the active channel, shown in blue, actualizes the theme associated with the rally). VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog... Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXOpen Trader Posted December 7, 2023 Author Share Posted December 7, 2023 AUD/JPY Analysis: Rate Falls to Important Support This morning, the AUD/JPY rate dropped below 95.2 yen per Australian dollar for the first time since late October. The weakening of the AUD was contributed by: → negative news regarding the Chinese economy. The Hang Seng Index set its 2023 low yesterday; → Australian GDP data published yesterday, which is growing at a weaker-than-expected pace. And the strengthening of the yen occurs against the backdrop of expectations of an increase in interest rates in Japan, which intensified according to the statement of the head of the Bank of Japan. Kazuo Ueda said yesterday the central bank has several options for targeting interest rates once it gets short-term borrowing costs out of negative territory. VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog... Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXOpen Trader Posted December 8, 2023 Author Share Posted December 8, 2023 NIKKEI Analysis: Japanese Stock Market Outlook In the first half of 2023, the Japanese stock market was dominated by bullish sentiment due to (still) negative interest rates — while the rest of the G7 countries raised their rates to combat inflation. The NIKKEI-225 index grew by 30% in the first half of the year. But then the balance of supply and demand was achieved, judging by the daily chart, where a range was formed (shown in blue), framing the index’s fluctuations in the second half of the year. Judging by the change in the slope of the bullish trend lines, demand was sufficient to maintain the price at the lower limit of the range, but not enough to go beyond the upper limit. The situation is fundamentally reversed. While interest rates in the US, Europe and elsewhere are thought to be near the top, there is growing talk in Japan that the central bank will begin raising them after years of being stuck in negative territory: → Bloomberg: The next meeting of the Bank of Japan will be held on December 19 – speculation is growing that the Bank will move away from negative interest rates as early as this month. → Reuters: 22 of 26 economists (85%) surveyed in November believe the Bank of Japan will abandon its negative interest rate policy by the end of next year. The winding down of ultra-loose monetary policy could have a negative impact on the growth of Japanese companies - accordingly, the growing bearish sentiment is reflected in the index quote. Since the end of November, the NIKKEI 225 has dropped almost 5%. VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog... Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXOpen Trader Posted December 9, 2023 Author Share Posted December 9, 2023 Watch FXOpen's 4 - 8 December Weekly Market Wrap Video Weekly Market Wrap With Gary Thomson: AUD/JPY, RATE HIKES, S&P 500, WTI Oil Get the latest scoop on the week's hottest headlines, all in one convenient video. Join Gary Thomson, the COO of FXOpen UK, as he breaks down the most significant news reports and shares his expert insights. AUD/JPY: Rate Falls to Important Support #AUDJPY Will rate hikes end when 2023 ends? #RateHikes S&P 500: Why Santa May Have Problems Rallying #SantaRally WTI oil price drops to lowest level since July #wtioil Stay in the know and empower yourself with our short, yet power-packed video. Watch it now and stay updated with FXOpen. Don't miss out on this invaluable opportunity to sharpen your trading skills and make informed decisions. FXOpen YouTube Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice. #fxopen #fxopenyoutube #fxopenuk #fxopenint #weeklyvideo Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXOpen Trader Posted December 11, 2023 Author Share Posted December 11, 2023 Sharp Change in BTC/USD Price: Causes and Consequences On Monday morning, the price of bitcoin fell sharply. As the chart shows, the BTC/USD rate fell below 42,000 on Monday during the Asian session. According to Coinglass, the decline resulted in about $400 million worth of positions being liquidated by about 100,000 traders on cryptocurrency exchanges. So far, the price has found support around the 41,200 level, where the lower border of the ascending channel lies (shown in blue). What are the reasons for such a sharp decline? From a fundamental point of view, there are no triggers with the media associated with, for example, statements by officials. What then? First of all, the idea comes with low liquidity in the financial markets at the beginning of Monday in the Asian session. A recent example is the gold market, when the price of the metal jumped at the opening of trading to $2,130, but then quickly fell to $2,060. By the way, we wrote on Tuesday that the bears may try to push the price of gold below the psychological level of $2,000. The scenario is still coming true. VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog... Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXOpen Trader Posted December 11, 2023 Author Share Posted December 11, 2023 Crude Oil Ends Freefall, but Is It Back in the Black? In the early stretch of December, the WTI Crude Oil market experienced a sudden and substantial downturn, sending shockwaves through the financial landscape. From a robust $77.71 per barrel on November 29, the value plunged to just over $69.64 per barrel on December 6 at FXOpen. Analysts, in response to this decline, have employed dramatic language, with some describing the situation as a 'freefall.' While the recent dip below the $70 mark raised concerns, a mild recovery has been observed, closing trading yesterday on the US market at $71.40 per barrel at FXOpen. Although this figure still falls short of the late November high, it highlights the current volatility in the oil market. VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog... Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXOpen Trader Posted December 12, 2023 Author Share Posted December 12, 2023 EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and USD/JPY Analysis: Dollar on the Rise amid Good US Employment Data The US Federal Reserve will publish its interest rate decision on Wednesday, December 13th. The American regulator is not expected to take steps towards tightening or easing monetary policy, given the strong November labour market report published last Friday. Thus, the number of new jobs created by the American economy outside the agricultural sector increased by 199.0k after an increase of 150.0k in the previous month, while analysts expected 180.0k. At the same time, the unemployment rate decreased from 3.9 % to 3.7%, and the growth rate of average hourly wages accelerated from 0.2% to 0.4%. The dollar was further supported by an increase in the consumer confidence index from the University of Michigan in December from 61.3 points to 69.4 points, which turned out to be significantly higher than expected 62.0 points. EUR/USD According to the EUR/USD technical analysis, the pair shows mixed dynamics, remaining close to 1.0760. Immediate resistance can be seen at 1.0789, a break higher could trigger a move towards 1.0842. On the downside, immediate support is seen at 1.0770, a break below could take the pair towards 1.0714. Activity in the market remains quite low, as investors are in no hurry to open new trading positions ahead of the meetings of the world's leading central banks this week. So, on Thursday, meetings of the ECB, the Swiss National Bank, and the Bank of England will be held. Investors expect all regulators to maintain current monetary policy without changes, and special attention will be paid to the comments of their representatives, as well as the general tone of their statements. VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog... Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXOpen Trader Posted December 13, 2023 Author Share Posted December 13, 2023 Market Analysis: Financial Markets Waiting for Important News Get ready for a surge in volatility in the coming days, because: → today at 16:30 GMT+3: news will be published on inflation in the USA; → tomorrow at 22:00-22:30 GMT+3: news from the Federal Reserve on the interest rate will be published; → on Thursday: news from the central banks of Europe, Great Britain, Switzerland will be published. Add in geopolitical tensions, the possibility of Biden's impeachment, news on unemployment and retail sales in the US and other factors affecting prices — this week is likely to be very turbulent before financial market participants go on holiday. The greatest optimism reigns in the stock market. The S&P 500 index updated its maximum for the year. Because investors believe that inflation will continue to cool, and over time the Federal Reserve will cut rates, giving new impetus to corporate growth. This expectation is probably already factored into the current price, so deviations from expectations can trigger unexpected price movements. VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog... Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXOpen Trader Posted December 13, 2023 Author Share Posted December 13, 2023 US CPI Data: Dollar Down As Rate Uncertainty Sustains Volatility As the clock ticks towards 13:30 GMT, financial markets are bracing for the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for November, a pivotal metric that provides a snapshot of the current state of the United States economy. The CPI measures the average change over time in the prices paid by urban consumers for a market basket of consumer goods and services, making it a crucial indicator for gauging inflationary pressures. Against the backdrop of the recent dichotomy in US inflation trends, where rates have reduced from alarming figures in 2021 to a current 3.2%, the forthcoming CPI figures are anticipated to shed light on the continued trajectory. This reduction in inflation, although positive for economic stability, has occurred alongside a somewhat unconventional stance by the Federal Reserve. Traditionally, central banks opt to raise interest rates to curb spending and counteract inflation. However, the US Federal Reserve has maintained a steadfast position in increasing interest rates for over a year, even as inflation trends abate. This seemingly contradictory approach has prompted speculation within financial circles, with analysts debating the motives behind the prolonged interest rate hikes. The anticipated November CPI data is expected to show a 3.1% year-on-year increase, a slight dip from the 3.2% recorded in October. Additionally, annual Core CPI inflation is forecasted to remain steady at 4% for November. These figures will be closely scrutinised to discern any shifts or continuations in the recent trends. VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog... Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXOpen Trader Posted December 13, 2023 Author Share Posted December 13, 2023 USD/JPY, GBP/USD, EUR/USD Analysis: European Currencies in Consolidation Phase, Yen Declining Better-than-expected US labour market data contributed to a sharp rise in the dollar against the yen and commodity currencies. At the same time, the euro and pound fell slightly, while managing to remain above strategic levels. USD/JPY The Japanese currency rose sharply last week as information emerged that the Bank of Japan may soon end its ultra-low rate policy and move on to tightening monetary policy. Investors exited long positions in the US dollar/yen pair, as a result of which the price tested the important range of 142.00-141.00. The latest US employment report for the year was published on Friday, showing an increase in average wages and an increase in new jobs. Indicators above the forecast contributed to the corrective growth of the pair to 146.00. Whether there will be a full resumption of the upward movement in the pair will most likely become clear in the coming trading sessions. Today at 16:30 GMT+3, we are waiting for data on the consumer price index in the United States; a Federal Reserve meeting is scheduled for tomorrow. On the daily USD/JPY chart, the price is below the alligator lines; sales may be a priority. With the appropriate foundation, a resistance test at 146.60-148.00 is possible. VIEW FULL ANALYSIS VISIT - FXOpen Blog... Disclaimer: This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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