Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart

[Andrea ForexMart]

NZD/USD Technical Analysis: May 22, 2017

 

The New Zealand currency experienced a volatile session amid Friday trades as it broke on top of the 0.69 handle. A grasp to the level 0.6950 was highly resistive which is better than all the range for the previous weeks.

 

A break on top this region is considered significant looking forward through the top of 0.70 mark, this also allows the market to drive higher.

 

Moreover, the market would likely maintain its volatility and choppiness. The kiwi was highly sensitive against the risk appetite which appeared to be unpredictable at this moment. With that being said, the thought that the NZD will be one of the complicated currencies to trade is possible. The “risk on” sentiment has returned in the market favoring the profits for the buyers.

 

Moreover, the market will remain choppy and volatile for the next hours and the 0.6880 region below contains a massive support.

 

The “buy on the dips” will further extend, however, headwinds on top of it are within reach. In this case, the market has to provide lots of trading opportunities intended for the scalpers but the short-term traders will remain to draw attention towards this.

 

There will be some struggle that longer-term traders will experience, in order to search for a suitable position. Therefore, holding a trade for a lengthy period is difficult as there could probably some real size ongoing.

[Andrea ForexMart]

GBP/USD Technical Analysis: May 22, 2017

 

During the Friday session, the pair GBPUSD remarkably did well since an extreme and rapid price decline occurred on Thursday. While an uptrend is tested, however, a turnaround was carried out promptly.

 

As the traders calm down, the market eventually break out in the upside hitting the top of the 1.30 region. In the previous trades, a renewed highs were formed and the Britain’s currency would likely look forward through the 1.3450 area that has consolidated in the longer term.

 

A break on top of the range 1.30 seems significant and the flash crash happened on Thursday still not clear which brought fears to many people. Moreover, the uptrend line amid that sudden drop matters a lot and it appears that the 1.29 mark can be the acting basement of this market.

 

The choppiness was still expected to continue but the market may indicate a bullish attitude.

 

The pullback eyes some support within the level 1.30 but a breakout towards a fresh peak would trigger a buying behavior.

 

The GBP attempted to change its general trend in the upside which could go a long way throughout establishing trend confidence.1

 

In addition, the uptrend will continue since the moving averages drove to the upside and selling is not an option at all. While a move forward would pave the way for the “buy on the dips”.

[Andrea ForexMart]

USD/JPY Technical Analysis: May 22, 2017

 

The U.S. dollar against the Japanese yen broke in the upper than stabilize the currency pair during the Friday session. This indicates that the market had adjusted with the minimal risk this weekend which is a positive thing.The trading has been strong which is being monitored by traders and they try to bring the price higher than the 112.50 level. Although, as of the moment, the trend is currently in accumulation. If the market could break higher than the 112.50 level would give a bullish tone in the market and would move the price continue to 114 level. This would even go higher when the Federal reserve decided to bring the interest rates higher and this possibility of raising rates caused selling early this week.

 

The U.S. jobless claims declined which is one of the major directives of Federal reserve that would most likely impede the interest rate hike. Others would want to be dovish or totally forget about it but it is not plausible to do so as the U.S. has eased monetary for the past years and is not exemplifying expected results. On the other hand, the employment is being tight indicating the strengthening of the economy which would bring the interest rates higher as expected.

[Andrea ForexMart]

EUR/USD Technical Analysis: May 24, 2017

 

The EURUSD attempted to move through the higher region on Tuesday, however, failed to maintain its gain upon reaching the level 1.1268. When the profit taking started the pair was pushed beneath the 1.12 handle.

 

Meanwhile, the stronger report of GDP and sentiment data buoyed the EUR/USD and the yields turned up in Europe as relating to its American counterparts. Moreover, the PMI readings kept unchanged in the month of May, as the German nation lead the charge that reflects towards a strong growth.

 

The major pair touched the higher high as it eclipses the prior day high using 5 pips. The resistance is found at 1.1299 level close to November 8 highs and in case the level will be broken, it would lead to testing 1.1365 region near its August highs in 2016.

 

The support entered the mark 1.1603 around the 10-day moving average. Momentum is slow-moving, seeing the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) print in the black together with a descending trajectory that drives towards the consolidation.

[Andrea ForexMart]

USD/CAD Technical Analysis: May 23, 2017

 

The USDCAD experience volatility during Monday’s session and had an attempt to rally, however, it made a reversal plunging under the region 1.35. The pair is relative to the crude oil markets and received a significant support upon the opening, while the OPEC seems to move nearer the deal regarding production cuts.

 

Having said that, the greens decline versus its Canadian counterpart which is the proxy of currency traders against the oil markets.

 

The ability to break down around it will allow the market to reach the 1.34 handle. However, a cut through the top of 1.3550 area will touch above the range of 1.36. This range is significant for the longer-term charts, and a broke within that area enable the market to drive upwards.

 

The volatile market is expected to continue considering the current condition of the oil coupled with Canada’s housing that brought an impact as well.

 

Sellers have executed a significant action as well which could give a chance to break 1.3550. But there is no such opportunity to initiate a long move, except that the higher timeframes (daily or weekly charts) could obtain a longer-term signal

 

According to forecasts, rallies will resume and will be providing opportunities to sell towards a market that experienced a lower grind in the previous sessions. Lastly, a gapped in the upside has to be accompanied by the oil markets that were rolled over.

[Andrea ForexMart]

AUD/USD Technical Analysis: May 24, 2017

 

The Australian currency against the U.S. dollar broke above the 0.75 level but was also reversed soon after. If the price breaks lower than the 0.7450 region, the price would further decline. This is also similar for the long-term trades.

 

The gold market directly influences the pair including the risk appetite for these trades. However, it seems that the gold market is not performing well. The raw material trades from Australia supplied within Asia is also falling since there is low demand for copper and iron which are the fundamental trades of the country.

 

In a long-term trend, it seems that the market sustains the current trading condition. Its downtrend could attain up to 0.70 level for long-term. If the price breaks higher than the 0.7525 region, it could reach its way about the 0.7750 level for a longer term.

 

However, reaching the said level won’t be easy. Although, the market usually change position in a bullish pattern and makes it more complicated when the market worries. This is what anticipated to happen when the price soars that makes pullbacks not surprising anymore. The uptrend line is noticeable on the hourly chart and a break lower than the 0.7450 level would bring the price down with an increase in bearish pressure.

[Andrea ForexMart]

USD/JPY Technical Analysis: May 24, 2017

 

The U.S. dollar against the Japanese yen had a calm trading During the Tuesday session. The price rallied higher because massive support found at 111 level. The market tries to push it higher towards the 111.50 region and this could even go higher reaching towards the 112.50 level above which has been a significant psychological region previously.

 

With the fluctuation in the stock market, traders should monitor the indices especially the S&P 500 because of its high sensitivity to risk appetite. This would hint the next move in the trading market as there is a high correlation between the two. The Japanese yen being a safe haven asset would bring about greater risk appetite when it proceeded with a sell-off. This is a positive indication since a massive bullish candle was formed during the day.

 

If the price breaks higher than the 112.50 level, the current long-term uptrend will be sustained. This is a strong indicator but the market could attempt more than once to be successful as the market would most likely climb higher.

 

However, when the price breaks lower than the 112.50 level instead, the massive support will remain as of how it was in the past. The stock market is gaining momentum which could also push the price higher for long-term with a strong correlation with the stocks. Hence, traders should monitor changes not only in forex market but also in the stock market.

[Andrea ForexMart]

GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis: May 26, 2017

 

The strength of the greenback has been the dominant market trend during the previous trading session. In addition, the bulls of the GBP/USD pair are also having a hard time with regards to keeping the value of the cable pair afloat, which is seen on how the bulls had repeatedly attempted and failed to break through 1.3030 points even though the USD has clearly dropped in value. This development shows just how the bears are slowly gaining the upper hand with regards to taking control of the cable pair.

 

But on the bright side, the drop in the cable pair’s value was not as much of a crash as initially expected since the pair’s drop has been somewhat slow and steady. But then again the corrections of the pair is now starting to get more significant, while its reversions are becoming more and more shallow, which is an indication that the pair’s bears are indeed taking over the currency pair. The GBP/USD pair was unable to even reach the 1.3000 range as the greenback starts to regain more strength due to the market re-pricing the interest rate hike next month.

 

For today’s trading session, the market is expecting the release of the Preliminary GDP data and the durable goods data from the US, while the British economy is not scheduled to have any economic releases for today. The GBP/USD pair is then expected to remain under pressure for the entirety of today’s trading session.

[Andrea ForexMart]

EUR/GBP Technical Analysis: May 26, 2017

 

The Euro against the British pound had a very choppy trading during the Thursday session as the market is attempting to push the price higher which could eventually break later on. There are also some pullbacks seen in the short-term which supports the current trend and gather enough impetus and volume to reach higher levels. If the price breaks higher than the 0.8675 region, the current trend will move upward reaching the 0.88 level that is relevant for long-term as shown in the charts.

 

Those reversals would gain more appeal to the buyers as it closes near the 0.86 support level which was supportive in the past. There’s an option to wait for a breakout first to lift it higher which implies bullishness in the trend which is beneficial for buyers.

 

The market is choppy influenced by the two economies and commentaries from both countries bringing a lot of noise in the market. Yet, the trend remains resilient as it is directed upwards although there are pullbacks every now and then. If the price breaks lower than the 0.8550 region, the market is anticipated to roll over. This is most probably because of major events which are usually unexpectedly fast when it happen. Overall, the buyers seem to dominate the market.

[Andrea ForexMart]

GBP/JPY Technical Analysis: May 29, 2017

 

The British pound paired against the Japanese yen declined during the Friday trading session following the release of election polls much tighter than expected in Britain. Everybody expects the political route the way forward when it comes to leaving the European Union still leaves some doubt in the minds of the people.

 

The pair is usually sensitive to risk appetite that worsens the selling pressure. As the price breaks through the 143 level, the price would decline much lower towards the 142 handle as the market reaches to the support below. If the price surges from here, this would open more selling opportunities.

 

Traders should monitor the global risk appetite including the stock market, futures market and the condition of the British government and its currency, as these would affect the pair. As of now, the pair is moving downtrend searching for a significant level at 1.2750.

 

If the pair is able to stay in the upper region, the current trend could be reversed to find support below. Alternately, the price could decline towards the next significant support at 140 handle. Buyer should look to the long-term charts before placing orders. Overall, the market will be highly volatile and traders might want to consider major pairs related to the British currency for a faster turn around.

[Andrea ForexMart]

NZD/USD Technical Analysis: May 29, 2017

 

The New Zealand dollar against the U.S. dollar has had a flat trading in early Friday but when the buyers returned, the price rose towards the 0.71 handle and above. Short-term pullbacks offer value in the market as the market tries to reach higher levels.

 

The 0.70 level gives off massively supportive until the price breaks lower which makes it complicated selling. Buyers will proceed with going long as the market is open climb higher although the pair is still involved with high risks. It is anticipated that the pair will most likely decline from here onwards that makes the pair more susceptible to risks.

 

There is a strong upward pressure for this pair and volatility would increase even more. The New Zealand dollar is highly sensitive to the overall commodity market that makes is important to monitor the commodity market not necessarily a certain commodity market.

 

There is high volatility in the market which will reflect in trading this pair. With the political concerns from the Washington, D.C., the pair is expected to be influenced despite its almost daily occurrence. Hence, traders should still be cautious that makes short-term trades more advisable to trade to make through the current problems concerning this pair.

[Andrea ForexMart]

USD/JPY Technical Analysis: May 29, 2017

 

The U.S. dollar against the Japanese yen declined during the Friday session. It reached the lowest level of 110.80. If it bounced back, this will signal a bullish trend but this would not be easy to attain as there is high-risk appetite especially for this pair. The 110 level gives off a massive support but is the pair breaks lower, the next level would be at  108 region at a quicker pace because there is a still remaining gap that has not been filled.

 

In  the long-term, this pair will most likely go higher although it may take some time since the 112.50 is strongly resistive. A break higher than this region would be beneficial for scalpers to take advantage of bulls interested in the U.S. dollar.

 

Traders of this pair should monitor the S&P 500 index as this would have a big influence to the pair. If the index rises, this pair follows. Moreover, the chances for a Fed rate hike puts a bullish pressure for the pair. If it did not take place, it might be a problem for the pair although it is most likely that this would happen with its stature at stake.

 

Pullbacks every now and then offer long-term opportunities but for short-term, this gives off bearish volatility/ This could persist for some time especially with the major events concerning geopolitical problems occurring from Europe and the U.S.

 

Overall, the pair moves in an uptrend from 110.23 level and a decline from 112.13 will indicate a correction. It is expected to rise again following the correction towards the 113.50 level. The near-term resistance is found at 111.70 and a break to this level would mean a continuation of the uptrend. On the other hand, the support region is positioned at 110.80 and 110.23 and a break from these levels would push the price back again from 114.36 level.

[Andrea ForexMart]

AUD/USD Technical Analysis: May 31, 2017

 

The Australian currency had slightly decline amid Tuesday trades, however, met a support around 0.74 mark to bounce back and climb upwards. An ability to cut through above the 0.7450 region is highly important. The resumption of the bullish pressure will prompt the market to advanced towards the area above 0.75, which is previously a significant resistance.

 

The rally is expected to run out within a short period of time, in case the gold surge considering a “risk on” rally. Therefore, the market has to continue trend upwards.

 

The gold markets appeared to be a safe place to get involved with. When gold was bought as a fear trade there is a tendency that Aussie will not follow. Nevertheless, a positive feeling towards the markets will help the AUDUSD to attempt a higher move.

 

The AUD is starting to gain strength, but the Kiwi appeared to be much stronger as it drives forward. Forecast says, the favor should remain in the seat of the New Zealand dollar, but there are predictions that both commodity currencies will go through similar directions.

 

A break down under the 0.74 range would indicate a negative signal and caused the Australian dollar to plunged lower.

 

Alternatively, the pair is projected to experience volatility, yet this is not new to this pair since the market always run in circles. Volatility awaits upon moving forward, for that reason you should look out on your stop losses.

[Andrea ForexMart]

GBP/JPY Technical Analysis: May 31, 2017

 

The national currency of Britain weakened amid Tuesday trading, however, it had a significant rebound from the area 141.80 reaching the 143 handle. A break over the daily highs would direct the market in a higher position, as it may reach 144 level without plenty of issues.

 

Generally, the Sterling holds a significant amount of reversal throughout the day since the Cable further exhibited active signs. This could probably be a correction for the oversold condition where the GBP sees itself, after the election polling it became tighter exceeding its expectations in the past. Moreover, the figures decreased inclined with the conservative administration. Having said that, the uptrend will resume eventually, hence buying is highly preferred on the gap above the highest.

 

Remember that the pairs relative to Japanese yen appeared to very sensitive to risk. This could be considered as one of the most delicate pairs, the simultaneous rally of the stock market is a big help that could move 100 pips in an instant.

 

Either way, a cut through underneath 142.50 region would allow the market to touch 142 handle once again.

 

The daily candle begins to display a bullish stance which signals that buyers will return, nevertheless, it could be best that you’ll wait for the market to reveal hints to initiate the buying, as a means to safeguard your account against an extensive volatility.

[Andrea ForexMart]

AUD/USD Technical Analysis: June 2, 2017

 

The Australian dollar against the U.S. dollar did not have a good trading session on Thursday. It breaks at the 0.74 level followed by a rebound towards the 0.7420 region. Since then, the market declined and broke to a fresh new low. Currently, the pair is depreciating and makes it more vulnerable to further decline especially since the jobs data will come out today.

 

If the jobs data met the expectations, then this will most likely push the currency lower towards the 0.73 handle. However, if the pair moves in the upper channel then this would open opportunities to buy this pair especially if it breaks higher than the 0.7475 region. Although, we cannot be certain of now if this would occur since the market is still undecided on which direction to choose.

 

The next target for this pair is 0.73 level with the tendency to move forward which makes it more favorable for selling. The market already anticipates this and it will be good to follow so.

It seems that the currency is having a difficult time while the New Zealand dollar is performing better. Even so, traders still opt for the Aussie but traders should be cautious in buying this pair in the current low levels.

 

Overall the pair is sold-off by traders and it is reasonable to move along with this move. However, if this pair opens for the 0.73 region, this will push the price to lower levels immediately.

[Andrea ForexMart]

NZD/USD Technical Analysis: June 2, 2017

 

The Kiwi dollar declined in the day during Thursday trade while testing the mark 0.7050. Despite the choppiness of the market, the New Zealand currency have the possibility to beat the Australian dollar. It does not mean that the market will establish an optimistic stance, rather it will become more resilient. The market will search the level below 0.70 because this holds a nice large figure, however, the release of US employment figures on Friday involves plenty of noise.

The market will found the resistance on top of the 0.71 handle and the rally will soon fade away because the mentioned region seems resistive. As indicated on the higher level of the chart, some type of channel are trying to develop.

 

The NZDUSD is not easy to deal with because it is the least liquid among major pair and when the announcement is made, it would likely to have a violent move. With this, it is suggested to steer clear from the commodity-linked pair as this could lead you to pain if you did not take proper caution. The ability to break down under 0.70 region would break down significantly. It signals a longer-term indicator, either way, it could toggle continually moving a gradual ascending grind.

 

As the market maintain a choppy stance, lots of opportunities were also offered.

[Andrea ForexMart]

EUR/USD Technical Analysis: June 5, 2017

 

The EURUSD moved through an upward direction on Friday after the release of weak data on employment report. The U.S yields further weakened as prices ascended at a faster pace compared with the European bonds. This made the euro lure attraction of investors prior the ECB meeting scheduled next week.

 

The European producer price manifested stronger figures, beating expectation which paved the way for a higher rate on the pair. The pair had broken out on the back of a bull flag formation which serves as a pause to refresh higher.

 

The prices increased by 1.1282 region just shy of 1.1299 close to November 8 highs. The next resistance target is found at the mark 1.1365 near the highs of August 2016. The support reached 1.1206 area around the 10-day moving average.

 

The momentum came in neutral while the MACD histogram printed nearby the zero-index level whereas the index appeared to be in a flat trajectory suggesting for a consolidation.

[Andrea ForexMart]

NZD/USD Technical Analysis: June 6, 2017

 

The New Zealand broke in the lower channel during the Monday session. Later, the trend bounced off to fill the gap then declined again. There is massive support found in the 0.71 below which triggered the market to rise again as it reached the former break level. Currently, the market is attempting to move higher as it gains momentum to reach the 0.7150 region which would hint a bullish sentiment.  

 

The market could also retreat from this level towards the 0.71 handle once more. Overall, there will be high volatility and persist for some time in the market since the New Zealand dollar is relative to commodities market which always changes. Hence, the currency is expected to be traded with a choppy environment.

 

Buying on the lows is advisable for this pair and is not surprising for them to return as the trend moves in a downtrend. However, shorting this pair may not be the best move. If the price breaks lower than the 0.71 handle, the next move would be to go downward toward the 0.7050 level.  

 

Nevertheless, the market will be very choppy driven by geopolitical risks and in consideration of its sensitivity opting the U.S. dollars as a safety currency while the kiwi being the riskier one in this pair. Volatility is also anticipated to persist in either direction it goes.

[Andrea ForexMart]

GBP/JPY Technical Analysis: June 6, 2017

 

The British pound against the Japanese yen broke on the lower side during the Monday session which was upturned indicating bullishness in the trend. It is directed towards the 143 level and higher up that fills the gap. There is a robust resistance seen in the previous trades that makes the reversal unexpected. However, if the price is set higher, this would persist to an elevated level pointed to the 144 region.

 

It is anticipated to have volatility for this pair regardless of the next move since the market is in a “risk on” or “risk off” sentiment. Moreover, the British elections worsen the situation as it affected the British currency that brings unpredictability in the market until the election on Thursday. Other global economic concerns will also affect the trend.

 

Volatility is the current focal point of the market and if it gaps more than the 143 region, more buying opportunities will come out for the market. However, if the election polls showed conservatives leading in Britain, this push this pair aimed higher with chances to break higher than the 144 region then shift towards the 145 handle.

 

Traders should not expect that trading this pair would be easy that makes trades on small positions to be ideal for this pair or one could opt to wait in the sidelines as GBP/JPY is one of the pairs risky to position in the market.

[Andrea ForexMart]

NZD/USD Technical Analysis: June 7, 2017

 

The NZDUSD rallied amid trades on Tuesday and broke the level on top of 0.7150 smoothly. The Kiwi dollar continued to search for buyers on dips and tend to handle some pullback as an opportunity to increase rate.

 

The market tried to touch the region above 0.72, en route 0.75 afterwards. As shown in the chart, the area around 0.71 handle provides a lot of support and regarded to be the floor of the market in the near-term uptrend. The commodity space continues to weigh on the market and the NZD seems to be the “barometer” towards the overall sentiment of futures trading. Watch closely for the commodity because it could possibly show the way.

 

It could be a good move to buy dips moving forward because it suits the current status of the New Zealand currency. Selling remains impossible as far as we breach under the 0.71 mark. A successful break down prompts the market to reach the range below 0.7050 which is very supportive previously, along with the 0.70 region. In any case, the market remains to be volatile, however, the moving averages came in reliable, particularly the 48-hour MA shown in green color, hence it should offer further buying opportunities.

 

The volatility driven market persists, but the late impulsivity indicates that buyers begin to develop more confident as it moves ahead. Moreover, the dips will provide value which is an advantage to market participants.

[Andrea ForexMart]

GBP/USD Technical Analysis: June 7, 2017

 

The GBPUSD had attempted to rally yesterday, however, retreated to the level 1.2950 to return underneath the 1.29 handle. In the past few sessions, the market appeared to have a little bit of overall bullish pressure, waiting for the results of UK elections expected tomorrow. In this case, the market will probably experience choppiness and unprepared to conduct a significant move yet. Short-term volatility is predicted along with some choppy spots but a general ascending momentum should also be anticipated. It does not mean that a pull cannot be accomplished, it only implies that longer-term charts and the range below 1.2750 should offer massive support that will surely lure the attention of the majority of market participants.

 

After the session on Friday, the long-term outlook for the pair shall be available as it could be very difficult from this moment and the next.

 

Buying the dips remains to be the best option for the Cable but the dips showed to be somewhat steep. You should have got small positions as of now and after the election results in order to acquire lesser damage that might suddenly arise.

 

Markets have lots of speculation regarding the election decision, therefore a cool level head should be maintained as this is crucial for the following sessions.

 

In the longer-term, the pair might break the 1.3050 mark as it allows the market move higher freely, or maybe reach its long-term target found at the region 1.3450.

[Andrea ForexMart]

EUR/USD Technical Analysis: June 7, 2017

 

The EURUSD aimed to make a rally during Tuesday session but look for a strong resistance around 1.1280 region to make a reversal. Then, rebounded through the 1.1240 mark.

Meanwhile, the market remains to be bullish and attempted to front run the monetary policy statement of the European Central Bank.

 

The ability to break out in the upside enable the market to move towards the area on top of 1.13. The 1.15 range is the top of the latest consolidation seen in the EUR/USD for the past years.

 

Moreover, the market might experience difficulty in breaking above the mentioned range, however, series of attempt were made to get through the area and identify its capacity to hold on.

Buying in the dips resumes progressing forward despite anticipated noise.

 

As the Britain will leave the European Union, there is a chance that some statements will weigh against Euro’s value. Either way, the interest rate hikes from the United States may catch more attention.

 

A breakout to the upside is possible while the 1.12 market must be the “floor” in this market.

[Andrea ForexMart]

GBP/JPY Technical Analysis: June 9, 2017

 

The British pound paired against the Japanese yen had a volatile session during the Thursday session. This is not surprising because of the U.K. parliamentary elections. Although, traders are not sure what is the general attitude of the market regarding Brexit leaving uncertainty in investors.

 

Towards the end of the day, the pair rallies forward with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level close to the 142.75 handle. Low levels have been higher which could continue to go up. The 143 region is starting to be strongly resistive and if the market is successful in breaking this level, the price could move higher. As of now, the market is still in consolidation.

 

However, if the price fell down to the 142 handle, there are more buyers interested in this pair. If the market is successful to break out in the upper channel, it will suggest a “risk on/off” sentiment which is a common reaction here. Traders should be cautious to avoid losses since they could incur bigger losses if not careful. Same goes for the USD/JPY pair and position in smaller trades which is relevant for this pair.

 

Nevertheless, it is also a good move to buy the pair for long-term but still with some caution before posting large orders since the market is still unstable. It is safer to wait until next week or after the results of U.K. election.

[Andrea ForexMart]

EUR/USD Technical Analysis: June 13, 2017

 

The European Central Bank decided to stabilize the apple cart and did not talk about the withdrawal of Quantitative Easing turning the focus towards the talks regarding Brexit and politics. Italian elections were delayed which helped yields from Italy to decline on the back of an extensive narrowing of spreads followed by the dovish remarks pronounced by M. Draghi.

However, lots of political challenges remain in the future.

 

The anti-European forces appeared to be inactive while in Catalonia, Spain threatens the stability of the Spanish country due to the independence referendum planned for October 1.

 

The debt relief of Greece continue to hang in the Euro region and this is the expected major topic in the EU meeting scheduled on Thursday.

 

The EURUSD tried to move higher but failed to reacquire its previous resistance found at 1.1227 level close to the 10-day moving average.

 

The exchange rate indicates the second day of the Doji formation that further shows uncertainties where the close and open levels are in the same range.

 

Moreover, the pair seems to generate a  head and shoulder reversal pattern which starts to produce the right shoulder followed by the left and lastly the head which resistance region entered the 1.1285 area.

 

Prices in the previous weeks failed to break 1.1299 mark seen around the November 8 highs. The major’s near-term support holds 1.1109 near the lows of May 29.

 

The momentum became negative since the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) develops a sell signal to take a crossover. It emerged because the spread crosses underneath the 9-day exponential moving average. The histogram shifted to negative grounds from the positive territory establishing a sell signal. The index also prints in the read paired with a descending trajectory that points towards a lower rate of the EUR/USD.

[Andrea ForexMart]

EUR/GBP Technical Analysis: June 13, 2017

 

The Euro against the British pound move sideways during the Monday session. It broke above the 0.88 handle as the market continues to sell off the currency. This is a significant move while it seems that the market is not ready to retreat. Pullbacks would then attract more buyers and the 0.88 region below continues to be supportive.

 

However, if the price breaks lower and the gap is filled, this could send the price lower as low as 0.8650 and lower. Some pullbacks would open buying opportunities indicating massive support below. There is still a possibility to move higher towards the 0.90 level which hints as a significant psychological level.

 

The British currency has depreciated which drags the pair more than the other. On the other hand, the Euro is steadily moving in the market. The impulsive action is most likely driven by the pound more than other aspects. The uncertainty persists in the market which entails the pair could climb higher.

 

The 0.90 region gives off a significant resistance and a break over this would provide more long-term opportunities. It may not be wise to sell this pair since there are other things to consider in selling off this pair. However, if the pair breaks in the base of the breakdown, this would significantly shift the movement which could induce selling and this is not gonna be good for the pair.