Daily Market Analysis by FxGrow

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Daily Market Analysis – 05th June, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

Greece delays IMF payment until end of June



Greece moves closer to default and a possible exit from the Eurozone as it will not make a scheduled €300m loan repayment to IMF on Friday.

IMF said on Thursday "The Greek authorities have informed the fund today that they plan to bundle the country's four June payments into one, which is now due on June 30," Gerry Rice, IMF spokesperson, said, citing rules allowing debtor countries to regroup "multiple principal payments falling due in a calendar month".

It is the first time that Greece will postpone a repayment to IMF as Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras is facing opposition from his supporters on tough terms associated with the debt deal.

Greek prime minister has come under pressure from his supporters to withhold the payment of €300m due to IMF on June 5. The country is running out of funds and needs the final €7.2bn bailout funds to be able to repay €1.54 billion to IMF by June 30.

Greece PM Tsipras said “Such extremist proposals cannot be accepted by the Greek government. Everyone must understand that the Greek people have greatly suffered over the last five years and some have to stop playing games at their expense.”

EURUSD pulled back yesterday after this decision from a high of 1.1365 to a low of 1.1178 in the Asian trading session today.

Traders are focusing on the US Non-Farm Payroll report due to be released today at 12:30 GMT. Analysts expect a growth of 227K in the job markets for the month of May. Pre-NFP data suggest a strong NFP report today. Analysts forecast for the Unemployment rate is at 5.4%, the lowest level in seven years.

Today’s NFP report will indicate whether Fed is willing to hike interest rates in September 2015.  Fed will hike interest rates this year if the NFP data picks up in May.

In UK the Bank of England kept its benchmark interest rate at 0.5%, the lowest level since 2009. The decision by BoE to hold interest rates was supported by data that showed growth of the UK economy slowed down in the Q1 2015 to 0.3%.

"In UK much will clearly depend on how economic growth, earnings and productivity develop over the coming months, as well as just how quickly inflation moves up later on this year" - Howard Archer, chief UK and European economist at IHS Global Insight.

In Canada Ivey PMI rose to 62.3 supported by an increase in employment and inventory levels. Today investors will focus on CAD Full Time Employment Change report due on 12:30 GMT. Analysts estimate that Canada's economy will add 10K jobs in May with jobless rate remaining at 6.8%.

Crude Oil is trading lower at $57.85 on concerns over spiking European yields.

Gold is trading lower in the Asia at 1176.26 while Silver is flat at 16.18

05th June 2015 – 10:16hrs GMT

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Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

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Daily Market Analysis – 08th June, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

Strong US Non-Farm Payrolls report boosts Fed Rate Hike in September



In US total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 280,000 in May, and the unemployment rate was essentially unchanged at 5.5 percent. Job gains occurred in professional and business services, leisure and hospitality, and health care. Mining employment continued to decline - US Bureau of Labor Statistics.

NFP report indicates that the US job market continues to improve solidly and the health of the US economy is more favorable than the weakness displayed in the Q1 GDP report.

US dollar remained strong across its major counterparts on Friday after the US jobs report boosted speculation of a Fed rate hike in September this year.

New York Fed president Dudley noted that "if the labour market continues to improve and inflation expectations remain well-anchored, then I would expect, in the absence of some dark cloud gathering over the growth outlook, to support a decision to begin normalizing monetary policy later this year".

Greece talks continue to dominate the markets as Greek PM Alexis Tsipras stated "the proposals from the creditors are clearly unrealistic...The Greek government cannot consent to unreasonable proposals that call for devastating measures for pensioners and Greek families. I want to believe that it was a bad negotiating trick".

Greek Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis said "the government will not sign a deal that extends this self-feeding crisis of the last 5 years".

In Canada Net Change in Employment for the month of May was +58.9K Jobs while Unemployment Rate remained at 6.8%.

In Japan the economy grew at 3.9% in the first quarter of 2015 beating analyst expectations of a 2.7% growth.

In Germany Factory orders increased by 1.4% in April as German industry looks to experience a boost this year.

Crude Oil is trading higher at $59.02 after OPEC decided to keep its production target unchanged.

Gold is trading higher in the Europe at 1173.24 while Silver is flat at 16.10

08th June 2015 – 09:31hrs GMT

For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

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Daily Market Analysis – 09th June, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

Greece expects to get bailout extension until March 2016



Greece is in talks with its European creditors for an extension of the country's bailout program until March 2016.

Greece is running out of funds as talks continue over agreements between Greece and the European Commission, European Central Bank (ECB) and International Monetary Fund (IMF).

The European Commission has received a new three page proposal from the Greek government to unlock the bailout funds and bridge the differences on critical issues such as the pension and VAT reforms.

Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras said "that a Greek bankruptcy will be the beginning of the end for the Eurozone. If Europe’s political leadership is unable to handle a problem like Greece, which represents 2% of its economy, how will the markets react for countries with much bigger problems, such as Spain and Italy. If Greece goes under, the markets will immediately seek out the next one. If negotiations should collapse, the cost to European taxpayers will be huge”.

He further stated "I think we're very close to an agreement on the primary surplus for the next few years. There just needs to be a positive attitude on alternative proposals to cuts to pensions or the imposition of recessionary measures."

US President Barack Obama said after the end of the G7 summit meeting “We support the efforts to find a path that will allow Greece to implement the necessary reforms and return to growth, in a strong, stable and developing Eurozone”.

EURUSD has reversed its losses post NFP as the European and US bond yields have soared to their highest levels this year.

In Germany Exports and Industrial output rose for the month of April. Exports rose by 1.9% while the industrial production increased 0.9% in April.

"German exporters are increasingly capitalizing on the advantages of a weaker euro, as well as a global demand recovery" - Christian Schulz, economist at Berenberg.

In Australia Business confidence increased for the month of May as the Reserve Bank of Australia made operating conditions easier by cutting interest rates to a record low.

National Bank of Australia has revised its fiscal 2015 GDP forecast to 2.4% but lowered its fiscal 2016 GDP forecast to 2.6%.

Crude Oil is trading higher at $59.19 as weak US dollar boosted demand and pushed global prices higher.

Gold is trading higher in the Europe at 1181.34 while Silver is strong at 16.16

09th June 2015 – 09:25hrs GMT

For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

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Daily Market Analysis – 10th June, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

Yen Soars on Bank of Japan comments



Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko said today "The yen is unlikely to fall further on a real effective exchange rate basis because it is already very weak".

The US dollar touched a 2 week low against yen after the comments. USDJPY dropped 200 pips to touch a low of 122.56 in the European trading session.

"There is no asset bubble in Japan at this point. It's hard to conclude decisively that the dollar will continue to strengthen further just because the Fed has done tapering and eyeing raising interest rates" - Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda.

"If you look at the real effective exchange rate, it shows that the yen is already very weak. Even further declines on a real effective exchange rate basis are not likely to happen" - Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda.

Globally Bond yields are increasing as Australian 10-year bonds advanced to 3.05%, New Zealand rates rose to 3.92%, 10 year German bund rates rose to 0.95%, US 10 year 10-year Treasury note was at 2.417%, 10-year U.K. government bond yield increased to 2.119%.

“It’ll take some time for the bond market to recover its composure. The situation in Greece and moves surrounding the U.S. rate hike are still cause for concern” - Yutaka Miura, Mizuho Securities Tokyo.

“Last week we saw a stand-off between the EU authorities and Greece’s government. Volatility in the bond market has added to investor nervousness, not helped by Mario Draghi’s comments last week” - James Barty, BofA-Merrill Lynch.

Greek PM Alexis Tsipras is in Brussels to meet German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Francois Hollande with an aim to achieve a breakthrough in the negotiations and secure the much needed bailout funds for his country.

In US number of job openings has hit the highest level in April as conditions are improving in the US labour market. The US recorded 5.4 million job openings for the month of April.

In UK trade deficit shrank more than expected for the month of April. UK's trade deficit was at 1.2 billion pounds while imports increased by 2.1%.

"In UK although the near-term outlook for the external sector does not look fantastic, at least net trade this quarter looks unlikely to repeat the first quarter's big negative contribution to overall GDP growth" - Vicky Redwood, chief UK economist at Capital Economics.

Crude Oil rallied to reach a high of $61.41 after news that US stockpiles posted a larger than expected decline for last week.

Gold is trading higher in the Europe at 1184.89 while Silver recovers its losses at 16.13

10th June 2015 – 07:52hrs GMT

For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

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Daily Market Analysis – 11th June, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

Reserve Bank of New Zealand cut its Cash rate to 3.25%

 

 

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand unexpectedly cut its official cash rate by 0.25% to 3.25% the first reduction since 2011.

"The New Zealand economy is growing at an annual rate around three percent, supported by low interest rates, high net migration and construction activity, and the decline in fuel prices. However, the fall in export commodity prices that began in mid-2014 is proving more pronounced. The weaker prospects for dairy prices and the recent rises in petrol prices will slow income and demand growth and increase the risk that the return of inflation to the mid-point would be delayed" - Reserve Bank of New Zealand.

"With the fall in commodity prices and the expected weakening in demand, the exchange rate has declined from its recent peak in April, but remains overvalued. A further significant downward adjustment is justified. In light of the forecast deterioration in the current account balance, such an exchange rate adjustment is needed to put New Zealand’s net external position on a more sustainable path" - Reserve Bank of New Zealand.

Following the rate cut NZDUSD plunged to a 5 year low of 0.7005 in the European trading session. The move by the RBNZ surprised traders as market was pricing less than 50% chances of a rate cut this morning.

Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras had late night talks with the leaders of Germany and France to reach a solution and avoid default. Greece needs to repay €1.6bn to the IMF by the end of June.

"It was agreed unanimously that the talks between the Greek government and the institutions should be pursued with great intensity" - German government spokesman.
"We decided to intensify the efforts to bridge the remaining differences and proceed, I believe, to a solution in the coming period" - Greek PM Alexis Tsipras.

Ratings agency S&P has downgraded Greece by lowering its credit rating from CCC+ to CCC citing the delayed International Monetary Fund repayment.

In Japan Manufacturing activity deteriorated in the second quarter of the year as Business Survey Index plunged from 2.4 in the Q1 to -6.0 in the Q2.

"In Japan Core consumer spending fell to the lowest level since last summer in April, and industrial output may well have contracted this quarter. We therefore expect a sharp slowdown in GDP growth" - Marcel Thieliant, Capital Economics.

In UK Manufacturing output declined in April by 0.4% while total industrial production climbed 0.4% from the previous month.

"The British economy is on a firm footing, having grown faster than previously thought in 2014 and with solid, steady and sustainable growth predicted into 2016" - NIESR.

Crude Oil is down to $61.15 after profit taking in the European trading session.

Gold is trading lower in the Europe at 1179.63 while Silver is weak at 15.86

11th June 2015 – 10:14hrs GMT

For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

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Daily Market Analysis – 12th June, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

IMF leaves Greece bailout talks amid major differences



The International Monetary Fund has walked out of talks with Greece amid major differences over labour market and pension reforms.

“The ball is very much in Greece’s court. There are major differences between us in most key areas. There has been no progress in narrowing these differences recently” - IMF spokesman Gerry Rice.

Donald Tusk, president of the European Council said "There is no more time for gambling. The day is coming. I'm afraid that someone says that the game is over. It is very obvious that we need decisions, not negotiations".

"Time is running out, and the risk of insolvency is increasing by the day. The main losers in that scenario would be Greece and the Greek people" - Jens Weidmann, president of the Bundesbank.

Greece government needs to strike a deal with its European creditors soon and secure the bailout funds. A deal must be signed by the Eurozone finance ministers before the end of the month. If there is no deal then Greece will be in trouble and could fall out of the Eurozone.

Despite major differences with the IMF Greece hopes to clinch a deal with its lenders at a meeting of Eurozone finance ministers on June 18.

"I hope a deal will come very soon, on June 18, when the Euro group takes place" - Flabouraris, aid to Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras.

Greece's Unemployment Rate rose to 26.6% in the first quarter of the year as it continues to struggle with its long term unemployment problem.

In US Retail sales climbed for the month of May to 1.2% indicating that the economy has regained momentum after contracting in the first quarter.

In China Retail sales and Industrial output improved for the month of May. Total production from China grew at 6.1% YoY basis in May while retail sales soared 10.1% from a year earlier.

In Australia Unemployment rate fell to 6.0% in May the lowest level in 12 months. The number of people with jobs rose by 42K to 11.76 million in May, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics.

Crude Oil is down to $60.30 because of a stronger dollar and amid uncertainty in Greece.

Gold is trading lower in the Europe at 1179.25 while Silver is weak at 15.91

12th June 2015 – 09:10hrs GMT

For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

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Daily Market Analysis – 15th June, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

Fears of Greek Default Rise after talks break down



On Sunday night talks between Greek ministers and its European creditors collapsed after a new economic reform proposal submitted by Athens was deemed inadequate to continue negotiations.

Germany has given a clear warning that Greece could leave the Eurozone as officials were unable to reach out a last-minute deal in Brussels.

“The shadow of a Greek exit from the Eurozone is becoming increasingly perceptible. Greece’s game theorists are gambling the future of their country and Europe’s too” - German Vice Chancellor, Sigmar Gabriel.

Greece needs to repay €1.6bn to the IMF by June 30 or risk default, and a possible exit from the Euro. It also needs to repay €6.7bn when Greek bonds held by the European Central Bank fall due in July and August this year.

Greek default and exit from the Euro could trigger some huge moves in the markets and will have a damaging effect on countries that are part of the Eurozone.

"We want to help Greece and keep it in the euro. However, not just time is running out but also, everywhere in Europe, patience. All over Europe there is a growing sentiment: Enough!" - German Vice Chancellor, Sigmar Gabriel.

Greece is under pressure as it also needs another €1.5 billion to pay public sector wages and pensions and it cannot do so without the bailout funds.

The Greek government is blaming its European creditors and IMF who financed its 240 billion Euro bailout program in 2010, for sticking with demands that are economically senseless and politically unacceptable to the Greek citizens.

Manufacturing industry in the Euro zone rebounded by 0.1% in April lower than analyst expectations of a 0.4% gain. Largest contribution came in from Germany and France. A new report from the World Bank forecasts the Euro area's GDP to increase by 1.5% this year.

US Producer Prices rose to 0.5% in May indicating signs of an economic recovery as the world's biggest economy is getting back on track.

In Japan Industrial output rose by 1.2% in April while exports climbed to 0.6% supported by a weaker Yen.

"There's a large majority of bond investors who think the next move by the Bank of Japan is going to be more easing" - Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities Co.

Crude Oil is down to $59.51 on concerns over a global oversupply versus the demand.

Gold is trading lower in the Europe at 1174.30 while Silver is weak at 15.87

15th June 2015 – 10:11hrs GMT

For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

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Daily Market Analysis – 16th June, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

RBA expects Australian Dollar to Drop Further



Reserve Bank of Australia released the minutes from its June monthly meeting. RBA stated "It was appropriate to leave the cash rate unchanged and to assess information on economic and financial conditions as it become available".

"A lower exchange rate would have an immediate beneficial effect on some sectors such as tourism. It would need to be lower for a sustained period to have a significant effect on large investment decisions in other trade-exposed sectors" - Reserve Bank of Australia.

“The board’s assessment was that the stance of monetary policy should be accommodative. Output growth had continued at a below-trend pace over the past year and would remain a little below trend in the period ahead before picking up to around trend in the latter part of 2016" - Reserve Bank of Australia.

"The current level of the exchange rate, particularly on a trade-weighted basis, continued to offer less assistance than would normally be expected in achieving balanced growth in the economy. A further depreciation therefore seemed both likely and necessary, particularly given the significant declines in commodity prices over the past year" - Reserve Bank of Australia.

AUDUSD is trading lower in the European trading session at 0.7728 following the release of the RBA minutes.

In Greece there is no visible progress in the bailout negotiations with its European partners. Risks of a Greek default and a possible exit from the Euro are running high.

If Greece is unable to reach a deal with its European creditors it could become bankrupt and leave the Eurozone. Major concern for Banks in Greece is that deposit outflows are gathering pace with another €400 million being withdrawn yesterday.

Failing to keep Greece in the Euro after years of negotiations and emergency bailouts of €240bn could mark a blow to the official currency of the 19 member nations.

In Germany Consumer Price Inflation rose to 0.1% last month according to a report released from the Federal Statistical Office.

Switzerland's Producer and Import prices declined 6% YoY basis in May according to the Federal Statistical Office. Swiss retail sales rebounded to a growth of 1.6% in April, after a fall of 2.4% in the previous month.

Crude Oil is down to $60.06 on concerns over global supplies.

Gold is trading steady in the Europe at 1182.64 while Silver is weak at 16.02

16th June 2015 – 09:46hrs GMT

For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

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Daily Market Analysis – 17th June, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

Global Investors await FOMC rate decision



Globally investors are awaiting the outcome of the Federal Open Market Committee's two day meeting at 18:00hrs GMT which is expected to create high volatility in the markets.

Analysts expect that Federal Reserve policy makers will raise interest rates in September this year. Market is pricing in a 67% probability of the Fed hiking rates before its December policy meeting.

“We expect Fed Chairwoman Janet Yellen to make it clear that the first rate hike is not far off” - Ian Shepherdson, Pantheon Macroeconomics.

“They think the economy is doing fine, and the majority on the Fed now favors starting rate hikes soon and going slowly" - James Glassman, J.P. Morgan Chase.

The FOMC is unlikely to change policy in its June meeting, but the statement and comments by Fed Chairwoman Janet Yellen in the news conference will be very important.

“This market has been and still is a Fed-driven market and it is fan of clear guidance. If Janet Yellen hints whether the Fed will raise in September or December it would be ultimately good for the markets, even though the very short-term reaction will almost certainly be negative” - Michael Antonelli, R.W Baird & Co.

“The Fed has to start normalizing rates, but there is never a perfect time to do it. The market will adjust to the rate hike cycle if it accepts that the economy is growing and that the Fed will indeed be “gradual” as it moves towards higher rate” - Quincy Krosby, Prudential Financial.

Greece is running out of time to secure bailout funds and avoid a possible default. The Greek government must reach a deal with its European creditors soon or risk an exit from the Eurozone.

The probability of a Greek default is at 75% to 80% according to market strategists, with the chances that Greece will secure a last minute deal are at 50%.

In Germany Investor confidence declined for the month of June. The ZEW Economic Sentiment Index dropped to 31.5 amid concerns over the Greek debt default.

In UK Inflation turned positive for the month of May. UK inflation edged higher 0.2%, according to the Office for National Statistics.

In Japan trade deficit increased in May, while imports declined. Trade deficit was 216.0 billion yen in May, while Imports declined by 8.7% to 5.956 trillion yen.

In New Zealand current account deficit decreased to NZ$1.8 billion in the first quarter of 2015.

Crude Oil is trading higher at $61.11 mainly driven by the huge decline in US crude stockpile.

Gold is trading lower in the Europe at 1178.92 ahead of the FOMC statement, while Silver is weak at 15.97

17th June 2015 – 08:54hrs GMT

For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

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Daily Market Analysis – 18th June, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

FOMC Minutes reflect a Dovish tone



The Federal Reserve on Wednesday kept its benchmark interest rate near zero, as it believes improving US economic growth is likely to warrant one or two interest rate increases before the end of the year.

"Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in April suggests that economic activity has been expanding moderately after having changed little during the first quarter" - FOMC.

"To support continued progress toward maximum employment and price stability, the Committee today reaffirmed its view that the current 0 to 1/4 percent target range for the federal funds rate remains appropriate" - FOMC.

"In determining how long to maintain this target range, the Committee will assess progress - both realized and expected - toward its objectives of maximum employment and 2 percent inflation" - FOMC.

Majority of Fed officials are willing to raise interest rates this year, according to a survey released by the central bank. Fed is on track to hike interest rates this year.

"We have to put in place a policy that is appropriate to evolving conditions in the U.S. economy but we can’t promise that there will not be volatility when we make a decision to raise rates" - Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen.

"The timing of a first decision to raise rates is something that should not be overblown whether it is September or December or March, what matters is the entire path of rates, and as I have said the committee anticipates economic conditions that would call for a gradual evolution of the Fed funds rate towards normalization" - Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen.

USD Dollar was weak against its major counterparts after the FOMC minutes signaled a gradual hike path with the EURUSD crossing 1.1350 yesterday and 1.1400 in the European trading session today.

Euro group is meeting in Luxembourg today and Greece has a last chance to secure a deal before the end of this month. Since Greek officials have refused to submit any new proposals hopes for a solution to the Greek debt deal are low.

Greek PM Alexis Tsipras is travelling to Russia to meet Vladimir Putin for some weekend talks.

"Failure to reach an agreement would... mark the beginning of a painful course that would lead initially to a Greek default and ultimately to the country's exit from the euro area and, most likely, from the European Union" - The Bank of Greece.

Meanwhile Germany is making contingency plans for Greece to leave the euro as it believes that Greece and its creditors would reach agreement on the release of new bail-out funds.

In New Zealand economy slowed in the Q1 of 2015. The nation’s economy grew at 0.2% the lowest quarterly growth rate since 2 years. Following the news NZDUSD slipped to a 5 year low of 0.6881 in the European trading session today.

Crude Oil is trading lower at $61.06 mainly driven by a weak US Dollar as Fed left its benchmark interest rate unchanged.

Gold is trading higher in the Europe at 1196.44, while Silver is strong at 16.30

18th June 2015 – 09:01hrs GMT

For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

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Daily Market Analysis – 19th June, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

Eurozone Summit called after failure of Greece Bailout Talks



Euro zone leaders will hold an emergency summit on Monday to avoid a Greek default after finance ministers failed again to bridge the gap between Greece and its European creditors.

The emergency summit will be held in Brussels just eight days before the deadline ends of a Greek default.

IMF, members of Eurozone and European commission all want Greece to implement budget cuts, mainly through pensions and sales-tax increases, which are needed to restore the country’s long-term financial health.

“Those are measures that are not popular, they will not be easy to take and the big question is whether the Greek government is prepared to take them. And if they’re not prepared to do that, then they are taking a big, big risk on the future of Greece” - Jeroen Dijsselbloem, Head of Eurozone finance ministers.

Cash withdrawals from Greek Banks are increasing with almost 2 billion Euros pulled out between Monday and Wednesday after the weekend talks in Brussels failed. Though the Greek government has denied imposing any Capital controls as of now, Greek Central Bank has warned of economic catastrophe if Greece defaults and leaves the Eurozone.

“Greece will be in default, it will be in arrears vis-a-vis the IMF on July 1, but I hope it is not the case, I really do. There is no grace period or two-month delay, as I have seen here and there" - Christine Lagarde, IMF.

"Germany's efforts are directed to Greece remaining in the Eurozone. Where there's a will, there's a way - if the political leaders in Greece show this will an agreement is still possible” - German Chancellor Angela Merkel.

The options that Greece will have whether it is able to reach a deal in the Eurozone summit on Monday or not are:

- No Deal is reached, Greece will default on its payments to the IMF and ECB, and ECB will pull plugs on emergency bank assistance leading to run on Greek banks, capital controls and potential Grexit.

- Deal is reached as Greece agrees to the reforms and is able to secure the bailout funds and stays in the Euro.

- No Deal is reached and Greece still remains in the Euro.

Greek PM is meeting Russian President Vladimir Putin over the weekend. Russian deputy Finance minister has told that there has been no request for money from Greece, and Russia had no resources for such a bailout.

"The Eurozone summit on Monday is a positive development on the road toward a deal. There will be a solution based on respecting EU rules and democracy which would allow Greece to return to growth in the euro" - Greek Prime Minister.

The Swiss National Bank keeps its monetary policy of negative interest rates intact in anticipation that negative interest rates will dampen the value of the Swiss Franc over time.

“Negative interest rates in Switzerland make holding investments in Swiss francs less attractive and will help to weaken the Swiss franc over time" - Thomas Jordan, Swiss National Bank Chairman.

UK Retail Sales rose for the month of May to 0.2% while analyst’s expectations were of a 0.1% decline.

Crude Oil is trading higher at $60.27 after data showed US Crude stockpiles on the decline.

Gold is trading higher in the Europe at 1200.40, while Silver is flat 16.14

19th June 2015 – 09:16hrs GMT

For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

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Daily Market Analysis – 22nd June, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

Greece Presents New Reforms Package in Eurozone summit



"Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras is meeting heads of the European Commission, European Central Bank and International Monetary Fund on Monday ahead of a summit of Euro zone leaders later in the day aimed at reaching a deal over debt talks" - Reuters.

"The prime minister presented the three leaders Greece's proposal for a mutually beneficial agreement that will give a definitive solution and not a postponement of addressing the problem" - Greece's government.

According to Credit Suisse analysts the most likely outcome of the EU summit is a deal with a 75 percent probability.

“There is no time to lose. Every day counts. Talks and negotiations must continue so that an agreement is reached" - French President Francois Hollande.

“Either Greece declares itself willing for a viable solution or the country must leave the euro. The euro zone could cope with the consequences of a Greek exit” - Hans Michelbach.

“Workers, the unemployed, young people, the Greek people and the rest of the peoples of Europe will send a loud message of resistance to the alleged one-way path of austerity, resistance to the blackmail and scare-mongering” - Syriza party.

Globally investors are awaiting the outcome of the EU summit and a relief rally in the time of crisis. There seems to be some optimism that a last minute solution will be reached. It is a decision day for Greek PM whether he chooses to accept the deal offered by its European creditors and stay in the Euro.

The economy of Greece is in trouble since 2010 when the bailout program started as its economy has declined by quarter while unemployment is at 26 percent.
As Greece is running out of money it will be unable to repay €1.5 billion payment due to the IMF on June 30.

Bank of Japan has kept its monetary policy unchanged as it would continue with its 80 trillion yen annual asset-buying programme to support the growing economy.

"Exports are picking up and capital expenditure is rising moderately as a trend as corporate revenues improve” - Bank of Japan.

In Canada Inflation increased for the month of May to 0.9% mainly led by an increase in food prices. Retail sales in Canada fell by 0.1% to C$42.5 billion in April due to drop in food and electronics.

Crude Oil is trading higher at $60.44 on hopes of a Greek debt deal.

Gold is trading lower in the Europe at 1194.06, while Silver is stable at 16.16

22nd June 2015 – 10:13hrs GMT

For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

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Daily Market Analysis – 23rd June, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

Eurozone leaders hopeful of deal in next 48 hours



Eurozone leaders have welcomed new proposals for Greek reforms with hopes that a deal can be struck within 48hrs to avoid a Greek default and keep it in the Euro.

Eurozone leaders held an emergency summit in Brussels where they discussed the New Greek proposal which made a significant concession on pension cuts. They said the new proposal looks promising and a deal could be reached in the coming days.

"I am convinced that we will come to a final agreement in the course of this week" - European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker.

"We have a huge amount of work to do in the next 48 hours. We are not at all at the end of the route" - IMF chief Christine Lagarde.

"The proposals offered by Greece today constitute some progress. However, it became clear during our discussions that there is a lot of work to be done and time is short." - German Chancellor Angela Merkel

“In the case of a wide-ranging and complex event like a Greek default, we fear that market players may not know what they do not know about systemic consequences. Things may break that we do not expect to fail, they may fracture in unexpected ways, and linkages that we never suspected may become both apparent and important" - Carl Weinberg, High Frequency Economics.

"Several thousand pro-European Greeks staged a demonstration in favor of staying in the euro on Monday in central Athens, a day after thousands of leftists had rallied to protest against a new round of cuts" - Reuters.

In Euro zone Purchasing Manager's Index rose to 54.1 for the month of May. In Germany PMI came in at 54 and France PMI was at 53.4

In China HSBC-Markit manufacturing PMI rose to 49.6 for the month of May indicating that business activity contracted for the month.

In New Zealand consumer confidence declined to a 2 year low in the second quarter of the year. The Consumer Confidence Index slid to 113 in the Q2 of the year mainly due to falling diary prices.

Crude Oil is trading lower at $60.19 ahead of the weekly report on US stock of Crude and refined products.

Gold is trading lower in the Europe at 1183.33, while Silver is weak at 15.99

23rd June 2015 – 10:24hrs GMT

For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

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Daily Market Analysis – 24th June, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

Markets Focus on Greek Debt Deal



Greece's PM Alexis Tsipras is in Brussels for crucial talks with its European creditors after it submitted a new proposal to avoid a default and remain part of the Euro.

Greek PM will be meeting Christine Lagarde - head of International Monetary Fund, Mario Draghi - president of European Central Bank, Jeroen Dijsselbloem - Dutch finance minister over issues of tax rises and spending cuts so that he can secure the much needed bailout funds for his country.

Eurozone finance ministers are meeting in Brussels today to discuss the new proposal submitted by the Greece. If the proposal is accepted Greece will get its €7.2bn financial aid and will be able to meet its payment of €1.6bn by June 30.

The funds that are being withdrawn from the Greek banks are in the range of €1 billion a day as investors are worried about a Greek default and the possibility of the Drachma coming back into the nation.

The IMF is unlikely to get back all its money on time as the Greek's long term debt sustainability is in question and whether or not the country will be fully able to recover from its financial problems.

The German chancellor, Angela Merkel is under pressure to hold on the 19 nations that form a part of the Eurozone. The chances are that a deal will be struck and give Greece a relief time but the problems in the Euro are far from over.

“The Euro group has urged the institutions to work closely together with the Greek authorities to start immediately to go into the proposals, getting all the specifics and doing the calculations on them … and all of these with a view if possible to reach an agreement later this week, using the Greek proposals as basis for that” - Euro group President Jeroen Dijsselbloem.

In Germany Business confidence fell for the month of June. The IFO Business climate Index dropped to 107.4 on concerns over slow growth.

Bank of Japan board members are concerned about weak consumer price gains in Tokyo. BOJ is most likely to reach its target of 2% Inflation in the first half of 2016.

"Exports had shown signs of a pick-up on the back of improvement in external demand and of the effects of the euro's depreciation. Corporate results had been improving, partly due to the depreciation of the euro, and business sentiment had also shown movements toward a pick-up" - Bank of Japan minutes.

In US Core Durable Goods Orders rose by 0.5% in May, while total orders for durable goods plunged by 1.8% for the month of May.

Crude Oil is trading higher at $61.57 on expectations for a weekly decline in US crude supplies.

Gold is trading lower in the Europe at 1179.51, while Silver is weak at 15.91

24th June 2015 – 10:00hrs GMT

For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

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Daily Market Analysis – 25th June, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

Markets run out of steam as Greek talks stall again



European stock markets closed lower on Wednesday after Alexis Tsipras, Greece’s prime minister, failed to reach a deal with its creditors in Brussels to secure the much needed €7.2bn bailout funds.

FTSE, DAX, CAC40, IBEX35 all ended the day in red as a Greek official told reporters that the governments proposed measures had not been accepted by its international creditors.

Greece and its European creditors now have less than four hours to reach some agreement, before Eurozone finance ministers resume their own meeting today.

If Greece will fall out of the Eurozone, German Chancellor Angela Merkel would suffer the blow. As the de facto leader of the European Union she is responsible for deciding whether the cost of 240 billion euros is justified for keeping Greece in the Eurozone.

“The chancellor is completely aware of the situation and the consequences, both politically speaking and economically speaking, of a Grexit. I think the Germans now will push with us to find a compromise in the coming days if the Greeks decide to accelerate and work for a credible package" - Emmanuel Macron, French economy minister.

Greece's ruling party has condemned the latest proposals from its European creditors as being blackmail over a bailout deal.

"The lenders' demand to bring annihilating measures back to the table shows that the blackmail against Greece is reaching a climax." - Syriza party's spokesman.

"There's a sense Greek negotiations will extend through the end of the month and markets appear to believe there'll eventually be an accord. An agreement may spur buying momentarily, but the euro will probably be sold as focus shifts to the dollar" - Yasuhiro Kaizaki, Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Bank.

"The previously unsuccessful attempts to find a solution to the debt crisis in Greece as well as the country's impending default now appear to be dampening German consumers' economic outlook, this raises doubts in consumers' minds, because the consequences of Greece's departure cannot be predicted at the moment" - GfK market research group.

In Germany Business Confidence hit a 4 month low in June. The Business climate Index declined to 107.4 according to the German research institute.

In US the economy contracted in the Q1 due to bad weather, a strong US dollar as US GDP declined to 0.2% annualized rate according to the Commerce Department.

Crude Oil is trading lower at $60.28 after a report showed weekly drop in US crude stockpiles.

Gold is trading lower in the Europe at 1175.81, while Silver is weak at 15.86

25th June 2015 – 08:00hrs GMT

For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

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Daily Market Analysis – 26th June, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

Greek crisis extends into weekend before Sunday's Final Deadline



Greece was unable to close a deal with its European creditors on Thursday, as the crisis extends into weekend before the final deadline on Sunday to avoid a default.

Euro zone finance ministers finished their third round of meeting in a week without an agreement as Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras tries to convince its European creditors and secure the much needed bailout funds for his country.

"The institutions informed us that on a number of issues there is still a wide gap with the Greek authorities. In the meantime, the door is still open for the Greek authorities to accept the proposals tabled by the institutions" - Euro group chairman Jeroen Dijsselbloem.

"The climate is that either by Saturday Greece accepts or on Saturday there will be a discussion about Plan B" - Euro zone official.

"The institutions are going to look again at the two documents - our documents and their own. There will be discussions with the Greek government and we'll continue until we find a solution” - Greek Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis.

"Certain institutions insist in not accepting equivalent measures suggested by the Greek government. The non-acceptance of equivalent measures has never happened before. Neither in Ireland nor in Portugal." - Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras.

Greek's International creditors have rejected the government's plan to end its financial crisis, but they have submitted counterproposals. Time is running out and strong measures would be needed to avoid a default and prevent Greek banks from collapsing thereby limiting any market contagion to other euro area countries.

The new proposal submitted by Greece aims to make €8bn in savings, by new taxes on the wealthy and businesses, VAT increases and a cut in defense spending. But in counter-proposals its European creditors have called for further measures on pensions, higher value added tax for restaurants, and for defense expenditure to be slashed by € 400 million.

"I want to stress that it's not just a matter of Greece, it's a matter of the future of Europe. What's happening now in Greece is going to happen tomorrow in other countries" - Dimmitris Kammenos.

“Without a substantial form of debt relief, which looks unlikely in an initial agreement, Greece’s debt ratio will remain unsustainably high and the crisis will continue.” - Jonathan Loynes, Capital Economics.

In Germany GfK consumer sentiment index declined to 10.1 going into July following a decline in German business morale in June. GfK said that Greece's default and exit from the currency bloc, which had seemed a remote possibility, now appears to be quite realistic.

New Zealand logged a Trade surplus of NZ$350 million for the month of May far surpassing analysts’ expectations. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is unhappy with New Zealand Dollar' strength as the Kiwi Dollar slid to the lowest level in five years versus the US Dollar.

In UK Retail sales growth slowed for the month of June. The British retail sales balance dropped to +29 this month, down from +51 in May.

In US Initial Jobless Claims rose to 271K last week according to the US Department of Labor.

Crude Oil is trading lower at $59.58 as trader’s eye Greece debt talks.

Gold is trading lower in the Europe at 1173.53, while Silver is weak at 15.83

26th June 2015 – 09:39hrs GMT

For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

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Daily Market Analysis – 29th June, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

Greece Crisis Intensifies as Global Stock Markets Slide



Greece debt crisis has intensified after the European Central Bank decided not to extend emergency funding. Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras has announced a referendum to vote on whether to accept the bailout measures offered by its European creditors on July5.

Greek Banks have been closed and capital controls have been imposed to prevent financial chaos following the breakdown of talks with its European creditors.

Stock markets in Europe and Asia witnessed falls with London's FTSE 100 index down by nearly 2%. In Asia Japan's Nikkei fell nearly 3% in the early trading session.

Euro opened with a gap of more than 200 pips touching a low of 1.0953 in the early Asian trading session.

Bond yields for Italy, Spain and Portugal rose sharply, while German bond yields fell in the time of crisis.

In Greece Banks will remain closed till 6th of July and cash withdrawals are limited to €60 in a day. The Athens stock exchange will also remain closed.

“Following the decision by the Greek authorities to hold a referendum and the non-prolongation of the EU adjustment programme for Greece, the governing council declared it will work closely with the Bank of Greece to maintain financial stability” - ECB.

“We continue to work closely with the Bank of Greece and we strongly endorse the commitment of member states in pledging to take action to address the fragilities of euro area economies” - ECB President, Mario Draghi.

"While the imposed restrictive measures appear necessary and proportionate at this time, the free movement of capital will however need to be reinstated as soon as possible in the interest of the Greek economy, the Eurozone, and the European Union's single market as a whole" - European Commission.

After the failure of the debt talks on Friday and the decision of the European Central Bank to freeze emergency loans for Greek banks has led to capital controls. This has increased the risks of a Greek exit from the Euro in the coming times.

After the Eurozone finance ministers on Saturday turned down a request for an extension of the Tuesday payment to the IMF Grexit is possible. “Grexit” is short for the possibility of Greece exiting the European Union and moving away from the Euro.

Crude Oil is trading lower at $58.37 on Greek default concerns.

Gold is trading lower in the Europe at 1177.22, while Silver is weak at 15.81

29th June 2015 – 11:00hrs GMT

For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

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Daily Market Analysis – 30th June, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

Greece expected to Default on Its Payment to the IMF today



Greece is expected to default on its payment of €1.6bn to the IMF today. The 5 year Greece bailout program will come to an end today by 6pm Washington time.

Meanwhile Greek banks remain closed as Greece is almost out of money after the European Central Bank turned down a request from the Bank of Greece for €6bn in emergency funds.

Greece has threatened to seek a court injunction against the EU institutions, both to block the country's expulsion from the euro and to halt asphyxiation of the banking system - Telegraph.

“The Greek government will make use of all our legal rights. We are taking advice and will certainly consider an injunction at the European Court of Justice. The EU treaties make no provision for euro exit and we refuse to accept it. Our membership is not negotiable" - Greek Finance minister, Yanis Varoufakis.

Greek PM Alexis Tsipras has called the referendum over the weekend on July 5, as Euro hits a 7 year low against the British pound.

“The greater the number of no [votes], the greater the weapon the government will have to relaunch negotiations. Greece never left the negotiating table, it is still at the negotiating table” - Greek prime minister, Alexis Tsipras.

“I do see the potential for disruptions that could affect the European economic outlook and global financial markets. To the extent that there are impacts on the euro-area economy or on global financial markets, there would undoubtedly be spillovers to the United States that would affect our outlook as well” - Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen.

Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras has urged voters to reject the demands of its European creditors.

"We ask you to reject it with all the might of your soul, with the greatest margin possible. The greater the participation and the rejection of this deal, the greater the possibility will be to restart the negotiations to set a course of logic and sustainability" - Greek PM.

Greek Banks remain closed with capital controls in place so that customers can only withdraw a maximum of 60 euros in a day. After ECB refused further funding Greek banks had no choice.

Greece has to repay 1.6billion euros to the IMF today and is likely to default on its payment today. Greece owes 3.5 billion euros to the ECB on July20. The current Greek bailout financed by ECB, IMF and the European Commission also expires today.

Crude Oil is trading lower at $58.86 on Greek default concerns.

Gold is trading lower in the Europe at 1173.79, while Silver is weak at 15.72

30th June 2015 – 10:47hrs GMT

For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

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Daily Market Analysis – 01st July, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

Greece defaults on $1.7 billion IMF payment



Greece has defaulted on its payment to the IMF on June 30 and became the first developed nation to do so. Greece is now into a deeper recession as its bailout program has expired and now it is cut off from the access to IMF resources. International Monetary Fund in an organization that helps the world economy remains stable.

"I confirm that the about EUR 1.5 billion due by Greece to the IMF June 30 has not been received. We have informed our Executive Board that Greece is now in arrears and can only receive IMF financing once the arrears are cleared" - Director of Communications, IMF.

The ECB's policymaking governing council was to meet in Frankfurt to decide whether to maintain, increase or curtail emergency lending that is keeping Greek banks afloat despite a wave of deposit withdrawals and the state's default. - Reuters.
"Greece was fully committed to service its external debt in a manner that secures the viability of the Greek economy, growth and social cohesion" - Greek Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis.

Greece has received nearly 240 billion euros in two bailouts from the European Union and IMF since the start of the program in 2010.

"What would happen if Greece came out of the euro? There would be a negative message that euro membership is reversible" - Spanish Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy.

"Before the planned referendum is carried out, we will not negotiate over anything new" - German Chancellor Angela Merkel.

The risks of a default to the IMF forced European Central Bank to limit its emergency loans to Greek banks and Greece’s government was forced to institute capital controls in order to prevent mass exodus of cash out of the country.

"I think Mr. Tsipras screwed up the negotiations, frankly. Because he believed that Europe needs Greece as much as Greece needs Europe, and that is sadly not the case. So now I believe he's in a state of panic because the banks have closed, people are complaining, they were queuing for hours over the weekend to get their cash out" - Miranda Xafa, Centre for International Governance Innovation.

Crude Oil is trading lower at $58.89 on uncertainty about the financial crisis in Greece.

Gold is trading lower in the Europe at 1171.60, while Silver is weak 15.57

01st July 2015 – 09:09hrs GMT

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Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

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Daily Market Analysis – 02nd July, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

US ISM Manufacturing Index Rises to 53.5 in June



Manufacturing expanded in June as the PMI registered 53.5 percent, an increase of 0.7 percentage point over the May reading of 52.8 percent, indicating growth in manufacturing for the 30th consecutive month. A reading above 50 percent indicates that the manufacturing economy is generally expanding; below 50 percent indicates that it is generally contracting - Institute for Supply Management.

Improvement seen in US manufacturing reflects stronger domestic spending with improving demand abroad. 11 out of 18 manufacturing industries expanded in June, led by makers of furniture and wood products. Producers of oil, metals, plastics and machinery said business contracted.

New orders rose to 56.0 from 55.8. The gauge of prices paid was unchanged at 49.5, compared with expectations of 51.0. June PMI indicates manufacturing activity has begun to recover from the softer demand, output and hiring levels experienced earlier in the year.

Globally falling oil prices have forced energy companies to curtail orders for new equipment and pipelines as their margins were squeezed and rigs were shut down. The stronger dollar made US goods more expensive overseas, which is weighing on sales.

In Eurozone finance ministers have ruled out any further talks on a fresh bailout for Greece until the country holds its referendum on Sunday.

Greek PM Tsipras has written to European leaders and the International Monetary Fund, accepting most of the conditions for the bailout.

"Greece is prepared to accept this staff level agreement subject to the following amendments, additions or clarifications" - Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras.

Greece is out of money after being cut off from European bailout funds and has defaulted to the IMF. If Greeks will vote for "Yes" a new bailout deal will take weeks and may need a change of government.

"How do you persuade European government to vote for a third bailout when the Greek government has actively campaigned in a referendum against the terms of a second bailout?" - James Nixon.

NZDUSD slid to a 5 year low as the monetary policy divergence New Zealand and the US and the strong US dollar are driving the New Zealand dollar to its lowest since May 2010.

Crude Oil is trading lower at $57.11 after progress on Iran Nuclear deal.

Gold is trading lower in the Europe at 1163.70, while Silver is weak 15.52

02nd July 2015 – 07:48hrs GMT

For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

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Daily Market Analysis – 03rd July, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

US Non-Farm Payrolls increased by 223k in June



Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 223,000 in June, and the unemployment rate declined to 5.3 percent. Job gains occurred in professional and business services, health care, retail trade, financial activities, and in transportation and warehousing -  US Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Employment in other major industries, including construction, manufacturing, wholesale trade, information, and government, showed little or no change over the month - US Bureau of Labor Statistics.

The unemployment rate declined to 5.3% due to a decline in the labor force of 432K as the participation rated declined to 62.6% from 62.9%.

Recent US data suggests that US growth should pick up in the current and coming quarters. The June employment report leaves the door open for a first rate hike in September. The uncertain financial conditions in Greece may affect the timing of the first rate hike.

US Dollar was weaker after the Non-Farm payrolls came out, seen as mildly disappointing by the economists. While the expectations for two rate hikes before the end of the year are cut down, the expectations of a September hike are maintained.
With US holiday on Friday NFP data was released a day earlier, and we are unlikely to see major moves until the opening of the markets on Monday.

Focus is now shifting to Greece as Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras has called a referendum on July 5 for Greeks to decide if the country should accept what his government regards as a raw deal offered by its creditors.

On Monday, a larger than usual price gap between the market's close on Friday and the open of the Asian markets is expected.

If the majority of Greeks will vote against the current deal drafted by the IMF, European Commission, and the European Central Bank, it will push the country closer to Grexit.

Meanwhile, European leaders are not ready to negotiate with Athens until the referendum has passed. According to some reports Germany might refuse to negotiate with Greek government post-referendum.

In UK business activity in the services sector outpaced estimates for the month of June. Markit services purchasing managers' index came at 58 for June.

"In UK Growth is looking increasingly unbalanced. The recent weakness of the manufacturing PMI means industrial production looks likely to have declined in the second quarter, leaving the economy once again dependent on the service sector to sustain any growth. June’s rebound is therefore welcome news, but policymakers will want to see further improvements in the data, including signs of a sustainable upturn in pay growth, before feeling comfortable that the UK economy is ready for higher interest rates" - Chris Williamson, chief economist at Markit.

Crude Oil is trading lower at $56.52 7.11 after US oil drilling this week increased after 29 weeks of declines.

Gold is trading mildly higher in the Europe at 1168.70, while Silver is weak 15.65

03rd July 2015 – 08:55hrs GMT

For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

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Daily Market Analysis – 06th July, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

Global Markets sink after Greek voters rejected the terms of an International bailout



The final result of the Greek referendum, was 61.3% "No", against 38.7% who voted "Yes".

Global markets have sunk after voters in Greece rejected austerity plans demanded by International creditors, as the country's future in the Eurozone is in danger.

The Nikkei 225 index dropped 2.1% to close at 20,112.12 on Monday. In South Korea, the Kospi index fell 2.4% to 2,054. And in Hong Kong, the Hang Seng index was down 3.3% to 25,205.56.

“As of tomorrow, Greece will go back to the negotiating table and our primary priority is to reinstate the financial stability of the country" - Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras.

"Today we celebrate the victory of democracy. We proved even in the most difficult circumstances that democracy won't be blackmailed" - Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras.

“I’m fully aware that the mandate that I was given (by voters) is not for a rupture with Europe, but a mandate boosting our negotiating strength for reaching a sustainable deal" - Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras.

"For recovery of the Greek economy, difficult measures and reforms are inevitable. We will now wait for the initiatives of the Greek authorities" - Jeroen Dijsselbloem, head of the Eurozone finance ministers.

"I believe that with the hard efforts of all sides, Greece's economic situation will turn around. The economic crisis will be appropriately handled. Whether or not it can be appropriately handled will not only have an important impact on Greece and its people, but will have an important impact on ... the world too" - Deputy Chinese Foreign Minister.

If there is no agreement on a deal, the European Central Bank will shut down Emergency Liquidity Assistance no later than 20 July. Banks will then not only be illiquid but would then turn bankrupt, and the lack of financing would trigger a collapse of the Greek economy.

“Euro area member states intend to make full use of all the instruments available to preserve the integrity and stability of the euro area (which would) complement any actions the European Central Bank may take in full independence and in line with its mandate” - ECB.

US stocks are poised to open sharply lower on Monday after Greeks rejected the terms of the bailout proposed by its International creditors.

Crude Oil is trading lower at $54.95 8.86 after Greece rejected debt bailout terms.

Gold is trading lower in the Europe at 1164.88, while Silver is flat at 15.62

06th July 2015 – 08:32hrs GMT

For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

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Daily Market Analysis – 07th July, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

Greek debt crisis: Eurozone struggles to find solution



Eurozone leaders are meeting for an emergency summit in Brussels today to find a solution to the Greek debt crisis after Greece’s landslide rejection of bailout proposals. They are awaiting a new proposal from Greece after its Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis announced his resignation.

“The prospects of a happy resolution of this crisis are rapidly diminishing. If there is no signal from these meetings that Greece and the Eurozone are ready to get around the table again, we can expect the financial situation in Greece to deteriorate rapidly" - George Osborne, British chancellor.

“Greece is a member of the euro. It is up to Greece and its government to act so that this can remain the case. It depends now on what proposals the Greek government puts on the table" - spokesman of Angela Merkel, the German chancellor.

Global leaders have expressed concerns about the ongoing Greek debt crisis and are looking for an amicable solution.

"It is now up to the government of Alexis Tsipras to make serious, credible proposals so that this willingness to stay in the Eurozone can translate into a lasting programme. Time is running out and there is urgency for Greece and the Eurozone" - French President Francois Hollande.

"Washington looked forward to Athens and other parties resuming conversations toward resolving the Greek situation. Such an outcome will allow Greece to make difficult but necessary fiscal and structural reforms, return to growth, and achieve debt sustainability within the Euro zone" - Jack Lew, US Treasury Secretary.

"I understand why the Greek people are venting their frustration. Fiscal consolidation is not making progress. They are in deflation. The world expects Greece and the EU to cooperate on a final bailout plan" - Akira Amari, Japan's Economics minister.

Greek Banks will run out of cash by next week as large parts of the Greek economy are hit by the imposed capital controls and closure of Banks.

Greek government is also running out of cash to pay public service wages and pensions to its citizens. The country is just days away from deciding whether to leave the Eurozone, if there is no financial support from the European Central Bank.

In UK Manufacturing production dropped 0.6 percent for the month of May, while Industrial production rose by 0.4 percent.

The Reserve Bank of Australia kept its Official Cash Rate unchanged at 2.00%.
"In such circumstances, monetary policy needs to be accommodative. Low interest rates are acting to support borrowing and spending." - Reserve Bank of Australia.
US Non-Manufacturing PMI came in at 56 for the month of June according to the Institute for Supply Management.

Canada's Purchasing activity rose for the month of June as Ivey PMI came in at 55.9.
"On the other hand, domestic demand is strengthening in regions that are less exposed to the energy sector" - Bank of Canada.

Crude oil plunged to $53.13 on concerns of Greek exit and persistent oversupply in the market.

Gold is trading lower in the Europe at 1166.39, while Silver is weak at 15.64

07th July 2015 – 09:43hrs GMT

For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

[FxGrow Support]

Daily Market Analysis – 08th July, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

Chinese stock market crash continues



China’s stock market crashed as the government announced more measures to try to boost the sagging market after a spectacular bull-run reversed course in June.

The Shanghai Composite Index has lost about €2.9 trillion in value in the crash, which is nearly 12 times Greece’s entire foreign debt, which is estimated at €242.8 billion, and more than 12 times its gross domestic product (GDP) which is reckoned at about €238 billion last year.

"At the moment there is a mood of panic in the market and a large increase in irrational dumping of shares, causing a strain of liquidity in the stock market" - China Securities Regulatory Commission.

"Also, the ripple effect from the market correction has yet to show up. We expect slower growth, poorer corporate earnings, and a higher risk of a financial crisis" - Analyst of Bank of America Merrill Lynch.

More than 1,300 companies representing about 40 percent of the value of companies in China have halted trading in an effort to stop the slide.

More than 500 China-listed firms announced trading halts on the Shanghai and Shenzhen exchanges on Wednesday, taking total suspensions to about 1,300 - 45 percent of the market or roughly $2.4 trillion worth of stock - as companies scuttled to sit out the carnage – Reuters.

“Fears about the risks to financial stability and the wider economy have contributed to negative sentiment toward commodities. The impact has been felt most in industrial metals, such as copper, where China is by far the most important consumer" - Analyst from Capital Economics.

In Eurozone, after the emergency summit in Brussels, European leaders have given Greece time until Thursday to present new proposals to secure a deal with creditors, and have called a full EU summit for Sunday.

"If this does not happen, it will mean an end of the negotiations with all the possible consequences, including the worst-case scenario, where all of us will lose. Our inability to find agreement may lead to the bankruptcy of Greece and the insolvency of its banking system. Tonight I have to say loud and clear that the final deadline ends this week" - European Council President Donald Tusk.

"The Commission does not want a Grexit. Grexit would be a terrible failure and we are fighting to avoid it." - Pierre Moscovici.

Canada's Trade deficit increased to C$3.3 billion deficit, while the volume of exports plunged 2.5% in May.

"On the other hand, domestic demand is strengthening in regions that are less exposed to the energy sector" - Bank of Canada.

Crude oil plunged to $52.37 on China stock market turmoil ahead of weekly supply data from US.

Gold is trading lower in the Europe at 1153.89, while Silver is weak at 15.01

08th July 2015 – 09:38hrs GMT

For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.

[FxGrow Support]

Daily Market Analysis – 09th July, 2015
By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team

FOMC Minutes: Fed Cautious over weak Consumer spending, Risks in Greece and China



“Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster maximum employment and price stability. The Committee expects that, with appropriate policy accommodation, economic activity will expand at a moderate pace, with labor market indicators continuing to move toward levels the Committee judges consistent with its dual mandate. The Committee continues to see the risks to the outlook for economic activity and the labor market as nearly balanced.” – FOMC.

"Many participants emphasized that, in order to determine that the criteria for beginning policy normalization had been met, they would need additional information indicating that economic growth was strengthening, that labor market conditions were continuing to improve, and that inflation was moving back toward the Committee's objective." – FOMC.

"Most participants judged that the conditions for policy firming had not yet been achieved; a number of them cautioned against a premature decision" – FOMC.

The FOMC minutes show that officials are cautious about the economic outlook. Their concerns include weak consumer spending, and drags on investment and exports resulting from lower energy prices and a stronger USD.

Concern over Greece and China, Fed officials were open to delaying their first interest rate increase since 2006 amid uncertainty over Greece’s future in the euro zone.

"While a worst-case scenario of a Greek exit from the euro leading to sizable financial and economic impacts on the global economy cannot be ruled out, it remains an unlikely tail risk" - San Francisco Fed President Williams.

In China, Stock markets have stabilized with the Shanghai Composite up 6.35% and the Shenzhen Composite up 3.76%. With support from the Chinese government to rescue stock markets, the People's Bank of China has cut interest rates to a record low; brokerages have committed to buy billions worth of stocks.

The Greek government sent a formal request for a new bailout to the European Stability Mechanism, asking for a three-year loan facility.

Greece has said it will provide details of credible and concrete reforms to its creditors today to try to secure a third bailout from the European Union and the International Monetary Fund.

Canada’s Building permits declined to C$6.7 billion for the month of May, showing signs that the Canadian economy struggled to regain momentum after shrinking in the first quarter of the 2015.

Crude oil is trading lower at $52.44 after a surprise build in US stockpiles.

Gold is trading higher in the Europe at 1164.45, while Silver is up at 15.39

09th July 2015 – 09:04hrs GMT

For more in depth Research & Analysis please visit FxGrow.

Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.