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This thread is for AUD/USD Daily Analysis

 

AUD/USD Daily Analysis – December 11, 2012

 

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AUDUSD is facing the support of the upward trend line on 4-hour chart, a clear break below the trend line support will indicate that the uptrend from 1.0287 has completed at 1.0515 already, then the following downward movement could bring price back to 1.0000 zone. On the upside, as long as the trend line support holds, the fall from 1.0515 could be treated as consolidation of the uptrend, and one more rise to 1.0550 area is still possible.

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Being contained by 1.0624 (Sep 14 high) resistance, AUDUSD pulls back from 1.0585, suggesting that a cycle top is being formed on 4-hour chart. Range trading between 1.0500 and 1.0585 would likely be seen in a couple of days. As long as the channel support holds, the fall would possibly be consolidation of the uptrend from 1.0287, and another rise to test 1.0624 resistance is still possible. On the downside, a clear break below the channel support will suggest that the uptrend from 1.0287 has completed at 1.0585 already, then the following downward movement could bring price back to 1.0000 zone.

 

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  • 1 year later...

AUDUSD Technical Analysis  Signals for Tue, 16 Sep 2014

Buy 3rd Target (Overbought Lelvel) @0.9112
Buy 2nd Target (Reversal ) @0.9085
Buy 1st Target @0.9060
Buy Area @0.9042
Pivot  Point @0.9023
Sell Area @0.9007
Sell 1st Target @0.8988
Sell 2nd Target (Reversal Point) #0.8961
Sell 3rd Target (Oversold Price) @0.8934
Trend Movement : BULLISH

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  • 2 months later...
  • 11 months later...

Well on H4 chart, The candle showing a chance for the price to make a bear trend, and it's also supported by pivot line which showing the same result, as for MA100 as long as it cannot break it the chance of falling deeper won't cannot reach 80%. Since 60% indicator show strong bear result and only wait for MA100 to break i predict it can break it and fall deeper.

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AUDUSD has been created doji candle which means there is a push for buy to its lower shadow. I predict this condition will make the price to rise and it has been showing indication for that since the opening of the market. MA100 line become another indicator that support this rise together with Stochastic.

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  • 2 weeks later...

H1 chart. AUDUSD was able to rebound yesterday, but it seems it is corrected. Today's movement seems will have the same chance to rise and fall with NFP this evening as its own reason. The resistance level located at 0.74062 and support level located at 0.72742 but Stochastic also showing a chance to fall and corrected so be careful

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AUD/USD Forecast December 8, 2015, Technical Analysis

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The AUD/USD pair fell during the day on Monday, finally making a decision after forming several indecisive candles in a row. Because of this, we feel that the market is going to grind its way lower and reach towards the 0.7150 handle. We could break below there though, and reach as far as the 0.70 level. We are not calling for some type of major meltdown, rather more or less a return to the consolidation area that we have been in over the last several months. We have no interest in buying at this point in time.
 

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  • 2 weeks later...

On H1 chart AU fall back once again and cannot break MA100 line. This condition technically made the price rise further just like before, remembering MA slope seems flat. But, if candle today able to break MA100, there s bearish potential but still we must be careful with Fed rate which will be released and affect the market greatly.

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As the new year closing, AUDUSD price is starting to move flat. Based on H1 chart,we can see there is slope at MA100 and also candle which still moving inside of the bar. The price seems moving sideways up until this year without any significant movement since there is no any fundamental that may help the price to volatile more.

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On H1 Stochastic detected to move near overbought area but still showing a good bullish trend, the correction may happen but it will only make the price fall a bit before rise once again. MACD and Bollinger confirmed also the trend is bullish and the price which failed to break MA25. Next target maybe at 0.72872

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  • 4 weeks later...

AUDUSD movement on H1 seems meet with resistance at 0.70442. If this correction phase keep moving to below 0.68926 this pair is vulnerable fall to 0.69425. The next support at 0.69186 also become the support if that correction phase reall happen. If that failed, AUDUSD has bigger chance to rise back to above 0.70445 and may rise from there to 0.70839.

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  • 5 weeks later...

On H1 chart, the candle of AUDUSD formed a bearish engulfing pattern followed by one bearish candle,it is a strong indication this pair's bullish sentiment. Not just that RSI(14) and Stochastic also showing a bearish indication. The next resistance is at 0.72000. If the price could break it then it may fall deeper to the next support level.

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AUDUSD on H4 just formed bearish engulfing pattern and the price is about to break its lower band and seems will close below of that. RSI(14) and Stochastic showing bearish line where RSI fall to around 38 and Stoch fall to around 10. The strong bearish bias is located at 0.70663

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Bearish engulfing pattern formed on H1 frame, which means that AUDUSD is in strong sentiment to fall down. RSI(14) is falling down to level 65 and Stochastic also following the same trend to around level 62. The bias for this bearish is at around 0.73006 which is the main support level for this pair.

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  • 2 weeks later...

H1 chart saw that AUDUSD is moving above EMA20 right now, and also above MA100 and so do above pivot level. In the other hand indicators like Stoch and RSI is showing similiar sentiment,with both respectively rise to 100 and 66. At this rate the price may break 0.75972 sooner, and may rise higher if there is no new that could drive sentiment.

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H1 chart, AUD yesterday rebounded against Dollar on major pair. This morning, the price is trying to continue strengthening against and testing resistance level at 0.75582. If the current prices can be maintained , the bullish trend could go on and it may lead to higher level and it is possible to break resistance.

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  • 2 weeks later...

On H1 chart it seems that AUDUSD corrected yesterday, but the upward movement can not pass the resistance level which located at 0.75587 this morning looked back gets another trial based on the current movement. If able to rise above that resistance level, it may open chance for AU to keep rising, but if it fails then the price will fall and the bearish will continue.

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  • 2 weeks later...

The price is right now moving below 0.76172 even EMA100 is still giving bullish signal. With current condition, the price for sure will rise to around 0.76862 at most since RSI 14 also suggesting the same signal,only MACD which shown vice versa. But for the worst scenario if the price cannot break 0.76172 then it may fall to up to 0.75890.

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On H1 chart, the price already broke resistance but Stoch show that there is chance for bearish to press down because the price already near overbought. But because of resistance has been broken i think the price may rise  a bit 0.77551 could be the highest target for AUDUSD. The worst scenario is if the price cannot touch it then it wil fall to near pivot level today, especially during NY session.

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  • 2 weeks later...

With the price fall deeper because of AU CPI which shows the bad result, now bearish potency of AUDUSD is open once again. But today, the bearish trend must pass support at 0.75584 first so this would continue to the lower price. If failed, there is a chance that AUDUSD will corrected.

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  • 3 weeks later...

My analysis for today AUDUSD still able to continue the trend and keep fall to around 0.72305 - 0.71778. This based on several indicators bearish statement and the price seem make some correction few hours before. If the price is keep rising i recommend to keep sell at most 0.73352.

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H1 trend right now is currently under bearish pressure, it is so much helpful with ParabolicSAR and MACD are showing the same result, also based on my view with RSI(14) still under bullish pressure which make it a bit difference with the other indicator. With the latest candle, bearish pressure is bigger than ever, so it may fall to around 0.72873 or lower.

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Today's analysis on H1 chart indicated that AUDUSD still move fluctuative with bullish as dominant sentiment, EM50 still catch the tendency for the price with bearish trend is not over. There is probability that the price may try to test the Previous lower level and if able to create a new lower level the price may landed to the lower level.

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On H1 Time frame AUDUSD saw on asia session that Parabolic SAR is showing BULLISH tendency, MACD with its BULLISH trend, RSI also bullish. Overall this pair will be under bullish pressure may rise 0.72092 or up to 0.72200, but if cannot break ema50 then the pair will fall.

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