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GBP/USD: "RISING WEDGE"

07:53 10.05.2017

 

10-5-2017-GBP-H4.png

 

Bulls found resistance at 1.2995, which pushed the price a little bit lower. Also, we've got a "Rising Wedge", so the pair is likely going to test the nearest resistance at 1.3023. If a pullback from this level happens, there'll be an opportunity to have a decline towards support at 1.2945 - 1.2913.

 

10-5-2017-GBP-H1.png

 

There's a "V-Bottom" pattern, which has been formed on the 89 Moving Average. At the same time, there's strong resistance by the last "Double Top", so the price is likely going to test the nearest support at 1.2964 - 1.2953. If a pullback from these levels happens, there'll be an option to have an upward price movement towards the closest resistance at 1.2995 - 1.3023.

 

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Key option levels for Wednesday, May 10th

10/05/2017

 

If you have any questions or requests fill out the feedback form.

 

EUR/USD

 

EURUSD(178).png

 

Main trend Short-term period Medium-term period

Bullish Neutral

Changes in the open interest + 10 450 ↑ - 101 364 ↓

Closest resistance levels 1.0890; 1.0915; 1.0941; 1.0984

Closest support levels 1.0871; 1.0843; 1.0805; 1.0748

Trading recommendations

Baseline scenario Long EUR/USD above 1.0890, with target points at 1.0915 and 1.0941

Alternative scenario Moving below 1.0871 can be considered as a signal to Sell the pair, with target at 1.0843 and 1.0805

 

USD/CAD

 

USDCAD(147).png

 

Main trend Short-term period Medium-term period

Bearish Neutral

Changes in the open interest - 33 ↓ + 723 ↑

Closest resistance levels 1.3725; 1.3749; 1.3774; 1.3814

Closest support levels 1.3712; 1.3665; 1.3637; 1.3598

Trading recommendations

Baseline scenario Short USD/CAD below 1.3712, with the target points at 1.3665 and 1.3637

Alternative scenario Moving above 1.3725 can be considered as a signal to Buy the pair, with target at 1.3749 and 1.3774

 

AUD/USD

 

AUDUSD(21).png

 

Main trend Short-term period Medium-term period

Bullish Bearish

Changes in the open interest + 533 ↑ + 231 ↑

Closest resistance levels 0.7356; 0.7386; 0.7408(?); 0.7438

Closest support levels 0.7326; 0.7293; 0.7273; 0.7245

Trading recommendations

Baseline scenario Long AUD/USD above 0.7356, with the target points at 0.7386 and 0.7408

Alternative scenario Moving below 0.7326 can be considered as a signal to Sell the pair, with target at 0.7293 and 0.7273

 

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EUR/USD: PRICE REACHED "WINDOW"

12:19 10.05.2017

 

1005eurusdh4.png

 

The current bearish correction is continuing, so the price reached a "Window" and the 55 Moving Average. Considering that there isn't any reversal pattern so far, the market is likely going to fall towards the next "Window".

 

1005eurusdh1.png

 

There's a bearish "Tweezers", which has been confirmed. Therefore, bears are likely going to push the price even lower in the short term. If any bullish pattern arrives afterwards, there'll be an opportunity to have a correction.

 

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USD/JPY: NEXT "WINDOW" WAITING FOR BULLS

12:24 10.05.2017

 

1005usdjpyH4.png

 

We've got a bearish "Engulfing", but a confirmation of this pattern is quite weak. So, the market is likely going to reach the 21 Moving Average, which could be a departure point for another bullish rally in the direction of the upper "Window".

 

1005usdjpyH1.png

 

The price has reached the 21 Moving Average. Also, we've got a bearish "Harami", which has confirmation. Therefore, there's an opportunity to have a new local low in the coming hours.

 

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AUD/NZD BROKE SUPPORT ZONE

14:28 10.05.2017

 

AUD/NZD broke support zone

Next sell target - 1.0560

AUD/NZD continues to decline after the earlier breakout of the support zone lying between the support level 1.0650 (which has been reversing the price from February, as can be seen from the daily AUD/NZD chart below) and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the earlier sharp C-wave from the end of January.

 

AUD/NZD is expected to fall to the next sell target at the next support level 1.0560 (former monthly high from January). Sell stop-loss can be placed above the aforementioned price level 1.0650.

 

4Csoc5Had.png

 

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NZD/CHF REVERSED FROM KEY SUPPORT ZONE

14:30 10.05.2017

 

NZD/CHF reversed from key support zone

Next buy target - 0.7060

NZD/CHF has been rising from the start of this week – following the earlier sharp upward reversal from the key support zone lying between the support level 0.6800 (former powerful resistance level from the end of 2015 and the start of 2016, as can be seen below), lower weekly Bollinger Band and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the pervious weekly upward ABC correction ? from the middle of May.

 

NZD/CHF is expected to rise to the next buy target at the next resistance level 0.7060 (top of the previous intermediate wave (2) from April).

 

4Cy9t8Rmo.png

 

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GBP/USD: POUND STUCK IN CONSOLIDATION

05:15 11.05.2017

Technical levels: support – 1.2910; resistance – 1.2950, 1.2980.

 

Trade recommendations:

 

1. Buy — 1.2960; SL — 1.2940; TP1 — 1.3050.

 

2. Sell — 1.2930; SL — 1.2950; TP1 — 1.2810; TP2 — 1.2710.

 

Reason: bullish Ichimoku Cloud, horizontal Senkou Span A and B; a new dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen over the Cloud; the prices are under the resistance of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen.

 

4RDzKAiQM.png

 

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USD/JPY: DOLLAR APPROACHED TO RESISTANCE

05:17 11.05.2017

 

Technical levels: support – 113.90, 113.30; resistance – 114.50.

 

Trade recommendations:

 

1. Sell — 114.50; SL — 112.70; TP1 — 113.30; TP2 — 112.80.

 

Reason: bullish Ichimoku Cloud with rising Senkou Span A; a golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, rising Tenkan-sen; the prices are under strong daily resistance.

 

4RF4wyOmA.png

 

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EUR/USD: BEARS GOING TO TEST "BREAKAWAY GAP"

06:59 11.05.2017

 

11-5-2017-EUR-H4.png

 

The price is consolidating above the 55 Moving Average. Therefore, the market is likely going to decline towards support at 1.0819, which is near the last "Breakaway Gap". If a pullback from this level happens, there'll be an opportunity to have an upward price movement in the direction of resistance at 1.0851 - 1.0874.

 

11-5-2017-EUR-H1.png

 

Bears faced a support at 1.0863, so the price is consolidating. In this case, the pair is likely going to test the nearest resistance at a 1.0905. However, if we see a pullback from this level, bears will probably try to reach support at 1.0819.

 

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GBP/USD: "RISING WEDGE" GOING TO BE BROKEN

07:03 11.05.2017

 

11-5-2017-GBP-H4.png

 

Bulls faced resistance at 1.2995, so there's a "V-Top" pattern. Under this circumstances, the market is likely going to achieve the 34 Moving Average in the short term. If a pullback from this line arrives afterwards, there'll be an option to have another upward price movement towards resistance at 1.2945 - 1.2964.

 

11-5-2017-GBP-H1.png

 

There's a "V-Top" pattern, so the price is consolidating along the Moving Averages. Therefore, bulls are likely going to test the closest resistance at 1.2952 - 1.2964, which could be a departure point for another decline. So, we should keep an eye on support at 1.2913 - 1.2901 as an intraday bearish target.

 

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EUR/USD: WAVE II GOING TO END

09:45 11.05.2017

 

Image20170511124321001.png

 

There's a pullback from 6/8 MM Level, so wave 2 may have been ended in the form of a double zigzag. Therefore, we could have a bearish impulse in wave (i). The main intraday target is 4/8 MM Level.

 

Image20170511124321002.png

 

As we can see on the one-hour chart, there's a bearish impulse in wave i with a triangle in wave [4]. Also, we've got a pullback from 4/8 MM Level, so bulls are likely going to deliver wave ii, which could take the form of a zigzag. If a pullback from 5/8 MM Level happens afterwards, bears will try to break the last low.

 

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Key option levels for Thursday, May 11th

11/05/2017

 

If you have any questions or requests fill out the feedback form.

 

EUR/USD

 

EURUSD(179).png

 

 

Main trend Short-term period Medium-term period

Bullish Neutral

Changes in the open interest + 69 735 ↑ + 81 101 ↑

Closest resistance levels 1.0887; 1.0908; 1.0936; 1.0981

Closest support levels 1.0864; 1.0837; 1.0800; 1.0745

Trading recommendations

Baseline scenario Long EUR/USD above 1.0887, with target points at 1.0908 and 1.0936

Alternative scenario Moving below 1.0864 can be considered as a signal to Sell the pair, with target at 1.0837 and 1.0800

 

 

AUD/USD

 

AUDUSD(22).png

 

 

Main trend Short-term period Medium-term period

Bullish Bearish

Changes in the open interest + 733 ↑ + 175 ↑

Closest resistance levels 0.7360; 0.7400; 0.7446; 0.7479

Closest support levels 0.7341; 0.7312; 0.7288; 0.7258

Trading recommendations

Baseline scenario Long AUD/USD above 0.7360, with the target points at 0.7400 and 0.7446

Alternative scenario Moving below 0.7341 can be considered as a signal to Sell the pair, with target at 0.7312 and 0.7288

 

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EUR/USD: LOWER "WINDOW" WAITING FOR BEARS

13:46 11.05.2017

 

1105eurusdh4.png

 

There's resistance by the "Window", but the 55 Moving Average is acting as support. Also, we don't have any reversal pattern so far, which means bears are going to test the next "Window" in the short term.

 

1105eurusdh1.png

 

The 34 Moving Average is acting as resistance, so we've got a bearish "Engulfing" on this line. However, confirmation of this pattern is a quite weak, so the 34 MA could be tested once again. Meanwhile, there's an opportunity to have a new low soon.

 

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USD/JPY: BEARISH "TOWER"

14:19 11.05.2017

 

1494512213-0200c724b174af83323cc3f41755d

 

 

We've got a local bearish correction inside the main bullish trend. Considering the last "Engulfing" pattern, the market is likely going to test the 21 Moving Average, which could be a departure point for another upward price movement towards the next "Window".

 

1494512247-361a6b018cf9380dcc2736998d81c

 

There's a "Tower' pattern, which led to the current decline. The price has reached the 34 Moving Average, so we could have a local bullish correction. Nevertheless, bears are likely going to continue pushing the price even lower.

 

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GBP/JPY REVERSED FROM RESISTANCE ZONE

16:52 11.05.2017

 

GBP/JPY reversed from resistance zone

Next sell target - 144.60

GBP/JPY recently reversed down from the powerful resistance zone lying between the multi-month resistance level 148.60 (which stopped the previous primary ABC correction ② in December, as can be seen from the daily GBP/JPY chart below), upper daily Bollinger Band and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the sharp downward impulse from last July.

 

GBP/JPY is expected to fall to the next sell target at the next support level 144.60 (previous resistance level from January, acting as support now after it was broke earlier).

 

53szP6aRk.png

 

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EUR/AUD REVERSED FROM KEY RESISTANCE LEVEL 1.4900

16:54 11.05.2017

 

EUR/AUD reversed from key resistance level 1.4900

Next sell target - 1.4650

EUR/AUD has been falling in the last few trading sessions after the earlier sharp downward reversal from the key resistance level 1.4900 (which stopped the previous minor corrective wave B in November, as can be seen from the daily EUR/AUD chart below). The downward reversal from the resistance level 1.4900 created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Shooting Star Doji.

 

Wit the daily Stochastic indicator still moving in the overbought area - EUR/AUD is expected to fall to the next sell target at the next support level 1.4650 (former resistance level which stopped the previous impulse wave 3 in April).

 

vlZ08NJw.png

 

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EUR/USD: EURO ENTERED INTO CLOUD

05:21 12.05.2017

 

Technical levels: support – 1.0820; resistance – 1.0940, 1.0980.

 

Trade recommendations:

 

Buy — 1.0820; SL — 1.0800; TP1 — 1.0940; TP2 – 1.0980.

Reason: narrowing bullish Ichimoku Cloud with falling Senkou Span A; a dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, but horizontal Tenkan-sen; the prices are entered into the cloudy area and would be supported by Senkou Span B.

 

1494566423-5974574d0f06c411e972e24d898d2

 

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GBP/USD: POUND RETURNED TO CLOUD

05:22 12.05.2017

 

Technical levels: support – 1.2850; resistance – 1.2915, 1.2950.

 

Trade recommendations:

 

Sell — 1.2900; SL — 1.2920; TP1 — 1.2810; TP2 — 1.2710.

Reason: narrowing bullish Ichimoku Cloud, falling Senkou Span A; a new dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen; the prices are entered into the Cloud and under the resistance of Senkou Span A.

 

1494566549-5838ef800660551113de2aff99712

 

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EUR/USD: BEARS READY TO GO

07:33 12.05.2017

 

1494574268-6849c7f6f97e06cd9174cf59a727c

 

The price is consolidating between the 34 & 55 Moving Averages. Considering the last "Triple Top" pattern, the market is likely going to test the nearest support at 1.0819 - 1.0729, which was formed by the "Breakaway Gap". If a pullback from this area happens, we could have a bullish price movement towards resistance at 1.0851.

 

1494574287-56d00b0597dc411b7db70a2c254a0

 

We've got a consolidation, which is taking place under the Moving Averages. Also, there's a bullish "Thorn", so the pair is likely going to achieve the nearest resistance at 1.0892, which could be a departure point for a decline in the direction of support at 1.0838 - 1.0819.

 

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GBP/USD: BEARISH "PENNANT"

07:38 12.05.2017

 

1494574608-3e3c0ffee87c1534d2b1ff65b96af

 

The 55 Moving Average is acting as a support. Also, there's a "V-Bottom", so the price is consolidating. In this case, bears are likely going to test support at 1.2865 in the short term. If we see a pullback from this level, bulls will probably try to test the 34 Moving Average.

 

1494574630-5b6ef05e3c0f5b0857caea281b527

 

We've got a bearish "Pennant", so the market is likely going to achieve the closest support at 1.2830 - 1.2865. However, if a pullback from this area happens, there'll be an opportunity to have an upward price movement towards resistance at 1.2863 - 1.2883.

 

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EUR/USD: BULLISH "HAMMER"

12:33 12.05.2017

 

1494592310-cdd699f446fe0e57da27c6f36cde3

 

There's strong resistance by the upper "Window". At the same time, we've got a bullish "Harami" at the last low, but confirmation of this pattern is a quite weak. Therefore, the price is likely going to test the "Window" once again. If a pullback from this level happens, we could have a downward price movement towards the nearest support.

 

1494592340-82dfda0d8320eaf1a7bc1b3ff0df4

 

The market is consolidating. However, there's a bullish "Hammer", which has been confirmed. In this case, the price is likely going to rise towards the closest "Window" during the day. Nevertheless, bears will probably try to deliver a new local low afterwards.

 

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USD/JPY: "HAMMER" AND "INVERTED HAMMER"

12:35 12.05.2017

 

1494592340-b9c1c9f99934b25caa463ff52e891

 

We've got a "Hammer" and an "Inverted Hammer" at the local low. So, the price is likely going to test the last high in the short term. If any bearish pattern arrives afterwards, there'll be an opportunity to have a decline towards the Moving Averages.

 

1494592341-43d4bb7da81db6f6c9aa27402b1b4

 

The 55 Moving Average has acted as a support, so we've got an "Inverted Hammer", which has been confirmed enough. Therefore, the pair is likely going to test the upper "Window" in the coming hours.

 

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EUR/USD: BEARISH CORRECTION ON THE WAY

12:49 12.05.2017

 

1494593320-a300ec15762172a0dc167125a1529

 

There's a possible bearish impulse in wave (i), which is in progress. Previously, wave 2 has ended in the form of a double zigzag. Therefore, the market is likely going to continue moving down in wave (i) in the short term.

 

1494593320-fced810e4cdcd5b330a5723abc2fd

 

As we can see on the one-hour chart, the price is rising in wave [C] of ii. The main intraday target is 6/8 MM Level. If a pullback from this line happens, bears are likely going to deliver a downward impulse in wave [1].

 

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AUD/CHF REACHED BUY TARGET 0.7320

12:54 12.05.2017

 

AUD/CHF reached buy target 0.7320

Next buy target - 0.7520

AUD/CHF continues to rise steadily – after the earlier breakout of the resistance level 0.7320, which was set as the buy target in our previous forecast for this currency pair. The breakout of the resistance level 0.7320 accelerated the active minor corrective wave (ii) – which started earlier from the key multi-month support level 0.7270 (which has been reversing the price from last year).

 

AUD/CHF is expected to rise to the next buy target at the next resistance level 0.7520 (previous resistance level, which reversed the price earlier this month).

 

5nVFifCgA.png

 

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AUD/NZD REVERSED FROM POWERFUL SUPPORT ZONE

12:57 12.05.2017

 

AUD/NZD reversed from powerful support zone

Next buy target - 1.0920

AUD/NZD recently reversed up sharply from the powerful support zone lying at the intersection of the pivotal support level 1.0650 (which has been reversing the price from the end of February), lower daily Bollinger Band and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the earlier sharp upward impulse wave ? from January. The upward reversal from this support zone started the active impulse wave ?.

 

AUD/NZD is expected to rise to the next buy target at the next resistance level 1.0920 (which reversed the pair sharply at the end of April).

 

5o2U8ktMQ.png

 

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