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EUR/USD: CONSOLIDATION GOING TO MOVE ON

14:22 04.05.2017

 

0405eurusdh4.png

 

The 21 Moving Average has acted as a support, but we still don’t have any reversal pattern so far. Therefore, the market is likely going to test the nearest resistance once again. If a pullback from this level happens, there’ll be an opportunity to have a decline in the direction of the lower “Window”.

 

0405eurusdh1.png

 

We’ve got a pullback from the 89 Moving Average. However, there’s a bearish “Shooting Star”, but a confirmation of this pattern is a quite weak. In this case, we could have a local downward correction during the day. If a pullback from the Moving Averages happens, bulls will probably try to deliver a new local high.

 

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USD/JPY: BULLS GOING TO PUSH PRICE HIGHER

14:29 04.05.2017

 

0405usdjpyH4.png

 

The price is still rising, so bulls have broken the nearest “Window”. Considering that there isn’t any reversal pattern so far, the price is likely going to climb even higher. However, if a pullback from the next resistance happens, there’ll be a chance to have a bearish correction.

 

0405usdjpyH1.png

 

The last reversal patterns haven’t been confirmed yet. The main intraday target is the upper “Window”, which could be a departure point for a local correction towards the Moving Averages.

 

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EUR/USD: BEARISH CORRECTION JUST AROUND THE CORNER

14:52 04.05.2017

 

Image20170504174914001.png

 

Wave (iii) is going to end soon. If a pullback from the upper side of the current ending diagonal happens, there’ll be time for correction. The main target for wave (iv) is 5/8 MM Level, which could be a departure point for another bullish wave.

 

Image20170504174914002.png

 

As we can see on the one-hour chart, there’s a triangle in wave , so the price is rising in wave [C]. At the same time, wave a or w is likely going to start in the short term. In this case, we should keep an eye on 6/8 MM Level as an intraday target.

 

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AUD/USD BROKE SUPPORT ZONE

16:11 04.05.2017

 

AUD/USD broke support zone

Next sell target - 0.7320

AUD/USD continues to fall after the earlier strong breakout of the important support zone lying at the intersection of the support level 0.7450 and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the previous intermediate ABC correction (2) from the end of December, as can be seen below. The breakout of this support zone accelerated the active minor impulse wave 3- which belongs to the intermediate downward impulse (3) from the middle of March.

 

AUD/USD is expected to fall to the next sell target at the next support level 0.7320 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 3).

 

2gZud74hr.png

 

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EUR/AUD BROKE PIVOTAL RESISTANCE LEVEL 1.4650

16:12 04.05.2017

 

EUR/AUD broke pivotal resistance level 1.4650

Next buy target - 1.4900

EUR/AUD continues to rise inside the sharp minor impulse wave 3 - which previously broke the pivotal resistance level 1.4650 (which stopped earlier waves (4) and (i), as can be seen from the daily EUR/AUD chart below). The breakout of the resistance level 1.4650 accelerated the active minor impulse wave 3, which belongs to the sharp intermediate ©-wave from the end of March.

 

EUR/AUD is expected to rise further in the direction of the next buy target at the next resistance level 1.4900 (which stopped the previous minor B-wave in last November).

 

2h5nuo1o9.png

 

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EUR/USD: EURO MADE NEW LOCAL HIGHS

05:15 08.05.2017

 

Technical levels: support – 1.0960; resistance – 1.1000, 1.1070.

 

Trade recommendations:

 

1. Buy — 1.0960; SL — 1.0940; TP1 — 1.1000; TP2 – 1.1070.

 

Reason: expanding bullish Ichimoku Cloud, rising Senkou Span A and B; a new golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, rising Tenkan-sen; the prices are on the support of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen.

 

3G1Jj1h08.png

 


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AUD/USD: AUSSIE ENTERED TO CHANNEL TENKAN-KIJUN

05:17 08.05.2017

 

Technical levels: support – 0.7400; resistance – 0.7450.

 

Trade recommendations:

 

1. Buy — 0.7400; SL — 0.7380; TP1 — 0.7450.

 

2. Sell — 0.7450; SL — 0.7460; TP1 — 0.7380; TP2 — 0.7340.

 

Reason: expanding bearish Ichimoku Cloud, falling Senkou Span A; a dead cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen with falling Kijun-sen; the prices are entered into the channel Tenkan-Kijun and supported by Tenkan-sen.

 

3G4pu8cQa.png

 

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EUR/USD: BULLS CAN GO HIGHER

08:04 08.05.2017

 

8-5-2017-EUR-H4.png

 

The price is still consolidating under the main downtrend. However, bulls are likely going to test the nearest resistance at 1.1025 in the short term. If a pullback from this level happens, there'll be an opportunity to have a decline towards support at 1.0951 - 1.0933.

 

8-5-2017-EUR-H1.png

 

There's a consolidation, which is taking place on the one-hour chart. The main intraday target is resistance at 1.1025, which could be a departure point for a bearish price movement in the direction of a support area between the levels at 1.0969 - 1.0951.

 

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GBP/USD: RESISTANCE WAITING FOR BULLS

08:07 08.05.2017

 

8-5-2017-GBP-H4.png

 

There's a possible "V-Bottom" pattern, so the market is likely going to rise towards resistance at 1.3023. At the same time, there's an opportunity to have a downward correction later on, so we should keep an eye on support at 1.2945 as an intraday target.

 

8-5-2017-GBP-H1.png

 

The pair is consolidating between resistance at 1.2995 and support at 1.2945. Nevertheless, bulls are likely going to test the closest resistance at 1.2995 - 1.3023. If a pullback from this area happens, we could have a decline in the direction of support at 1.2952 - 1.2935.

 

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EUR/USD: "WINDOW" STILL ON THE TABLE

11:43 08.05.2017

 

0805eurusdh4.png

 

 

The main trend is still bullish, cause we've got a pullback from the lower "Window". However, there's a bearish "Engulfing", which has been confirmed enough. So, the market is likely going to get support on the 34 Moving Average, which could be a departure point for another upward price movement towards the upper "Window".

 

0805eurusdh1.png

 

There's a bearish "Hanging Man", so the price is likely going to test the nearest support during the day. If a pullback from this level happens, bulls will probably try to deliver a new local high.

 

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USD/JPY: "HAMMER" ON MOVING AVERAGE

11:52 08.05.2017

 

0805usdjpyH4.png

 

There's a correction, which is taking place around the "Window". Also, there's a bullish "Hammer", which has been confirmed. If the 21 Moving Average acts as a support, bulls are likely going to break the last high.

 

0805usdjpyH1.png

 

The 34 Moving Average is acting as a support, so we've got a "Hammer" on this line. If this pattern confirms, the market is likely going to test the upper "Window" once again. However, if we see a pullback from this level, bears will have a chance to achieve the closest support area.

 

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USD/CHF REVERSED FROM SUPPORT ZONE

16:14 08.05.2017

 

USD/CHF reversed from support zone

Next buy target - 1.0100

USD/CHF recently reversed up from the support zone lying between the pivotal support level 0.9880 (which stopped the previous sharp downward waves (A) and © - as can be seen from the daily USD/CHF chart below) and the lower daily Bollinger Band. If the pair closes today near the current levels it will form the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Morning Star.

 

Given the strength of the support level 0.9880 - USD/CHF is expected to rise to the next buy target at the next resistance level 1.0100 (top of the previous intermediate impulse wave (1)).

 

3R9lRyiYD.png

 

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EUR/CHF BROKE KEY RESISTANCE LEVEL 1.0900

16:15 08.05.2017

 

EUR/CHF broke key resistance level 1.0900

Next buy target - 1.0976

EUR/CHF has been rising sharply in the last few trading sessions inside the minor impulse wave (iii) – which started earlier from the support level (former strong resistance level from March, acting as support fare it was broken previously). The pair today broke above the key resistance level 1.0900 (top of the earlier sharp B-wave from December). 

 

3RhPcS0Va.png

 

If the pair closes today above resistance level 1.0900 - EUR/CHF can then be expected to rise to the next buy target at the next resistance level 1.0975 (former strong resistance from September and the target price calculated for the completion of the active impulse wave 3).

 

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EUR/USD: LOCAL BULLISH IMPULSE

17:07 08.05.2017

 

Image20170508200324001.png

 

There's wave 2, which is taking the form of a double zigzag. Also, we've got a zigzag in wave [y], so wave © is likely going to be continued. The main intraday target is 7/8 MM Level.

 

Image201705082003240021.png

 

As you can see on the one-hour chart, there's a possible flat pattern in wave ii. So, bulls are likely going to deliver another upward impulse in wave iii of © in the coming hours.

 

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EUR/USD: "TRIPLE TOP" STOPPED BULLS

08:10 09.05.2017

 

9-5-2017-EUR-H4.png

 

We've got a "Triple Top", so there's a correction, which is taking place on the four-hours chart. Therefore, the market is likely going to decline towards support at 1.0874 - 1.0851. If a pullback from this area happens, there'll be an opportunity to have an upward price movement in the direction of resistance 1.0905 - 1.0910.

 

9-5-2017-EUR-H1.png

 

 

The last "Pennant" has been broken, so bears faced support at 1.0905. In this case, bulls are likely going to test resistance at 1.0936, which could be a departure point for another decline towards support at 1.0874.

 

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GBP/USD: BEARISH "FLAG"

08:14 09.05.2017

 

9-5-2017-GBP-H4.png

 

Bulls faced resistance at 1.2995, so we've got a "Double Top" pattern, which has been confirmed. Therefore, the pair is likely going to test the 34 Moving Average. If a pullback from this line happens, bulls will probably try to test resistance at 1.2945 - 1.2964.

 

9-5-2017-GBP-H1.png

 

We've got a "Double Top" pattern, which has been confirmed by the last "Flag". The 55 Moving Average acted as support, so bulls are likely going to test resistance at 1.2955 - 1.2964 during the day. Considering a possible pullback from this area, we could have a decline towards support at 1.2913 - 1.2900 afterwards.

 

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Key option levels for Tuesday, May 9th

9/5/2017

 

If you have any questions or requests fill out the feedback form.

 

EUR/USD

 

EURUSD(177).png

 

 

Main trend Short-term period Medium-term period

Bearish Neutral

Changes in the open interest - 681 ↓ + 32 459 ↑

Closest resistance levels 1.0955; 1.0991; 1.1024; 1.1047

Closest support levels 1.0923; 1.0880; 1.0857; 1.0830

Trading recommendations

Baseline scenario Short EUR/USD from 1.0923 (Sell Limit), with target points at 1.0880 and 1.0857

Alternative scenario Moving above 1.0955 can be considered as a signal to Buy the pair, with target at 1.0991 and 1.1024

 

 

USD/JPY

 

USDJPY(115).png

 

 

Main trend Short-term period Medium-term period

Bearish Neutral

Changes in the open interest - 88 ↓ + 510 ↑

Closest resistance levels 113.69; 113.97; 114.34; 114.76

Closest support levels 113.30; 112.88; 112.57; 112.21

Trading recommendations

Baseline scenario Short USD/JPY below 113.30, with target points at 112.88 and 112.57

Alternative scenario Moving above 113.69 can be considered as a signal to Buy the pair, with target at 113.97 and 114.34

 

 

USD/CAD

 

USDCAD(146).png

 

 

Main trend Short-term period Medium-term period

Bearish Neutral

Changes in the open interest + 11 ↑ + 312 ↑

Closest resistance levels 1.3701; 1.3731; 1.3761; 1.3803

Closest support levels 1.3686; 1.3644; 1.3618; 1.3583

Trading recommendations

Baseline scenario Short USD/CAD below 1.3686, with the target points at 1.3644 and 1.3618

Alternative scenario Moving above 1.3701 can be considered as a signal to Buy the pair, with target at 1.3731 and 1.3761

 

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EUR/USD: BEARS GOING TO TEST NEXT "WINDOW"

14:10 09.05.2017

 

0905eurusdh4.png

 

Bears have reached the lower "Window", so if any bullish pattern arrives, there'll be an opportunity to have a local upward correction. However, we could have a decline towards the 55 Moving Average afterwards.

 

0905eurusdh1.png

 

The price has been falling since a "Hanging Man" formed at the last high. At the same time, we're likely going to have an upward correction towards the nearest "Window", which could be a departure point for another decline.

 

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USD/JPY: BULLISH "THREE METHODS"

14:13 09.05.2017

 

0905usdjpyH4.png

 

We've got a "Three Methods" pattern, which has been confirmed. In this case, the market is likely going to continue moving up in the direction of the next resistance level.

 

0905usdjpyH1.png

 

There isn't any reversal pattern so far, which means bulls are likely going to continue pushing the price even higher. If a pullback from the upper "Window" is on the table, there'll be an option to have a bearish correction.

 

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USD/JPY BROKE DAILY DOWN CHANNEL

16:17 09.05.2017

 

USD/JPY broke daily down channel

Next buy target - 115.40

 

USD/JPY has been rising sharply in the last few trading sessions inside the intermediate impulse wave (3) - which belongs to the long-term upward impulse wave ③ from April. The price earlier broke the resistance trendline of the daily down channel from December – which accelerated the active impulse waves (3) and ③.

 

USD/JPY is expected to rise to the next buy target at the next resistance level 115.40 (former top of the earlier (B)-wave of the primary ABC correction ② from December, which was enclosed by the aforementioned down channel).

 

4fQII6ZNq.png

 

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GBP/CHF BROKE PIVOTAL RESISTANCE LEVEL 1.2890

16:19 09.05.2017

 

GBP/CHF broke pivotal resistance level 1.2890

Next buy target - 1.3120

GBP/CHF continues to rise inside the minor impulse wave (v) – which belongs to the impulse 3 from the middle of March. The price earlier broke above the pivotal resistance level 1.2890 (which stopped the previous waves (A), ii and (i), as can be seen from the daily GBP/CHF chart below). The breakout of this resistance level intensified the bullish pressure on this currency pair.

 

GBP/CHF is expected to rise to the next buy target at the next resistance level 1.3120 (top of the previous intermediate correction (B) from September and the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 3).

 

qmYTFwyi.png

 

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USD/CAD: LOONIE WENT TO SWEET ZONE

07:27 10.05.2017

Recommendation: 

 

SELL 1.3650 

SL 1.3705

TP1 1.3525, TP2 1.3370 

On the daily chart, USD/CAD reached 127.2% target of the inverted "butterfly" pattern. At the present time, the quotes are in the Sweet Zone of the "Wolfe Waves" pattern. A movement to the downside is possible from this area.

 

Screenshot_2017_05_10_07_27_47.png

 

On H1 USD/CAD keeps forming reversal 1-2-3 pattern. Together with the "3 Indians" pattern, it forms the powerful bearish combo. The lower border of the uptrend may be simultaneously breached. This is a selling signal, which points at 161.8% target of the "Crab" pattern.

 

Screenshot_2017_05_10_07_28_04.png

 

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USD/JPY: BULLS WILL MAKE A STOP

07:36 10.05.2017

Recommendation

 

BUY 112.85, SL 112.30, TP 114.00

BUY 111.85, SL 111.3, TP 114.00. 

On the daily USD/JPY chart, the pair ran into the convergence area of 114-114.55 (23.8% of the long-term bullish wave – 61.8% of the descending medium-term wave). This together with the realization of the interim target of 78.6% of the inverted "Shark" pattern creates the potential for the short-term correction.  

 

Screenshot_2017_05_10_07_27_11.png

 

On H1, USD/JPY wasn't able to overcome resistance at 113.93 (78.6% of the last descending wave) that points at the weakness of bulls. The pair may now return to support at 112.85 and 111.85.

 

Screenshot_2017_05_10_07_27_28.png

 

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EUR/USD: BEARS BROKE LOCAL TREND

07:49 10.05.2017

 

10-5-2017-EUR-H4.png

 

The price is still declining, but bears faced support on the 55 Moving Average. Nevertheless, the market is likely going to reach the next support at 1.0851, which could be a departure point for an upward movement in the direction of resistance at 1.0905 - 1.0910.

 

10-5-2017-EUR-H1.png

 

There's a local "V-Bottom", so the price is consolidating. In this case, bulls are likely going to achieve the 89 Moving Average in the coming hours. If a pullback from this line happens, bears will probably try to reach support at 1.0851.

 

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