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Forex Analytics

Danske Bank: trade signals for October 21

 

Open positions:*

 

EUR/USD: Hold LONG at 1.1350, TAKE PROFIT 1.1495, STOP LOSS 1.1290

 

USD/JPY: Hold LONG at 119.60, TAKE PROFIT 120.57, STOP LOSS 119.12

 

USD/CHF: Hold SHORT at 0.9540, TAKE PROFIT 0.9302, STOP LOSS 0.9601 (revised)

 

AUD/USD: Hold LONG at 0.7218, TAKE PROFIT 0.7497, STOP LOSS 0.7195

 

USD/CAD: Hold LONG at 1.2970, TAKE PROFIT 1.3177, STOP LOSS 1.2870

 

EUR/JPY: Hold SHORT at 136.22, TAKE PROFIT 133.99, STOP LOSS 136.76

 

EUR/GBP: Hold SHORT at 0.7335, TAKE PROFIT 0.7197, STOP LOSS 0.7400

 

EUR/CAD: Hold SHORT at 1.4715, TAKE PROFIT 1.4387, STOP LOSS 1.4855

 

GBP/JPY: Hold LONG at 183.20, TAKE PROFIT 187.37, STOP LOSS 183.45

 

NZD/USD: Hold LONG at 0.6745, TAKE PROFIT 0.6937, STOP LOSS 0.6680

 

Trade ideas:

 

GBP/USD: BUY at 1.5405, TAKE PROFIT 1.5659, STOP LOSS 1.5315

 

EUR/CHF: SELL at 1.0865, TAKE PROFIT 1.0713, STOP LOSS 1.0925

 

_____________________________________________________________

 

*Danske Bank applies trailing stop orders (moved together with the price)

 

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Forex Analytics

Trading plan for October 22

 

By Kira Iukhtenko

[Video]
[/Video]

 

All the commodity assets traded under pressure on Wednesday. Brent price slipped below 48 dollars per barrel, approaching the local 47 support (September lows). Meanwhile, Bank of Canada left monetary policy unchanged, but lowered economic projections for 2015-2017. As a result, USD/CAD jumped, reaching our recent target at 1.3060. The inverse head-and-shoulders pattern on the H4 chart was confirmed. We recommend going LONG on pullbacks to 1.3070.

 

AUD/USD is currently trading in a short-term bearish channel and approached the 0.7200 support. Go SHORT on a break below 0.7200 targeting 0.7160 initially or sell the Aussie on highs if they happen. We stay bearish below 0.7350.

 

The ECB meeting is the key event to watch on Thursday. We expect to hear dovish comments from the ECB president Mari Draghi, paving the ground for more QE in December. EUR/USD is forecasted to break out from the current sideways channel tomorrow. SELL the pair from 1.1330 targeting 1.1250 initially.

 

GBP/USD is also trading in a flat range these days. We still expect the cable to undertake another push higher, targeting 1.5580. However, do not go LONG before the pair fixes above 1.5500 on the daily chart. UK retail sales are expected to render some support to the pair tomorrow. 

 

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Posted
Forex Analytics

GBP/AUD: buy target - 2.1600

22 October 2015

By: Dmitriy Chernovolov

 


GBP/AUD reached buy target 2.1400

Next buy target - 2.1600


GBP/AUD continues to rise after the price recently broke above the resistance level 2.1400, which was set in our previous forecast as the buy target for this currency pair. The breakout of this resistance level is likely to accelerate the active intermediate impulse wave (5) – which started earlier this month, when the pair reversed up with the daily Morning Star reversal pattern from the strong support level 2.0860 (as you can see below).

 

GBP/AUD is expected to rise further in the active waves 1 and (5) toward the next buy target at the resistance level 2.1600 (standing close to the breakout level of the previous daily up channel from May).

GBPAUD%20-%20Primary%20Analysis%20-%20Oc

 

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Posted
Forex Analytics

AUD/USD: sell target - 0.7100

22 October 2015

By: Dmitriy Chernovolov

 


AUD/USD falling inside intermediate impulse wave (5)

Next sell target - 0.7100


AUD/USD recently reversed down sharply from the resistance level 0.7400, which was set as the buy target in our previous forecast for this currency pair. The resistance zone near the resistance level 0.7400 was strengthened by the upper daily Bollinger Band, 50% Fibonacci Correction of the previous sharp downward impulse wave 3 from June and by the upper resistance trendline of the daily up channel from the start of September (which has enclosed the previous ABC wave (4)).

 

AUD/USD is likely to fall further in the active intermediate impulse wave (5) toward the next sell target at the support level 0.7100.

AUDUSD%20-%20Primary%20Analysis%20-%20Oc

 

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Posted
Forex Analytics

Danske Bank: trade signals for October 22

 

Open positions:*

 

EUR/USD: Hold LONG at 1.1350, TAKE PROFIT 1.1495, STOP LOSS 1.1290

 

USD/JPY: Hold LONG at 119.60, TAKE PROFIT 120.57, STOP LOSS 119.12

 

USD/CAD: Hold LONG at 1.2970, TAKE PROFIT 1.3177, STOP LOSS 1.2870

 

EUR/JPY: Hold SHORT at 136.22, TAKE PROFIT 133.99, STOP LOSS 136.76

 

EUR/GBP: Hold SHORT at 0.7335, TAKE PROFIT 0.7197, STOP LOSS 0.7400

 

GBP/JPY: Hold LONG at 183.20, TAKE PROFIT 187.37, STOP LOSS 183.45

 

NZD/USD: Hold LONG at 0.6745, TAKE PROFIT 0.6937, STOP LOSS 0.6680

 

EUR/CHF: Hold SHORT at 1.0865, TAKE PROFIT 1.0713, STOP LOSS 1.0895

 

Trade ideas:

 

USD/CHF: BUY at 0.9535, TAKE PROFIT 0.9676, STOP LOSS 0.9473 (revised)

 

GBP/USD: Possibly BUY

 

EUR/CAD: Possibly BUY

 

_____________________________________________________________

 

*Danske Bank applies trailing stop orders (moved together with the price)

 

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Posted
Forex Analytics

Forex trading plan for October 23

 

By Elizabeth Belugina

 

[Video]
[/Video]

 

The euro slumped on dovish comments of the ECB’s president Mario Draghi on Thursday. Draghi said that the ECB would keep conducting quantitative easing (QE) until September 2016 or longer if necessary. According to Draghi, there is no shortage of the bonds for the ECB to buy. The main bearish statement, which gave such force to the bears, was that the central bank discussed the possibility of the deposit rate cut at its meeting. EUR/USD found some support at 1.1170 (100-day MA). The trend line support since August was breached and now acts as strong resistance in the 1.1250 area. We recommend selling the euro on the pullbacks up. Further support is at 1.1125 and 1.1100 ahead of 1.1015. The euro zone’s flash October manufacturing and services PMIs will be released on Friday (07:00-08:00 GMT). The forecasts project a slight decline in readings.

 

Also note, that the US dollar was strong not only versus the euro, but also against British pound and Japanese yen, as American unemployment claims were at their best readings since 2000. GBP/USD tried to rise above 1.5500 on bright national data: UK retail sales jumped by 1.9% in September (forecast: +0.3%), though August change was revised down to -0.4%. However, after the US data releases cable fell to 1.5400. A close below this level will significantly reduce the possibility of the break to the upside. Focus is on 1.5380 and 1.5330 (200-day MA) on the downside.

 

USD/JPY rose above 120.00, but is going to face a very serious resistance in the 120.90/121.00 zone. Support is at 120.00 and 119.60. AUD/USD was holding above an important support at 0.7200 as the ECB meeting improved the market’s risk sentiment. However, the pull back up may be limited by resistance at 0.7280/0.7300.

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Posted
Forex Analytics

EUR/AUD: sell targets - 1.5200 and 1.5100

23 October 2015

By: Dmitriy Chernovolov

 


EUR/AUD broke support levels 1.5430 and 1.5320

Next sell targets - 1.5200 and 1.5100 


EUR/AUD continues to fall strongly inside the active minor impulse wave 3 (which recently reversed down twice from the resistance zone lying between resistance level 1.5800 and 38.2% Fibonacci Correction of the previous downward price move from August). This impulse wave then broke the support levels 1.5430 (which reversed the price earlier this month) and 1.5320. The breakout of these support levels was preceded by the breakout of the support trendline of the daily up channel from April – which intensified the bearish pressure on this currency pair.

 

EUR/AUD is likely to fall further in the accelerated downward impulse wave 3 toward the next sell targets at the support levels 1.5200 and 1.5100.

EURAUD%20-%20Primary%20Analysis%20-%20Oc

 

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Posted
Forex Analytics

NZD/CHF: buy target - 0.6800

23 October 2015

By: Dmitriy Chernovolov

 


NZD/CHF broke pivotal resistance level 0.6500

Next buy target - 0.6800


NZD/CHF recently broke sharply above the pivotal resistance level 0.6500 (which reversed the previous minor correction (iv) in August, as you can see below). The breakout of this resistance level was preceded by the breakout of the 38.2% Fibonacci Correction of the earlier sharp downward impulse wave from April. The breakout of these resistance levels greatly accelerated the active ©-wave, which belongs to the minor ABC correction 2 from the end of August.

 

NZD/CHF is likely to rise further in the active waves © and 2 toward the next buy target at the resistance level 0.6800 (previous strong support level, which reversed the pair multiple times in May).

NZDCHF%20-%20Primary%20Analysis%20-%20Oc

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Posted
Forex Analytics

US Dollar: forecast for October 25-30

23 October 2015

By Kira Iukhtenko

 

Last week the US dollar has recovered some ground after the ECB meeting on Thursday. Dovish Mario Draghi’s comments pushed the US Dollar index to the resistance of the “autumn” sideways channel at 96.50. It is too early to predict a longer term recovery, though. Break above 97 points is needed to confirm the bullish reversal.

 

Economic calendar for the new week is full of important releases. The Fed will announce its interest rate decision on Wednesday, while on Thursday we’ll watch the Q3 GDP. PCE index and employment cost index are to be released on Friday.

 

We do not expect these macro data to change the flat trend in USD. According to the futures market, the chance for a rate hike in October is less than 6%. Press conference will be organized only if a policy change takes place.

 

Q3 GBP is forecasted to slow down from 3.9% to about 1.5% on the back of the weaker external demand for the US goods. The only bearish risk for the greenback this week is the quarterly Employment Cost Index – a recovery from a record low of 0.2% would be an upbeat signal for the Fed in December. 

 

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Posted
Forex Analytics

Danske Bank: trade signals for October 23

 

Open positions:

 

AUD/USD: Hold SHORT at 0.7217, TAKE PROFIT 0.7002, STOP LOSS 0.7312

 

USD/CAD: Hold LONG at 1.2970, TAKE PROFIT 1.3218, STOP LOSS 1.2930

 

EUR/GBP: Hold SHORT at 0.7335, TAKE PROFIT 0.7197, STOP LOSS 0.7335 (revised)

 

GBP/JPY: Hold LONG at 183.20, TAKE PROFIT 188.31, STOP LOSS 184.41

 

NZD/USD: Hold LONG at 0.6745, TAKE PROFIT 0.6937, STOP LOSS 0.6680

 

Trade ideas:

 

GBP/USD: SELL at 1.5420, TAKE PROFIT 1.5201, STOP LOSS .5525

 

EUR/CAD: SELL AT 1.4640, TAKE PROFIT 1.4387, STOP LOSS 1.4750

 

EUR/USD: Possibly SELL at 1.1180/85

 

USD/JPY: Possibly BUY at 120.35/25

 

USD/CHF: Possibly BUY

 

EUR/JPY: Possibly SELL

 

EUR/CHF: Possibly SELL

 

______________________________________________________________

 

*Danske Bank applies trailing stop orders (moved together with the price)

 

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Posted
Forex Analytics

GBP/USD: forecast for October 26-30

 

By Kira Iukhtenko

 

GBP/USD failed to overcome the 1.5500 resistance on the past week. This is the trend line, connecting August and September highs. Support 1.5410 was broken after the dovish ECB meeting on Thursday. This move negated our bullish forecast for the cable.

 

Break below the 1.5360 support will open the way to 1.5330 (trend support, yellow line on the chart). Break below this mark would confirm a reversal chart pattern. Our medium-term bearish targets will then move to 1.5000.

 

Watch the UK Q3 GDP data on Tuesday – this is the major release in Great Britain this week. Economic growth could have slowed a little. You should also pay attention to the FOMC meeting results on Wednesday and to the US GDP on Thursday. These releases will set the new reality for the cable.

GBPUSDDaily1.png

 

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Posted
Forex Analytics

EUR/USD: forecast for October 26-30

 

By Elizabeth Belugina

 

EUR/USD fell below 1.1100 in the past week. The pair was hit both by the negative news from the euro area and revival of the market’s demand for the US dollars.

 

The European Central Bank’s President Mario Draghi said that the regulator is open to increasing monetary stimulus and even discussed the possibility of the deposit rate cut. Although Draghi only suggested policy easing in December, the market got wild about it. The decline of the euro, which followed Draghi’s comments, was the biggest since the ECB announced quantitative easing (QE) in January.

 

Next week pay attention to German Ifo business climate index on Monday and flash inflation figures on Friday, as well as at the results of the Federal Reserve’s meeting on Wednesday.

 

From the technical point of view, the euro reached the lower border of the ‘flag’ formation formed after the long-term downtrend. As the flag is a continuation pattern, the single currency now looks very vulnerable for downside. There is scope for an increase in the short positions on the euro.

 

Support levels are 1.1070, 1.1015 and 1.0800. We believe that EUR/USD might need some further catalysts to continue its decent from the current levels like positive US data surprises, more hawkish Fed, weak euro zone’s economic readings. Anyhow, we don’t recommend to buy the euro as the ECB made it clear that it wants weaker currency. We believe that the sellers will materialize around resistance located at 1.1170 and 1.1250. A break below 1.1050 will be also a reason for careful new shorts.

EURUSDWeekly.png

Weekly EUR/USD


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Posted
Forex Analytics

USD/JPY: forecast for October 26-30

 

By Elizabeth Belugina

 

USD/JPY rose to the upper border of its September-October trading range in the 121.00 area.

 

Dovish comments from the European Central Bank’s Mario Draghi improved the market’s risk sentiment, and demand for the yen as a safe haven declined. In addition, after the ECB hinted at possibility of policy easing in December, the expectations of the additional monetary stimulus from the Bank of Japan (BOJ) have significantly increased.

 

The Bank of Japan will meet on Friday. The meeting will be accompanied by the release of the updated economic and inflation forecasts. So far, Japanese officials have been constantly repeating that there is no need for more easing from the BOJ. Still, remembering the central bank’s surprise move of 2014, the market doesn’t believe these denials.

 

The market will have to wait until of the end of the next week to find out where the BOJ is standing. Until then Japan will release retail sales on Wednesday, industrial production on Thursday and inflation earlier on Friday. Low inflation is the main argument for the Bank of Japan to ease policy. According to the forecasts, Japan’s core inflation probably slipped for a second month in September, while factory output fell for a third month in a row. However, oil prices are now more stable than in the autumn of 2014 and the nation’s labor market is in a rather good shape. This is why the central bank may stay on hold.

 

The Federal Reserve’s meeting on Wednesday will surely have a significant impact on the pair, though the further trend will depend mostly on the Bank of Japan’s decision. Additional stimulus will make USD/JPY skyrocket to 123.00 and higher. Other resistance levels are at 121.76/80, 122.00 and 122.50. If those who expects increase in stimulus get disappointed, the pair will drop, but 117.00 (long-term uptrend support) should limit the decline. Other support levels include 120.00, 119.60 and 118.80.

USDJPYDaily.png

Daily USD/JPY


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Posted
Forex Analytics

Forex trading plan for October 27

 

By Elizabeth Belugina

 

US dollar significantly strengthened during the last week as the ECB gave dovish comments, while the People’s Bank of China reduced interest rates. This week traders are waiting for the results of the Federal Reserve’s meeting on Wednesday (though the rate hike is not expected) and American GDP on Thursday. Demand for USD will likely temper. New home sales released on Monday were a negative surprise. The US will release durable goods orders figures at 12:30 GMT on Tuesday (some improvement after the poor previous release is expected) and consumer confidence index at 14:00 GMT (the forecast is that of a small decline).

 

EUR/USD rose to 1.1050 on Monday, but found resistance there. The markets now expect that the ECB will step up monetary stimulus in December, so any advance in the euro will be limited. German Ifo business climate didn’t impress the market. Resistance is at 1.1100, 1.1140 and 1.1170. Support is at 1.1000, 1.0950 and 1.0900.

 

GBP/USD lowered to support line since the beginning of October. The pair’s trying to fix above the 200-day MA in the 1.5335 area and return to 1.5410/30. Next strong resistance is at 1.5500. Below 1.5300 the sellers will pull the pair down to 1.5200. Next support is at 1.5165. The UK will release preliminary Q3 GDP data at 09:30 GMT. British economic growth is expected to slow down from 0.7% to 0.6%. After a very good retail sales report released last week there’s a chance of positive surprise in British GDP. In this case the pound will strengthen versus other currencies.  

 

USD/JPY rose to 121.50. Support is at 120.70 and 120.35. Resistance is at 121.67/80. USD/JPY is supported by the expectations that the Bank of Japan will ease its policy at the end of the week, but before it actually happens, the idea probably won’t be able to drive the pair much above the resistance of September-October range. Short-term outlook is neutral/negative.

 

AUD/USD is still trying to hold above 0.7200 and raise higher. Friday’s high close to 0.7300 remains a resistance: Chinese easing didn’t get an extremely positive effect on the Aussie. Next resistance is the 100-day MA at 0.7320. Next support is at 0.7167 (55-day MA). The next big risk for Australian dollar is Australia’s inflation data on Wednesday.

 

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Posted
Forex Analytics

CAD/JPY: sell targets - 91.00 and 90.00

27 October 2015

By: Dmitriy Chernovolov

 


CAD/JPY reversed from resistance zone

Next sell targets - 91.00 and 90.00


CAD/JPY continues to fall after the price earlier reversed down from the strong resistance zone lying at the intersection of the resistance level 92.60 (which has been reversing the price for the last few trading days) and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the previous sharp downward impulse wave from the middle of June. The latest two downward reversals from this resistance zone stopped the previous corrections 2 and (2) (as can be seen below).

 

CAD/JPY is likely to fall further in the active impulse waves 3 and (3) (which belong to the primary downward impulse wave ③ from June) toward the next sell targets at the next support levels 91.00 and 90.00.

CADJPY%20-%20Primary%20Analysis%20-%20Oc

 

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Posted
Forex Analytics

USD/CAD: buy target 1.3300

27 October 2015

By: Dmitriy Chernovolov

 


USD/CAD reached buy target 1.3100

Next buy target 1.3300


USD/CAD has been rising strongly in the last few trading sessions - breaking through the resistance level 1.3100, which was set as the buy target in our previous forecast for this currency pair. The breakout of this resistance level accelerated the active minor impulse wave 3 – which started recently – when the price reversed up from support zone surrounding the pivotal support level 1.2850 (as can be seen below).

 

USD/CAD is currently approaching the resistance level 1.3200. If the price breaks this resistance level - USD/CAD can then rise further to the next buy target at the next resistance level1.3300.

USDCAD%20-%20Primary%20Analysis%20-%20Oc

 

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Posted
Forex Analytics

Danske Bank: trade signals for October 27

 

Open positions:*

 

EUR/USD: Hold SHORT at 1.1055, TAKE PROFIT 1.0848, STOP 1.1143

 

USD/JPY: Hold LONG at 120.35, TAKE PROFIT 122.13; STOP AT 119.59

 

GBP/USD: Hold SHORT at 1.5365, TAKE PROFIT 1.5201, STOP LOSS 1.5425

 

AUD/USD: Hold SHORT at 0.7217, TAKE PROFIT 0.7002, STOP LOSS 0.7312

 

USD/CAD: Hold LONG at 1.2970, TAKE PROFIT 1.3218, STOP LOSS 1.3030 (revised)

 

EUR/JPY: Hold SHORT at 134.00, TAKE PROFIT 132.23, STOP LOSS 134.35 (revised)

 

GBP/JPY: Hold LONG at 183.20, TAKE PROFIT 188.31, STOP LOSS 184.41

 

NZD/USD: Hold LONG at 0.6745, TAKE PROFIT 0.6937, STOP LOSS 0.6680

 

Trade ideas:

 

USD/CHF: BUY at 0.9770, TAKE PROFIT 0.9903, STOP LOSS 0.9708

 

EUR/CAD: SELL at 1.4595, TAKE PROFIT 1.4292, STOP LOSS 1.4735

 

EUR/GBP: Possibly SELL

 

EUR/CHF: Possibly BUY

 

_________________________________________________________

 

*Danske Bank applies trailing stop orders (moved together with the price)

 

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Posted
Forex Analytics

Trading plan for October 28

 

By Kira Iukhtenko


[Video]
[/Video]

 

US Dollar has lost some ground at the beginning of the new week. Weak US data (housing, durable goods) and the expectations of the Fed pressure the US currency. The Fed is widely expected to leave interest rates unchanged this time. We’ll be monitoring the Fed’s policy statement – this will launch the further USD trade and define the risk-sentiment. Potential USD pullbacks could be used to go LONG in the medium-term.

 

EUR/USD has found some temporarily support at 1.1100, but we recommend selling the pair if any rallies occur. Next targets are 1.1000 and 1.0820 (medium-term target). Euro zone’s calendar for tomorrow is light, so all eyes will be glued to the Fed.

 

GBP/USD gave up some ground after the UK Q3 GDP release. Economy rose by only 0.5%. Break below 1.5300 confirmed our bearish forecasts and opened the way to 1.5000 in the coming days. We’ll stay bearish below 1.5500.

 

Another event to watch on Wednesday is the RBNZ policy meeting. The regulator is expected to hold rate unchanged at 2.75%. A flag is being constructed on the H4NZD/USD chart. We are ready to SELL below 0.6770.

 

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Posted
Forex Analytics

EURUSD hushed before FOMC

28 October 2015

Tatiana Norkina, FBS analyst

 

EURUSD keeps consolidating in a narrow price range of 1.1020-1.1060, after the past week's collapse. The oversoldness is obvious to prevents bears from increasing pressure, although the four-hour technical picture is fully consistent with the bearish sentiment of the market participants. Indeed, the intensifying dead cross and the down expanding Ichimoku cloud are indicating the long-term sellers presence. More than that, Chinkou Span is gradually exiting the zone of oversoldness.

 

Today, traders are expecting the FOMC statement on interest rates. It is possible that taking advantage of the increased volatility, the bulls will even try to correct the rate deep into the channel. In any case, trading will be quite risky today.

 

Technical levels: support – 1.1000; resistance – 1.1060, 1.1090, 1.1150.

 

Trade recommendations: off the market.

eurusdh4-TN.png

 

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Posted
Forex Analytics

Pound at important level

28 October 2015

Tatiana Norkina, FBS analyst

 

As expected, the GBP/USD currency pair has been trading inside the four-hour Ichimoku cloud recently. The bearish sentiment of the market participants, increasing since the middle of the past week, somewhat subsided after the pair felt support in the 53rd figure area. Let us remind you that here a poweful level has been formed by the cloud's lower border - Senkou Span B.

 

So far, this level has been held quite firmly. But a break through it would mean a rapid slide of the market under the 52nd figure. The bears would act, relying on the dead cross and the negative Ichimoku cloud.

 

Technical levels: support – 1.5300; resistance – 1.5400.

 

Trade recommendations:

 

1. Sell — 1.5300; SL — 1.5320; TP1 — 1.5200; TP2 — 1.5170.

gbpusdh4-TN.png

 

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Posted
Forex Analytics

Danske Bank: trade signals for October 28

 

Open positions:*

 

EUR/USD: Hold SHORT from 1.1055, TAKE PROFIT 1.0848, STOP LOSS 1.1143

 

USD/JPY: Hold LONG from 120.35, TAKE PROFIT 122.13, STOP LOSS 119.59

 

GBP/USD: Hold SHORT from 1.5365, TAKE PROFIT 1.5201, STOP LOSS 1.5425

 

USD/CHF: Hold LONG from 0.9820, TAKE PROFIT 0.9984, STOP LOSS 0.9749

 

AUD/USD: Hold SHORT from 0.7217, TAKE PROFIT 0.7002, STOP LOSS 0.7269 (revised)

 

EUR/JPY: Hold SHORT from 134.00, TAKE PROFIT 132.23, STOP LOSS 134.01

 

EUR/CAD: Hold SHORT from 1.4595, TAKE PROFIT 1.4292, STOP LOSS 1.4735

 

NZD/USD: Hold LONG from 0.6745, TAKE PROFIT 0.6937, STOP LOSS 0.6680

 

Trade ideas:

 

EUR/GBP: SELL at 0.7220, STOP LOSS 0.7026, STOP LOSS 0.7275 (revised)

 

USD/CAD: Possibly BUY

 

EUR/CHF: Possibly BUY

 

GBP/JPY: Possibly BUY

 

__________________________________________________________

 

*Danske Bank applies trailing stop orders (moved together with the price)

 

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Posted
Forex Analytics

USD/CHF: buy target - 1.0100

29 October 2015

By: Dmitriy Chernovolov

 


USD/CHF broke pivotal resistance level 0.9900

Next buy target - 1.0100


USD/CHF recently broke above the pivotal resistance level 0.9900 (which stopped the earlier A-wave at the start of August, as can be seen below). The breakout of this resistance level is likely to strengthen the bullish pressure on this currency pair in the coming trading sessions.

 

USD/CHF is expected to rise further in the active accelerated impulse wave (iii) (which belongs to the C-wave of the intermediate ABC correction (2) from the start of May) toward the next buy target at the resistance level 1.0100 (which previously stopped the extended primary ABC correction ② in March).

 

USDCHF%20-%20Primary%20Analysis%20-%20Oc

 

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Posted
Forex Analytics

NZD/USD: sell target - 0.6600

29 October 2015

By: Dmitriy Chernovolov

 


NZD/USD reversed from resistance level 0.6850

Next sell target - 0.6600


NZD/USD continues to fall after the recent double reversal from the resistance zone lying between the resistance level 0.6850 and the 38.2% Fibonacci Correction of the previous sharp downward ©-wave from the end of April. The first downward reversal from this resistance zone stopped the previous intermediate ABC correction (A). The latest downward reversal from the same resistance area started the C-wave of the active intermediate ABC correction (B).

 

NZD/USD is likely to fall further in the active waves C and (B) toward the next sell target at the next support level 0.6600. Strong resistance remains at 0.6850.

 

NZDUSD%20-%20Primary%20Analysis%20-%20Oc

 

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Posted
Forex Analytics

NZD/CAD: buy target - 0.9000

30 October 2015

By: Dmitriy Chernovolov

 


NZD/CAD reversed from support zone

Next buy target - 0.9000


NZD/CAD continues to rise after the recent upward reversal from the support zone lying between the support level 0.8830 (former strong resistance level which stopped the previous A-wave in August, as you can see below) and the 38.2% Fibonacci Correction of the previous sharp C-wave from September (which started when the pair reversed up from the major support level 0.8300).

 

The upward reversal from the aforementioned support zone is likely to lead to further gains toward the next buy target at the next resistance level 0.9000 (which recently stopped the previous intermediate ABC correction (2)).

NZDCAD%20-%20Primary%20Analysis%20-%20Oc

 

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Posted
Forex Analytics

AUD/NZD: sell target - 1.0400

30 October 2015

By: Dmitriy Chernovolov

 


AUD/NZD broke strong support zone

Next sell target - 1.0400


AUD/NZD continues to fall strongly – after the price recently broke through the powerful support zone lying between the support levels 1.0700 and 1.0600. The breakout of this support zone accelerated the active minor impulse wave 3 – which started earlier – when the pair reversed down from the former support trendline of the recently broken daily down channel from June (acting as resistance now, after it was broken).

 

AUD/NZD is likely to continue to fall in the accelerated waves 3 , © and ② toward the next sell target at the next support level 1.0400. Sell stop-loss can be placed above the resistance level 1.0600.

AUDNZD%20-%20Primary%20Analysis%20-%20Oc

 

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