riki143 Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 Market News April 25: Asian session USD/JPY rose to 102.50, but then returned by 20 pips lower. Japanese yen remained near the strongest level in a week against the dollar as tensions between Russia and Ukraine increased demand for safety. US Secretary of State John Kerry warned that Russia was running out of time to comply with an accord aimed at de-escalating the situation in its neighbor. Tokyo core inflation came at 2.7% the most in more than two decades, though was slightly lower than the forecast of 2.8%. Asian stocks fell, MSCI Asia Pacific Index dropped by 0.4%. Commodity currencies have regained some ground in Asia. It was a holiday in New Zealand and Australia, so there is basically no news from the region. AUD/USD found support at $0.9250 and recovered to $0.9280. Aussie is consolidating at the lower border of the April bearish channel. NZD/USD met buyers at $0.8545 and rebounded to $0.8570. Gold consolidates at $1293,3. EUR/USD is trading in the $1.3830 area. GBP/USD is just above $1.6800. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 Market News Key option levels (Apr. 25) Market prices tend to move towards the strike price at the time large vanilla options (ordinary put and call options) expire. It happens (all things equal) as each side of the deal seeks to hedge its risk exposure. This action is most noticeable ahead of 10 a.m. New York time when the majority of options expire (14:00 GMT). Here are the key options expiring today: EUR/USD: $1.3775, $1.3800; GBP/USD: $1.6600; USD/JPY: 101.00 (large), 101.50 (large), 102.00 (large), 102.15 (large), 102.55-65 (large), 102.70 (large), 103.00 (large), 103.10 (large); AUD/USD: $0.9280, $0.9300, $0.9335 (large); USD/CAD: 1.0900, 1.0915, 1.0930, 1.0940, 1.0950, 1.0965, 1.1000, 1.1095, 1.1100 (large); AUD/JPY: 95.00; EUR/GBP: 0.8300. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted April 26, 2014 Share Posted April 26, 2014 Market News Apr. 25: American Session Tatiana Norkina, FBS analyst U.S. dollar today looked weaker against most world currencies before the publication of the index of consumer sentiment according to the University of Michigan. However, the data were better than expected - 84.1 vs. expected 83.00 . This allowed a little strengthen the dollar index, but it is still in the red zone, losing about 0.08 %. Stock trading opened in a very serious disadvantage: S&P500 losing about 0.52%, and the DJIA - 0.60%. EUR/USD pair reached up to around 1.3850 mark, but with the arrival on the market of U.S. players it reduced in the area of 1.3830. Currency pair GBP/USD is consolidating just above the 1.6800 figure after testing important level of 1.6825. USD/CHF pair shows weakness the third day, falling today to 0.8800 figure. But USD JPY dropped below 102.00 figure. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted April 28, 2014 Share Posted April 28, 2014 Market News April 28: Asian session Japanese and Chinese stocks fell on Monday amid increasing tension in Ukraine, which pressure the risk appetite and support the safe-haven assets. China President Xi Jinping disappointed the markets, saying economy doesn’t need additional monetary stimulus. USD/JPY has recovered a little, strengthening to 102.25. Nikkei 225 lost almost 1% in the session despite the upbeat Japan retail sales data. AUD/USD strengthened to $0.9305, facing resistance there. NZD/USD consolidates around $0.8575. Gold met sellers at $1306.4. EUR/USD dipped to $1.3815 before recovering to $1.3835. GBP/USD is testing the Friday highs around $1.6830. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted April 28, 2014 Share Posted April 28, 2014 Forex Analytics EUR/USD: wave analysis (Apr. 28) Authored by Roman Petuchov Weekly. The pair is now forming a horizontal triangle. The question is where the bullish corrective wave [D] ends. Daily. Wave[D] is a complex corrective wave with (y) of [D] being a double zigzag. The second zigzag is now coming to an end. H4. We expect the wave (5) to be built in the nearest future. After that the market will reverse to the downside. More: http://www.fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/1456 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted April 28, 2014 Share Posted April 28, 2014 Forex Analytics GBP/USD: wave analysis (Apr. 28) Authored by Roman Petuchov Weekly. The pair has been forming a rising impulse channel for more than a year. Daily. The market is now forming a corrective wave (IV). H4. Corrective wave В seems to be complete. This week we expect a bearish move to begin. More: http://cdn.fbs.com/sites/default/files/image/analysis/2014/April/28/gbpusd3.jpg Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted April 28, 2014 Share Posted April 28, 2014 Forex Analytics USD/JPY: wave analysis (Apr. 28) Daily. Final bullish impulse of (V) is now being formed. H12. Corrective wave IV was a complex one. In our view, rising impulse V has already begun. H4. We expect to see a new bullish trend after the corrective wave [2] will be over. However, this pair is not so evident these days. We'd better avoid trading on USD/JPY in the near term. More: http://www.fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/1458 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted April 28, 2014 Share Posted April 28, 2014 Forex Analytics AUD/USD: wave analysis (Apr. 28) Weekly. Rising impulse [c] is about to begin. Daily. Market is correcting to the downside in the wave (2). H4. This week the pair will form a corrective bearish channel. more: http://www.fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/1459 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 Market News April 29: Asian session Asian markets were mixed with investors trading cautiously. Concerns about Ukraine persist: US, EU, Canada and Japan announced fresh sanctions on Russian officials. US Federal Reserve starts a two-day policy meeting on Tuesday. USD/JPY is trading in a tight 10-pips range around 102.50. Liquidity is thin on Tuesday as the Japanese market is closed due to public holidays. Bank of Japan will announce its policy decision on Wednesday. Demand for commodity currencies is subdued. AUD/USD extended the decline, testing $0.9220 in early Asia. Falling iron ore prices keep on pressuring the Aussie. NZD/USD followed the AUD, weakening to $0.8520. New Zealand March trade balance came in line with expectations (920M), while the February reading was revised down to 793M. EUR/USD strengthened to $1.3865, but remains below the yesterday’s $1.3880 peak. GBP/USD consolidates around $1.6815 after hitting a 4.5-year high yesterday. Markets are looking forward to the German CPI and the UK Q1 GDP in the European session. More: http://www.fxbazooka.com/en/news/show/1223 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 Forex Analytics T. Norkina: trade signals (Apr. 29) Tatiana Norkina, FBS analyst GBP/USD: buy – 1.6820; stop – 1.6800; target1 – 1.6860; target2 – 1.6890. USD/CHF: sell – 0.8790; stop – 0.8810; target1 – 0.8760; target2 – 0.8730. More: http://www.fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/1461 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted April 29, 2014 Share Posted April 29, 2014 Forex Analytics Trade signals from Danske Bank (Apr. 29) *Danske Bank applies trailing stop orders (moved together with the price) EUR/USD: Long at 1.3820 with a target of 1.3967 and a stop at 1.3809 USD/JPY: Buy at 102.32 with a target of 103.43 and a stop at 101.79 GBP/USD: Long at 1.6700 with a target of 1.6917 and a stop at 1.6740 USD/CHF: Short at 0.8835 with a target of 0.8715 and a stop at 0.8835 AUD/USD: Short at 0.9275 with a target of 0.9136 and a stop at 0.9325 USD/CAD: Long at 1.0970 with a target of 1.1078 and a stop at 1.0980 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted April 30, 2014 Share Posted April 30, 2014 Market News April 30: Asian session Asian markets traded mixed on Wednesday with the MSCI Asia Pacific index staying almost unchanged. Investors remain cautious before the FOMC monetary policy decision announcement in the US session and the US jobs data on Friday. Continuing tension in Ukraine continues weighting on the risk appetite. USD/JPY slipped to 102.30. Yen strengthened as the Bank of Japan left monetary policy unchanged in line with the expectations. Bank’s CPI target remains on track, while the 2014 GDP forecast was downgraded from +1.4% to 1.1%. Japan industrial production came below the expectations. Nikkei 225 index added 0.11%. Commodity currencies found buyers in the Asian session. AUD/USD strengthened to $0.9290, but still trades in the descending channel. NZD/USD touched $0.8875 earlier in the session and is now consolidating a little lower. Gold trades under pressure around $1292.5. EUR/USD extends the yesterday’s drop, testing the $1.3800 support to the downside. GBP/USD is trading in the red, but holds slightly above the $1.6800 mark. Monday peak of $1.6855 remains unbeaten. More: http://www.fxbazooka.com/en/news/show/1225 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted May 1, 2014 Share Posted May 1, 2014 Forex Analytics Trade signals from Danske Bank (Apr. 30) *Danske Bank applies trailing stop orders (moved together with the price) EUR/USD: Sell at 1.3825 with a target of 1.3762 and a stop at 1.3882 USD/JPY: Long at 102.60 with a target of 103.43 and a stop at 102.19 GBP/USD: Long at 1.6700 with a target of 1.6917 and a stop at 1.6740 USD/CHF: Buy at 0.8825 with a target of 0.8905 and a stop at 0.8770 AUD/USD: Short at 0.9275 with a target of 0.9136 and a stop at 0.9325 USD/CAD: Sell at 1.0986 with a target of 1.0858 and a stop at 1.1036 More: http://www.fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/1463 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted May 1, 2014 Share Posted May 1, 2014 Market News US GDP and the Fed in focus Mark Jensen, FBS Market volatility was pretty low at the beginning of the trading week: investors stayed cautious ahead of the news scheduled for the end of the week. The US intrigue will be partially disclosed on Wednesday. Pay special attention to the nonfarm payrolls by ADP at 12:15 GMT. The April report is expected to show a solid 215K increase in private payrolls. US will release its advance Q1 GDP (forecast: + 1.2%; Q4: revised down to 2.6%) at 12:30 GMT. The U.S. economy probably grew at the slowest pace in a year as the untypically cold winter weather lowered consumer and business confidence. Later in the day FOMC will announce its monetary policy decision (18:00 GMT). The April meeting should provide few surprises: the QE taper is expected to continue at a pace of $10 billion. There will be no press conference or new projections in April. The market will likely focus on when interest rates might begin to rise and at what pace. More: http://www.fxbazooka.com/en/news/show/1226 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted May 1, 2014 Share Posted May 1, 2014 Market News Terrible US GDP US published mixed statistics on Wednesday. Nonfarm payrolls by ADP came much better than expected: 220K versus forecasted 203K, March reading revised up to 209K. However, the main event of the day was the US Q1 GDP. Data came out MUCH worse than expected: economy added only 0.1% vs. forecast 1.2% and 2.6% in Q4. EUR/USD jumped to $1.3870 on the news. Waiting for the Fed monetary policy announcement at 18 GMT. More: http://www.fxbazooka.com/en/news/show/1228 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted May 1, 2014 Share Posted May 1, 2014 Market News Apr. 30: American Session Tatiana Norkina, FBS analyst U.S. dollar today began to weaken against many world currencies before the publication of the report on inflation in the Euro zone. According to statistical data for the last month inflation was only 0.7% , instead of the expected 0.8%. In the focus of attention of investors today was also the statistics from the U.S. Thus, according to ADP data, change in the number of working places in the non-agricultural sector was 220 thousand, against expectations of 210 thousand, however quarterly U.S. GDP growth showed only 0.1% instead of the projected 1.2%. A little later, Fed 's statement on interest rates is expected . Rates are expected to remain at the same levels of 0.25%. U.S. dollar index is currently losing 0.30%. Stock markets - about zero. In currency markets, there is a revival. The pair EUR/USD rebounded to around 1.3870 mark after testing 1.3790 support. And GBP/USD pair finally resumed growth and has established a new maximum in the area of 1.6870 today. Bulls continue to tread. Currency pair USD/CHF plummeted to around 0.8790 mark. The dollar weakened and against the yen: USD/JPY fell to a level of 102.20. More: http://www.fxbazooka.com/en/news/show/1229 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted May 1, 2014 Share Posted May 1, 2014 Market News May 1st: American session Tatiana Norkina, an analyst at FBS Statistical data on the U.S. economy was mixed today. So, weekly statistics on applications for unemployment benefits were much worse than expected: 344 thousand vs. 319 thousand. In the same time, personal expenses of Americans increased by 0.9 % instead of the expected growth of 0.6 %. This indicates a positive trend in the U.S. economy, which allowed to strengthen the dollar index. However, the main intrigue of the markets will persist until tomorrow, when it will be published non-farm payrolls for April. Very positive data is expected. Today, the percentage change of the dollar index is near zero. The stock market is also at zero level. Currency pairs are waiting. Thus, the pair EUR/USD is consolidating in 1.3870, GBP/USD is again restored to the figure of 1.6900. Currency para USD/CHF stopped at 0.8790 and USD/JPY slowly grew to 102.35 resistance. More: http://www.fxbazooka.com/en/news/show/1230 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted May 5, 2014 Share Posted May 5, 2014 Market News May 5: Asian session Asian markets took a turn lower on Monday as the HSBC survey showed China manufacturing fell for a 4th month in a row. The final reading for the HSBC Manufacturing PMI fell to 48.1 in April vs. expected 48.4 (reading below 50 indicates contraction). Markets are now concerned that the second largest world economy is losing momentum. The risk sentiment was generally positive before the China figure came out: investors were inspired by the Friday’s US labor report (+288K vs. 216K expected). The increased tensions in Ukraine keep gold and bonds well bid. Japan, South Korea and Thailand markets are closed for a holiday today. USD/JPY hit a two-week low of 101.85 as demand for the safe currencies increased. The pair lost more than 100 pips from the Friday’s peak of 103.02 hit on the strong US labor report. Demand for the commodity currencies is subdued. AUD/USD opened the week with a bullish gap at $0.9285, dipped to $0.9250 later in the session and now recovered to $0.9275. Australia building approvals fell by 3.5% in March. Reserve Bank of Australia holds a policy meeting tomorrow. NZD/USD is trading under pressure around $0.8250. Gold opened with a gap up and hit to $1309.4 in Asia (highest since April 15). EUR/USD consolidates in the $1.3885/65 range after a volatile Friday, while GBP/USD hovers in the $1.6885/68 band. UK markets are also closed. More: http://www.fxbazooka.com/en/news/show/1231 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted May 5, 2014 Share Posted May 5, 2014 Market News CFTC: USD shorts declined Here are the essentials of the latest Commitments of Traders (COT) report, released on May 2 by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) for a week ended on April 29. According to the report, large traders and speculators decreased their overall bearish bets of the US dollar from $1.6 billion on April 22 to $0.7 billion on April 29. The USD position has been on the bearish side for the past three weeks. http://www.fxbazooka.com/en/news/show/1232 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted May 5, 2014 Share Posted May 5, 2014 Market News Opinion: US labor data not so good 5 May 2014 According to UBS, even though the US employment figures were much better than expected, the drop in unemployment rate was mainly due to falling participation, showing the continued slack in the US labor market. Economists don't think the figures will have a long-playing positive effect for the market. “The US labor market report showed on Friday, that hiring in the US has been much stronger in April than markets had expected. 288K jobs had been created in April, compared to a 210K expected", analysts remind. "Also the unemployment rate dropped from 6.7% in March to 6.3% in April. However, a lot of this drop came on the back of a falling participation. Also wage growth has been flat, showing the continued slack in the US labor market”. http://www.fxbazooka.com/en/news/show/1233 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted May 6, 2014 Share Posted May 6, 2014 Market News May 5: American Session Tatiana Norkina, analyst at FBS Optimistic data on business activity in the U.S. over the past month has supported the U.S. dollar index today, which has managed to keep over the 79.50 support. Stock markets, on the contrary, have started the week with a significant gapdown but are trying to make up the losses at the moment. Thus, DJIA is losing slightly less than in the morning - around 0.32%, S&P500 - 0.12%. Currency markets are consolidating after the Friday's rally. The EUR/USD pair has beed trading under 1.3880 all day long, while GBP/USD - in the 1.6860 area. The range of trading for the USD/CHF pair has reached only 10 pips today: 0.8765-0.8775. At the moment, the bulls are trying to break forward. The USD/JPY pair has set a new low for the past two weeks, dropping to the 101.85 mark, but oversaleness are preventing the bears from winning total control over the market. More: http://www.fxbazooka.com/en/news/show/1234 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted May 6, 2014 Share Posted May 6, 2014 Market News May 6: Asian session Asian stock markets were mixed on Tuesday with MSCI Asia Pacific index adding 0.1%. Trading volumes remain low as markets in Japan, Hong Kong and South Korea are closed for holidays. Yesterday the markets were cheered up by the strong US ISM manufacturing PMI. USD/JPY weakened from the session high of 102.20 to 102.00. AUDUSD jumped up from $0.9283 to $0.9316, but failed to fix at these highs. The Reserve Bank of Australia left monetary policy unchanged and came with a neutral statement. The bank, however, has once again referred to the overvalued currency. Australia trade surplus came below the forecast. NZD/USD touched $0.8715. Gold consolidates around $1309 – slightly below the yesterday’s 3-week high of $1315. EUR/USD consolidates below the yesterday’s high of $1.3885, while GBP/USD touched $1.6895. Euro zone and Great Britain will release service PMIs later in the session. More: http://globalforextalk.com/forums/showthread.php/14444-Company-news?p=49412#post49412 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted May 7, 2014 Share Posted May 7, 2014 Market News May 6th: American session Tatiana Norkina, an analyst at FBS Last month retail sales increase to 0.3% in Europe ( forecast : -0.2 %) contributed to today strengthen of EUR, while weakening of the U.S. dollar index at the same time, which is currently losing about 0.50 %, falling to around 79.10. Trading has been negatively opened on major U.S. stock exchanges. S & P500 is losing about 0.30% and the DJIA - 0.55%. The negative data on the U.S. trade balance was the main driver of decline. According to the report, the deficit rose to 40.38 billion dollars, against expectations of $ 40.30 billion. Consolidation was completed on the currency markets. The EUR/USD soared to around 1.3950 today, but corrected to 1.3930 in early U.S. session. British currency was supported by the positive statistics: business activity in the services sector in the UK rose unexpectedly - the index was 58.7, against expectations of 57.6. GBP/USD pair reached a high of 1.7000 figure, but now corrected at 1.6980. Currency pair USD/CHF has issued a low in the area of 0.8720 - it's almost March lows. USD/JPY dropped pretty much as well, today its rate fell to around 101.50 . More: http://www.fxbazooka.com/en/news/show/1236 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted May 7, 2014 Share Posted May 7, 2014 Forex Analytics T. Norkina: trade signals (May 7) T.Norkina, FBS analyst EUR/USD: buy – 1.3910; stop – 1.3890; target1 – 1.3950; target2 - 1.3975. USD/JPY: buy – 101.40; stop – 101.20; target1 – 101.80; target2 – 102.00. More: http://www.fxbazooka.com/en/analitycs/show/1472 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riki143 Posted May 7, 2014 Share Posted May 7, 2014 Market News May 7: American Session Tatiana Norkina, FBS analyst The U.S. dollar weakened somewhat during today's speech of the head of U.S. Federal Reserve Dzh.Yellen. The correction stopped, and the index fell to the morning values in the area of 79.15, but the positive trend continues. Major U.S. stock markets opened in different directions. So, DJIA - in positive area, about 0.12%, while the S&P500 - in the red zone, a little more than 0.15%. Currency pairs again in the outset today. EUR/USD pair is trading at the lower edge of today's range 1.3910-1.3930. GBP/USD moderately reduced in 1.6960 area. Not excluded a deeper correction after yesterday's growth. The currency pair USD/CHF has adjusted to the level of 0.8760. But the pair USD/JPY, after testing the recent support of 101.40, moved up to the figure of 102.00. But the bulls are not yet able to maintain their advantage and the rate dropped to 101.65 area. More: http://www.fxbazooka.com/en/news/show/1237 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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