OctaFX_Farid Posted November 24, 2014 Author Share Posted November 24, 2014 All eyes on the OPEC meeting at Vienna - DB FXStreet (Barcelona) - Analysts at Deutsche Bank note that the Thursday’s OPEC meeting at Vienna will be a closely watched affair with speculations going around that there will be a 1m a day cut in barrels produced. Key Quotes “There has been no shortage of news-flow around the event recently with prices declining sharply over the last couple months in anticipation that OPEC will not cut production.” “In recent weeks it appears that the camp has become split with the likes of Saudi Arabia and other low-cost producers with large FX reserves happy to run down the price to gain market share.” “On the other hand the likes of Venezuela and more recently Iran are reported (Bloomberg) as saying that they may propose a 1m a day cut in barrels produced. They are campaigning for higher prices to balance their budget and improve fiscal positions. “ “We will no doubt hear further statements this week from producers in the run up to the meeting so it’s something to keep an eye on.” OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Nov 24, 2014 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted November 24, 2014 Author Share Posted November 24, 2014 PBoC fires its first salvo in FX wars – Rabobank FXStreet (Barcelona) - The Rabobank Research Team note PBoC entering the FX war fiasco by surprising the markets with a rate cut. Key Quotes “Only few weeks after the BoJ shocked the markets with a huge dose of fresh monetary policy stimulus, the People’s Bank of China unexpectedly cut its base 1-year lending rate by 40bps to 5.6% with the 1-year deposit rate trimmed by 25bps to 2.75%. “ “The PBoC also increased flexibility in the banking sector allowing banks to offer deposit rates at up to 20% above the benchmark from the previous cap of 10%. “ “While the central bank insisted that its first interest rate cut since 2012 (following somewhat insufficient targeted easing measures) is “a neutral operation and doesn’t mean any change in monetary policy direction”, it seems that China fired its first salvo in the currency war with the BoJ.” OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Nov 24, 2014 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted November 24, 2014 Author Share Posted November 24, 2014 Crude steadies ahead of OPEC meet, speculators trim bullish bets FXStreet (Mumbai) - Oil prices at both the sides of the Atlantic trade steady as markets brace-up for the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) meet scheduled this Thursday. Meanwhile, speculators trimmed bullish bets as OPEC members stand, divided over the necessity of reducing the output in order to stabilize the prices. Brent Crude for January delivery traded 0.37% higher at USD 80.66/barrel, while the WTI Crude for January delivery traded 0.40% higher at USD 76.82/barrel at the time of writing. The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) data revealed money-managers reduced bullish bets on Crude as OPEC group failed to signal it will act in order to halt the slide in the prices. Money managers reduced net-long positions in WTI Crude Oil by 4.1% in the week ended 18 November. Long positions fell to an 18-month low, while the open interest fell to the lowest level in more than 2 years. As per CFTC, net longs for WTI fell by 7,439 to 175,051 futures and options combined. Long positions fell 1.3% to 248,217, the lowest since 14 May 2013. Short positions increased 6.1% to 73,166. Brent Crude Technical Levels Brent has an immediate resistance at 80.85, above which prices can rise to 81.61 levels. Meanwhile, support is seen at 79.95 and 79.07 levels. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Nov 24, 2014 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted November 24, 2014 Author Share Posted November 24, 2014 EUR undermined by dovish speech from ECB President Draghi – BTMU FXStreet (Barcelona) - Lee Hardman, FX Analyst at the Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ notes that euro remained at weaker levels in the Asian trading session after falling sharply on Friday following a dovish speech from ECB President Draghi before the European Banking Conference. Key Quotes "In his speech, President Draghi described in context the significant shift that has taken place in ECB monetary policy since last September and how their new instrument of asset purchases operates." "The inflation environment was described as “increasingly challenging” highlighting that he is particularly concerned that a too prolonged period of inflation becomes embedded in inflation expectations. Indicators of inflation expectation over the shorter horizon were described as “excessively low” although long-term indictors were on the whole described as still consistent with price stability”." "He reiterated that “if on its current trajectory our policy is not effective enough to achieve this, or further risks to the inflation outlook materialise, we could step up the pressure and broaden even more the channels through which we intervene, by altering accordingly the size, pace and composition of our purchases”." "The market has interpreted the comments as signalling that there is higher likelihood of the ECB implementing sovereign debt QE although there was no specific reference to it in the speech". As a result the yields on 10-year Italian and Spanish governments both declined by around 10 basis points on Friday, and EUR/USD fell sharply from around 1.2550 to just below the 1.2400-level." “Overall, the speech was consistent with our view that the ECB will likely continue to ease monetary policy which will remain a weight on the euro in the year ahead. However, the short-term euro sell off following the speech could prove to be somewhat of an overreaction." OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Nov 24, 2014 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted November 24, 2014 Author Share Posted November 24, 2014 EUR undermined by dovish speech from ECB President Draghi – BTMU FXStreet (Barcelona) - Lee Hardman, FX Analyst at the Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ notes that euro remained at weaker levels in the Asian trading session after falling sharply on Friday following a dovish speech from ECB President Draghi before the European Banking Conference. Key Quotes "In his speech, President Draghi described in context the significant shift that has taken place in ECB monetary policy since last September and how their new instrument of asset purchases operates." "The inflation environment was described as “increasingly challenging” highlighting that he is particularly concerned that a too prolonged period of inflation becomes embedded in inflation expectations. Indicators of inflation expectation over the shorter horizon were described as “excessively low” although long-term indictors were on the whole described as still consistent with price stability”." "He reiterated that “if on its current trajectory our policy is not effective enough to achieve this, or further risks to the inflation outlook materialise, we could step up the pressure and broaden even more the channels through which we intervene, by altering accordingly the size, pace and composition of our purchases”." "The market has interpreted the comments as signalling that there is higher likelihood of the ECB implementing sovereign debt QE although there was no specific reference to it in the speech". As a result the yields on 10-year Italian and Spanish governments both declined by around 10 basis points on Friday, and EUR/USD fell sharply from around 1.2550 to just below the 1.2400-level." “Overall, the speech was consistent with our view that the ECB will likely continue to ease monetary policy which will remain a weight on the euro in the year ahead. However, the short-term euro sell off following the speech could prove to be somewhat of an overreaction." OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Nov 24, 2014 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted November 24, 2014 Author Share Posted November 24, 2014 Ftse trades near 2-month high FXStreet (Mumbai) - The London’s Ftse index traded flat near a two-month high today as further gains in the index were capped by a bout of profit taking in the mining shares. The Ftse traded largely unchanged at 6751.00 levels at the time of writing. The index breadth is positive with an advance decline ratio of 57:42. Shares in the insurer Friends life gained 5.12%, while shares in Aviava fell 3.9% on a possible deal to buy rival Friends life for GBP 5.6 billion. Aviva shares tanked as analysts say the deal is relatively more beneficial for the Friends life shareholders. Meanwhile, Petrofac shares tanked 23.39%, its biggest single day drop ever, after the company lowered its net profit forecast in 2015 to around USD 500 million, which is the lower end of its previous guidance range of USD 580 million to USD 600 million. The index gains were mainly capped by the losses in mining index, which is down 1.3%, tracking a fall in the major commodity prices. Shares in major miners BHP Billiton, Rio Tinto and Anglo American fell 1.7% to 2.1%. Ftse Technical Levels The index has an immediate resistance located at 6782, above which gains could be extended to 6800.00 levels. Meanwhile, support is seen at 6740 and 6714 levels. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Nov 24, 2014 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted November 24, 2014 Author Share Posted November 24, 2014 Singer: ECB easing should have a positive effect on the Czech economy FXStreet (London) - - Speaking in Vienna, Czech Central Bank governor Miroslav Singer defended the decision to maintain the CZK27 cap, despite the cost of maintaining the level. Singer stated that the reason for leaving the koruna cap in place until 2016 is to fight the deflation threat from the Eurozone. He added that deflation risk is not yet behind the the Czech economy and that the central bank is pushing towards its 2 percent target. The Czech central bank governor added that he supports ECB monetary easing, saying that it should have a positive effect on the Czech economy. A weaker euro should benefit countries such as Germany and Austria – major trading partners to the Czech Republic. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Nov 24, 2014 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted November 24, 2014 Author Share Posted November 24, 2014 USD/JPY remains capped by 118.40 FXStreet (Córdoba) - USD/JPY resumed the advance Monday after last week’s corrective move was contained by the 117.35 zone. USD/JPY regained the 118.00 level and climbed to a high of 118.37, stalling roughly at the same level it did the previous trading day. At time of writing, the pair is trading at 118.20, recording a 0.37% gain on the day. The yen strengthened last week and dragged USD/JPY away from a 7-year peak of 118.97 after Japan’s finance minister expressed his concerns about rapid depreciation of the currency. USD/JPY levels to watch As for technical levels, next resistances line up at 118.37 (Nov 21 & 24 highs), 118.97 (2014 high Nov 20) and 119.00 (psychological level). On the other hand, supports could be found at 117.57 (daily low), 117.35 (Nov 21 low) and 117.00 (psychological level). OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Nov 24, 2014 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted November 24, 2014 Author Share Posted November 24, 2014 Speculators reduced their USD longs – Rabobank FXStreet (Barcelona) - The Rabobank Research team highlights the IMM net speculators positioning as at 18th November 2014. Key Quotes “Speculators reduced their USD longs a little further last week meaning that net positions are now noticeably off their recent highs. Even so, they are still twice as large as the long positions held in July. “ “EUR shorts increased again. Although they are still below their recent highs, shorts could be promoted further in the next set of data by the dovish tone of ECB President Draghi last Friday. “ “JPY net shorts rose again, though they remains below their October highs. “ “On the back of the dovish November Inflation Report from the BoE, speculators have built up short positions in sterling even further. However, the minutes of the November MPC meeting were a little less dovish than expected and this could weaken the resolve of the GBP bears a little. “ “AUD shorts consolidated at fairly elevated levels, though some support for the AUD could be drawn from Friday’s PBoC rate cut. CAD shorts lessened a touch with the tone remaining consolidative.” “CHF net shorts held largely steady despite the proximity of the November 30 referendum on SNB gold holdings which could undermine the EUR/CHF ‘floor’.” OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Nov 24, 2014 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted November 24, 2014 Author Share Posted November 24, 2014 Chicago Fed National Activity Index declines in October FXStreet (London) - The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) declined to +0.14 in October from +0.29 in September. Two of the four broad categories of indicators that make up the index decreased from September, and two of the four categories made negative contributions to the index in October. The Chicago Fed reported that production-related indicators made a negative contribution of 0.01 to the index, after a 0.18 contribution in September. Industrial production decreased 0.1 in October after adding 0.8 in September. Manufacturing production added 0.2 percent in October, matching September’s gains. According to the release, the index’s three-month moving average, CFNAI-MA3, declined to –0.01 in October from +0.12 in September. October’s CFNAI-MA3 suggests that growth in national economic activity was near its historical trend. The economic growth reflected in this level of the CFNAI-MA3 suggests limited inflationary pressure from economic activity over the coming year. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Nov 24, 2014 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted November 24, 2014 Author Share Posted November 24, 2014 Nikkei posts modest gains FXStreet (Mumbai) - The Japanese stocks rose in the late afternoon session to end the day moderately higher even though the decline in the Yen paused. The Nikkei finished the day 56.65 points or 0.33% higher at 17,357.51 levels. The stocks initially came under pressure as investors booked profits as the decline in the Yen appeared to have paused. However, in the late session, the stock reversed trend to end the day higher. Moreover, expectations are high that stocks would continue to rise due to the exchange traded fund buying by the Bank of Japan. The index was supported by gains in paper producers, mining, and oil and coal producing sectors. Among stocks, Airline Skymark shot up 25.64% on reports of a business alliance with rival JAL. Meanwhile, mobile game developer Marvelous surged 23.74% on the news that the company will launch a smart phone game in December. On the minus side were wholesalers and textile makers, who were pressured by profit-taking. Nikkei Technical Levels The index has an immediate resistance at 17,472 levels, above which prices may re-test 17,520 levels. On the flip side, a break below the immediate support at 17,095.50, shall open doors for 16,895.50 on the downside. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Nov 24, 2014 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted November 24, 2014 Author Share Posted November 24, 2014 Nikkei posts modest gains FXStreet (Mumbai) - The Japanese stocks rose in the late afternoon session to end the day moderately higher even though the decline in the Yen paused. The Nikkei finished the day 56.65 points or 0.33% higher at 17,357.51 levels. The stocks initially came under pressure as investors booked profits as the decline in the Yen appeared to have paused. However, in the late session, the stock reversed trend to end the day higher. Moreover, expectations are high that stocks would continue to rise due to the exchange traded fund buying by the Bank of Japan. The index was supported by gains in paper producers, mining, and oil and coal producing sectors. Among stocks, Airline Skymark shot up 25.64% on reports of a business alliance with rival JAL. Meanwhile, mobile game developer Marvelous surged 23.74% on the news that the company will launch a smart phone game in December. On the minus side were wholesalers and textile makers, who were pressured by profit-taking. Nikkei Technical Levels The index has an immediate resistance at 17,472 levels, above which prices may re-test 17,520 levels. On the flip side, a break below the immediate support at 17,095.50, shall open doors for 16,895.50 on the downside. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Nov 24, 2014 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted November 24, 2014 Author Share Posted November 24, 2014 Optimism likely to prevail on Wall Street today FXStreet (Mumbai) - The action in the US Index futures indicates the Wall street is likely to start the week on a positive note as the markets remain optimistic after China’s rate cut and the European Central Bank’s (ECB) stimulus talk. At the time of writing, the DJIA December futures traded up by 0.26%, while the S&P500 December futures gained 0.29%. Meanwhile, the NASDAQ futures traded 0.35% higher. Earlier today, most of the Asian stock markets closed higher, while the European equities also extended Friday’s gains. Investors will watch out for the Markit’s service sector Purchasing Manager Index for November and the Dallas Fed manufacturing activity index. The consensus estimate calls for an increase in the Service PMI to 57.8 from 57.3 in October. Meanwhile, the Treasury is set to announce the result of its auction of 2-year notes. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Nov 24, 2014 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted November 24, 2014 Author Share Posted November 24, 2014 Another interest rate cut from the Bank of Korea on the way? – FXStreet FXStreet (Barcelona) - FXStreet Editor and Analyst Omkar Godbole, views that post the PBoC rate cut, pressure may build on Bank of Korea to cut rates again. Key Quotes “With weak growth prospects along with CPI inflation at 1.2% in October, Korea risks importing deflation if the Yuan weakens along with the Yen. The Bank of Korea has a three‐year 2.5 to 3.5% inflation target band, but annual inflation has stayed in the 1% range since January 2013.” “The PBoC’s rate cut last week has certainly increased pressure on the central banks in Asia to act.” “However, Bank of Korea is likely to wait and watch the movement in the JPY/KRW and CNY/KRW pair. So far, both pairs are trading steady.” “The JPY/KRW is already trading at July 2008 levels. Technically, if the pair fails to rise above 10.00 levels, the Won could extend gains to 9.00 and 8.60 levels.” “The CNY/KRW pair is stuck around 181.50‐182.00 levels, after rising more than 10% since the beginning of Jan 2014.” “So far, the CNY/KRW exchange rate has not resulted in sudden and sharp appreciation of Won against the Yuan, despite China announcing a rate cut on Friday.” “A further rise in the USD/JPY pair along with a rise in the USD/CNY shall make another interest rate cut from the Bank of Korea inevitable.” OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Nov 24, 2014 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted November 24, 2014 Author Share Posted November 24, 2014 USD/MXN drops to lows near 1.1361 FXStreet (Edinburgh) - The Mexican peso is now picking up pace vs. the US dollar, dragging USD/MXN to challenge session lows in the 13.600 area. USD/MXN weaker post-data The pair lost upside momentum after the jobless rate in the Aztec economy fell to 4.78% during October vs. 5.08% previous, and the 1st half-month inflation ticked higher to 0.74% in November from 0.5%. Spot thus continues to consolidate around the key 13.6000 handle, coming down from 2014 peaks near 13.6800. USD/MXN key levels The pair is now losing 0.02% at 13.6118 with the next support at 13.5975 (low Nov.21) ahead of 13.5820 (Tenkan Sen). On the flip side, a breakout of 13.6690 (high Nov.21) would expose 13.6795 (2014 high Nov.4). OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Nov 24, 2014 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted November 24, 2014 Author Share Posted November 24, 2014 Mexico Jobless Rate s.a down to 4.71% in October from previous 4.75% Read more in Forex News OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Nov 24, 2014 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted November 24, 2014 Author Share Posted November 24, 2014 Weidmann says that ECB should not see QE as a silver bullet FXStreet (London) - European Central Bank council member Jen Weidman put a stick in the spokes of ECB sovereign debt buying aspirations. Speaking in Madrid, the Bunesbank president said that there were “high legal hurdles” to full blown ECB quantitative easing. Weidmann said that “there seems to be a conception that there is one silver bullet out there which is buying sovereign debt.” However he said that the focus should instead be on generating economic growth in the Eurozone area. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Nov 24, 2014 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted November 25, 2014 Author Share Posted November 25, 2014 Carney: “The next policy move will be a rate increase” FXStreet (London) - Members of the Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee are currently addressing the Treasury Select Committee on the November Inflation Report. Mark Carney: “The next policy move will be a rate increase” Kristin Forbes: “Wage pickup will help domestic pickup” - “Powerful external factors are pushing down CPI” - “Lagged effects are pushing down inflation OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Nov 25, 2014 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted November 25, 2014 Author Share Posted November 25, 2014 United States Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices (QoQ) came in at 1.3%, above expectations (1.2%) in 3Q Read more in Forex News OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Nov 25, 2014 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted November 25, 2014 Author Share Posted November 25, 2014 USD/JPY gains momentum after US GDP FXStreet (Córdoba) - USD/JPY rose from 118.05 to 118.28, reaching the highest price since the Asian session, after the release of better-than-expected economic data in the US. According to the new estimate, the US economy grew at a rate of 3.9% during the third quarter, that is higher than the previous estimate of 3.5% and above the expected 3.3%. Greenback gained momentum across the board after the report. USD/JPY away from the lows Before the economic numbers, the pair was hovering around 118.00, slightly lower for the day, still moving with a slightly bullish bias in the short term, making higher lows and higher highs for the third trading day in a row but holding below last Thursday peak, when it climbed to 118.97 (7-year high). Currently trades at 118.20, approaching daily highs and moving away from the lows, supported by US GDP data, ahead of Wall Street opening. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Nov 25, 2014 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted November 25, 2014 Author Share Posted November 25, 2014 GBP/USD falls further after upbeat US GDP FXStreet (San Francisco) - The Pound is falling faster against the US Dollar as the pair is enjoying favorable environment for the greenback after a US GDP's revision upwards to 3.9% from the previously informed of 3.5%. The GBP/USD is extending its decline from 1.5695 and after falling 40 pips it is now testing daily lows at 1.5650. Currently, GBP/USD is trading at 1.5656, down 0.31% on the day, having posted a daily high at 1.5710 and low at 1.5649. The FXStreet OB/OS Index is reflecting neutral hourly conditions, while the FXStreet Trend Index is slightly bearish. GBP/USD levels Below 1.5650, next supports are at 1.5630 and 1.5600. To the upside, resistances are at 1.5670, 1.5700 and 1.5715. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Nov 25, 2014 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted November 25, 2014 Author Share Posted November 25, 2014 Canadian retail sales stronger than expected FXStreet (London) - Canadian retail sales rose 0.8 percent in September to CAD42.8bn, largely as a result of higher sales at motor vehicle and parts dealers. Retail sales have been on an upward swing since early 2014. Retail sales exceeded consensus expectations of a 0.5 percent gain. According to the report from Statistics Canada, gains were reported in 5 of 11 subsectors, representing 59 percent of retail trade. Excluding motor vehicle and parts dealers, sales were essentially unchanged from August. After removing the effects of price changes, retail sales in volume terms increased 1.0 percent. The statistical agency reported that a 3.4 percent increase at motor vehicle and parts dealers was the largest sales gain among all subsectors. Sales were up 3.3 percent at new car dealers, on the strength of higher volumes of sales of light trucks. Other motor vehicle dealers, which include retailers of recreational vehicles, motorcycles and boats, continued their recovery from a downturn in early 2014 with a 6.8 percent increase. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Nov 25, 2014 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted November 25, 2014 Author Share Posted November 25, 2014 EUR/USD falls to test 1.2400 after US GDP FXStreet (Córdoba) - EUR/USD dropped to fresh daily lows as the dollar strengthened on the back of better-than-expected Q3 US GDP. US GDP growth was upwardly revised to 3.9% in the third quarter, up from the preliminary reading of 3.5% and beating expectations of 3.3%. EUR/USD was dragged lower but it has managed to hold above the 1.2400 level so far. At time of writing, the pair is trading at 1.2407, recording a % loss on the day. EUR/USD levels to watch In terms of technical levels, if 1.2400 gives up, next supports could be found at 1.2357 (2014 low Nov 7) and 1.2341 (Aug 21 2012 low). On the flip side, resistances are seen at 1.2475 (10-day SMA), 1.2500 (pychologicallevel) and 1.2567 (Nov 21 low). OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Nov 25, 2014 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted November 25, 2014 Author Share Posted November 25, 2014 US 3Q14 GDP surprises on the upside - 3.9% vs initial 3.5% print – ING FXStreet (Barcelona) - Rob Carnell of ING notes 3Q14 US GDP was expected by most analysts to be revised slightly lower following its initial 3.5% release, and following slightly less supportive trade data released after the initial GDP number, but GDP has actually been revised higher to 3.9%. Key Quotes “Some of the factors supporting this upward revision are quite encouraging - for instance, the upwards revision to equipment and software spending (business investment, now 10.7% from 7.2% initially), and personal consumption (consumer spending now 2.2% from 1.8%), and residential investment (homebuilding - now 2.7% from 1.8%).” “There was, as expected, a slight additional drag from the net export sector, worth about $20bn over the quarter (annualised rate). And this more than offset the further increase in inventory building (revised up about $16bn) over the same period.” “Whilst some parts of this release do suggest that the US economy has more momentum than initially indicated, both inventories and the defence component of government spending are likely to revert to being considerable drags in the fourth quarter, taking GDP growth closer to 2.0% than 3.0%, and the profile for GDP will remain very choppy, masking an underlying growth rate of between 2.5% and 3.0%.” “At the margin, these figures make it easier for the Fed to move towards pushing rates higher next year. But a lot can happen between now and the April 2015 rate hike the market is pricing in, including much weaker inflation and a possible re-run of the 2013 government shutdown, and we are taking nothing for granted.” OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Nov 25, 2014 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted November 25, 2014 Author Share Posted November 25, 2014 Minutes suggest large divergence between BoJ members – Scotiabank FXStreet (Barcelona) - Camilla Sutton CFA, CMT, Chief FX Strategist at Scotiabank, notes that the BoJ meeting minutes suggest there is large divergence between members but that lower oil and soft demand pushed BoJ to act. Key Quotes “Initially JPY weakened on the release of the BoJ minutes; however subsequent comments by Governor Kuroda, that inflation is likely to reach 2% by the beginning of the next fiscal year, forced a retracement.” “The minutes from the October 31 BoJ meeting (where the committee increased the annual expansion in the monetary base to ¥80trn) suggest that: 1)There is wide divergence in views at the BoJ; and 2) the impetus for more accommodative policy was the decline in oil prices combined with weaker demand following the consumption tax, which risked returning Japan to a deflationary mindset.” “In our view BoJ policies are supporting a rise in USDJPY, combined with last week’s PBoC announcement, it highlights building pressure in the region from a currency perspective.” “USDJPY short‐term technicals: bullish—technicals support a rising USDJPY, with the slowing in the upward trend likely a temporary period of rest.” “Support lies at last Wednesday's open of 116.86 while resistance comes in at the recent high of 118.98.” OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Nov 25, 2014 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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