OctaFX_Farid Posted June 12, 2013 Author Share Posted June 12, 2013 Flash: EUR/USD rise may falter in the 1.3300 region – ANZ FXstreet.com (New York) - Much has been made of a Head and Shoulders pattern occurring in the EUR/USD, however this has mostly been conjecture. According to Tim Riddell, Head of Global Markets Research at ANZ, “The current push above 1.3250 may raise concern over an extension towards 1.3475-1.3500, however the overall pattern remains the same. A broad range is being defined with the bias being that the squeeze may falter in the 1.3300’s.” An extension should merely define a 1.25-1.35 range. Moreover, dips below 1.3115 would signal that the range has been defined. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Jun 12, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted June 13, 2013 Author Share Posted June 13, 2013 Flash: AU vols lower - Nomura FXstreet.com (London) - Saeed Amen strategist at Nomura notes that Gold has been relatively stable in recent weeks, compared with other markets, which have seen large unwinds triggered by increased expectations of Fed tapering following Chairman Bernanke‟s testimony in May. Indeed, he say’s, gold implied vols are well off their April highs, contrasting with the rise in implied elsewhere. One explanation he mentions is that gold’s large April fall might have already gone someway to pricing in the start of the end of QE price of gold. Indeed, spec positioning is extremely low in gold, which has made it less vulnerable to the position squaring that has afflicted many markets. He points out that Gold has been in somewhat of a flux, with a continuation of gold ETF liquidation (albeit at a slower rate), while Asian demand has supported the downside. While his teams prefer upside, especially because of the lack of spec positioning, they think that to have a decent move higher, gold ETF liquidation will need to turn OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Jun 13, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted June 13, 2013 Author Share Posted June 13, 2013 AUD/USD holds above 0.9600 level FXstreet.com (New York) - The AUD/USD exchange rate is presently operating within close proximity to its intraday highs Thursday (0.9624) during US trading. AUD/USD stabilizes above 0.9600 level Although the pair has eased slightly to 0.9614 in these moments, the AUD/USD still is securing a robust gain of +1.36% today. Following an earlier break above resistance at 0.9555, the Mataf.net analyst team postulates the next short-term resistances at 0.9634 onto 0.9703. Alternatively, supports will be faced should the pair drop to the depths of 0.9407, ahead of 0.9338, and 0.9259. AUD/USD self-sustaining upside? According to the Technical Analyst Team at ICN.com, “The AUD/USD pair surged and resided above 0.9535 – zones we believe are positive and capable of pushing the pair higher throughout Thursday's trading session.” OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Jun 13, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted June 13, 2013 Author Share Posted June 13, 2013 US Sells 13 billion of 30-Year Bonds at 3.355% Read more in Forex News OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Jun 13, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted June 14, 2013 Author Share Posted June 14, 2013 EUR/USD pares losses after weak US data FXstreet.com (New York) - The EUR/USD finally received the impetus it needed to stage some prolonged manner of recovery Friday, edging higher after the release of US data. In the United States, the Reuters/Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index (June) came in at 82.7, missing expectations of 84.5. EUR/USD bounces off support Briefing the technicals, the pair is operating off of its opening at -0.32% in at the time of writing at the 1.3332 handle. According to the Mataf.net analyst team, the EUR/USD will look towards supports at 1.3299 followed by 1.3233, and finally 1.3187. Alternatively, a movement to the upside and paring of losses will usher in resistances at 1.3411, then 1.3457, and eventually 1.3523. EUR/USD affected by overbought indicators “The EUR/USD dropped below 1.3345, which was affected by overbought pressure on momentum indicators. Moreover, linear regression indicators are still positive and the pair is stable above 1.3270. Therefore, we hold on to our positive expectations for today.” notes the Technical Analyst Team at ICN.com. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Jun 14, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted June 14, 2013 Author Share Posted June 14, 2013 Flash: Monetary policy needs revamping in Nordic countries? – Goldman Sachs FXstreet.com (New York) - “Much has been made of the below-target inflation in Scandinavia, which is the result of external factors (exchange rate and foreign prices) that are largely exogenous to the Riksbank and Norges Bank.” notes the Economics Research Team at Goldman Sachs. Domestic inflation is currently around target and a sizeable easing would be required to raise domestic inflation sufficiently to reach the aggregate inflation target in the near term. Such easing would come with risks: creating a sizeable domestic boom risks spurring excessive credit growth and would likely result in more volatile monetary policy in the medium term. According to the team, “This suggests that small (very) open economy inflation targeters, such as the Riksbank and Norges Bank, should adopt a longer-than-usual time horizon for monetary policy.” The Riksbank and Norges Bank appear effectively, although not officially, to have done this. This underlies our view that both central banks will hike in 2014, despite a below-target inflation rate, as imported inflation (exogenously) reverses its recent declining trend, and in order to limit the upward trend in domestic inflation and credit growth. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Jun 14, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted June 14, 2013 Author Share Posted June 14, 2013 AUD/USD returns to sub 0.9600 FXstreet.com (Edinburgh) - The AUD/USD is netting strong gains during the week, managing to recover ground from multi-month lows around 0.9320 on Tuesday to Thursday’s tops near 0.9670. AUD/USD posed for further pullbacks However, the pair would resume its more ample negative trend as soon as the USD extreme positioning reverses and the Fed’s ‘tapering’ returns to the headlines. In the view of I.Spivak, Currency Analyst at DailyFX, “Prices are attempting a recovery from support at 0.9388, the 38.2% Fibonacci expansion, as expected. A break above near-term resistance at 0.9542, the 23.6% level, exposes the June 3 high at 0.9791. Alternatively, a push beneath 0.9388 exposes the 50% Fib at 0.9264”. Key levels to watch in AUS/USD At the moment the pair is retreating 0.53% at 0.9588 and a breakdown of 0.9571 (MA10d) would open the door to 0.9567 (low Jun.14) and finally 0.9430 (low Jun.13). On the upside, resistance levels are located at 0.9675 (high Jun.4) ahead of 0.9792 (high Jun.3) and then 0.9828 (high May 22). OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Jun 14, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted June 17, 2013 Author Share Posted June 17, 2013 GBP/USD continues drifting higher FXstreet.com (London) - GBP/USD is drifting higher still, from printing below the figure this morning to record recent highs in 1.5750’s. GBPUSD has reclined a little back down along the 200d ma and is currently oscillating in the 1.5730 and 1.5740’s again while a bullish NAHB Housing Market Index was just printed for the Us economy as 52 against previous 44 and consensus of 45. The market is mostly awaiting FOMC and a raft of other data for an indication for where the next hint of any tapering might appear in the US. For the UK, we wait for further signs to see whether the economy can stay on track for a recovery. GBP/USD downside risk Technically GBP/USD may find it tuff to continue much higher until there are more confirmations that the risk of tapering the QE programme in the US will not be commencing in the near future and that the UK economy really is improving. Analyst at Commerzbank, Karen Jones, said a break below the 1.5490 June 7 low is needed to alleviate immediate upside pressure and signal a slide back to the 55 day moving average at 1.5352 en route to the base of the channel at 1.5044 OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Jun 17, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted June 17, 2013 Author Share Posted June 17, 2013 USD/CAD remains capped by 100-day SMA FXstreet.com (Córdoba) - As most pairs in the FX space, the USD/CAD has spent most of the day in quiet consolidation, as investors' focus turns to central banks. Having bounced from a low of 1.0150 during the European session, USD/CAD managed to trim losses but the recovery was short-lived as the pair was capped by the 100-day SMA at the 1.0180 zone. At time of writing, USD/CAD is trading at the 1.0170 area, where it is virtually unchanged since opening. Central banks eyed In the absence of major data, the pair will likely remain within a tight range till Wednesday when the Fed will decide on monetary policy and release its economic projections and Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz will make his first public speech. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Jun 17, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted June 17, 2013 Author Share Posted June 17, 2013 Flash: USD/CAD faces bearish headwinds – UBS FXstreet.com (New York) - UBS Strategists, Gareth Berry and Geoffrey Yu take a technical perspective at today's commodity-based currencies and outline the technical positions. In terms of the AUD/USD, “The pair is consolidating; however with the MACD below its zero line upside should be limited with resistance at 0.9731. Support is at 0.9416 ahead of 0.9326, suggesting a bearish outlook.” In addition, in looking at the USD/CAD, our focus is on the key support at 1.0120 ahead of 1.0027. Meanwhile resistance is at 1.0226 and is indicating a bearish outlook. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Jun 17, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted June 18, 2013 Author Share Posted June 18, 2013 Cyprus calls for bailout redesign to avoid country's collapse FXstreet.com (San Francisco) - The Cypriot president Nicos Anastasiades has asked Eurozone leaders for the redesign of it €10Bn bailout approved in March. In a last's week letter obtained by Financial Times, Anastasiades said that the bailout was “implemented without careful preparation” wiping out the working capital of Cypriot industry. The president warned the Troika that the "economy is driven into a deep recession, leading to a further rise in unemployment and making fiscal consolidation all the more difficult." Anastasiades also urges leaders "to review the possibilities in order to determine a viable prospect for Cyprus and its people." OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Jun 18, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted June 18, 2013 Author Share Posted June 18, 2013 Flash: USD recovery no sure thing – RBS FXstreet.com (Córdoba) - Fitch Ratings affirmed Switzerland AAA long-term rating Tuesday while keeping a stable outlook on the country. Fitch cited diversified and wealthy economy, strong public finances and Switzerland's strong external finances and institutions. The stable outlook reflects Fitch's assessment that the downside risks to the 'AAA' rating are currently not material. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Jun 18, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted June 19, 2013 Author Share Posted June 19, 2013 Flash: Gilts poised for bullish correction – RBS FXstreet.com (New York) - The price of Gilts is poised for a recovery, as the MACD has turned bullish and candlestick’s Dragonfly Doji followed by a bullish engulfing marked a local bottom. According to Technical Strategist Dmytro Bondar at RBS, “There is however a strong obstacle in the way – 20-day MA, which proved to be a trailing support/resistance. A break above is required to see a recovery to 116.26 and potentially 116.87.” Yield’s negative divergence with the slow stochastic confirms the market is likely to see a bullish correction to 1.94%, which is the 38.2% retracement from the same move and the level of 100-day MA. However, after the correction is completed, the long-term bearish view would come into play again with 2.27% in focus. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Jun 19, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted June 19, 2013 Author Share Posted June 19, 2013 Flash: BoC Poloz Speech – TD Securities FXstreet.com (London) - TD Securities research teams remind us that BoC Governor Poloz makes his maiden public speech this afternoon/ early eve. Mr. Poloz speaks at 12.40ET and his comments will hit the wires just before at 12.25ET. There is an audience Q&A at the event and there will be a press conference after at 14.15ET. At his recent parliamentary appearance, the new BoC Governor’s position on many things sounded just like his predecessor’s so locals may be excused for focusing more on developments in Washington if a similar tone is struck today, explains the teams at TD Securities. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Jun 19, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted June 19, 2013 Author Share Posted June 19, 2013 US equities pause ahead of FOMC FXstreet.com (New York) - The US stock market tepidly opened to the downside, with the FOMC on tap later this afternoon at 18:30 GMT. Beginning with the indices and composites, the NASDAQ fell -0.10% as it settles in region of 3478.65, down -3.40 points in these moments. In addition, the S&P 500 is trading in positive territory, operating at 1648.35, descending -3.29 points or -0.20% at the time of writing. Finally, the Dow Jones has moved higher at the opening, trading in the zone of 15282.41, presently -0.18% after a movement of -35.82 points. Sectors are mostly lower at the opening, however the Telecommunications and Energy sectors have distinguished themselves as the losers thus far, falling -0.62% and -0.24% respectively. Moreover, the price of gold has settled at $1374.58 per oz., while silver is now negotiating a spot price of $21.73 per oz. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Jun 19, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted June 20, 2013 Author Share Posted June 20, 2013 Flash: Markets supportive of Bernankes language - BMO FXstreet.com (London) - Stephen Gallo at BMO feels that Bernanke’s usage of the word “measured” as regards to his description of how asset purchases might be wound down in future was an interesting Greenspan-era “twist”, which gives balance sheet shrinkage an important “tightening feel” to it. He said that although QE tapering is not by any means an actual tightening of policy, from the dual perspectives of market psychology perspective and asset prices, it will almost certainly feel as if it is. For now, however, he would tend to argue that this may be precisely what the Fed wants in order to gradually restore a sense of normality to things, and force market participants to allow fundamentals to drive overall behaviour and broader market conditions going forward. Unsurprisingly then, he say’s, overall conditions this morning in London were supportive of a new layer of QE tapering-adjustment (i.e in terms of USD strength, weakness in equities, strength in bond yields and weakness in high-yield FX), but things generally had a “controlled” feel to them, which is rather important in their view. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Jun 20, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted June 20, 2013 Author Share Posted June 20, 2013 USD/CHF spikes and retreats after US data FXstreet.com (Córdoba) - The USD/CHF saw quick spike after the Philly Fed manufacturing index came out stronger than expected, boosting the USD across the board. USD/CHF spike short-lived However, USD/CHF is back to pre-data levels as the greenback is having a hard time finding momentum as indicators correct from overbought levels following the sharp USD rally. At time of writing, USD/CHF is trading at the 0.9295/0.9300 area, where it records a 0.2% gain on the day and having hit a 10-day high of 0.9360 during the European trade. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Jun 20, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted June 20, 2013 Author Share Posted June 20, 2013 Flash: 10-year US treasuries offer nice buys long-term – RBS FXstreet.com (New York) - According to the RBS Research Team, “The odds favor a September start to Fed tapering, with the burden of proof on the data to prove otherwise. Our read after the Fed was that 10-years were likely to test towards key 2.40% support between now and payrolls, but we have already broken it.” In addition, we favored covering shorts at the close yesterday but have not moved to buy recommendations and still have not. “We like the market long term and 2.40% support is key (watch the close), but its overnight breaking and the fact that the charts are not yet oversold, positions still need to be flushed (and are not yet short), and sentiment is not quite extreme makes us wait. Wait for daily momentum to cross bullishly and weekly momentum to get a bit more oversold and let this one play out.” the team recommends. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Jun 20, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted June 20, 2013 Author Share Posted June 20, 2013 Flash: 10-year US treasuries offer nice buys long-term – RBS FXstreet.com (New York) - According to the RBS Research Team, “The odds favor a September start to Fed tapering, with the burden of proof on the data to prove otherwise. Our read after the Fed was that 10-years were likely to test towards key 2.40% support between now and payrolls, but we have already broken it.” In addition, we favored covering shorts at the close yesterday but have not moved to buy recommendations and still have not. “We like the market long term and 2.40% support is key (watch the close), but its overnight breaking and the fact that the charts are not yet oversold, positions still need to be flushed (and are not yet short), and sentiment is not quite extreme makes us wait. Wait for daily momentum to cross bullishly and weekly momentum to get a bit more oversold and let this one play out.” the team recommends. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Jun 20, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted June 24, 2013 Author Share Posted June 24, 2013 USD/CHF entrenched in negative territory FXstreet.com (New York) - The USD/CHF technical pair has been trading sporadically Monday, having oscillated continuously during US trading, whilst easing shortly after. USD/CHF continues to swing Presently, the USD/CHF is now operating in negative territory at 0.9342, down -0.31% in these moments. According to the analyst team at Mataf.net, supportive structures will trigger at 0.9281, ahead of 0.9198, and finally 0.9155. Conversely, the pair will face resistance at 0.9407, ahead 0.9450, and eventually 0.9533. Earlier today in the United States, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (May), which was reported at -0.3, compared with a figure of -0.52 previously. Moreover, the Dallas Fed Manufacturing Business Index (June) came in at 6.5, climbing from a previous figure of -10.5 in May. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Jun 24, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted June 24, 2013 Author Share Posted June 24, 2013 Flash: AUD/USD faces bearish extension – UBS FXstreet.com (New York) - UBS Strategists, Gareth Berry and Geoffrey Yu take a technical perspective at today's commodity-based currencies and outline the technical positions. In terms of the AUD/USD, “The pair faces a strong support 0.9143. A closing break below this would be further negative. Resistance is at 0.9313 ahead of 0.9415, suggesting a bearish outlook.” The pair is moving higher and posting new highs – resistance is at 1.0524 ahead of 1.0658. Support is at 1.0363. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Jun 24, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted June 24, 2013 Author Share Posted June 24, 2013 EUR/USD clings to 1.3100 FXstreet.com (Córdoba) - Despite some intraday volatility, EUR/USD is trading little changed on the day around 1.3100, mark that has acted as a magnet to the pair on Monday. EUR/USD consolidates around 1.3100 EUR/USD saw a short-lived dip to a 3-week low of 1.3058 at the beginning of the New York session but the USD lacked momentum to drag the pair below that level. With the subsequent bounce capped by the 1.3115 zone, EUR/USD was confined to a phase of consolidation around 1.3100 where it is nearly flat on the day. As for technical levels, a break above 1.3122 (daily high) could pave the way to the 1.3200 level and 1.3245 (100-hour SMA). On the other hand, if the pair falls below 1.3058, next supports are seen at 1.3040 (Jun 4 low) and 1.3000 (psychological level). OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Jun 24, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted June 25, 2013 Author Share Posted June 25, 2013 EEUR/CHF recovery capped by 100-day SMA FXstreet.com (Córdoba) - After falling to a 7-week low on Monday, EUR/CHF found support and bounced, with the euro trimming losses along the day. EUR/CHF moves away from SNB danger zone On Tuesday, EUR/CHF has climbed more than 60 pips as the Swissy lost some of its safe-haven shine on better risk appetite, and reached a high of 1.2295 before the 100-day SMA halted the advance. At time of writing, EUR/CHF is trading at the 1.2285 area, where it records a 0.4% daily gain. In terms of technical levels, EUR/CHF could find immediate resistances at 1.2295 (daily high/100 day SMA) and 1.2350 (Jun 20 high), while supports are seen at 1.2230 (daily low) and 1.2215 (200-day SMA). OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Jun 25, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted June 25, 2013 Author Share Posted June 25, 2013 Flash: Treasuries a buy on global volatility – RBS FXstreet.com (New York) - According to the RBS Research Team, “Global markets remain highly unsettled as rising volatility 'shakes down' months/years of policy-induced carry trades.” While we ultimately believe that the odds are against the US economy performing well enough to elicit a September tapering (especially given events of the past few weeks), we have little confidence that the positioning imbalances that have pushed rates higher (in emerging markets, MBS, dividend rich stocks, municipal bonds, REITS, etc.) have wrung themselves out. As such, we prefer to ride out the storm in cash or maybe front end Treasuries (2-years around key support ~0.40%) until there are clearer signs that investor positioning is better geared to a world of less central bank policy activism (US and China), elevated geopolitical risks (Middle East, Turkey, Brazil, etc) and renewed strains within the Eurozone. Total Treasury inter-dealer broker volume was 137% of the 10-day average through this morning. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Jun 25, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OctaFX_Farid Posted June 26, 2013 Author Share Posted June 26, 2013 USD/CAD stabilizes in negative territory FXstreet.com (New York) - The USD/CAD technical pair has fallen lower during US trading, stabilizing in the region of 1.0470 Wednesday. In the United States, the EIA Crude Oil Stocks change (June 21) was reported at 0.018M, against expectations of -1.900M and compared with a figure of 0.313M previously. USD/CAD entrenched in negative territory At the time of writing, the USD/CAD is entrenched in negative territory, operating at 1.0472 in these moments, unable to shake a -0.40% decline off its opening. Despite the recent stagnation, the Mataf.net analyst team has identified the next short-term measures of support at 1.0464, then 1.0417, and 1.0375. Alternatively, resistance lies higher at 1.0553, onto 1.0595, and 1.0642. USD/CAD downside extension below 1.0530 According to the Technical Analyst Team at ICN.com, “The USD/CAD is trading a bit to the downside, which is expected to extend as long as the pair is stable below 1.0530. Meanwhile, the stochastic and RSI are reflecting the pair’s need for a downside correction.” OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Jun 26, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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