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"EUR/USD: failure is a matter of time"(2012-08-30) EUR/USD: failure is a matter of time EUR/USD keeps moving sideways in the $1.2575/20 area. At the same time, such calm won’t obviously last long. The closest support is provided by the 100-hour MA at $1.2528, while the closest resistance is created by the very short-term resistance line around $1.2568. There’s more resistance at $1.2587 (100-day MA), $1.2592 (23.2% Fibo retracement of 2012 decline). Support also lies at $1.2500, $1.2475, $1.2435, $1.2385 (50-day MA). UBS: “There is still scope for upside in the near-term. A break above 1.2595 would open the way to 1.2664/95.” Commerzbank: The medium term outlook for EUR/USD will remain bearish as long as it’s trading below $1.2740 (June maximums). If euro drops below the uptrend support around $1.2382, its decline will accelerate. Societe Generale: “Recession and more monetary accommodation isn't a recipe for a turnaround, so further weakness is just a matter of time.” Chart. Daily EUR/USD Have a profitable trade with FBS! If you have any questions to our analysts, you're welcome to ask them in comments to this article! Recent market news from FBS Comment here http://www.fbs.com/analytics/2012-08-30/19013-eurusd-failure-matter-time

"GBP/USD: technical & fundamental"(2012-08-30) GBP/USD: technical & fundamental British pound is moving up versus the greenback. GBP/USD has left the daily Ichimoku Cloud last week and crossed 200- and 100-day MAs bottom-up – now these lines and the top of consolidation range around $1.5750 play the role of support for sterling. For the last 2 days the pair is trading in a narrow range of $1.5840/10 ahead of the Fed’s meeting in Jackson Hole. Any hints from Ben Bernanke on further stimulus would hit US dollar pushing GBP/USD to 3-month maximum at 1.5912 reached last week. Analysts at Morgan Stanley expect GBP/USD to strengthen in the near-term to $1.6050. The specialists, however, claim that the medium-term outlook is negative due to concerns about UK economic weakness. Britain is still in recession, so the Bank of England may do more QE later in the year. There’s strong resistance for sterling around $1.6000 (top of the weekly Ichimoku Cloud, downtrend resistance line connecting highs of 2011 and 2012). In addition, investors may be selling sterling versus euro ahead of the ECB meeting next week. Chart. Daily GBP/USD Chart. H1 GBP/USD Have a profitable trade with FBS! If you have any questions to our analysts, you're welcome to ask them in comments to this article! Recent market news from FBS Comment here http://www.fbs.com/analytics/2012-08-30/19011-gbpusd

"IFR: the chance to buy AUD/NZD "(2012-08-30) IFR: the chance to buy AUD/NZD Analysts at IFR Markets underline that AUD/NZD has visited trend line support so far and recoiled up managing to close yesterday above 50/200-day MAs around 1.2890. Today the pair revisited yesterday minimums. The specialists recommend buying Aussie at the current levels. According to IFR, the pair has completed the 3-wave correction from July maximums and is now to resume its advance and break above 1.3050. Chart. Daily AUD/NZD Have a profitable trade with FBS! If you have any questions to our analysts, you're welcome to ask them in comments to this article! Recent market news from FBS Comment here http://www.fbs.com/analytics/2012-08-30/19008-ifr-chance-buy-audnzd

"RBS: EUR may slide vs. AUD, CAD "(2012-08-30) RBS: EUR may slide vs. AUD, CAD The markets are stirred ahead of Bernanke’s speech tomorrow and the ECB meeting next Thursday. Analysts at RBS, however, say that there’s “no reason to take the gambles and run large risk over the events.” In their view, it’s necessary to “wait and see, have the events out of the way.” In the medium term, RBS still favors selling euro versus commodity currencies such as Australian and Canadian dollars. The specialists are worried about the “ever ballooning” ECB balance sheet, and he thinks more liquidity will help the commodity currencies. RBS thinks that EUR/AUD could fall to the 1.1200 range in the next couple of months adding that euro may experience “similar moves against the Canadian dollar.” Chart. Weekly EUR/AUD Have a profitable trade with FBS! If you have any questions to our analysts, you're welcome to ask them in comments to this article! Recent market news from FBS Comment here http://www.fbs.com/analytics/2012-08-30/19006-rbs-eur-may-slide-vs-aud-cad

"Nomura: Beige Book and Jackson Hole "(2012-08-30) Nomura: Beige Book and Jackson Hole The Fed released the Beige Book yesterday – the assessment of current economic conditions. According to the central bank, US economy continued to expand “gradually” in July and early August as improvement in housing and retail sales helped outweigh weakness in manufacturing. Nomura: “The Beige Book suggests the anemic pace of growth in the economy continued into the third quarter, an assessment that does not seem to qualify as the sort of ‘substantial and sustainable strengthening’ needed to dissuade many FOMC members that ‘additional monetary accommodation’ would be needed. It does not alter expectation for the Chairman’s remarks at Friday’s Jackson Hole Summit, nor does it alter our judgment that the FOMC will eventually embark on QE3 in response to persistently high unemployment and greater downside risks in H2 2012. We expect the chairman's remarks to reinforce the key themes from the minutes of the last FOMC meeting, which include absent a significant improvement in the outlook further easing will be warranted, and large-scale asset purchases remain the most effective tool available to the FOMC.” Have a profitable trade with FBS! If you have any questions to our analysts, you're welcome to ask them in comments to this article! Recent market news from FBS Comment here http://www.fbs.com/analytics/2012-08-30/19004-nomura-beige-book-and-jackson-hole

"Key options expiring today "(2012-08-30) Key options expiring today Market prices tend to move towards the strike price at the time large vanilla options (ordinary put and call options) expire. It happens (all things equal) as each side of the deal seeks to hedge its risk exposure. This action is most noticeable ahead of 10 a.m. New York time when the majority of options expire (2 p.m. GMT). Here are the key options expiring today: EUR/USD: $1.2400, $1.2410, $1.2415, $1.2500, $1.2520, $1.2550; USD/JPY: 78.50, 78.70, 80.00; USD/CHF: 0.9600; AUD/USD: $1.0250, $1.0350, $1.0400; NZD/USD: 0.8100. Have a profitable trade with FBS! If you have any questions to our analysts, you're welcome to ask them in comments to this article! Recent market news from FBS Comment here http://www.fbs.com/analytics/2012-08-30/19002-key-options-expiring-today

"August 30: forex news "(2012-08-30) August 30: forex news The markets were going through consolidation phase in Asia. Equities remained weak as Japanese retail sales fell by 0.8% in July and investors are now in doubts that the Fed will announce further stimulus soon. AUD keeps moving down affected by the declining iron ore price as it accounts for 20% of Aussie exports. In addition, a report showed that home-building approvals dropped by 17.3% in July from a month earlier, the largest decrease since November 2002. AUD/USD approached 200-day MA at $1.0308. NZD/USD was supported by 0.8000 and went higher. USD/JPY is trapped in the 78.80/45 area. GBP/USD is moving sideways in the $1.5840/10 zone. USD/CHF is consolidating above 0.9550. EUR/USD was once again stopped by resistance around $1.2575, though the pair remains well supported. In Europe all attention will be focused on Italian 10-year bond auction. Also watch for German unemployment change at 07:55 GMT. The President of the European Commission Jose Manuel Barroso speaks at 09:00 GMT. The ECB President Mario Draghi said in German weekly Die Zeit yesterday that it’s in Germany’s interest to consent to extraordinary steps to preserve the single currency. In US watch for the unemployment claims and consumer spending (cons.: +0.4%; prev.: 0.0%). The Jackson Hole symposium finally starts today. Have a profitable trade with FBS! If you have any questions to our analysts, you're welcome to ask them in comments to this article! Recent market news from FBS Comment here http://www.fbs.com/analytics/2012-08-30/19000-august-30-forex-news

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"Key options expiring today"(2012-08-29) Key options expiring today Market prices tend to move towards the strike price at the time large vanilla options (ordinary put and call options) expire. It happens (all things equal) as each side of the deal seeks to hedge its risk exposure. This action is most noticeable ahead of 10 a.m. New York time when the majority of options expire (2 p.m. GMT). Here are the key options expiring today: EUR/USD: $1.2450, $1.2490, $1.2500, $1.2505, $1.2525, $1.2625; GBP/USD: $1.5650, $1.5730, $1.5750; USD/JPY: 78.15, 79.10, 79.15; AUD/USD: $1.0320, $1.0400, $1.0425, $1.0460; EUR/GBP 0.7900, 0.7975; AUD/JPY: 82.50. Have a profitable trade with FBS! If you have any questions to our analysts, you're welcome to ask them in comments to this article! Recent market news from FBS Comment here http://www.fbs.com/analytics/2012-08-29/18992-key-options-expiring-today

EUR/GBP: technical comments EUR/GBP: technical comments EUR/GBP breached descending trend line resistance from March 28 around 0.7930. It seems that there are some buy limits above 0.7960/65 (August 6, 7 highs). Resistance for the pair lies at 0.8000 (100-day MA, psychological level). Analysts at Commerzbank say that the medium term outlook for EUR/GBP will remain bearish as long as it stays below 0.7963. At the same time, the pair will resume its downtrend only if it slips below Tuesday’s minimum at 0.7856. Analysts at RBS claim that increased support for euro zone sovereign bonds through some form of ECB purchases has provided some support for the EUR over the last week. However, it looks unlikely that the market will see any substantive developments ahead of the September ECB meeting. While, short term fair value for EUR/GBP is 0.8109, there is risk of some downside in the near term if Draghi disappoints on September 6. Chart. Daily EUR/GBP Have a profitable trade with FBS! If you have any questions to our analysts, you're welcome to ask them in comments to this article! Recent market news from FBS Comment here http://www.fbs.com/analytics/2012-08-28/18988-eurgbp-technical-comments

RBC: bearish on NZD/CAD RBC: bearish on NZD/CAD Analysts at RBC Capital Markets recommend selling NZD/CAD. The pair is declining for the third day after it recoiled down from the 50-day MA. On its way down New Zealand’s dollar has already breached 200-day MA at 0.8050 and 100-day MA at 0.8006. RBC explains their recommendation by the fact that New Zealand’s authorities are concerned about NZD strength. Continuing strength of the NZD is eroding any gains from the improvement in commodity prices. NZ commodity prices (in NZD terms) are at the lowest level since November 2009. Today NZ dairy giant Fonterra reduced its forecast payout for the 2012/13 season. This cut to farmers' incomes is worth ~0.2-0.3% of GDP and poses downside risk to RBNZ's GDP forecasts (from its June MPS). The Bank of Canada, on the other hand, is relatively calmer about CAD. Chart. Daily NZD/CAD Have a profitable trade with FBS! If you have any questions to our analysts, you're welcome to ask them in comments to this article! Recent market news from FBS Comment here http://www.fbs.com/analytics/2012-08-28/18986-rbc-bearish-nzdcad

MIG Bank: trading GBP/USD MIG Bank: trading GBP/USD GBP/USD dipped to $1.5753 that is just above the 100-day MA earlier today before returning to the levels right under $1.5800. Sterling reached 3-month maximum at $1.5912 on August 23. Analysts at MIG Bank underline that British pound has breached its 2-month consolidation range to the upside. In their view, the pair’s recent uptrend will hold as long as it’s trading above $1.5708. The specialists recommend trying longs at $1.5810 targeting $1.5912/1.6190/1.6302. Chart. Daily GBP/USD Have a profitable trade with FBS! If you have any questions to our analysts, you're welcome to ask them in comments to this article! Recent market news from FBS Comment here http://www.fbs.com/analytics/2012-08-28/18984-mig-bank-trading-gbpusd

Key options expiring today! Key options expiring today Market prices tend to move towards the strike price at the time large vanilla options (ordinary put and call options) expire. It happens (all things equal) as each side of the deal seeks to hedge its risk exposure. This action is most noticeable ahead of 10 a.m. New York time when the majority of options expire (2 p.m. GMT). Here are the key options expiring today: EUR/USD: $1.2305, $1.2500 (large), $1.2505, $1.2550 (large); GBP/USD: $1.5750, $1.5775, $1.5780, $1.5800; USD/JPY: 79.00; AUD/USD: 1$.0375, $1.0400, $1.0450; EUR/JPY: 96.50, 97.35, 99.25 (large); AUD/JPY: 83.65. Have a profitable trade with FBS! If you have any questions to our analysts, you're welcome to ask them in comments to this article! Recent market news from FBS Comment here http://www.fbs.com/analytics/2012-08-24/18944-key-options-expiring-today

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"USD/JPY: dollar may still recover"(2012-08-24) USD/JPY: dollar may still recover USD/JPY has been declining since Monday. The pair recoiled down from the 100-day MA and the top of the daily Ichimoku Cloud and returned to the previous sideways range within which it was trading in the first half of August. On the downside US dollar is supported by the risk of Japan’s interventions, on the upside – limited by the MAs and the recent highs. USD may once again try to reach 80.00 yen, but we don’t this will happen last now. The final week of August will be highlighted with the expectations of more QE and this has to be a restraining factor for US currency. Next week watch for US preliminary Q2 GDP and pending home sales. Both indicators are expected to improve. Standard Chartered believe that Japanese CPI data due next week will likely intensify concerns about deflationary pressure. Analysts at Commerzbank stick to medium-term bullish view saying that USD/JPY will be targeting 80.00 as long as it trades above 77.90 (August minimum). Barclays sees see little downside risk from these levels, given Japanese policymakers' focus on the level of USD/JPY, while relative monetary policy and the risk of a sovereign downgrade suggest significant USD/JPY upside. Chart. Daily USD/JPY Have a profitable trade with FBS! If you have any questions to our analysts, you're welcome to ask them in comments to this article! Recent market news from FBS Comment here http://www.fbs.com/analytics/2012-08-24/18952-usdjpy-dollar-may-still-recover

"MIG Bank: trading GBP/USD"(2012-08-24) MIG Bank: trading GBP/USD GBP/USD is experiencing a correction after a rally to 3-month maximum of $1.5912 (61.8% Fibo retracement from May decline). Analysts at MIG Bank are bullish on British currency. The specialists say that sterling is likely to retreat to previous high at $1.5800, but then it will resume growth as it managed to break to the upside its 2-month consolidation. The bank recommends placing buy limit at $1.5810 targeting 1.5912/1.6190/1.6302 at stopping at $1.5708. On a downside, support lies at $1.5785 (50% retracement), $1.5750 (50-day MA), $1.5715 (200-day MA), $1.5660 and $1.5620. Resistance for GBP/USD lies at $1.5930 (February 8, April 10 maximum), $1.6000 (March 27 maximum, psychological level). Chart. Daily GBP/USD Have a profitable trade with FBS! If you have any questions to our analysts, you're welcome to ask them in comments to this article! Recent market news from FBS Comment here http://www.fbs.com/analytics/2012-08-24/18950-mig-bank-trading-gbpusd

"NZD: technical picture"(2012-08-24) NZD: technical picture NZD/USD tested yesterday an important resistance of 0.8200 (2008 maximums, resistance line connecting 2011 and 2012 maximums). Yesterday’s daily candle looks very bearish. NZD has support at 0.8100 (late June maximums), 0.8040 (August minimums) and 0.8000 (around here daily MAs intersect). New Zealand released trade balance data: the nation’s trade surplus narrowed from 287M revised in June to 15M in July. Note, however, that with all the talk about potential easing from the major central banks, so it will very difficult for the bears to push the pair lower. Analysts at NAB say: “As speculation regarding further quantitative easing from the Fed is renewed we see the NZD/USD finding eventual support and backing. Despite the volatility associate with the currency and the upcoming events, over the medium term we see the NZD/USD supported by relative growth and interest rate differentials, and maintain a year-end target of 0.8200.” Commerzbank keeps insisting on the close coming downward reversal underlining that there’s resistance at 0.8223 (recent maximum) and 0.8260 (March resistance). Chart. Daily NZD/USD There’s the scope for some consolidation in the short term. The situation at H4 doesn’t look bad, kiwi isn’t overbought. Chart. H4 NZD/USD Have a profitable trade with FBS! If you have any questions to our analysts, you're welcome to ask them in comments to this article! Recent market news from FBS Comment here http://www.fbs.com/analytics/2012-08-24/18948-nzd-technical-picture

"EUR/USD: news from the battlefield"(2012-08-24) EUR/USD: news from the battlefield EUR/USD is trading about 50 pips below 6-week maximum at $1.2589 reached yesterday. Sumitomo Mitsui: “Various potential pitfalls for the euro are coming up, so people want to sell when it rises. They sell and then buy back, sell and then buy back. There has been a continuation of that. The moves that have taken place are nothing more than position unwinding. Such unwinding may persist in the near term given a recent accumulation of short euro positions.” Commerzbank: EUR/USD has already practically reached the targets $1.2597 (78.6% Fib) and $1.2600 by printing a daily maximum around $1.2590. The medium term downtrend will eventually resume. We’ll understand that this is happening when euro drops below $1.2342 (Tuesday’s minimum). We’ll stop speaking about correction and will admit euro’s strengthening when the single currency overcomes resistance of $1.2705/48. Rise above $1.2590 may trigger further advance of EUR/USD to $1.2626 (June 7 maximum) and $1.2668 (June 11 maximum). Decline below yesterday’s minimums at $1.2523 would confirm continuation of the bearish trend, towards next downward target at $1.2410. Watch USA durable goods at 12:30 GMT. Chart. H4 EUR/USD Have a profitable trade with FBS! If you have any questions to our analysts, you're welcome to ask them in comments to this article! Recent market news from FBS Comment here http://www.fbs.com/analytics/2012-08-24/18946-eurusd-news-battlefield

"key option expiring today"(2012-08-24) Key options expiring today Market prices tend to move towards the strike price at the time large vanilla options (ordinary put and call options) expire. It happens (all things equal) as each side of the deal seeks to hedge its risk exposure. This action is most noticeable ahead of 10 a.m. New York time when the majority of options expire (2 p.m. GMT). Here are the key options expiring today: EUR/USD: $1.2450, $1.2500, $1.2510, $1.2550; GBP/USD: $1.5700; USD/JPY: 78.50, 79.55. 79.75' AUD/USD: $1.0290, $1.0300. Have a profitable trade with FBS! If you have any questions to our analysts, you're welcome to ask them in comments to this article! Recent market news from FBS Comment here http://www.fbs.com/analytics/2012-08-24/18944-key-options-expiring-today

"August 24: forex news"(2012-08-24) August 24: forex news As it has become usual during the recent days EUR/USD was in a very narrow range during the Asian session. Yesterday EUR renewed 6-week maximum at $1.2589. Greek Prime Minister Samaras visits German Chancellor Angela Merkel in Berlin. On Thursday Merkel said that her country and France will coordinate on their approach to keep pressure on Greece to overhaul its economy. JPY strengthened versus the majority of its counterparts this week as demand for safe havens increased due to declines in Asian stocks and weakening global economic data. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index of shares is down by 1.1%. S&P 500 slid by 0.8% in New York yesterday, while the Stoxx Europe 600 Index fell by 0.6%. USD/JPY is back down from Monday’s high of 79.65 to the levels below 78.60. BOJ Gov Shirakawa speaks today at 7:45 GMT. AUD depreciated this week as RBA’s Stevens said today that he did not intervene to the currency market, but pointed out that Aussie was higher than he expected. Stevens also claimed that Australian mining boom has another year or 2 left before it peaks. AUD/USD is testing support at $1.0420. UK Q2 revised GDP is due at 8:30 today. Analysts expect an upward revision from -0.7% to -0.5% q/q. GBP/USD is down from 3-month high of $1.5912 reached yesterday. Also pay attention to US core durable goods orders (12:30 GMT). Have a nice Friday! Have a profitable trade with FBS! If you have any questions to our analysts, you're welcome to ask them in comments to this article! Recent market news from FBS Comment here http://www.fbs.com/analytics/2012-08-24/18942-august-24-forex-news

"GBP/USD: an impressive advance"(2012-08-23) GBP/USD: an impressive advance On Thursday GBP/USD tested the levels above $1.5900 (61.8% Fibo retracement from the May decline). This week the pair demonstrates impressive growth, climbing more than two big figures since Monday, when it was trading below $1.5700. Sterling was pushed up by easing hints from the US (dovish FOMC meeting minutes) and China (weaker HSBC PMI). Tomorrow we expect the release of the revised Q2 UK GDP. The market expects UK Q2 GDP to be revised upwards from -0.7% to -0.5% q/q. After such advance British currency is clearly overbought (see the RSI at H4 chart), so some correction’s on its way. The general outlook for the pair will remain positive as long as it’s trading above 200-day MA at $1.5715. Once above $1.5930, the pair will be on its way to $1.6000. From a technical point of view, next resistance for GBP/USD lies at $1.5930 (February 8 maximum), $1.6000 (March 27 maximum, psychological level). On a downside, next support lies at $1.5785 (50% retracement), $1.5750 (50-day MA), $1.5715 (200-day MA), $1.5660 and $1.5620. Chart. Daily GBP/USD Have a profitable trade with FBS! If you have any questions to our analysts, you're welcome to ask them in comments to this article! Recent market news from FBS Comment here http://www.fbs.com/analytics/2012-08-23/18932-gbpusd-impressive-advance

"AUD/USD: technical picture"(2012-08-23) AUD/USD: technical picture AUD/USD trades around $1.0500, on the upside for the fourth day in a row. On the H4 chart Aussie’s consolidating in the $1.0535/0420 band. The general uptrend since June is still intact. Chart. H4 AUD/USD Although US dollar was weakened by the talks of more easing from the Fed, AUD/USD doesn’t hurry to renew the recent highs around $1.0600: there’s a strong resistance there coming from the line which connects 2011 and 2012 maximums. For now the pair still has some scope for the sideways moves. According to analysts at NAB, AUD/USD is likely to trade above $1.0500 in a near-term as the greenback will remain under pressure at least until Jackson Hole. Note that there are plenty of resistance levels on the upside (see the chart). Once $1.0420 support is breached, we’d look for a decline to another critical level of $1.0280 (200-day MA). Strategists at RBC are bearish on AUD/USD despite the fact the pair performed well over the past year and expect the RBA to lower rates by 0.75% in the next 12 months – the action which would weaken Aussie. Chart. Daily AUD/USD Have a profitable trade with FBS! If you have any questions to our analysts, you're welcome to ask them in comments to this article! Recent market news from FBS Comment here http://www.fbs.com/analytics/2012-08-23/18930-audusd-technical-picture

"August 23: forex news"(2012-08-23) August 23: forex news On Wednesday the main market event was the release of the Fed meeting minutes. Many Fed policymakers think additional stimulus probably will be needed soon unless the economy shows signs of a rebound. On the back of this data EUR/USD reached a 6-week high at $1.2552. Today’s session may bring plenty of potentially negative data for the single currency: German final GDP, German and French PMIs and EU flash PMI (7:00-8:00 GMT). In the US initial jobs claims will be printed at 12:30 GMT and new home sales – at 14:00 GMT. A meeting between Merkel and Hollande scheduled for today could offer enough news to move the pair either way. High-yielding currencies such as AUD and NZD also rocketed on Fed’s news, offsetting previous losses they suffered ahead of today’s PMI releases in Europe. However, there growth was limited after HSBC China PMI printed the lowest level of 2012 at 47.8, down from 49.3 in July. AUD/USD, therefore, reached $1.0544, but then slid to the levels around $1.0500. NZD/USD jumped to $0.8184 on easing prospects, but then slipped to the $0.8160 area. USD/CAD trades around 0.9890. GBP/USD rose to $1.5907 after a three-day growth. The pair will be strongly influenced by the EU data. USD/JPY trades around 78.55 yen after a drop to 78.30 on the Fed (lowest since August 13). Have a profitable trade with FBS! If you have any questions to our analysts, you're welcome to ask them in comments to this article! Recent market news from FBS Comment here http://www.fbs.com/analytics/18928-august-23-forex-news

"EUR/JPY: technical update"(2012-08-22) EUR/JPY: technical update EUR/JPY is rising since the end of July when it hit the minimal levels since 2000 around 94.10 yen. The pair has entered the descending daily Ichimoku Cloud for the first time since it broke below the cloud in early May. On the downside, the Cloud’s bottom will provide support for the single currency. Euro’s currently testing the 98.65 level (61.8% Fibo retracement of the decline from June 21 maximum). If EUR/JPY gets higher, it will get chance to revisit 101.60 yen. At the same time, EUR/JPY still remains within longer-term downtrend and at some point it’s likely to return to the 94.00 zone. Analysts at MIG Bank recommend looking for “signs of weakness closer to the resistance at 101.63 to initiate a short position”. We concede a correction towards 98.00 (50% Fib. retracement and the lower boundary of the Ichimoku cloud). What’s more, on the H4 chart RSI indicator is close to 70. Chart. Daily EUR/JPY Have a profitable trade with FBS! If you have any questions to our analysts, you're welcome to ask them in comments to this article! Recent market news from FBS Comment here http://www.fbs.com/analytics/2012-08-22/18926-eurjpy-technical-update