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What’s next? – USDJPY 12.04.18 The dollar was trading 0.15 percent higher vs the Japanese yen at 106.94 as of 06:25 GMT on Thursday, as the dollar recovered moderately on the back of upbeat inflation data. Yesterday, the core consumer price index showed a 2.1 percent year-on-year growth for March, its best performance since February 2017, compared to a prior month 1.8 percent. The US dollar index, which gauges the greenback against six major currencies, was trading 0.08 percent higher at 89.33 by the time of this writing. Ahead in the day, the US export/import price index is up at 12:30 GMT. No other relevant reports are scheduled for today’s session. We believe attention will turn to political developments. Overnight, the Trump administration warned Moscow about its position in the Syria conflict, suggesting serious military actions would be taken against Bashar al-Assad’s regime. President Donald Trump tweeted: “Russia vows to shoot down any and all missiles fired at Syria. Get ready Russia, because they will be coming, nice and new and “smart!” You shouldn’t be partners with a Gas Killing Animal who kills his people and enjoys it!” Earlier this week, the Republican leader told a group of reporters that “[the United States] have a lot of options, militarily. And we'll be letting you know pretty soon" It seems investors’ focus is not shifting from US-China trade relations to US-Russia war relations. This matter could potentially be much more damaging than a trade war, therefore market players are likely to closely monitor the situation. The pair is expected to run high on the back of higher geopolitical uncertainty. The USDJPY will be driven by fear and the Japanese yen will take the lead in that case. USDJPY Forex analysis

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CAD surges further on weaker USD It was all downhill today for the USDCAD as the USD weakness continued to be a major factor. This comes as China looks to work together with the US in order to help deal with intellectual property rights and bring about the end of the trade war. However, it seems that the USD is currently not in favour with traders and they're pushing it lower every chance they get, and no more so than against the CAD which is currently one of the strongest currencies out there. One thing that is worrisome, and on the horizon, is of course the US CPI reading which if strong could potentially lead to a bounce in the USDCAD as it does show signs of being oversold at present. In the long run though the USDCAD does seem like it could potentially run away further on the back of the head and shoulders pattern which has given the bears so much more hunger as of late. For the USDCAD bears the bottom is looking all the more possible and I am expecting to see some sort of push to support at 1.2548 on the chart. A bounce here not be a surprise as it's oversold at present and probably some traders will look to take profit. However, if we see sustained momentum and we have so far - with the 200 day moving average being swept aside - then I would expect further extensions to potentially 1.2406. In the event the bounce leads to a push back higher the neck line around 1.2807 is likely to be some hard work for the bulls to even crack through, as I would expect the vast majority of traders to defend this heavily. Oil has been one of the surprise movers in recent times as it rebounded sharply up the charts recently. This should not come as a surprise as the USD has been weaker over the last few days. The question now remains can it sustain a push to resistance at 66.05, as the majority of traders believe that at present 60-70 is the current market range we should expect in the near future. Beyond this level is something we've not seen since 2014. I would anticipate that any moves higher may be met with some bearish resistance but it's hard to tell just yet as oil has not been above this level for some time. On the charts in the long run momentum has always been bullish with a strong long term trend line. And the bulls today certainly showed they were keen to continue momentum with that push to resistance at 66.05. I would be surprised to see it breakthrough and I expect markets will look for a bounce here, especially if the USD does strengthen. If we do see that bounce then expect the bears to pull it back to 64.57, which will be the next level of support as the market falls. If we do however see a breakthrough then I would need to see a close above the resistance level to keep bullish momentum going. Get news forex analysis

Xi Jinping provided equity bulls a much-needed boost Appetite for risk bolstered Tuesday morning, as Chinese President Xi Jinping offered plans to further open up the second largest economy. Xi’s public speech at the Boao Forum came days after the U.S. and China exchanged tit-for-tat tariffs threats, which kept investors on edge for several weeks. He promised to lower import tariffs for autos, as well as on some other products, open up the financial and insurance sectors, and most importantly, to increase protection to intellectual property. Xi’s speech calmed markets by responding to all of Donald Trump’s concerns, without even mentioning him. Now it’s time for China to provide specific figures and a timeline on how these reforms will be implemented. I think what was achieved today is likely to reduce trade tensions and buy some extra time. Whether the U.S. will wave back with an olive branch to China remains to be seen, but certainly, the probability of a full-blown trade war is now much lower than a week ago. Asian equities were all in the green this morning with the Hang Seng Index and Nikkei 225 climbing more than 1%. Futures are also indicating a positive start to Europe and U.S. – the S&P 500 futures are up 1.3% at the time of writing. However, the new geopolitical risks over the increased conflict in Syria cannot be ignored. This came after the U.S. imposed a wide range of financial sanctions on Russian assets, causing stocks to suffer their worst performance in four years and the ruble falling as much as 4.1%. Russia warned the U.S. that any military reprisal to Saturdays’ chemical attack in Syria could have “grave repercussions”. Will U.S. and Russia go into a confrontation in Syria? This likely depends on Trump’s decision over the next 24 hours, but the risks are high. Although oil prices may have risen on hopes that trade tensions will ease, investors may start pricing in a much higher risk premium. So far, it seems the conflict in Syria has no impact on the supply from the Middle East, but if the battle spills outside the Syrian border, I expect another $10 risk premium to be added to the current price. The economic calendar is light today, so expect currency traders to continue taking the cue from equity markets. # best forex analysis

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Ethereum Weekly Price Analysis – April 8 ETHUSD Long-term Trend – Bearish Distribution territories: $500.00, $600.00, $700.00. Accumulation territories: $300.00, $200.00, $100.00. This week ETHUSD pair continues to trend southward almost the same bearish outlook as last week’s formation. On April 3rd, the price managed to form a lower high above distribution territory of $400.00, April 4th marked another noticeable bearish movement in the market. Presently, price has also moved deeply southward and has now been trading around the accumulation territory of $400.00. Moving average 50 is far above moving average 13. The price action has been traded along the bearish path of moving average 13 consecutively with a wide space notification to moving average 50. The stochastic oscillator remains crossed into the oversold zone and also pointing southward. However, the current price trend could, in the long-term, accumulate momentum from breaking below the next accumulation territory of $300.00 and form a trading range towards another accumulation territory of $200.00. Pit stops can be experienced if that eventually cropped up. Traders can look out at that point in time to take on the bull from a reversal or a pullback which can lead to a potential markup in price in the next few weeks. The views and opinions expressed here do not reflect that of CryptoGlobe.com and do not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research. Get this forex analysis news

The US dollar extended its recovery in the new quarter, at least against the majors. Is this trend real? US inflation data and the FOMC meeting minutes stand out in the second week of April. Here are the highlights for the upcoming week. The US gained only 103K jobs in March, fewer than expected. However, wage growth accelerated to 2.7%, in line with early projections. The greenback continued its recovery against its major peers, clawing back lost ground, regardless of the turbulence in stocks and the worsening tensions around trade. The only exception was the Canadian dollar, which enjoyed a strong gain in domestic jobs and also the rising chances for a deal on NAFTA. Updates: US PPI: Tuesday, 12:30. The Producer Price Index is often considered a leading indicator towards the more significant Consumer Price Index. Prices at factory gates perpetuate further. Headline PPI is expected to rise by 0.1% m/m in March, half the rate of February, while Core PPI is forecast to repeat the previous gain of 0.2%. Mario Draghi talks Wednesday, 11:00. The President of the European Central Bank will appear in front of a student conference in Frankfurt and will also take questions from the crowd. He will have an opportunity to respond to the growing signs of a slowdown in the euro-zone economies, or at least the peak of the cycle, around December. Any comments about inflation will be interesting to watch. US inflation: Wednesday, 12:30. Inflation remains the missing ingredient in the US growth story. Despite healthy gains in jobs and decent GDP growth, inflation remains stubbornly low. Core CPI remained stuck at 1.8% y/y in February with a monthly rise of 0.2%. This time, yet another 0.2% increase is expected in core CPI while headline prices are projected to remain unchanged in March. FOMC Meeting Minutes: Wednesday, 18:00. The Fed releases the minutes from the first meeting overseen by Fed Chair Jerome Powell. While the FOMC raised rates and upgrade the outlook for 2019 and 2020, they did not upgrade the prospects for 2018. The meeting minutes may shed some light on the deliberations. Is the sentiment growing more hawkish and are they on the verge of a fourth hike? How worried are they on the ongoing jitters around global trade? We may get a notion of the mindset. ECB Meeting Minutes: Thursday, 11:30. These are minutes from the ECB’s meeting in March, where forecasts were hardly changed and Draghi made an effort to downplay the slightly more hawkish stance in the statement. The publication is over a month after the event, making it somewhat stale as we have received quite a few data points since then. However, the ongoing battle between the hawks and the doves about ending QE and a potential rate hike somewhere in 2019 rages on. US Consumer Confidence: Friday, 14:00. The preliminary release of the University of Michigan’s consumer confidence provides an outlook towards the retail sale sales. In March, the figure reached 101.4 points, higher than in previous months and above the round number of 100. A minor slide to 100.8 points is on the cards now. JOLTS Job Openings: Friday, 14:00. This lagging indicator for the jobs market is watched closely by the Fed and is of importance after jumping to an annualized level of 6.31 million back in January. The data for February is projected to show a dip to 6.22 million. The number of quits is also of interest as it is a measure of confidence. More quits imply people are confident to move on, and often to better jobs.

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Forex Weekly Outlook April 9-13 - Can the dollar continue higher? The US dollar extended its recovery in the new quarter, at least against the majors. Is this trend real? US inflation data and the FOMC meeting minutes stand out in the second week of April. Here are the highlights for the upcoming week. The US gained only 103K jobs in March, fewer than expected. However, wage growth accelerated to 2.7%, in line with early projections. The greenback continued its recovery against its major peers, clawing back lost ground, regardless of the turbulence in stocks and the worsening tensions around trade. The only exception was the Canadian dollar, which enjoyed a strong gain in domestic jobs and also the rising chances for a deal on NAFTA. Updates: US PPI: Tuesday, 12:30. The Producer Price Index is often considered a leading indicator towards the more significant Consumer Price Index. Prices at factory gates perpetuate further. Headline PPI is expected to rise by 0.1% m/m in March, half the rate of February, while Core PPI is forecast to repeat the previous gain of 0.2%. Mario Draghi talks Wednesday, 11:00. The President of the European Central Bank will appear in front of a student conference in Frankfurt and will also take questions from the crowd. He will have an opportunity to respond to the growing signs of a slowdown in the euro-zone economies, or at least the peak of the cycle, around December. Any comments about inflation will be interesting to watch. US inflation: Wednesday, 12:30. Inflation remains the missing ingredient in the US growth story. Despite healthy gains in jobs and decent GDP growth, inflation remains stubbornly low. Core CPI remained stuck at 1.8% y/y in February with a monthly rise of 0.2%. This time, yet another 0.2% increase is expected in core CPI while headline prices are projected to remain unchanged in March. FOMC Meeting Minutes: Wednesday, 18:00. The Fed releases the minutes from the first meeting overseen by Fed Chair Jerome Powell. While the FOMC raised rates and upgrade the outlook for 2019 and 2020, they did not upgrade the prospects for 2018. The meeting minutes may shed some light on the deliberations. Is the sentiment growing more hawkish and are they on the verge of a fourth hike? How worried are they on the ongoing jitters around global trade? We may get a notion of the mindset. ECB Meeting Minutes: Thursday, 11:30. These are minutes from the ECB’s meeting in March, where forecasts were hardly changed and Draghi made an effort to downplay the slightly more hawkish stance in the statement. The publication is over a month after the event, making it somewhat stale as we have received quite a few data points since then. However, the ongoing battle between the hawks and the doves about ending QE and a potential rate hike somewhere in 2019 rages on. US Consumer Confidence: Friday, 14:00. The preliminary release of the University of Michigan’s consumer confidence provides an outlook towards the retail sale sales. In March, the figure reached 101.4 points, higher than in previous months and above the round number of 100. A minor slide to 100.8 points is on the cards now. JOLTS Job Openings: Friday, 14:00. This lagging indicator for the jobs market is watched closely by the Fed and is of importance after jumping to an annualized level of 6.31 million back in January. The data for February is projected to show a dip to 6.22 million. The number of quits is also of interest as it is a measure of confidence. More quits imply people are confident to move on, and often to better jobs. @get weekly forex analysis news

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What’s next? – USDJPY 06.04.18 The dollar was trading 0.08 percent lower vs the Japanese yen at 107.28 as of 06:35 GMT on Friday, with market players looking ahead to fresh data. The US dollar index, which measures the greenback against six major currencies, was trading 0.02 percent lower at 90.14 by the time of this writing. White House National Economic Council Director Larry Kudlow said Washington was hoping to reach an agreement with the Beijing. “Our intention is not to punish anybody. Our intention is to open markets and investments and lower barriers — that’s the deal,” Kudlow said. This posture is in strict contrast with White House Trade Adviser Peter Navarro, who had previously stated “the expectation is that at the end of 60 days there will be tariffs imposed.” Easing concerns over the trade dispute between the US and China reduces demand for safe-haven yen, opening the doors to further gains for the pair. Also prospecting an upward extension is employment data. A strong labor market builds a case for the Federal Reserve to further adjust monetary policy and interest rates. Ahead in today’s session, the trade dispute will remain in focus, but also attention will turn to a batch of fresh economic reports, including the latest employment figures in the US. The Labor Department will present its employment report for March, which includes average hourly earnings, nonfarm payrolls, participation rate and the unemployment rate. Currently, economists estimate the following results: 0.2%; 203,000; 195,000 and 4.0% respectively. #get forex analysis news

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Global markets consolidate, but remain indecisive Investors are likely to have breathed a sigh of relief after the US stock markets’ worst start to the second quarter since the 1929 Great Depression failed to encourage a widespread selloff across the global markets, as traders returned to their desks after the annual Easter holidays. While we are still encountering quite a subdued trading atmosphere, where major stock markets are in general struggling to find their direction, we are not facing the type of selling pressure that should worry people that there is some serious distress in the equity markets. It does remain difficult to pinpoint whether trade war concerns, or the recent selloff in stocks like Amazon, are driving the market volatility but there is some room to side with the latter. Another tweet from President Trump reinforcing his negative view on Amazon sent the US stock markets on another volatile ride overnight. It does not appear that trade tensions between the US and China are driving the price action this week. The general consensus is that a trade war will be of no benefit to anyone, which indicates why investors are not reacting that sensitively to the ongoing headlines between Beijing and Washington. Beijing has, as you would expect, condemned the news that the United States published a list of over 1000 Chinese products that it plans to hit with a 25% tariff, but it has not created much of a reaction in the financial markets as it stands. There has been just as muted of a reaction in the currency markets, where it can be said that many currencies are not reacting as heavily to the ongoing shifts in sentiment for the equity markets as you would usually expect in a period of higher volatility. This can be seen as another reason to suggest that trade war concerns are not driving the direction of the markets, and that it is the selloff in corporations like Amazon that is behind the erratic behaviour in stock markets. If investors were significantly concerned that there was a risk of a trade war, currencies like the Japanese Yen and the Swiss Franc would be performing much stronger than they have over recent trading sessions. Emerging market currencies like the Malaysian Ringgit, Thai Baht, Indonesian Rupiah and even the Chinese Yuan itself are, on the other hand, outperforming what you would expect if there were fears that a trade war is upon us. Rand showing signs of weakness The South African Rand has outperformed expectations given that trade war concerns are dominating the news flow. While South Africa might appear to be heavily isolated from the ongoing diplomatic tensions over trade between the US and China, the Rand would be at risk to weakness if the trade tensions between China and the United States intensify and investor attraction towards higher-risk assets takes a hit. We have seen some weakness in the Rand over the Easter holiday, although the catalyst behind the fluctuation is likely to be last week’s comments from the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) that the local currency is overvalued. GBPUSD attempting 4 days of consecutive gains The British Pound appears to be attempting its fourth day of gains against the US Dollar during early Wednesday trading, with the Sterling receiving support after the UK manufacturing survey for March exceeded expectations yesterday. As long as the GBPUSD maintains its ground above 1.40, there is potential for the Pound to trade higher this month. We have noticed in recent weeks that investors are potentially using the 1.40 level in the GBPUSD as a possible pivot level, before deciding what direction the Pound could trade next; therefore, I will continue to monitor the 1.40 level in this pair. If the GBPUSD manages to slip back below 1.40, it would put the Cable at risk to concluding its current run of gains. See directly all forex analysis news

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The "majors" ar the U.S. dollar/Japanese yen (USD/JPY), the Euro/U.S. dollar (EUR/USD), the U.S. dollar/Swiss monetary unit (USD/CHF) and also the British pound/U.S. dollar (GBP/USD). A broker might supply a large choice of forex pairs, however what's most vital is that they provide the pair(s) within which the dealer or capitalist is interested. (For additional info on the most important pairs, see our tutorial on Forex Currencies.) 4. Client Service Forex trade happens twenty four hours on a daily basis, therefore a broker's client support ought to be on the market at any time. Another thought is that the ease with that one will speak with a live person, instead of a time over whelming, and infrequently frustrating, motorcar attendant. Once considering a broker, a fast decision will provide you with a thought of the kind of client service they supply, wait times and also the representative's ability to shortly answer queries relating to spreads, leverage, rules and company details. These details embody however long they need been a forex broker and also the size of their trade volume (larger brokers typically have access to raised costs and execution). 5. Trading Platform The trading platform is that the investor's portal to the markets. As such, traders ought to check that the platform and any computer code is simple to use, visually pleasing, encompasses a form of technical and/or elementary analysis tools, which trades may be entered and exited with ease. This last purpose is very important: A well-designed commercialism platform can have clear ‘buy' and ‘sell' buttons, and a few even have a "panic" button that closes all open positions. A poorly designed interface, on the opposite hand, may lead to pricey order entry mistakes, like accidentally adding to a footing instead of closing it, or going short once you meant to travel long. 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S&P 500 breaks 200 day moving average Easter Monday is normally characterised by light trading, but today was anything but out the ordinary, as the US equity markets swung lower sharply on the back of the announcements of tariffs from China on the US. This is quite serious as the 200 day moving average has been broken, and this held back bearish movements previously. With the last line of defence now gone, it could be a case of the bears looking to push their control. This in theory has not been helped by President Trumps attacks on Amazon which have sent tech stocks down as he looks for a target. If the market sentiment is anything to go by then I would be deeply concerned for the bulls, as many have long thought of the share market being overbought, and this could be the start of some serious bearish pressure. With the 200 day moving average being broken I would expect to see some bullish pressure to see what the market is made of. In this instance I believe any push-back up higher would likely treat the 200 day moving average as dynamic resistance in this instance. The target now for any bears looking for lower lows will be of course the 2532 resistance level, closely followed up by the 2508 level. This area will be the key to see if the S&P 500 has the legs to go even lower, and the bulls and bears will battle it out around here. In the event the bulls cane reassert control, then as mentioned before the 200 day moving average will be a hard task to beat with such a huge extension lower. All in all market sentiment is bearish now, and it will be hard to beat. But it's also worth noting that this is no 2008 scenario, the American economy is still doing strong and it's mainly politics which is driving the lower lows. In reality we could just end up with the market correction we've anticipated for some time. Crude oil has been one of the big movers today as well, but this should come as no surprise after the recent economic woes on equity markets have spooked bulls, and as the USD lifted strongly against most of the major pairs. Many market commentators have been quick to point that over $70.00 a barrel seems unlikely as demand stays static and they expect a range of 50-70 dollars in the short to medium term. Then again time and time again we've seen commentators be wrong and oil can swing quite wildly. On the charts the fall lower has so far been stopped by the 20 day moving average. This shows reluctance from the bears to test the technical's, so this looks more like a test the waters sort of move today. However, the ceiling at 66.05 has held for some time and is not looking like it may face much pressure. As a result this could just be trending sideways for the short term and levels will be key for traders looking to take profits. In particular support levels at 62.64, 61.00 and 58.88. With the long term daily bullish trend line to also take into consideration. #source forex analysis update

Weekly Trading Forecasts for Major Pairs (April 2 - 6, 2018) Here’s the market outlook for the week: EURUSD The market went upwards last week, to test resistance line at 1.2450; a level from which a bearish correction was experienced. Price came down to test the support line at 1.2300, and then closed just above it. While the current bias on the market is neutral, it is expected that a rise in momentum will happen before the end of this week, which would most probably favor bearish, because the outlook on EUR pairs is strong bearish for the week. USDCHF This bias on this pair is bullish – but it is currently not a strong bias. Since testing the support level at 0.9200 (February 16), price has managed to gain about 360 pips. Last week, it managed to stay briefly above the resistance level at 0.9550, after which it closed below it again. A rise in the market is expected this week, which would also be fueled by weakness in EURUSD. The resistance levels at 0.9550, 0.9600 and 0.9650 could be reached before the end of the week. GBPUSD GBPUSD is bearish in the short-term, but neutral in the long-term. Last week, price nearly reached the distribution territory at 1.4250, after which it dived towards the accumulation territory at 1.4000. The outlook on GBP pairs is bearish for this week. However it is strongly bullish for April. While the general movement is expected to be upside in April, some selling pressure would be witnessed this week, which could propel price towards the accumulation territories at 1.4000, 1.3950 and 1.3900. USDJPY The trading instrument is bearish in the long-term, and bullish in the short-term. There is a Bullish Confirmation Pattern in the market, at least on a short-term basis. Price rose 220 pips last week, to test the supply level at 107.00, and then retraced below the supply level at 106.50. The supply level at 107.00 has thus become a major barrier for any bullish effort, as price goes downwards towards the demand levels at 106.00, 105.50 and 105.00. EURJPY This cross is bearish in the long-term, and rather neutral in the short-term. Price is currently choppy as things are now in a range. There is a supply zone at 132.00 and a demand zone at 130.00. As long as price saunters between these two zones, the short-term neutrality will hold. There is a higher probability that price will go southwards (in agreement with the long-term outlook) when a breakout does occur. GBPJPY The market is choppy and without direction, although the long-term bias is bearish. In March, what generally happened could be called a rally in a context of a downtrend, as price moved from the demand zone at 145.00, to reach the supply zone at 150.50. The outlook on JPY pairs is bearish for this week, and for this month, which means long trades are not recommended (except in a very short-term context). There will be great volatility on JPY pairs, which would most probably favor bears. This forecast is concluded with the quote below: “It’s not about the system, it’s about the trader’s ability to execute the system.” - Curtis Faith Source: https://www.fxdailyinfo.com/?p=forex-analysis &id=5573

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