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Fundamental Analysis for GBP/USD: September 30, 2016 The GBP/USD pair continued to sway between 1.2950 and 1.3050 with no definite direction. This indefinite stance of the GBP/USD was mainly caused by an expected break on both sides by traders but has not since occurred. However, the value of the currency seemed to be controlled by EUR/GBP cash flows than any other fundamental factors. The issues surrounding Deutsche Bank also added uncertainties to the GBP/USD pair’s stance. Deutsche Bank’s recent issues caused stock markets to have a risk-off sentiment and caused the S&P and other technical indexes to drop in value. Moreover, this has caused the pound to decrease its support levels at 1.2950 during the last trading session. Traders should take extra precautions as this might cause major shifts in the financial market and may also cause the USD to increase its value in general. Speculators are expecting added volatility to the market due to the London fix, as well as a major news announcement from the UK government which is scheduled to be released today.

Lagarde Favors Less Strict Trade Policies The stricter protectionist trade measures slows down the current frail economy not only in United States but including other countries as said by the head of the International Monetary Fund, Christine Lagarde. She described it as an “economic malpractice”. Restricting trades would worsen the status of workers and families. It has pros and cons for members of trades but considering present weak economy and bigoted politics, an open trading is more advantageous to all. However, if the trade policies are neglected, the opportunity for progress is lessened since global economy still needs it to drive growth.

Technical Analysis for GBP/USD: September 29, 2016 BOE deputy Shafik’s dovish statements has caused the sterling pound to be weighed down, after Shafik stated that the central bank requires more economic stimulus, and the bank is willing to widen its asset purchase program if ever the need arises. The technical trend for the currency pair is mainly bearish since a lot of sellers are holding fast to their current positions. The GBP/USD exhibited volatile and low trading points during Wednesday’s session, with the price staying within the 1.3000 range for buyers. The pair’s growth was somewhat hindered by a bearish 50 EMA, while the 50, 100, and 200 EMA are still steadily declining. Resistance levels are currently at 1.3000 while support levels are at 1.2900. MACD levels are presently in the negative side, with MACD’s growth indicative of a weakening of sellers’ positions. Meanwhile, RSI levels are expected to go within the overbought range. The general outlook for the currency pair is bearish, with an expected drop towards the 1.2950 range. However, speculators are also expecting an upsurge to the 1.3100 trading range.

Technical Analysis for EUR/USD: September 29, 2016 The EUR/USD pair had an ambiguous stance during Wednesday’s trading session as investors and traders are waiting for statements coming from the European Central Bank and and the Federal Reserve. However, none of the two central banks are expected to release new modifications, which leaves the EUR/USD pair at a lower value than the previous trading sessions. Fed Chair Janet Yellen has already stated that there is no definite period as to when the Federal Reserve would be increasing its interest rates. On the other hand, ECB Chair Mario Draghi has stated that the central bank’s negative rates are not the ones to be blamed for problems in the European banking sector. The Durable Goods Orders data came out without much activity, even falling below the expected data release in August. The DGO report has also showed that capital equipment shipments had already decreased in value four months in a row, and investors are expecting that this will lead to a drop in Q3 GDP rates. In general, the EUR/USD pair has been struggling to make progress during this week. The pair’s 4-hour chart indicates that its value has been unable to go above its moving averages. Momentum levels are expected to go south and below the 100 level. Meanwhile, RSI indicators are in the 47-point range and is leaning towards the negative. Selling interest are now below 1.1190 and this could make the currency pair go even lower at 1.1120 during the next trading sessions.

Fundamental Analysis for USD/JPY: September 29, 2016 The Japanese Yen decreased its value during Wednesday’s trading session, causing the USD/JPY pair to increase its value by up to 0.257 points or +0.26% to close at 100.67 points. The increased demand for commodity currencies and stocks was caused by a report that OPEC had already consented to decreasing its overall output, which last occurred in 2008. Reliable sources from OPEC are saying that the organization would be reducing its oil outputs to 32.5 million barrels daily from its current output of 33.24 million barrels a day. The USD started strengthening earlier during the session after a recovery of European equity markets increased the risk appetites of investors which then removed their focus from the safe haven currency. The USD/JPY benefitted from the wide-range risk-on sentiment after the statement from OPEC increased activity in the US stock market. The US market surged primarily due to statements from Fed and a highly durable US goods report. Core Durable Goods Orders data decreased by 0.4% in August, going way below the expected reading of 0.5% and even lower than the expected July reading of 1.3%. However, DGO data was slightly better than the estimate of -1 and went significantly lower than July’s prediction of 3.6%.

Technical Analysis for NZD/USD: September 28, 2016 The NZD/USD pair decreased in value after a three-day high, dropping back to the 0.73 trading range in relation to its USD counterpart. The currency pair dropped by -0.26% or 0.7284 points, hovering dangerously close to the 0.7279 trading lows during the last session. The NZD was unable to sustain its bullish bearing, mostly due to sustained weakness in oil prices and a strengthening of the USD. The commodity currency suffered from significant decreases in oil prices caused by uncertainties in the oil output agreement between non-OPEC and OPEC oil producers. Meanwhile, the greenback was boosted by positive consumer confidence data and PMI data. The NZD remains to be the worst currency performer during the trading session, especially now that traders are waiting for the release of China’s consumer sentiment numbers. The US durable goods data will also be released later today, as well as the weekly crude stockpiles report from the EIA. The next resistance point for the NZD/USD pair is projected to be at 0.7297, with a possibility of extending gains up to 0.7332. Meanwhile, the downside support is expected to be at 0.7267 points to 0.7220 points.

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau Approved the Construction of the Coast for the Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) After three years of regulatory approval, the LNG project were officially agreed. This is also the first major energy project of Trudeau ever since he was appointed less than a year ago. According to the Environment Minister of Canada, Catherine McKenna, the plan were granted after thorough reviews and series of conditions and that is to help lessen the greenhouse effect. It is one of the biggest project that the country will uphold which will have an estimated cost CA$11.4bn ($8.6bn/£6.6bn). The terminal will be constructed in the northern coast of British Columbia. One of the leading oil company, Petronas will manage the energy project. This is also expected to subsidize CA$2.9 billion per year to Canada's GDP.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis: September 28, 2016 The EUR/USD pair dropped to 1.190 points during Tuesday’s session as the USD increased its trading value during the session but later lost some of its gains as Fed’s Fischer released a statement saying that as much as he does not want to have low interest rates, he wouldn’t want it to increase as much. However, Fischer also noted that he has no information with regards to the date of the expected interest rate hike from Fed. The last trading session exhibited active volatility levels, especially with Hillary Clinton’s impressive performance during the first US Presidential Debate. However, the dropping bank equities in London’s trading session affected the trades on Tuesday. The USD also increased due to the added intraday support from highly positive macroeconomic releases, particularly with the improved Conference BC Confidence Index which is now at 104.1 from last month’s 101.8. The expansion rate of business activities also increased after a three-month dormancy, according to preliminary Markit Services and Composite PMI data. Services PMI went up to 51.9 in September as compared to August’s 51.0, while Composite PMI data also increased to 52.0 points from last month’s 51.5 points. The EUR/USD is still primarily in the negative territory, albeit with a persistence neutral stance. The 4-hour chart for the currency pair has no clear indicators, with prices recovering after a slew of horizontal moving averages and technical indicators going above the middle range.

Technical Analysis for GBP/USD: September 28, 2016 The sterling pound is currently experiencing a downward pressure following a decrease in oil prices. The buying interest for the GBP/USD went down a few pips to have a current value slightly above the 1.3200 range. The currency’s value dropped significantly from the last trade high and went down between the 1.3200 and and 1.2940 trading range during the last session. The GBP/USD has now dropped beneath the moving averages while the 50, 100, and 200 EMAs is still experiencing a steady decline. Resistance levels are now at 1.3000 points, while support levels are at 1.2900. MACD levels are currently in the negative but remained in its previous level which indicates that sellers are now increasing their strength. The RSI is sustained at the neutral territory while oscillator levels are expected to decrease. Sellers would be able to break below the 1.2900 range if the GBP/USD pair would be able to stay within the negative trading range. Analysts are also expecting more sideway trades in the next few hours.

USD/JPY Fundamental Analysis: September 27, 2016 The USD/JPY stopped at 0.665 or -0.66% at 100.306. Financiers of the Japanese yen attacked the US investors on Monday as they kept arguing about the BoJ's plan to change the monetary policy. Despite of the preparation by many investors for the upcoming OPEC meeting and the first presidential debate of the United States, the Yen merchants awaits for the statement of the central bank Japanese Governor Kuroda. As he affirmed last Monday about the readiness of Nichigin regarding the usage of policy tool for the accomplishing the 2% target of inflation. Furthermore, news released some information during the meeting by which the bank is confident that they will reach their goal, but there are some uncertainties which might leave an impact for accommodating the renewed policy. The movement of price can be identified upon the debate outcome, considering that this is the major news at this moment. In case that Mr.Trump got the victory then stocks presumably would be sold-off whereby investors of yen would be safe because it will settle on a higher position.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis: September 27, 2016 The dollar still hovers in the pressured area compared to other major pairs, seeing that the stocks remains affected regarding the Fed's resolution. Traders are taking some precautionary movements for every execution because of the impact that the U.S Presidential debate might bring. The pair experienced a downward pressured on Monday because the pound and dollar throw over their acquired profits on Friday. Moreover, the pair also indicated a steep decline against the level of support lied at 1.2900. The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs sustained a bearish outlook. The resistance is found in the 1.3000 level, support is present in the 1.2900 level. MACD fail off but give out strength for the sellers. RSI is positioned in the negative condition.

Technical Analysis for USD/JPY: September 27, 2016 The Japanese yen strengthened in the middle of risk aversion and is remaining to be a safe haven currency after the Bank of Japan’s statement that the central bank is preparing to implement additional regulations which are intended to increase inflation rates did not hinder the growth of the yen’s value. The demand for the JPY was supported by the risk-off sentiment, with the price dropping from the present Asian high of 101.00 down to the immediate support level at 100.40 where there is a decreased downward pressure. The 50, 100, and 200 EMAs all declined while the moving averages all went lower in the 4-hour chart. Resistance levels are currently at 101.40 while support levels are at 100.40 points. The technical indicators for the currency pair are all on the downward trend. However, MACD levels are sustained at the same range which is indicative of positive sellers data. On the other hand, RSI continues to remain over the expected oversold area. The USD/JPY is generally facing a bearish stance, and a closing value at 100.40 might trigger losses and may bring down the pair to the 100.00 range. The USD/JPY may also experience a slight increase if the support for the pair is sustained.

Technical Analysis for EUR/USD: September 27, 2016 The EUR/USD pair rallied up to 1.1278 during Monday’s trading session after positive US housing date enabled investors to avoid the advancement towards a major resistance range. US new home sales went down slightly in August, dropping at a 609,000 annual rate and decreasing by 7.6% as compared to the data last July, lower than the expected 8.6% decline. The USD was also strengthened by comments from the Fed’s lacker which has stated that there is a strong possibility of an interest rate hike in December. Germany’s IFO survey has indicated that the business environment in the EU has increased significantly in September, going up to 109.5 from August’s 106.2, with increase in both the expectations and assessments sector. The EUR/USD pair meanwhile continues to trade within its current range, suspending its recovery at main resistance levels, with a descent at 1.1615 points. The currency pair also experienced multiple intraday highs and lows within the 1.1280 trading range, and the upward potential will continue to be suspended as long as the price of the pair remains below 1.1280 points. Divergences can already be seen in the 4-hour chart, and the price continues to remain above a highly bullish 20 SMA which has already went above the 100 SMA. There is a high probability of a bearish trading session on Tuesday if there will be more decreases below the 1.1225 range. If the USD continues to strengthen, then there is a probable bearish trade point at 1.1160.

Fundamental Analysis for GBP/USD: September 27, 2016 The GBP/USD pair continues to trade at the bottom of its range, closing Monday’s trading session at 1.2950 points. The pair has not yet been able to make a proper recovery from its past price lows. The value of the currency pair will be most likely be decided by the impending adjustments between other currency pairs, particularly the expected EUR/GBP flows towards the end of September. The GBP/USD pair had strong resistance levels at 1.3140 last week and has plummeted back to the support levels at 1.2950 after failing to go above the resistance level. The pair also momentarily decreased to 1.2910 before going back above 1.2950 points. Analysts are expecting the pair to be bullish for the rest of the daily trading session, possibly going up to the resistance level of 1.3000 points. If the pair manages to go over this resistance level then this would enable the pair to go in the range of 1.3080-3100, where a lot of sells happened during the last time the pair has reached this level. However, it is still yet to be seen whether the pair would be able to maintain its current value at 1.2950, and could possible lead to a low on Friday at 1.2910 and then 1.2870. The EUR has a somewhat stable bullish stance, and the GBP is also expected to follow this bullish bearing of the EUR, since there are no major UK news that is expected to come out within this period.

GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis: September 26, 2016 The GBP/USD pair endured the similar fate with the EURUSD since both pairs are stucked in the same range, however the range spot of the euro and dollar are doubled resulting the GBPUSD to have a greater volatility. The trading range is identified subsequent to the Brexit decision and set between the 1.29 and 1.34. The given range presents a price consolidation because the UK market are still waiting for the official price of the sterling after the Brexit ruling. Considering the fact that the EU exit proceeding has not yet initiated again thus the details continued to be unclear making the pound to settled within the uncertain position. In addition to it, the data of UK have presented a better-than-expected results throughout the referendum which bolster the European economy, for all that they still awaits for the detailed activity for better comprehension of the policy effect. As indicated in the weekly chart, the pair is regarded as safe for the investor to use in trading even on the extreme ranges. A major news regarding Europe is the update of its current account to be issued on 30th of September. Other news from the United States were assumed not to make any impact to the GBPUSD range. The pair is expected to trade and set a resistance level of 1.3150. If there is a break occurred, it will enable to move in the 1.3300 up to 1.3400 region.

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Technical Analysis for USD/CAD: September 26, 2016 The USD/CAD pair went down slightly last week, plummeting at 1.30 points. The currency pair then bounced back from the support barrier, and if the pair goes above the hammer formed then this would mean a very bullish sign for the USD/CAD, and the market would be able to go over the 1.35 trading range. The oil market is wielding its influence over the financial market, especially since the CAD has become a proxy currency for commodity traders. However, the oil market in general does not look very promising, and speculators are stating that it is only a matter of time before oil prices would take a turn for the worst. This might cause the USD to increase in relation to the CAD in the long-run. The market is generally expected to go above the 1.35-point level. However, investors are not expected this to occur anytime soon. Pullback levels might be able to offer some measure of projected value and support, given that the market stays above the 1.30 trading range. Buyers are expected to always return to the commodities market, and an upward pressure for the currency market is now felt especially for the possible breakout which could happen at any point now that the volume has returned to the foreign exchange market.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis: September 26, 2016 The EUR/USD went up higher during Friday’s trading session as the USD further weakened after the Fed’s decision to maintain its current interest rates. The Markit PMI also went out lower than expected after it took the bulk of the earlier increases in the USD. Resistance levels are currently on the downward side after coming out within the 1.1290 range. Support levels are currently near the 10-day moving average at 1.1206 points. US Markit PMI data dropped by 0.6 points to go out at 51.4 points for September following a 0.9 point drop to 52.0 points in August. Index is now ranging from 50.7-52.9 for 2016, with September’s levels going at 53.1 points. New index data showed a decrease to 51.0 points from last August’s 52.7 points, its lowest level since December 2015. Manufacturing data also went out lower than expected as compared to similar technical readings of composite EU data.

Fundamental Analysis USD/JPY: September 26, 2016 Investors in the Japanese yen were disappointed with the Bank of Japan’s plans to reexamine its monetary policies. The reaction to the central bank’s announcement caused an initial double-sided volatility. Investors have since decided that this particular decision will have no bearing on the economy and on the Japanese currency. The BoJ’s announcement caused the JPY to increase significantly on September 21, but the USD had already started bouncing back by September 23. The USD/JPY closed Friday’s trading session at 100.971 points, going up by 0.211 points or +0.21%. The pair however still closed the week lower by 1.26%. The USD/JPY pair was also further weakened by the Fed’s interest rate and monetary policy statement, which turned out to be less hawkish than expected. The Federal Reserve did not increase its interest rates this month, but there is still a possibility of an interest rate hike in December. The USD experienced a downward pressure.due to the Fed’s lowered expectations and the decreased possibility of future rate hikes, which can lead to a lowered appreciation of the USD since the central bank’s decision indicates a slow-moving US economy.

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Technical Analysis for GBP/USD: September 23, 2016 The cable pair GBP/USD bounced back to trade at 1.3013 after dropping to its 1-month low at 1.2946 during Wednesday’s trading session. The cable pair then went down slightly at 1.2954 before finally rallying at 1.3046 after the Federal Reserve chose to maintain its previous interest rates. The GBP/USD’s rally from July’s new low in 31 years at 1.2798 from its previous value of 1.3481 indicates that the downward trend is a mere temporary low. Meanwhile, the consecutive value swings suggest a possible triangle unfolding with a-leg terminus at 1.3481, a b-leg trough at 1.2865, and September’s highest increase at 1.3445 points pinpoints the c-leg terminus while the d-leg would go over 1.2865 points, inducing a final rebound at the e-leg before the downward trend reappears. The rebound of the cable pair during the last trading session from its monthly low at 1.2946 indicates that the dropping trend will only be temporary since this particular drop was accompanied by bullish convergences on the 1-hour indicators and will likely gain further to trade at 1.3137 points next week, going over 1.3092 points.

EUR/USD Fundamental Analysis: September 23 2016 The EUR/USD persist an upward grind movement since the trading day yesterday. The said activity started subsequent to the FOMC's announcement. Bearish investors tried to pass through the support level of 1.1145 but failed to accomplish their plan. When the announcement were already made, bullish investors are able to manage the price actions that moved in an ascending manner. They are capable to broke the yesterday's forecast with a level of 1.1250. The European market look forward for the announcement of the ECB president, Mr. Mario Draghi regarding the Euro economy. This is why the economy had experienced a price delay in selling. Consequent to the major announcements made by the BoJ, Fed and other central banks, Draghi did not disclose any special information because he does not want to aggravate them. After the grind and FOMC statement, the USD moderately increased and started to acquire strength together with the its related pairs. This development negatively affected the Euro and demonstrated a decreasing grind that last in one night. The grind of EUR gained a support towards 1.1200. In case that the dollar stick on its actions, the EURUSD has the tendency to draw back a main support in the 1.1200 level.

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EUR/USD Technical Analysis: September 22, 2016 The much-awaited monetary policy announcements from the Bank of Japan and the Federal Reserve turned out to be a big disappointment for investors and traders, particularly to dollar bulls, since both central banks have decided to maintain their present policies and make no changes. The US Federal Reserve did not make any changes in its interest rates. However, there is a possibility that a rate hike could happen within the year due to three dissenters at this point compared to only one dissenter during the last policy announcement. Fed chair Janet Yellen has also stated that the possibility of a rate hike has already strengthened. The Bank of Japan has created measures to take control of its yield curve, such as maintaining its rates at -0.1% in an attempt to protect banks. However, the BoJ has also introduced a 10-year interest rate target. Policy makers are now anticipating one last rate hike for 2016 and possibly two more hikes for 2017. The median growth protection for 2016 was cut back from 2% to 1.8%, indicating a decrease in its long-term forecast. Inflation rates are expected to go down to 1.3% during the last quarter from the previous forecast of 1.4%. The EUR/USD pair went up to 1.1196 points before going down slightly prior to the announcement of the central banks, with the USD losing some of its present value. The EUR/USD also maintained its neutral-bearish stance in the 4-hour chart after certain technical indicators went over the neutral side. Prices were also unable to go over the 100 and 200 SMAs. However, the currency pair is expected to strengthen this Thursday due to the upward movement of the USD, with trading points expected to go up to 1.1200.

GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis: September 22 2016 The activity of GBPUSD yesterday resulted the pair to be considered as volatile currency pair in the market.The pound and dollar trades in a tight range with a firm support set in the level of 1.2950. The resistance level maintained 1.3000 even after the Fed announcement regarding the retain the price of current rates, however, they did not issued a specific date for the rate hike. The vague announcement from Fed rendered an uncertain state of volatility and subsequent to this statement, other pair related to USD have been affected also. The concerned pairs concluded a moderate upward trend followed by the GBPUSD as well. The USD established a weak position because the market were a little disappointed since Fed did not presented anything hawkish. The pair fluctuated with a resistance level of 1.300 but the movement continued on an advanced level of 1.3035. In view of the instability of the USD that is expected to prevail until the succeeding session but with a conforming and secure target ranges from 1.3140 to 1.3170.