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EUR/USD Fundamental Analysis: November 24, 2016 The euro together with the greens had bounced again on Wednesday following the strengthening of the USD as it was boosted by the positive data regarding the much reinforced economy of the United States. The pair is sailing smooth during the morning session of the Asia and Europe, however, the inevitable volatility started amid the NY trading session. The pair tested the level of 1.0600 ahead of the announcement of the Durable Goods data which has a better-than-expected result of 1%. The positive release signaled the market to begin the USD purchase again which enabled the pair to break the 1.0600 and touched 1.0525 prior to the stabilization of the pair that settled below the 1.0550 during closing day. According to previous readings, the regions 1.0500 and 1.0600 is considered as a stable support for the pair which is also mentioned by profuse large banks, the aforesaid level will be the expected mark for the euro as the year ends. At present, the price movement emphasized a continuous softening and the Thanksgiving celebration in the United States will not become a driving force for the euro to edged high against the dollar. Technically, the signs bring no good for the EUR, in this way the single currency is kept intact and wait for a strong support which include the 1.0500, 1.0440 and 1.0440 marks until we found a much stable support. The latest German Ifo Business Climate caused a short period of volatility but things as of this moment remains unaffected. The price action is still on guarded and anticipates for a test within the 1.0500 level in order to recognize the final result whether this movement will progress or not.

Canadian Stocks Reaches Highest Levels in 17 Months Due to Massive Retail Sales Profits Canadian stocks continued its increasing trend for a total of four days and has already reached its highest levels in 17 months as a result of massive retail sales gains, with retail sales clocking in its biggest profits incurred since April 2016. Canada’s retail sales data showed gains worth 0.6% in September 2016, its biggest gains posted since April and an indicator of the spending of the Canadian government’s recently-minted child benefits. Meanwhile, the Canadian equity benchmarks scored more gains as the DJIA reached up to 19,000, while the MSCI index for both developing and developed markets increased by up to 3.6% for 2016 and could possibly hit its record highest yearly increase since 2013.

CBI’s Latest Industrial Trends Survey Showed an Increase on Manufacturing Orders But Remained to be Weak. The manufacturing order books heightened although the export orders and economic growth eased within this month as indicated in the order results of the Industrial Trends Survey. The survey includes 430 manufacturers and assessed that the total order books restored its previous level which prevails during the whole period of summer and seen on top of the long-term average. Moreover, the orders for exports dropped down slightly but managed to sustain an above average result. The volume for output made a slow growth which is about three months later. There is hope that the production for the upcoming quarter appeared to be in good shape yet its highest level was recorded last February 2015. In light of the steep decline of the sterling pound, manufacturers await for the possible extension of the average selling prices for the succeeding months.

USD/CHF Technical Analysis: November 23, 2016 In the H4 chart, the price was seen to break at 1.01 handle that pushed the support levels higher within the 1.0155 - 1.0129 levels. The Resistance level showed a weaker stance from 1.02939 to 1.0131 levels. There are some facets to consider to sell this pair. One is the H4 handle steadied at 1.01 handle even though there are offered seen within the supply zone. Another is the uncertainty in the current daily support at 1.0086 mark. The trend could shift downward when the price closed lower than 1.01 level while there is less volatility. However, when there is a break at 1.0037 daily Quasimodo line, the price could reach the 1.0029 level to 0.9994 and 1.0019 levels. The best stance would be the price lower by 14 pips towards the 1.01 handle then a retest within the resistance zone. The downward trend will be validated when the price in the H4 chart reached the 1.0086 support level with a probability towards the Quasimodo line. Major news to be declared today are the U.S. Core durable goods data and U.S. Jobless claims this afternoon while the Federal Open Market Committee minutes of the meeting will be disclosed in the evening.

Australia’s Mining Investments Fosters growth to Economy Mining improves the economy of Australia with recovery of investments and increase in commodity prices. Furthermore, the high demand for Aussie boosts the economy specifically in Queensland and Western Australia since the inflation rates are going back to normal levels. The unemployment rate has decreased since the peak in 2015 which also slowed down the population growth where the past reports saying it has improved were overstated . Nevertheless, this slow growth is not as bad as it shown a less than expected results. On the bright side, it is the progress of trades mainly the pricing between imports and exports that gives a promising outlook for the mining investment and the increasing demand for money gives buoyancy in the economy.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis: November 23, 2016 The Japanese yen increased in value following the news release regarding the earthquake that hit the country, but quickly retreated after the Bank of Japan released a statement saying that the Japanese economy is still well on its way to improvement. The JPY remained within a tight trading range around multi-month highs during Tuesday’s trading session, with the pricing of the USD/JPY pair staying within the 110.00-110.50 region for the rest of the day. The currency pair was able to trade above its moving averages in its 4-hour chart, with the moving averages sustaining their bullish trend. Resistance levels for the USD/JPY pair are expected to be at 112.00 points, while support levels for the pair are expected to come in at the 111.00 trading range. The MACD indicators for the currency pair weakened, indicating a drop in buyer positions. Meanwhile, its RSI indicators remained within the overbought territory. If the USD/JPY pair manages to sustain its bullishness, then the next short-term aim for the pair is located at 112.00 points. If the USD/JPY pair manages to go beyond this particular level, then the currency pair is expected to extend its gains towards the 113.00 trading range.

EUR/USD Fundamental Analysis: November 23, 2016 The EUR/USD pair was expected to remain within the 1.0600-1.0650 trading range due to reports of large-scale options placed within this particular region and will remain until the options expire. The options within this range are scheduled to expire within the day and the minutes of the FOMC meeting are set to be released today, and the market is expecting an increase in the volatility of the EUR/USD pair which could possibly extend for the next few days. There has been no major economic releases from the eurozone or the US from these past few days, and options players wielded their power during this period of low activity by attempting to control the financial market in order to safeguard their option entries. Unless other market players would have a good grasp on these very recent developments in the market, they might not be able to have a full understanding of the market movements during these past trading sessions. For today’s session, the market is expecting quite a number of economic data to be released, such as the oil inventory data and unemployment claims data from the US. However, majority of market players are now waiting for the FOMC minutes which is scheduled to come out any time during the New York session. The market has a 95% expectation percentage for the December Fed rate hike, and the minutes from the FOMC is expected to confirm this particular speculation. Aside from confirmation of the rate hike, market players are also expecting to get hints regarding future rate hikes from the Federal Reserve. If the data fails to meet market expectations, then the USD could lose its strength and drop significantly.

GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis: November 23, 2016 The GBP/USD pair spent the majority of the previous trading session consolidating within the 1.2400 range as the USD kept on alternately losing and gaining its value for the past session. The value of the USD has been significantly uncertain for the past two sessions and this is an expected effect of a bullish market last Monday. There are no major economic news releases expected for the latter part of November, and this is why a lot of currency pairs have been directed by option expiries and flows instead of fundamentals. The strength of the USD has been mostly attributed to the recent surge in US Treasury yields which was the result of Donald Trump’s victory in the US Presidential elections, but US Treasury yields have started tapering off its strength at the start of this week, causing the USD to lose some of its gains as well. The minutes of the FOMC meeting are scheduled to be released later today, and this is expected to lend some measure of volatility to the GBP/USD pair even though the minutes are expected to confirm market speculations of an impending Fed rate hike this coming December, as well as give a general overview of the Fed’s future interest rate hikes. However, this could also induce a drop in the value of the USD once the minutes give the opposite of the market expectations

EUR/USD Fundamental Analysis: November 22, 2016 Both the bulls and the bears have been struggling to take control of the EUR/USD pair even though this particular currency pair exhibited little activity during the past trading sessions. However, the USD has once again extended its recent strength, indicating that other USD-related pairs could experience a temporary recovery before again going downwards, and the EUR might find it hard to extend its profits through the 1.0675 trading range. However, there is a substantial option interest within the 1.0600-1.0659 region and this could lead to the currency pair consolidating between this particular range. The minutes of the FOMC meeting is set to be released on Wednesday, and this particular data is expected to confirm market speculations of a Fed rate hike this coming December. The market expectations for the rate hike is currently at 90%, and speeches and comments from a number of Fed officials including Janet Yellen seem to point towards a confirmation of this rate hike. However, there is also a possibility that the Fed rate hike might not immediately translate to an added strength in the USD and could possibly weaken the currency if the Federal Reserve refuses to give hints regarding rate hikes for 2017. For today’s trading session, there are no major economic releases expected today from the eurozone and the US, so the EUR/USD pair is expected to consolidate between 1.0600 and 1.0700.

USD/CAD Fundamental Analysis: November 22, 2016 The expected deal to be made at the OPEC meeting this week helped sustain oil prices and caused the USD/CAD pair to become muted for the majority of the trading session yesterday. The USD/CAD pair experienced a slight drop to 1.3400 points, triggering a decreasing in buying for the said pair. Since the OPEC meeting had a fairly good turnout, with the possibility of a deal being struck close, oil prices rose and this is expected to help in augmenting the strength of the Canadian economy. The effect of this increase in oil prices was reflected in the increase in the value of the CAD and the drop in the value of the USD/CAD pair. The currency pair traded tightly during the Tokyo and London trading sessions but was able to break through once the New York session began, with the pair dropping to 1.3380 where buying opportunities appeared and is now trading just over the 1.3400 range. For today's trading session, the Canadian core retail sales data is expected to be released later within the day, with the data expected to come in at 0.6%. If the data fails to make it to this particular speculation then this could cause the currency pair increase to 1.3500. However, if the data manages to come in at the expected data then this could trigger a further decrease up to 1.3200. However, the uptrend is expected to continuously dominate the USD/CAD pair so any decrease in its value can be used by traders to buy the USD/CAD pair in the short-term.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis: November 22, 2016 The Aussie continues its decline from 0.7778 level as is expected to stayed with the 0.7310 level to 0.7460 level in the following days. However, the climb from 0.7310 level is a form of consolidation. If the resistance level remains strong, the decline will persist and could even go lower at 0.7200 mark. The decline is supported when a break is seen at its Physiological levels.

Thai Economy Slows Down as International Risks Increase, Investments Weaken The economic growth of Thailand slowed down during the previous quarter due to a relative weakness in the performance of private investments which is now compelling the Thai government to increase spending in order to shield the economy from an increase in international risks as well as burgeoning political uncertainties in the region following the death of King Bhumibol. Thailand is now expected to deal with added volatility in the financial market due to the unexpected results of the US elections as well as the death of the Thai king. On the other hand, the military junta has already guaranteed assistance with regards to infrastructure as well as financial support for farmers.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis: November 22, 2016 The Japanese yen exhibited significant losses during Monday’s session following the release of a negative-leaning Merchandise Trade Balance data. Meanwhile, the USD has been subject to buying interests due to increasing expectations of an eventual Fed rate hike in December. Although the USD/JPY pair was unable to increase further and reverted immediately after testing the 111.00 trading range, the currency pair was able to remain in the positive territory during the last trading session. As of now, the pair’s value is still in an upward direction and has somewhat shifted from its previous limit. The pair’s price went slightly higher in the USD/JPY’s 4-hour chart. Resistance levels for the currency pair can be found at 111.00 points, while support levels are expected to be at 110.00 points. The MACD indicator for USD/JPY dropped, indicating a decrease in buyer positions. The MACD also exhibited a bearish stance for its hourly chart, while the RSI indicator for the pair was able to remain within its overbought readings. If the USD/JPY pair fails to go beyond 111.00, then this could cause the USD to drop in value and plummet to 110.00 points. If the pair breaches the 110.00 range, then this could lead to further decreases up to 109.00 points.

U.S. Treasury Yields Soar with Strong Dollar The U.S. Dollar reached a six-month record high on Monday's Asian trading session because of Trump's planned fiscal policies and goals to drive growth. The uncertainty brought by the so called “Trumponomics” has made the financial market to buy dollars and sell U.S. Treasuries which is expected to persist for some time. Although there might be correction near Thanksgiving. For five years, the U.S. Treasury yields have reached a highest two-week gains. This includes all types of maturities which is an after-effect of U.S. Presidential election. People waiting what will happen next after Trump's victory has further boosted the greenback to thirteen and half year highs compare to basket of currencies.

Asian Stock Market Traded Mixed Due to Dollar Easing The Asian market were trading mixed yesterday morning as the U.S Dollar strengthen along with the bond yields that increased as well, consequent to the victory of Donald Trump that further stimulated fund flows from various developing markets. Despite of the softening of the yen, the Japan's Nikkei 225 rose up to 0.51% on the back of the broad based strengthening of the greenbacks after the election. While the benchmark Kospi Index of South Korea were able to bounce back and gain 0.05% following the prosecutor’s affirmation that President Park Geun-hye is associated in the political scandal. On the other hand, the Chinese shares is in an upbeat as its global benchmark, Shanghai composite expand to 0.65%. The Hang Seng Index of Hong Kong moved higher up to 0.46%. While Major economic news were released on Monday morning as the trade data of Japan for the month of October had dipped, the exports declined and the imports dropped 16.5%. The South Korea’s exports for the first 20 days of November had decreased with 0.25, imports plunged to 3.1% While the petroleum products and other commodities made an upward momentum, the crude add up 0.83% and the Brent grew by 0.9%.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis: November 21, 2016 The U.S. dollar subsided for a while but remained strong demonstrated by U.S. Economy that is still on track towards the target numbers. The higher chances and expectations for the next rate hike this December further boosts the dollar. Hence, the market trend remains positive as it continued to move up on last week's Friday session. The price stayed at an upward direction within its high ceiling. However, the momentum halted at 111.00 level but still was able to revive its record highs overnight. The moving averages shows a bullish trend. The Resistance level is found at 111.00 while the support comes at 110.00 level. Other technical indicators depicted a positive outlook for the pair supported by buyers as seen in the the MACD. The RSI indicators is close to overbought area that tells a sign to go higher level soon. The market has to maintain the current level at 110.00 to sustain is bullish tone. It would be favorable for buyers to further expand their gains if the price breaks at 111.00 level. Therefore, the price could further go up to 112.00 mark. As for seller, it is possible to reverse the trend by exerting the price to move lower towards the 109.00 level.

GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis: November 21, 2016 The sterling pound was subject to significant losses since the unexpected strength of the USD has already took hold of the market’s general direction. However, as compared to other major currencies such as the AUD and EUR, the GBP was able to withstand the sudden strength of the USD and its effect on the market. This is because the market is slowly coming to terms with unconventional political moves, which is evident in the Brexit referendum and US elections. The sterling pound was able to become more stable since market players are now seeing Brexit as much less of a risk as compared to before. For the past week, the GBP has consolidated and stabilized in spite of its bearish bias. This particular bias was somewhat augmented by weak economic data from the UK which was caused by the slowly sinking negative effects of the Brexit referendum as well as the pronounced weakness in the euro. The CPI data for UK came in lower than expected, but the retail sales data for the region came out on a more positive note. For this week, the GDP report for the UK is expected to be released but since the USD has been constantly increasing as well as US Treasury yields, it is expected that this will have more impact on the currency pair. The US will also be releasing the minutes of the FOMC meeting this coming Wednesday, which is expected to give clues about the upcoming Fed rate hike in December.

USD/CAD Fundamental Analysis: November 21, 2016 The USD/CAD pair ranged for the entirety of last week since the sudden surge in the value of the USD seemed to have little if no effect on the currency pair. However, the USD/CAD had one of the tightest ranges as compared to other pairs since the USD/CAD was unable to go beyond 1.3400 and 1.3600 on both the resistance and support side, which was mostly due to the fact that the increase in the value of the USD was mainly offset by the strength of the CAD. The CAD has been experiencing significant increases since next week due to an increase in oil prices as the OPEC meeting draws nearer. The market is currently putting in optimistic expectations with regards to the meeting, with deals hopefully being made and statements from various stakeholders are showing that this might be the case once the meeting commences. The Canadian economy is expected to get a boost if ever deals regarding oil production cuts are struck especially since the economy is largely dependent on the production of oil. For this week, the market is expecting the release of Canadian core retail sales data on Tuesday since this is an efficient indicator of Canadian purchasing power and this could give clues with regards to the general direction of the Canadian economy. The minutes of the FOMC meeting is scheduled to be released on Wednesday, and this is expected to give hints regarding the Fed rate hike on December. The USD/CAD continues to be bullish, and the target for the currency pair is expected to be 1.40 in the next few months. The pair is most likely to be drawn to the said target by the impending Fed rate hike as well as an expected rate cut from Canada.

EUR/USD Fundamental Analysis: November 21, 2016 The USD exhibited a steady increase last week along with the US Treasury yields, and this has affected all major currencies across the board specifically the euro and the yen. This has created adverse effects for the EUR especially since the QE has already negatively affected the said currency. The ECB has not yet issued a statement on whether it would be tapering the QE and this has caused the EUR/USD to drop through 1.0800 last week and even dipping through 1.0600 towards the closing of the week. The EUR/USD is currently at its support levels of 1.0580. The 1.0500-1.0600 is a relatively critical support region, however, whether the pair will be able to maintain its hold on this particular range will be dependent on the yields in the coming weeks. As of now, the USD continues to increase in value while the EUR continues its losing streak and is not showing any signs of apparent strength. The bulls attempted to take hold once the pair hit the 1.0700 range but failed and now the EUR/USD is under total control of the bears. For this week, ECB’s Draghi is expected to make a speech on Monday but market players are not expecting any vital information from Draghi since the ECB chair is known to only address monetary policy issues when deemed extremely necessary, and the ECB has not yet expressed concerns with regards to the downfall of the euro. The FOMC minutes will be released on Wednesday and this is expected to give hints regarding the December Fed rate hike. If the minutes comes out as positive, then this will further contribute to the strength of the USD.

The Number of Jobless Claimants in UK Grew by 9.8K The office for National Statistics of UK presented mixed data of unemployment rate which fall to 4.8% from the previous 4.9%, it is considered the lowest since the third quarter of 2005.. The Claimant Count Change presented a negative outlook as the number climb up to 9.8k in the month of October, the result is greater than the expected which is 2K only. Moreover, the data released last September got affected and modified as it rise to 5.6k with only 0.7K on the previous result. This occurrence showed some signals about the worsening conditions in the labor ministry. This complication further stirred the GBP/USD as it insignificantly slid downside.

Dollar Falls, Bonds Increase, Asian Stocks Fluctuate Prior to Yellen Statement The USD lost a significant amount of its value as compared to other major currency pairs while Treasury yields surged and Asian stocks experienced fluctuations prior to the release of the US inflation data, as well as a testimonial from Fed Chairwoman Janet Yellen which is expected to determine market expectations on the US interest rate. Meanwhile, the EUR edged higher after a nine-day slump as the dollar index reverted back from its highest level reached in nine months. New Zealand and Australian stocks extended its gains, while benchmark Treasuries also inched higher. Crude oil prices fell as American stockpiles incurred more gains in the market.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis: November 18, 2016 The market trend yesterday was pessimistic as it continued going down almost to lower physiological levels. The price activity remained calm with the latest lows during the Asian session. The uptrend was held back as it reached the 1.0750 mark resulting to a decline of the pair. The Moving Averages stayed a bearish tone while Euro was seen to break in the 50-EMA followed by the retest in 100-EMA chart. The Resistance level is at 1.0750 while the support is seen at 1.0700 level. The technical indicators showed a bearish tone upon entering the negative zone. Both MACD and RSI indicator were seen within the oversold area. If the pair did not go beyond the 1.0700 mark, the prices might go lower towards the 1.0650 level and will remain consolidated unless it will break at 1.0750 level. The Eurozone CPI results for October were positive while the monthly CPI failed to meet expectations. The dollar slightly weakened but there are still appreciation seen to new highs. This is because of investors waiting for the next Fed rate hike on December and further strengthening of the economy.

GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis: November 18, 2016 Cable was swayed by the continues appreciation of U.S. dollars just like other money. In comparison other currencies, pound was not as affected compared to euro while Aussie has weakened. The strengthening of U.S. dollars seems to persist for some time that is favorable for bulls in the market. The pound was on lows few weeks ago but was able to recover after U.S. elections relative to Brexit decisions where dealers grasp the concept that there are still chances for to make times come around and this could occur again in the future. Consequently, this has driven investors to go for pound but is still inadequate to keep pound afloat in the midst of U.S. dollars strengthening. Nevertheless, the current market activity kept the trend from going down. The current surge of U.S. dollars has prompted Fed Governor Yellen to determine the next rate hike this December. However, this caused the pair to decline. If greenback sustained its uptrend, the pair is expected to move towards the 1.2300 level in today’s trading session. The is no major news to be released neither from U.K. nor from U.S. countries.

US Dollar Drops, Asian Stocks Bounce Back as Trump Victory Shock Fades For the first time in nearly four days, Asian stocks increased in value while the USD dropped from its five-month high against the Japanese yen due to investors questioning the possible overreaction of the financial market to Donald Trump’s recent win during the US elections. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index increased due to energy shares after crude oil prices rose to its highest levels in seven months after the OPEC finally agreed on proposed output cutbacks. For the major currencies, the KRW had the most gains after rebounding from its near-record lows since June 2016. The Japanese 10-year bond yields were also able to maintain its zero value after staying within negative territory for a total of eight weeks.

USD/CAD Technical Analysis: November 17, 2016 The USD CAD bolstered yesterday despite the recent decline in petroleum prices. The pair touched the ascending channel and trades to a lower boundary. The barrier found at 1.3400 region and provide the means for breaking the two-day decline. The price rebounded from the oversold level and continued to make an upward trend. The greens were able to surpass the 1.3470 level after the EU trades. The pair favorably widens its gains and headed to the 1.3540 mark consequent to the break-even of the aforesaid level. The bullish spike softened after testing the 1.3500 region. Moreover, the pair pass through selling pressure and promptly turn back to the opening price. The price reverse to the 50-EMA as indicated in the 4-hour chart. Moving averages expanded its gains in the same timeframe. Resistance stayed at 1.3470, support hold the 1.3400 region. MACD settled at the centerline of both indicators. An entry on the positive territory will indicate strength for the buyers and the negative zone would imply that sellers will manipulate the market. RSI is in the oversold zone and approached northwards. The USDCAD pair appeared to bullish. The consolidation occurred on top of the 1.3470 level strengthened the position of the buyers.