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Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart
Andrea ForexMart replied to Andrea ForexMart's topic in Fundametal Analysis
USD/JPY Fundamental Analysis: May 2, 2017 Investors on the USD/JPY pair chose to pay no mind to the relatively weak economic data coming from the US and instead shifted its focus on the recent increase in the demand for high-yield assets such as stocks, as well as an increase in the yields of US Treasuries. The USD/JPY pair closed down the previous session at 11.824 points after increasing by +0.30% or 0.335 points. A drop in the US economy’s inflation and factory rates has put out any possible expectations for an interest rate hike this coming June from the Fed. Meanwhile, the PCE index dropped by 0.1 points last March, the index’s largest decrease ever since September 2001. In addition, the Core PCE Price Index increased by 1.6%, which is its smallest gain since July 2016. US Treasury yields surged yesterday after the US government managed to avoid a possible shutdown after clinching a deal for government funding. Equity prices also managed to climb higher, which also heightened the demand for high-risk assets and diminished the demand for the Japanese yen. The USD/JPY pair could possibly find more support just as long as there is a demand for high-yield assets. However, the currency pair quickly became range-bound since investors are now bracing themselves for the Fed’s interest rate decision this coming Wednesday. As of the moment, the Federal Reserve is not expected to implement an interest rate hike this coming Wednesday, however the USD/JPY could possibly be influenced by the central bank’s statement tomorrow. Traders are advised to look for any clues with regards to the Fed’s next timing for its interest rate hike. -
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Winners for the week of April 10 - April 14, 2017: Rank 1: Rurik14 Acct. No.: 1024331 City: Naberezhnye Chelny ========== Rank 2: NM20 Acct. No.: 1024390 City: Grimancelos ========== Rank 3: oleg001 Acct. No.: 1024181 City: Kazan ========== Rank 4: Alex70109 Acct. No.: 1024288 City: Borovaya Kharkovskoy oblasti ========== Rank 5: Sergey10766209 Acct. No.: 1024319 City: Volosovo
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The current contest has already started on May 1, 2017 and will end on May 5, 2017. You can register for the next competition which will take place from May 8, 2017 to May 12, 2017. Note: Registration for the next competition finishes 1 hour before the contest starts.
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NAFTA Dangers Sends MXN Plunging The Mexican Peso (MXN) is now about to record its lowest drop within a five-month period following reports that the Trump administration is planning to pull itself out from the NAFTA agreement. There are now reports that the White House is currently drafting an EO which will enable the said withdrawal and could be released either within the week or next week. This caused the Mexican Peso to crash by 2% against the USD, the currency’s largest daily drop since its previous drop against the CAD last November. A weak MXN could spell bad news for the US economy, since this will mean that Mexican exports will be more affordable as compared to US exports.
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March New Home Sales Surge by 5.8% The new home sales data reading for March saw a drastic increase, clocking in at a 5.8% surge, an indication that the demand for new homes are now gaining momentum as the peak selling season commences. The March reading for new home sales data is the highest level since July 2016, wherein home sales data peaked its highest within a 9-year period. Economists are now anticipating that new home sales could possibly continue climbing up within the year as more buyers are now returning to the marketplace for starter homes.
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Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart
Andrea ForexMart replied to Andrea ForexMart's topic in Technical Analysis
GBP/USD Technical Analysis: April 26, 2017 The general situation persists to manifest the same scene as of Tuesday. The British currency seems rangebound amid day trades. The price has already reached the band’s lower limit during the first part of the day and rebounded afterward. The spot stalled having touched the range’s upper limit while technical indicators are in mixed signals. Moreover, the Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) trailed lower while the RSI together with the MACD showed positive indications. Resistance entered 1.2900 level, support entered 1.2800 area. A negative scenario is projected to take place. In case that the GBPUSD touched below the 1.2800 support region will trigger a downtrend in the near future. -
Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart
Andrea ForexMart replied to Andrea ForexMart's topic in Technical Analysis
EUR/USD Technical Analysis: April 26, 2017 On Tuesday, the Euro bulls were able to win back the driver’s seat following a neutral position in the night. The major were removed from the region 1.0850 during the morning trades of Europe as it moved and rallied near its fresh peaks found at 1.0900 mark. The price halted within the 1.0900 in which the EURUSD eyes some renewed offers. The single European currency had moderately eased eliminating its entire gains in the morning eventually. As shown in the 4-hour chart the technical indicators appeared to be bullish. Resistance touched 1.0900 level, support pierced through 1.0850 range. Moreover, a close over 1.0900 is expected to yield fresh bullish indicator in order to move further. It could probably reach the 1.0950 hurdle but correction is not ruled out as a means of filling the gap. -
Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart
Andrea ForexMart replied to Andrea ForexMart's topic in Fundametal Analysis
USD/JPY Fundamental Analysis: April 25, 2017 The USD/JPY pair had a very volatile trading session last Monday although it managed to finish the session on a much higher note as investors reacted to the first round of the French national elections. However, the currency pair dropped slightly, an indication that investors were pretty much sure of the election results and were now moving towards other geopolitical events such as the North Korean issues and an impending shutdown in the US economy. The JPY could possibly resume its rally if concerns over geopolitical issues would increase over time. Meanwhile, the USD was also unable to stabilize itself due to a drop in Treasury yields and a very dismal US economic data. As of the moment, the results of the French elections are showing that Macron could easily eclipse Le Pen in the second round of the elections, which is scheduled on May 7. The USD/JPY pair is not expected to make a significant reaction to the election unless Le Pen would be able to surpass Macron’s current lead in the elections. On the other hand, a looming government shutdown is expected from the US economy could possibly happen once the shutdown deadline of April 28 would fail to see the government passing enough legislations to ensure that certain branches of the government would not have to cease operating. Although the economy itself still has some back up funds which could ensure the economic stability of the country for several more months, this is not a good sign for the economy and investors are expected to act in accordance to this particular occurrence. Once this happens, then investors could possibly move towards safer assets such as the Japanese yen. But the main focus of USD/JPY investors for this week are the events in North Korea, with the demand for safer assets expected to stay in place due to tensions created by the North Korean missile and nuclear program. -
Asian Stocks Abated Due to High Risks The appeal of Asian stocks to investors has subsided because of political and economic risks that overshadowed continuous returns over the past 26 years. Asian business has been good in the second half last year up to early this year and is the impetus is slowing down soon. This put the Asian equities for a sell-off as investors have become cautious compared a few months ago. Moreover, political elections in Europe and profit taking in the U.S. bring in corrections that are not good. Another concern is the decline in cyclical upswings in China and the United States which has a big effect on global trading including equities of Emerging market. Nevertheless, investors do not totally leave despite the high costs of stocks compare to other emerging markets but are still lesser cost than developed markets. The analysts forecasted earnings to rise by 17% this year.
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China’s Bullish GDP Growth Stabilizes Yuan The first quarter data of China has come out after a solid positive gain causing a slowdown in capital outflows to stabilize the currency following a selloff last year. They are optimistic to attain the 6.5 percent GDP growth for this year as mentioned by the Finance minister Xiao Jie. This is a good signal indicating the strengthening of yuan and capital flows are gaining back by the country. The interest rates are moving in an upward direction despite tighter policies to curb the fast growth of credit hampering the economic progress. Yet, economic growth advanced faster-than-expected 6.9 percent in the first quarter, weakening capital outflows and more stable cross-border flows have strengthened yuan substantially. This has then eased the pressure regards to Foreign exchange reserves as it retreated with the surge of the greenback. However, further tightening cannot be ruled out as it may change again abruptly especially when the currency come again under pressure with the global appreciation of the U.S. dollar.
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The current Money Fall contest has already started on April 24, 2017 and will end on April 28, 2017. You can register for the next competition which will take place from May 1, 2017 to May 5, 2017 Note: Registration for the next competition finishes 1 hour before the contest starts.
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Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart
Andrea ForexMart replied to Andrea ForexMart's topic in Technical Analysis
GBP/JPY Technical Analysis: April 24, 2017 This week showed that the pair GBP/JPY have rallied throughout the week, hitting the handle 140. In case that the 141 region will be broken, the market would advanced higher. A pullback with buying opportunities is significant except that we could cut down lower than the weekly lows. It is highly expected that the market will resume its activity to search for buyers considering the British currency to gain much strength. Keep in mind that the GBP/JPY is very much susceptible to risk appetite which is important for you to be aware of the stock markets. Moreover, it is possible that 150 handle will be the most profitable level. -
Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart
Andrea ForexMart replied to Andrea ForexMart's topic in Technical Analysis
USD/CAD Technical Analysis: April 24, 2017 The U.S. dollar paired against the Canadian dollar surged during the Friday session as it broke above the 1.35 handle as it has been before. This could climb higher but at the same time, this will bring high volatility in the market. The oil market could support this trend especially when it drops which is not far from happening. Overall, the trend gives a bullish tone and reversals could create opportunities to go long for this pair. If the pair breaks higher than the 1.36 level, the trading condition could switch to a “buy and hold” scenario in the market. -
Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart
Andrea ForexMart replied to Andrea ForexMart's topic in Technical Analysis
AUD/JPY Technical Analysis: April 21, 2017 The Australian dollar against the Japanese yen rebounded strongly on a major support level for this day following a downtrend which came to a stop. There also has been a sharp response to the Wall Street concerning risks amid the weakness of the currency and uncertainty brought by the French elections on Sunday. This could also be a way to encourage the bulls before the next retest. The pair rebounded from the former resistance level at 81.50 which the shifted into a strong support. It jumped as much as 100 pips although this is about to decline. The vertical trend line is near the 200-day Moving Average. The region close to 81.50 which becomes a significant psychological level. This further went up as it is now found at 82.15 level surpassing the current level and similar to200-day Moving Average. It could further go up and break over the current levels towards the next target levels at 82.80 then 83.30. However, if the market fails to sustain the 82.15 support level then there is a chance to break lower than the critical level of 81.50 as a support. When this happens, this could be followed by a correction towards 78.50 with 61.8% Fibonacci level up to the 78.50 region in the next decline. -
March and June Fed Rate Hikes Possible, According to Economists Several economists are speculating that the US Federal Reserve could possibly be in for two more rate hikes this coming March and June, with the central bank possibly increasing its short-term rates within the week and another rate increase during the Fed’s meeting this coming June. Fed officials have maintained their current rates after they increased their federal funds rate last December 2016. The central bank had already penciled in a total of three possible hikes for this year but refused to indicate the exact date of the implementation of these said rate hikes.
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New Zealand Inflation Came in Strong in the First Quarter The inflation rate of New Zealand soared unexpectedly as much as 2.2 percent in the first quarter which is the top-level over five years. Yet, the central is still committed keeping the interest rates low. Hence, the consumer price index (CPI) hovered in the middle range of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) within the 1 to 3 percent target range which they have attempted to lift higher for more than a year. The CPI ascended to 1 percent in the first quarter exceeding the expected 0.8 percent which also transposes the annual growth of 2 percent by analysts. This hike in inflation was influenced by short-term gains because of high oil and food prices, a tax hike on alcohol and tobacco and the increasing costs of housing construction. The inflation is ascending although at a sluggish pace which keeps the RBNZ heedful according to the senior economist of the Australia and New Zealand (ANZ) bank.
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Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart
Andrea ForexMart replied to Andrea ForexMart's topic in Fundametal Analysis
EUR/USD Fundamental Analysis: April 20, 2017 The EUR/USD pair encountered a lot of selling pressure after it reached the 1.0750 trading range and was unable to make any significant progress beyond this particular region. The currency pair has tried in vain to break through this range and has since then resorted to consolidating between 1.0750 and 1.0700 region for the duration of yesterday’s session, with the pair’s bulls mostly responsible for maintaining the pair’s position within its range highs. There were no economic news released during the previous session and this is why the EUR/USD pair merely engaged in a ranging and consolidating mode with a bullish undertone for the US dollar. The USD strength was not that pronounced and was only able to induce a minor correction in the EUR/USD pair. However, there are some members of the ECB that are saying that economic speculations in the eurozone could possibly exceed market expectations, however this did not make a significant dent in the current value of the EUR/USD pair. The 1.0750 trading range could possibly be a good position for the pair’s bears to push the currency pair down, where the selling is expected to surge. The currency pair could also possibly correct towards 1.0600 unless a major market phenomenon shocks the market yet again. For today’s trading session, the US will be releasing its unemployment claims data as well as its Manufacturing Index data while there are no expected releases from the EU economy. The US Treasury secretary will also be making a speech within the day and this is expected to increase today’s market volatility. On the other hand, the USD is expected to hold its ground and the currency pair will most likely remain within its current range. -
Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart
Andrea ForexMart replied to Andrea ForexMart's topic in Technical Analysis
GBP/USD Technical Analysis: April 19, 2017 The British pound versus the U.S. dollar sustained the bid tone during the Tuesday Asian session. The price climbed from 1.2550 during the night and proceeded towards the 1.2600 level the next morning. The pound rebounded moved downhill during the post-London open. It almost reached the 1.2500 level as the trend turned bullish again. It surged upwards reversing losses as it broke exceeding the 1.2600 mark. The Resistance level came in at 1.2700 while the support level was seen at 1.2600 mark. If the market is capable of sustaining the psychological levels higher than the 1.2600, the buyers will have the upper hand towards 1.2700. -
The current Money Fall contest has already started on April 17, 2017 and will end on April 21, 2017. You can register for the next competition which will take place from April 24, 2017 to April 28, 2017 Note: Registration for the next competition finishes 1 hour before the contest starts.
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Dear Client, We are very glad to introduce to you a new account type in ForexMart. Micro account is now available in ForexMart where you can trade with a minimum order volume of 0.01 cent lot. This allows you to trade with minimal trade volume possible. Despite low order volume, you can maximize your trading and avail our maximum leverage as high as 1:5000 similar to other trading accounts. You also have full access to all trading instruments with tight fixed spreads. You can visit our website and register anytime. Should you have any questions, feel free to contact our customer support. We wish you a successful trading! ForexMart is an investment company regulated across the EU region. We offer the highest quality of service to our clients including a 30% trading bonus for every deposit. Register with us and get your bonus today. All the best, ForexMart Team
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Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart
Andrea ForexMart replied to Andrea ForexMart's topic in Technical Analysis
AUD/USD Technical Analysis: April 19, 2017 The Australian dollar against the U.S. dollar declined during the Tuesday session intersecting the 200-day Exponential Moving Average. There is a significant support found below at 0.75 level and a sign of supportive candle pattern indicates buying opportunity. If the price breaks above the shooting star on Monday session, this signals a bullish tone. Hence, it is much favorable to go long for this pair. The gold market could support this pair which is influential for this pair. The pair broke lower than the 0.7535 support level indicating that the price moves upward from 0.7473 up to 0.7610 zone. This could further go down towards the next testing at 0.7473 support level and a breakdown in the said level will complete the downtrend indicating a continuation from 0.7749 mark towards 0.7300 area. -
Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart
Andrea ForexMart replied to Andrea ForexMart's topic in Fundametal Analysis
GBP/USD Fundamental Analysis: April 18, 2017 The GBP/USD pair traded on a strong note during yesterday’s session as it was able to not only maintain its gains but has also managed to propel itself forward and attempt to make a dent in the resistance region situated at 1.2600 points. As of the moment it is still unable to make a significant impact in this particular region but it has yet to be seen whether it will be able to make a dent as the European traders are now going back to work after the holidays. A retraction towards the 1.2500 trading range is expected to occur before making any serious gains. The sterling pound has been doing really well as the market is now waiting for the start of the Brexit negotiations between the EU and UK officials. The negotiations are expected to be very long and very winding, and both sides should be able to hold onto their respective gains. The Brexit process itself is also expected to affect the sterling pound in the long run. The string of economic data released from the UK economy looks good so far, with the Bank of England managing to hold the current economic situation together, however it remains to be seen whether it will still be able to do so once the negotiations begin. The 1.2600 region is expected to be sustained but as the negotiations wear on, this is expected to induce additional volatility into the pair and this is why traders should be extra careful when it comes to trading with the GBP/USD pair in the medium term outlook. There are no major news releases from both the UK and the US economy for today, and as such, the GBP/USD pair is expected to continue its current trend of ranging and consolidation with a bullish undertone as it again tries to break through the 1.2600 range. -
Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart
Andrea ForexMart replied to Andrea ForexMart's topic in Fundametal Analysis
USD/JPY Fundamental Analysis: April 18, 2017 The US dollar crashed to its lowest levels within a five-month period against the Japanese yen as a reaction to North Korea-related tensions during the previous weekend. However, as the USD/JPY pair came within a major retracement barrier at 107.856 points, the USD managed to recover its losses and closed down on a much higher level than expected. The USD/JPY pair closed down the previous session at 108.904 points. The current volatility level of the USD/JPY pair has been mostly influenced by the price action of the US Treasuries. US bond prices crashed during the previous session immediately after reaching an all-time high since November last year. Now that both the USD/JPY pair and Treasury yields are on their lowest rungs since November 2016, a lot of investors are now speculating that the Trump administration will be unable to complete its campaign promises within the preset timeframe, including the implementation of a new healthcare plan, tax cuts, and even imposing an increased fiscal spending mechanism. In addition, some traders are also saying that the USD was propelled forward by reports that Trump is leaning towards appointing a bank-friendly figure for the Federal Reserve’s vice chair for bank supervision post. For today’s session, the course of the USD/JPY pair is expected to be dominated mostly by investor sentiment as well as Treasury yields. The currency pair will be able to regain its momentum only if there is an increase in yields and if investors put their interests towards high-earning assets. -
Daily Market Analysis from ForexMart
Andrea ForexMart replied to Andrea ForexMart's topic in Technical Analysis
GBP/USD Technical Analysis: April 17, 2017 The 1.2500 level halted the sellers activity on Thursday. The price rebounded the mark during the Asian hours and continued to climb higher. The British currency strengthen overnight and highlighted the area 1.2515 during the first part of the day. The spot maintained a spot nearly its recent highs within the day. Resistance is at 1.2600 region, support touched the 1.2500 range. It is much anticipated for a move below the 1.2400 area.