riki143

GBP/CAD reversed from resistance zone 12/7/2016 GBP/CAD reversed from resistance zone Next sell target – 1.6400 GBP/CAD continues to decline – after the recent downward reversal from the resistance zone lying between the round resistance level 1.7000, upper daily Bollinger Band, resistance trendline of the wide daily down channel from January and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the previous downward impulse from June. The downward reversal from this resistance zone stopped the previous minor ABC correction 2. GBP/CAD is expected to fall further to the next sell target at the support level 1.6400 (which stopped the B-wave of the previous ABC correction (2) in November). More: https://fxbazooka.com/analytics/11623

USD/JPY: bearish "Tower" 12/7/2016 The 13 & 21 Moving Average acted as a support, so there’s a bearish “Engulfing”, but this pattern hasn’t been confirmed yet. Therefore, the market is likely going to decline towards the nearest support. If a pullback from this level happens, there’ll be an opportunity to have another bullish movement. As we can see on the Daily chart, there isn’t any bearish pattern so far. In this case, bulls are likely going to move on. We’ve got a “Tower”, a “High Wave” and a “Two Crows”, which all have been confirmed enough. Under this circumstances, the 55 Moving Average is likely going to act as a support, which could be a departure point for another bullish rally. More: https://fxbazooka.com/analytics/11622

EUR/USD: local "Harami" 12/7/2016 We’ve got a “Shooting Star” and a “Tower”, which both have been confirmed. So, the current bearish correction is likely going to move on towards the nearest “Window”. As we can see on the Daily chart, here’s a “Harami” at the local high, so bears are likely going to deliver a new local low. At the same time, there’s an opportunity to have another upward movement in the direction of the 21 Moving Average. The price is consolidating, but we have a “Harami” at the last high, so the market is likely going to test the Moving Averages. If a pullback from these line happens, bulls will probably try to reverse the price movement into an upward direction. More: https://fxbazooka.com/analytics/11621

Key option levels for Wednesday, December 7th 12/7/2016 EUR/USD Main trend Short-term period Medium-term period Neutral Neutral Changes in the open interest -No data- -No data- Closest resistance levels 1.0733; 1.0749; 1.0782; 1.0807 Closest support levels 1.0707; 1.0684; 1.0640; 1.0609 Trading recommendations Baseline scenario Short EUR/USD below 1.0707, with target points at 1.0684 and 1.0640 Alternative scenario Moving above 1.0733 can be considered as a signal to Buy the pair, with target at 1.0749 and 1.0782 USD/JPY Main trend Short-term period Medium-term period Neutral Neutral Changes in the open interest -No data- -No data- Closest resistance levels 114.08; 114.26; 114.44; 114.73 Closest support levels 113.83; 113.61; 113.25; 112.79 Trading recommendations Baseline scenario Short USD/JPY below 113.83, with the target points at 113.61 and 113.25 Alternative scenario Moving above 114.08 can be considered as a signal to Buy the pair, with target at 114.26 and 114.44 USD/CAD Main trend Short-term period Medium-term period Neutral Bullish Changes in the open interest -No data- -No data- Closest resistance levels 1.3300; 1.3319; 1.3365; 1.3435 Closest support levels 1.3259; 1.3217; 1.3149; 1.3070 Trading recommendations Baseline scenario Long USD/CAD above 1.3300, with the target points at 1.3319 and 1.3365 Alternative scenario Moving below 1.3259 can be considered as a signal to Sell the pair, with target at 1.3217 and 1.3149 More: https://fxbazooka.com/analytics/11620

Fifth element and Power Ranger swing trading strategies 12/7/2016 Fifth element The main advantage of the fifth element strategy is that tells you ahead of time when the entry price will be, so you should spend lots of time in front of the screen waiting for the right to snatch a whaling sum of money. Key Ingredients: Timeframe – H1, H4. Trading tools – fast EMA 12, slow EMA 26, MACD SMA 9 Currency pairs – EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD. USD/CHF, USD/CAD. AUD/USD, NZD/USD. Strategy concept MACD histogram indicates the direction and momentum of the market. If the MACD histogram switches from negative to positive, this is a signal of the possible upward shift in momentum. You should wait for 5 positive bars on the histogram to confirm the momentum before going long on the fifth bar (that’s why this strategy is dubbed “fifth element”; it’s not after Luc Besson’s film). If the MACD histogram switches from positive to negative, this means that you should open short positions (the rule of the fifth bar remains in force). Long trade setup Wait until the MACD histogram goes from negative to positive. Wait for 4 positive bars to appear on the histogram before entering the market long on the opening of the fifth bar. You should place the stop loss at the last low of the histogram. You have 2 profit targets with risk to reward ratios – 1:1 and 1:2 accordingly. For example, the risk of you trade is 150 points, and the reward is 300 points if both targets are fulfilled. The risk to reward ratio is 1:2, which yields a tidy 6% return if we take a 3% risk. Power Ranger strategy The strategy works with the hourly and 4-hourly chart. Trading tools – we use stochastic for this strategy with the following settings: %K period = 10 %D period = 3 Slowing = 3 Price field = high/low MA method = simple Levels 20 and 80 Reminder – stochastic is an indicator that measures overbought and oversold conditions in the market. Currency pairs – EUR/USD. USD/JPY, GBP/USD, USD/CHF. USD/CAD, AUD/USD, NZD/USD The basic concept of the strategy is that a range should be formed after the market stops trading. Stochastic helps us to identify a possible range formation. We also should pay attention to the current market momentum to tell us whether we should go long or short. If the market is moving up, we may go long in the range. The entry point can be found with the help of Stochastic (it should be below level 20 - in the oversold area). If the market is moving down, we should go short in the range. The entry point can be found in the overbought area (above level 80) of the Stochastic indicator. The power ranges strategy has two profit targets – the first one should be taken within the range. The second target is located beyond the range in anticipation of a breakout. Long trade setup Identify an uptrend line Take a look at the stochastic for %K and %D to go below level 20 (oversold area). Find support and resistance of the range. You may enter long when stochastic steps into the oversold area (above 20 level) You should place your first profit target at the 75% mark of the range. The stop loss should be set at a risk to reward ratio of 1:2. After calculation, the stop loss must be placed below the support level. If not, the trade is considered invalid. Beware! It doesn’t mean that you go long whenever the stochastic is in the oversold region or go short whenever the stochastic is in the overbought region. You should identify momentum before entering the market. More: https://fxbazooka.com/analytics/11619

EUR/USD: wave started 12/7/2016 We’ve got wave 2, which has formed a flat pattern. So, there’s an opportunity to have a bearish impulse in wave in the short term. In this case, the price is likely going to break -1/8 MM Level soon. As we can see on the one-hour chart, wave (v) of [c] is truncated. Also, there’s a downward impulse in wave (i). Therefore, bears are likely going to deliver wave (iii) during the day. The main intraday target is 4/8 MM Level. More: https://fxbazooka.com/analytics/11618

USD/CAD: forecasts from banks ahead of the BOC meeting 12/7/2016 Today, the Bank of Canada will announce its decision on the interest rate at 5:00 pm GMT+2. The market expects the BOC to keep policy rates on hold at 0.5%. The focus will be on the tone of the board’s statement. The recent data releases are half-and-halfer. Q3 GDP outpaced the BOC’s October forecasts, driven by the increase in exports from Q2 and relatively strong household consumption. The business sentiment is still weak, however. This will likely make the board’s members cautious about a strong upsurge in manufacturing in the upcoming quarters. Labor data is rather strong. The Merrill Lynch analysts expect a sustained move higher in USD/CAD towards the end of the year driven by the following factors: a faster pace of Fed hikes because of Trump’s expansionary fiscal policies; a tepid pace of Canadian growth; heightened uncertainty with respect to Canadian trade with the USA. Surging US yields will probably be the main hurdle for the BOC’s cuts in the nearest future. The CAD may be supported, however, in the near-term, if oil prices continue their rally. BofA Merrill USD/CAD targets are following: at 1.36 by the end of the year; at 1.38, 1.40, 1.41, 1.43 by the end of Q1, Q2, Q3 and Q4 of 2017 accordingly. Nomura analysts believe that the BOC will leave its policy rate at o.5 %. They point at Stephen Poloz’s recent comments. The BOC Governor said Canada’s data little changed since the October meeting, suggesting the Communique is likely to be little changed. Credit Agricole says that CAD has become really vulnerable to significant interest rate differentials (the divergence existing between the monetary stances of BOC and Fed). So, they believe that this will keep USD/CAD close to 1.35 into the year-end remaining rather bearish outlook for oil prices in the near-term. More: https://fxbazooka.com/analytics/11615

AUD/USD: bulls have lost its positions 12/7/2016 Technical levels: support – 0.7430; resistance – 0.7490. Trade recommendations: 1. Buy — 0.7450; SL — 0.7430; TP1 — 0.7490; TP2 — 0.7540. Reason: bearish Ichimoku Cloud and falling Senkou Span B; a golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen, but the prices breaking down the Tenkan’s support. More: https://fxbazooka.com/analytics/11614

EUR/USD: correction may continue 12/7/2016 Technical levels: support – 1.0690, 1.0640; resistance – 1.0790, 1.0830/40. Trade recommendations: 1. Buy — 1.0690; SL — 1.0670; TP1 — 1.0790; TP2 – 1.0840. 2. Buy — 1.0730; SL — 1.0710; TP1 — 1.0790; TP2 – 1.0840. Reason: bearish mood of Ichimoku Cloud and rising Senkou Span A; a new golden cross of Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen and the rising Tenkan-sen; the prices are on the support of Tenkan. More: https://fxbazooka.com/analytics/11613

GBP/USD: "Double Top" led to decline 12/7/2016 The price faced a resistance at 1.2770, so we’ve got a “V-Top” pattern here. In this case, the market is likely going to decline towards a support by the trend. If bears be stopped here, there’ll be an option to have another bullish movement, so we should keep an eye on a resistance at 1.2770 – 1.2795 as a possible intraday target. There’s a “Double Top” pattern, which has been confirmed. Meanwhile, the 55 Moving Average is acting as a support, but the price is likely going to continue falling down in the direction of the 89 Moving Average. If a pullback from this line be on the table, bulls will have a chance to deliver a new high. More: https://fxbazooka.com/analytics/11611

EUR/USD: "Breakaway Gap" going to act as a support 12/7/2016 We’ve got a “Double Top”, which has been formed under the 89 Moving Average. Therefore, the market is likely going to decline towards a support area at 1.0655 – 1.0594 in the short term. If a pullback from these levels happens, there’ll be an opportunity to have another bullish movement in the direction of the next resistance at 1.0815 – 1.0850. The 34 Moving Average acted as a support, so the price is consolidating. Also, we’ve got a “Flag” pattern, so bears are likely going to reach a support at 1.0666. At the same time, if we see a pullback from this level, bulls will probably try to test a resistance at 1.0795 – 1.0815. More: https://fxbazooka.com/analytics/11610

Morning brief for December 7, 2016 12/7/2016 AUD/USD slumped to 0.7417 after Q3 GDP data indicated the biggest decline in over 5 years. Many analysts expect it to rebound in Q4 pointing at surging metal prices. NZD/USD changed only a little on the session. The pair is trading below 0.7125. We will hear RBNZ Governor Wheeler speaking at 10:00 pm GMT+2. His speech should bring some moves to the chart. EUR/USD moved higher to 1.0725 on the Asian session. The US dollar is still one of the strongest currencies as market cherishes a thought of the Fed’s rate hike. The euro is on the razor’s edge as the ECB is expected to announce an extension of QE on Thursday. Today’s focus is on the US JOLTS job openings. USD/JPY took a few baby steps towards 114.20. There should some more JPY weakening versus USD. Earlier this morning we had BOJ deputy Governor Iwata on the wires who said that BOJ will continue its powerful monetary easing actions via asset purchases and interest rates. GBP/USD fell below 1.2660 in the course of the session. The pound managed to stabilize earlier. Brexit minister David Davis indicated recently that the government could consider paying to the EU to remain access to the single market. This announcement pushed GBP higher. At the present moment, the market is waiting for the Supreme Court’s decision on whether the government needs an approval of Parliament before triggering Article 50. Strategists believe that if parliament wins the case it may delay Brexit beyond 2017 March. Today you should keep an eye on the UK manufacturing production. USD/CAD edged up to 1.3290 on the session. Today, the Bank of Canada will announce its decision on the interest rate at 5:00 pm GMT+2. It is expected to remain on hold at 0.5%. We see more USD/CAD upside going forward driven by the Fed hike, tepid pace of Canadian growth and uncertainty over US-Canada trade relationships. The oil prices will unlikely offer support to loonie; the OPEC’s push should fade away soon. More: https://fxbazooka.com/analytics/11609

USD/CAD: bears are developing correction 12/7/2016 On the USD/CAD daily chart, there is a correction towards the uptrend. If the "bulls" fail to keep the quotes above the lower boundary of the rising trading channel, the "Shark" pattern may be realized. Its 88.6% target is located near the 1,305 level. On the USD/CAD hourly chart, "Shark" and "Crab" patterns, as well as the levels of Fibonacci retracement to the last upward wave indicate the location of the convergence areas. They are located near the 1,318 and 1,308 marks. Rebounds from these levels will be a signal for opening long positions. Recommendation: BUY 1,318 SL 1,3125 TP1 1,34 TP2 1,36, BUY 1,308 SL 1,3025 TP1 1,3275 TP2 1,34. More: https://fxbazooka.com/analytics/11608

USD/JPY: yen lost its way in broad daylight 12/7/2016 On the USD/JPY daily chart, there is a consolidation within an uptrend. An update of the December high will allow prices to continue their rally towards 119. Alternatively, a successful test of the correction minimum at 112.85 can lead to the rollbacks towards 111.35. On the USD/JPY hourly chart, AB = CD patterns indicate near-term targets of the uptrend. They are located at 116.9 and 117.15. A return of quotes in the borders of rising trading channel followed by the test of the resistance at 114.75 will be a signal for opening long positions. Recommendations: BUY 114,75 SL 114,2 TP 116,9, BUY 113,15 SL 113,7 TP1 112 TP2 111,35. More: https://fxbazooka.com/analytics/11607

USD/CAD & BoC Interest Rate Decision: Further bullish momentum for the Loonie? 12/7/2016 Today at 15:00 GMT will be released the Bank of Canada’s interest rate decision, which overnight rate is expected to remain on hold at 0.5%. The cCentral bank could bring some hints about current export situations that could see some slowdown because of current global demand and also, the Canadian government is looking to stabilize housing market and it should be interesting to read what the BoC has to say about it. Our technical analysis for USD/CAD at H4 chart is showing a bearish consolidation in progress below the 200 SMA and that should put in danger further bullish outlooks for the Loonie, at least in the short-term. If the pair manages to break below the support level of 1.3234, it can extend the decline to test the 1.3172 level, while a hawkish statement by the Bank of Canada can make the USD/CAD pair to test the 200 SMA once again. More: https://fxbazooka.com/analytics/11606

GBP/AUD broke resistance zone 12/6/2016 GBP/AUD broke resistance zone Next buy target - 1.7650 GBP/AUD continues to rise after the recent breakout of the resistance zone lying between the resistance level 1.6960 (which stopped the previous a-wave of the active minor ABC correction 2 from the end of October) and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction level of the previous sharp minor impulse wave 1 from the middle of September. The breakout of this resistance zone accelerated the active minor c-wave. GBP/AUD is expected to rise further in the active c-wave toward the next buy target at the strong resistance level 1.7650, which reversed the previous waves A and (2), as can be seen below. More: https://fxbazooka.com/analytics/11605

EUR/USD rising inside minor corrective wave (iv) 12/6/2016 EUR/USD rising inside minor corrective wave (iv) Next buy target – 1.0850 EUR/USD recently rose sharply inside the minor corrective wave (iv) – which started earlier – when the pair reversed up from the powerful, long-term support level 1.0550, which stopped the earlier strong downtrend in December of 2015, as can be seen below. The support zone near the support level 1.0550 was strengthened by the lower daily Bollinger Band and by the support trendline of the weekly down channel from May. EUR/USD is expected to rise further toward the next buy target at the resistance level 1.0850 (previous strong support from October), intersecting with the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the previous sharp downward impulse from August. More: https://fxbazooka.com/analytics/11604

Consequences of the Italian referendum 12/6/2016 The euro managed to recover from early losses following the uncanny NO vote to the changes in Italian constitution. Polls showed that an overwhelming majority regarded the referendum as a chance to express dissatisfaction with the Renzi’s government performance. PM Matteo Renzi will have to resign now. Italy will face a new election which could finish with preposterous win of the populist, far-right Five movement party. What does it mean for Italia and Eurozone? As we can see market managed to digest the negative outcome of the referendum. There was no clamoring for havens. Investors managed to go through this Tumplike, Brexitlike shock. But the question is still open whether the European monetary union manages to survive an era of populist politicians and diverging economies or not. Many strategists believe that the currency union is strong enough to pass through the avalanche effect of the populist wins, as Europeans appreciate the benefits of the single currency. Despite multiple pledges to return national currencies, they will unlikely be able to bring their plans into an effect. Take a look at the left-wing Syriza party which took control of Greece in 2015 promising its electorate to return to the drachma. Yet Greece stomached capital controls, numerous bailouts and didn’t leave the euro area. However, the rise to power of the populist Five Star Movement may not lead to “Grexit” and Eurozone crumbling, the consequences of the recent referendum still can bring some troubles. Many observers believe that Renzi’s defeat worsens the problems of Italy’s banking system, and particularly of its most tittering, crisis-prone bank, Monte dei Paschi di Siena (MPS). The government has solicited institutional investors to recapitalize it, but many had made investment conditional on a Yes vote. So, as you can see there will be unlikely any bail-out for MSC from the government. MPS can be nationalized now, or rescued under new European Union rules that would hit investors in the pockets who hold MPS’s subordinated debt. So far, the euro has already survived one of the ground-shaking events that we’ve identified in our previous article. Next year will pose some more tests for the euro area. There will be elections in Germany, France and the Netherlands. So, it is probably too early discard the risk of the Eurozone breakup. Time will show, and we, from our side, will keep our fingers crossed for the euro. More: https://fxbazooka.com/analytics/11603

EUR/USD: wave 2 ended 12/6/2016 It seems like wave 2 ended in a form of a flat, so we’ve got a bullish impulse in wave [c]. If the price finds a lodgement under 0/8 MM Level, there’ll be an opportunity to have another bearish impulse in wave . The nearest intraday target is -1/8 MM Level. As we can see on the one-hour chart, wave (v) of [v] finished near +1/8 MM Level. The price is declining, so we could have wave (i) in progress. In this case, we should keep an eye on 6/8 MM Level as the nearest bearish target. More: https://fxbazooka.com/analytics/11602

USD/JPY: local "Engulfing" 12/6/2016 The 21 Moving Average acted as a support. Moreover, we’ve got a “Harami” pattern, but its confirmation is a quite weak. So, bears are likely going to move on. As we can see on the Daily chart, here’s a “High Wave” pattern, so there’s an opportunity to have a local bearish correction. We’ve got a local “Engulfing” pattern. If it confirms, bears will probably try to deliver a new low. More: https://fxbazooka.com/analytics/11601

EUR/USD: bearish "Harami" 12/6/2016 We’ve got a “Shooting Star” at the local high, but this pattern hasn’t been confirmed yet. Therefore, the market is likely going to get the nearest support line, which could be a departure point for another upward movement. As we can see on the Daily chart, we don’t have any reversal pattern so far. In this case, the pair will probably test the 21 Moving Average later on. There’s a “Harami” at the last high, which has been confirmed enough. Also, we’ve got a “Three Methods” here, so the market is likely going to continue moving up until any bearish pattern arrives. More: https://fxbazooka.com/analytics/11600

GBP/USD: unstoppable bulls 12/6/2016 The price is rising. Also, we’ve got a resistance at 1.2770, so the market is likely going to decline towards a support at 1.2672. If a pullback from this level happens, there’ll be an opportunity to have another upward movement towards a resistance at 1.2770 – 1.2795. The price is still consolidating along a resistance at 1.2734. Therefore, the market is likely going to decline in the direction of the nearest support at 1.2703 – 1.2672. At the same time, bulls will probably try to achieve a resistance at 1.2770 – 1.2795 afterwards. More: https://fxbazooka.com/analytics/11599

EUR/USD: Moving Average acted as a resistance 12/6/2016 We’ve got a “Double Bottom”, which has been confirmed enough. Also, the 89 Moving Average has acted as a resistance. Therefore, the market is likely going to reach the nearest support area at 1.0708 – 1.0685 in the short term. If a pullback from these levels happens, there’ll be an opportunity to have another upward price movement. The price break the Moving Averages, so we’ve got a “V-Top” pattern here. In this case, bears are likely going to reach a support at 1.0708 during the day. Considering a possible pullback from this level, bulls will probably try to reach a resistance at 1.0815 – 1.0850 afterwards. More: https://fxbazooka.com/analytics/11598

Key option levels for Tuesday, December 6th 12/6/2016 EUR/USD Main trend Short-term period Medium-term period Bullish Neutral Changes in the open interest + 3 969 ? - 18 790 ? Closest resistance levels 1.0795; 1.0819; 1.0838; 1.0862 Closest support levels 1.0747; 1.0712; 1.0686; 1.0655 Trading recommendations Baseline scenario Long EUR/USD above 1.0795, with target points at 1.0819 and 1.0838 Alternative scenario Moving below 1.0747 can be considered as a signal to Sell the pair, with target at 1.0712 and 1.0686 GBP/USD Main trend Short-term period Medium-term period Bullish Bearish Changes in the open interest + 481 ? + 457 ? Closest resistance levels 1.2777; 1.2802; 1.2833; 1.2871 Closest support levels 1.2727; 1.2694; 1.2650; 1.2580 Trading recommendations Baseline scenario Long GBP/USD above 1.2777, with target points at 1.2802 and 1.2833 Alternative scenario Moving below 1.2727 can be considered as a signal to Sell the pair, with target at 1.2694 and 1.2650 USD/JPY Main trend Short-term period Medium-term period Neutral Neutral Changes in the open interest + 314 ? + 492 ? Closest resistance levels 113.82; 114.14; 114.39; 114.73 Closest support levels 113.48; 113.28; 112.97; 112.57 Trading recommendations Baseline scenario Long USD/JPY above 113.82, with the target points at 114.14 and 114.39 Alternative scenario Moving below 113.48 can be considered as a signal to sell the pair, with target at 113.28 and 112.97 USD/CAD Main trend Short-term period Medium-term period Neutral Bullish Changes in the open interest + 359 ? + 302 ? Closest resistance levels 1.3280; 1.3308; 1.3362; 1.3435 Closest support levels 1.3236; 1.3201; 1.3142; 1.3067 Trading recommendations Baseline scenario Long USD/CAD above 1.3280, with the target points at 1.3308 and 1.3362 Alternative scenario Moving below 1.3236 can be considered as a signal to Sell the pair, with target at 1.3201 and 1.3142 More: https://fxbazooka.com/analytics/11597

What will happen with the euro after the ECB meeting? 12/6/2016 Morgan Stanley’s strategists believe that the ECB will keep rates on hold at this week’s meeting, but can expand its QE purchase program. But they consider different scenarios with various responses from the euro. Potential scenarios and the reaction of the euro. 1. QE purchases extension for 6 months after March. This expansion is well priced in by the market participants, so, it wouldn’t be surprising for markets. The reaction of EUR/USD should be restrained. To extend purchases and leave an expectation in the market that they could extend again, the ECB should introduce some changes to its present program. Which kind of changes? - The ECB may announce that it is not going to use the capital key to allocate purchases. This option will be positive for periphery countries of the Eurozone, but bad for the German bund. The reaction of the euro should be positive in this case. The ECB may not express itself explicitly, it can only hint that it is going to be flexible (in this case the euro’s reaction won’t be stormy). If the ECB is more explicit, the euro may react with some moves. - The ECB can recourse to buying bonds below the deposit rate. This decision will be negative for the euro. - The ECB may commit itself to changing the maximum limit on buying per issuer. This approach should be bullish for German bund curve. EUR/USD will fall, if there is a larger decrease in bund yields than US Treasury yields. - The ECB may address the scarcity of bonds. If there is a rise in short end rates (it would dissipate fears over the bond scarcity), the euro may gather momentum. 2. The ECB announces the cut of its interest rate. This scenario is not expected by the market. If it is realized, EUR/USD should fall significantly. 3. ECB decides to extend its QE purchases by more than 6 months beyond March. This option is not expected by the market. EUR/USD will be poised to weakening. 4. ECB doesn’t change its policy stance. This approach will cause German bunds to rise substantially and push EUR higher. 5. ECB extends corporate bond purchases, but not government bond. Basically, in this case, the ECB will commit to the tapering of the bond purchasing program. This scenario is unlikely, and if it’s realized, it will be positive for EUR. The ECB meeting will be held on Thursday, December 8. More: https://fxbazooka.com/analytics/11596