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OctaFX_Farid

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  1. GBP/USD remains close to 1.5700 FXStreet (Edinburgh) - The sterling keeps the buoyant tone on Tuesday, taking GBP/USD to the area of daily tops in the 1.5700 neighbourhood. GBP/USD bolstered by UK data Despite the upside momentum of the US dollar, the sterling derived support from the better-than-expected inflation figures released earlier in the UK economy, where consumer prices came in higher than initially anticipated for the month of July. Spot quickly clinched multi-week tops beyond 1.5700 the figure, managing (so far) to break above the tough resistance area around 1.5680. GBP/USD key levels At the moment the pair is up 0.68% at 1.5693 with the next resistance at 1.5719 (high Aug.18) ahead of 1.5734 (high Jul.1) and then 1.5789 (high Jun.29). On the other hand, a breach of 1.5562 (low Aug.18) would open the door to 1.5536 (low Aug.12) and finally 1.5500 (psychological level). Aug 18,2015 OctaFX.Com News Updates Trade with OctaFX - the Most Reliable Forex broker!
  2. TRY poised for further declines – TDS FXStreet (Edinburgh) - Cristian Maggio, Head of EM Strategy at TD Securities, assessed today’s decision by the CBRT to keep the monetary stance unchanged. Key Quotes “My first impression is that the CBRT has fallen short of market expectations. This comes as a natural conclusion even just looking at the market reaction after the document was published. New USDTRY all time high at 2.8941. The pair is now trading just above 2.89 but, unless the CBRT puts some substance to these promises, the lira is unlikely to receive great support going forward. “I’m not quite sure if the goal is still stabilize the lira or just let it go weaker to help the economic rebalancing. Certainly the CBRT will have to consider the implications for the corporate sector that has large USD exposure via foreign debt. And the fact that Erdogan’s adviser Cemil praised the CBRT’s decision (‘brave’ and ‘appropriate’) shortly after the announcement today, leaves me with that bitter taste of something that doesn’t feel good but you don’t quite get what is wrong with it”. “For now, we stick to our negative opinion on rates and currency (we see USDTRY to 3.0 in the short term and higher towards 3.30/3.35 in the coming 10 months), on the backdrop of a messy political situation that sets almost certainly Turkey for early elections. Another 5 days to figure that out”. Aug 18,2015 OctaFX.Com News Updates Trade with OctaFX - the Most Reliable Forex broker!
  3. Sell rallies in AUD/USD – Rabobank FXStreet (Edinburgh) - Jane Foley, Senior Currency Strategist at Rabobank recommends selling the pair on occasional bullish attempts. Key Quotes “While the timing of last week’s plunge in the CNY took us by surprise, we have been calling for a weakening in the value of the CNY vs. the USD for some time as the Chinese authorities seek to more closely align the value of the currency to the forces of slow growth and disinflation”. “On the back of the move, we have revised up our forecasts for USD/CNY to 6.70 on a 12 mth view and, while we are forecasting that AUD/CNY could hold relative stable near current levels in the coming 12 months, this view is based on our assumption that AUD/USD will fall towards 0.69”. “Concerns over Chinese growth are being mixed concerns over a faltering economy recovery in Japan with a worsening growth outlook for Indonesia”. “Against this backdrop we still see scope for further RBA easing this cycle and look to sell AUD/USD into rallies. Initial resistance is likely to be provided by the 100 and 200 day smas near AUD/USD0.7370”. Aug 18,2015 OctaFX.Com News Updates Trade with OctaFX - the Most Reliable Forex broker!
  4. Turkey’s Central Bank keeps key rates on hold FXStreet (Mumbai) - The central bank of Turkey (TCMB) kept key interest rates unchanged on Tuesday amid the volatile political situation in the country and persisting uncertainty. The monetary policy committee of the Turkish central bank decided on Tuesday to keep its one-week repo rate at 7.50% and the overnight borrowing rate at 7.25%, unchanged from July. The overnight lending rate was also kept at 10.75%, while the primary dealers' overnight borrowing rate remained at 10.25%. The central bank noted in its statement, "Loan growth continues at reasonable levels in response to the tight monetary policy stance and macro prudential measures. The favorable developments in the terms of trade and the moderate course of consumer loans contribute to the improvement in the current account balance," "External demand remains weak, while domestic demand contributes to growth moderately. The Committee assesses that the implementation of the announced structural reforms would contribute to the potential growth significantly." "Future monetary policy decisions will be conditional on the improvements in the inflation outlook. Inflation expectations, pricing behavior and other factors that affect inflation will be monitored closely and the cautious monetary policy stance will be maintained, by keeping a flat yield curve, until there is a significant improvement in the inflation outlook.” On Monday, Economy Minister Nihat Zeybekci said, ‘Interest rates need to fall’, reviving the earlier attempts of the Turkish government to influence the central bank. Aug 18,2015 OctaFX.Com News Updates Trade with OctaFX - the Most Reliable Forex broker!
  5. NZD/USD rises modestly, sill below 0.6600 FXStreet (Córdoba) - NZD/USD gained momentum during the last hours and extended gains. The pair printed a fresh daily high at 0.6579. It remains trading near the highs, above 0.6570. Despite today’s gains, NZD/USD remains limited, attempting to recover after ending lower last week. The outlook remains sideways with the pair holding above 0.6500 and unable to consolidate on top of 0.6600. Wednesday, key day for NZD/USD In the US, the main report today was the NY Empire manufacturing index, that dropped from 3.86 to -14.92 in August, weakening the US dollar. Tomorrow will be the turn of housing data. While on Wednesday attention will lie on the CPI index and Federal Reserve minutes. In New Zealand, on Wednesday, inflation information from the second quarter will be release. And on Tuesday the GDT index (a measure of dairy price products) that could impact the pair. Aug 17,2015 OctaFX.Com News Updates Trade with OctaFX - the Most Reliable Forex broker!
  6. EUR/GBP sell on strength – Rabobank FXStreet (Edinburgh) - Jane Foley, Senior Currency Strategist at Rabobank, sees occasional bullish attempts in EUR/GBP as opportunities to sell. Key Quotes “While uncertainties over the implications of Chinese and Fed policy could be sufficient to steady the hands of some of the MPC hawks in September, it seems very likely that at least three members of the MPC will be voting for an immediate rate hike by the end of the year (Miles will be replaced in September by Gertjan Vlieghe, whose position on the hawk/dove scale is not yet clear)”. “That said, the BoE this month revised down its inflation forecasts and in view of weak commodity prices the market is expecting the tomorrow’s release of July CPI inflation to remains flat y/y”. “Weak inflation could disappoint the sterling bulls, but with a policy tightening from the Bank likely to precede a move by all other major central banks aside from the Fed, we continue to favour selling EUR/GBP on rallies and look for a move towards 0.68 on a 9 mth view”. Aug 17,2015 OctaFX.Com News Updates Trade with OctaFX - the Most Reliable Forex broker!
  7. OctaFX.com-OctaFX cTrader Demo Contest – one week, 5 prizes, ultimate competition! The main aim of the competition remains the same while environment changes: trade your cTrader demo account and end the week in highest profit to receive the prize from OctaFX. The contest round lasts one week – from Monday Market opening to Friday Market closing! Prize fund of $400 is distributed between five lucky traders. Prize fund of $400 is distributed between five lucky traders: Contest rules and regulations View round standings Take part now! Stand out for outstanding with OctaFX! Please stay tuned for the news and updates from OctaFX! Wishing you luck and profitable trading, yours truly, OctaFX! OctaFX-Most Reliable Forex broker 2014 by FX Empire!
  8. Chinese Yuan firmer after initial havoc this week - Rabobank FXStreet (Guatemala) - Analysts at Rabobank explained that for the first time since November the CNY yesterday traded above the PBoC’s daily fixing. Key Quotes: "Following the sharp move lower in the previous couple of sessions, the more stable tone of the Chinese currency offered some reassurances to investors and policy makers across the globe. The better tone of the CNY followed a statement from the PBoC that there is no basis for the depreciation of the CNY to persist and that policy makers will step in to control large fluctuations. While there sheer size of China’s foreign currency reserves gives credence to the statement that the authorities won’t stand by while the value of CNY plunges uncontrollably, weak economic data suggests that it is more difficult to swallow the PBoC’s reassurances that there is no basis for the depreciation of the CNY to persist. Now that the Chinese authorities have allowed market forces to have greater sway over the value of the CNY, there is risk of further downside pressure on the CNY. Therefore, there is still every reason to suspect that a currency war of some description will remain in play in the region." Aug 14,2015 OctaFX.Com News Updates Trade with OctaFX - the Most Reliable Forex broker!
  9. GBP/USD rises to daily highs after US sentiment data FXStreet (Córdoba) - GBP/USD pushed higher and printed fresh daily highs above 1.5650 as disappointing consumer sentiment data offset a better-than-expected US PPI reading. The University of Michigan consumer sentiment index came in at 92.9 in August, according to a preliminary reading, versus 93.5 expected. GBP/USD extended intraday gains and posted a high of 1.5656 in recent dealings. At time of writing, the pair is trading at 1.5649, recording a 0.26% rise on Friday. In the absence of economic data for the rest of the session and with Chinese volatility having decreased significantly today, investors’ attention now turns to events that could shed light over a potential Fed hike in September. GBP/USD levels to watch In terms of technical levels, GBP/USD could find next resistances at 1.5656/58 (Aug 14 & 12 high), and 1.5700 (psychological level). On the other hand, supports are seen at 1.5588 (Aug 14 low), 1.5573 (Aug 13 low) and 1.5533 (Aug 12 low). Aug 14,2015 OctaFX.Com News Updates Trade with OctaFX - the Most Reliable Forex broker!
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  11. United States 30-Year Bond Auction declined to 2.88% from previous 3.08% FXStreet.com (Barcelona) For more information, read our latest forex news. Aug 13,2015 OctaFX.Com News Updates Trade with OctaFX - the Most Reliable Forex broker!
  12. USD/CAD outlook remains neutral to bearish – Scotiabank FXStreet (Edinburgh) - Eric Theoret, Currency Strategist at Scotiabank, noted the neutral-to-bearish stance around the pair in the near term. Key Quotes “CAD remains sensitive to its core drivers of relative policy and oil prices, the former providing for most of the recent CAD strength through a week in which markets have reassessed the Fed path in light of China as well as the softened tone from both Fed Vice Chair Fischer and NY Fed President Dudley”. “CAD is trading in tandem with the 2Y U.S.-Canada yield spread, having broken its tight correlation to oil prices over the past week”. “Near term risk lies with the U.S. releases and their influence on expectations for the Fed path—providing for a tightened focus on the U.S. import price and retail sales figures”. “The MACD is increasingly biased to further downside and the RSI is threatening a near term break below 50. USDCAD has made a material break of its short term MA’s, closing well below its 21 day MA for the first time since late June”. “Near term support is expected between 1.2920 and 1.2950, the levels closely representing the real body of the July 29 hammer doji. The 1.3000 will remain psychologically important and we look to near term resistance at 1.3100 with gains likely to be restrained above 1.3150”. Aug 13,2015 OctaFX.Com News Updates Trade with OctaFX - the Most Reliable Forex broker!
  13. WTI drops to the $42.00 area FXStreet (Edinburgh) - Crude oil prices have accelerated its decline on Thursday, dragging the barrel of West Texas Intermediate to the vicinity of the $42.00 mark. WTI in fresh multi-year lows The re-emergence of the bid tone around the US dollar has been weighing on crude oil prices since early trade today, sending the barrel of WTI to print fresh lows around the $42.00 handle, levels last seen in March 2009. Collaborating with the downside, US retail sales surpassed expectations during July, pointing to a healthy increase in consumer spending and somehow leaving the door open for a rate hike by the Federal Reserve next month. WTI levels to watch At the moment WTI is losing 2.61% at $42.19 with the next support at $42.07 (low Aug.13) followed by $40.07 (monthly low March 2009) ahead of $34.03 (monthly low February 2009) and then $30.28 (monthly low December 2008). On the flip side, a break above $46.94 (high Aug.3) would aim for $48.62 (high Jul.31) and finally $49.52 (high Jul.29). Aug 13,2015 OctaFX.Com News Updates Trade with OctaFX - the Most Reliable Forex broker!
  14. AUD/USD off session lows as USD weakens FXStreet (Córdoba) - Greenback lost strength across the board and pushed AUD/USD to the upside. The pair trimmed losses and rose back above 0.7350. The aussie is still trading below yesterday’s closing price. On Wednesday it rallied from 0.7230 to 0.7405. After being unable to hold above 0.7400 pulled back. The retreated from the highs continued during today’s Asian session and AUD/USD bottomed at 0.7320. After Wall Street opening bell turned to the upside and rose above the hourly 20-SMA. Recently reached 0.7365 and currently trades at 0.7355. AUD/USD to remain sideways? The pair is back to last week trading range after yesterday’s slide. The long term trend remains bearish while in the short term is moving sideways. A consolidation considerable above 0.7400 should increase the odds of a bullish correction. While below 0.7230, greenback could gain momentum. Aug 13,2015 OctaFX.Com News Updates Trade with OctaFX - the Most Reliable Forex broker!
  15. EUR/JPY corrects lower, finds support at 138.00 FXStreet (Córdoba) - The euro is falling against the yen for the first time since the beginning of the week, making a modest correction after rising 500 pips from last week lows. EUR/JPY approached Wednesday highs during the Asian session but remained most of the time trading around 138.60. Price weakened during the European session and after the release of US economic data dropped to 138.06. EUR/JPY still above key levels The bearish correction so far found support above 138.00, that also capped the decline yesterday. The pair is holding above 138.00 and also on top of two important levels: the 137.70 and an uptrend line originated at April lows. European Central Bank minutes and US data The euro weakened after the release of ECB accounts. According to the document the central bank remains ready to act if needed and argued that is soon to confirm that inflation expectations are firmly anchored. Price bottomed after the release of US reports amid a momentarily decline of EUR/USD below 1.1100 and since then is has been moving slowly off session lows. Aug 13,2015 OctaFX.Com News Updates Trade with OctaFX - the Most Reliable Forex broker!
  16. Gold could fade the recent spike – BBH FXStreet (Edinburgh) - The research team at BBH believes the ounce troy of the precious metal could head back towards the $1,100 handle. Key Quotes “The price of gold rallied by about 5.25% off the five-year low set in late-July near $1172 an ounce to the high set earlier today. More than half this rally took place this week, seemingly in response to the heightened uncertainty as China changed its currency regime”. “In the exaggerated reaction, some market participants rushed to judgment, concluding that China's move pre-empted a Fed rate hike in September. This, coupled with the uncertainty saw gold rally. However, as cooler heads are prevailing, the price of gold may reverse”. “Technically speaking, it has stopped around where it should, and that is the minimum retracement of the last leg down, which began with the June 18 peak. That retracement is found near $1123.40 and the yellow metal peaked near $1127 earlier today”. “If this is correct, then gold should test $1105-$1110 in the near-term. It may take a break of $1100, which also corresponds to the 20-day moving average to convince some of the tactical bulls that the correction is over”. Aug 13,2015 OctaFX.Com News Updates Trade with OctaFX - the Most Reliable Forex broker!
  17. (Too) Early signs of rising Swedish inflation - UBS FXStreet (Córdoba) - Swedish inflation data surprised positively on Thursday, thereby strengthening the SEK significantly. The UBS analyst team notes that even though this is good news for the Swedish Riksbank and its quantitative easing program (QE), numerous risks remain that should prevent an early retreat from easy monetary policy. Key Quotes “Notably, underlying inflation, excluding energy prices, rose to a five-year high at 1.5%. While this is good news for the Swedish Riksbank and its quantitative easing program (QE), numerous risks remain that should prevent an early retreat from easy monetary policy. As the US Federal Reserve approaches its first rate hike in almost a decade, higher-yielding currencies should still perform better than the SEK”. “Swedish inflation expectations remain low and do not reveal much impact from QE. Furthermore, the Chinese currency devaluation should mute Swedish import prices, whose growth rate remains sluggish”. “Last but not least, the Riksbank will likely be wary of reducing its easing bias before the major Swedish wage negotiations take place around the turn of the year”. “Markets seem to have positioned themselves for another rate cut. Swedish two-year bond yields have fallen into deeply negative territory, not far off from Swiss ones. As such, we see little room left for EURSEK to rise. The pairing should continue trading in a 9.10 to 9.60 range. “There is a high chance of another rate cut and an extension of the QE program at the next Riksbank monetary policy meeting on 3 September. No action would likely pull EURSEK down toward 9.20. Over a six to 12-month time horizon, it should fall closer to 9.00, as Swedish inflation trends will likely continue improving as inflation expectations recover”. Aug 13,2015 OctaFX.Com News Updates Trade with OctaFX - the Most Reliable Forex broker!
  18. US Data reaction: GBP/USD off highs; falls to daily lows FXStreet (New York) - The British Pound is currently falling against the US Dollar as the Greenback is trading higher following the latest set of economic indicators in the US. After falling 35 pips from 1.5635 in the last few minutes, the GBP/USD is now testing lows at 1.5600. The US retail sales rose 0.6% in July, slightly better than the +0.5% expected. Ex-autos reported an increase of 0.4%, less than 0.5% expected but the Census Bureau reported a huge revision in ex-autos for June: from -0.1% reported initially to +0.4% informed now. Jobless claims reported 274 initial claims requested in the August 7 week. Previous week was revised 1K down to 269K. Dollar up The US Dollar index is trading higher today for the first time in seven days as the DXY is extending its recovery from 96.00 area to current 96.50. As previously reported, the US Dollar index is performing an inside day as the EUR/USD is in pullback mode. GBP/USD performance Currently, GBP/USD is trading at 1.5603, down -0.06% on the day, having posted a daily high at 1.5639 and low at 1.5600. The hourly FXStreet OB/OS Index is showing neutral conditions, alongside the FXStreet Trend Index which is slightly bullish. GBP/USD levels As for the short term, if the pair breaks down the 1.5600 level, it will find supports at 1.5560 and 1.5530. To the upside, resistances are at 1.5635, 1.5660 and 1.5680. Aug 13,2015 OctaFX.Com News Updates Trade with OctaFX - the Most Reliable Forex broker!
  19. USD/JPY revisits highs after US retail sales FXStreet (Córdoba) - USD/JPY reacted positively and made a marginal new high following the latest string of US data which showed retail sales came in stronger than expected in July, while initial jobless claims disappointed. Retail sales leave door open for September liftoff US retail sales rebounded in July, rising 0.6% from a 0.3% fall printed in June and beating expectations of a 0.5% increase. Excluding autos however, sales grew 0.4%, slightly below the 0.5% of forecast. Separated data showed initial jobless claims rose by 5,000 to 274,000 in the seven days ended August 8, more than the 270,000 expected. Import prices fell by 0.9% in July, led by lower fuel prices. USD/JPY stretched to a high of 124.59 following data, but lacked momentum to extend gains and remained little changed in the aftermath. At time of writing, the pair is trading at 124.52, up 0.26% on the day, from 124.43 pre-data. USD/JPY levels to watch In terms of technical levels, resistances could be found at 124.59 (Aug 13 high), 125.27 (Aug 12 high) and 125.66 (Jun 8 high). On the other hand, immediate supports are seen at 123.78 (Aug 12 low), 123.60 (50-day SMA) and 123.32 (Jul 29 low). Aug 13,2015 OctaFX.Com News Updates Trade with OctaFX - the Most Reliable Forex broker!
  20. Canada New Housing Price Index (YoY): 1.3% (July) vs 1.2% FXStreet.com (Barcelona) For more information, read our latest forex news. Aug 13,2015 OctaFX.Com News Updates Trade with OctaFX - the Most Reliable Forex broker!
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  22. EUR/USD firmer, clinches 1.1200 FXStreet (Edinburgh) - The European currency keeps alive its march north on Wednesday, now pushing EUR/USD to test the 1.1200 handle. EUR/USD in 5-week tops The buying sentiment around the euro has been gathering pace since early trade today. Same as yesterday, this morning’s ‘fixing’ of the Yuan by the PBoC has prompted market participants to intensify the USD-selling, taking the greenback to 4-week lows when measured by the US Dollar Index. Adding to the USD weakness, the recent moves in the Yuan have also pushed back market expectations of a Fed’s lift-off in September, which are now gyrating around 30% after rising to almost 60% pre-Payrolls on Friday. EUR/USD levels to watch As of writing the pair is advancing 1.39% at 1.1196 with the next hurdle at 1.1215 (high Aug.12) ahead of 1.1244 (high Jun.30) and then 1.1278 (high Jun.29). On the downside, a break below 1.1057 (low Aug.12) would target 1.0961 (low Aug.11) en route to 1.0855 (low Aug.7). Aug 12,2015 OctaFX.Com News Updates Trade with OctaFX - the Most Reliable Forex broker!
  23. GBP/USD ready to test July highs FXStreet (Córdoba) - GBP/USD continued to rise during the American session and reached the strongest level since July 30. The pair broke above 1.5630 and climbed to 1.5659. It was trading at 1.5640, 60 pips above yesterday’s closing price. Cable erased previous losses and approached the barrier around 1.5670/80, that capped the upside during July. The last time the pair closed above 1.5670 was in June. A weak USD, offset soft UK data Greenback is falling sharply across the board and it has erased gains even against commodity currencies that dropped after another decline of the Chinese Yuan. The pound also lost ground on Asian hours, then recovered but revisited the lows after employment numbers from the United Kingdom. GBP/USD bottomed at 1.5530 and then changed the intraday trend. It accelerated to the upside after breaking above 1.5610 and it was holding a bullish tone near 1.5670. Aug 12,2015 OctaFX.Com News Updates Trade with OctaFX - the Most Reliable Forex broker!
  24. USD/JPY stages crushing decline The 1-hour USD/JPY MACD series is sitting at extreme lows. Recent plummeting USD/JPY price action has been highlighted by an above-average distance between MACD and its signal line. From a strategic standpoint, there could be further stomach-churning dips to endure, as well as brief relief rallies. The latest MACD print shows dissipation of downside momentum, thus reinforcing the second scenario. Aug 12,2015 OctaFX.Com News Updates Trade with OctaFX - the Most Reliable Forex broker!
  25. GBP/USD extends gains above 1.5600 FXStreet (Córdoba) - GBP/USD has pushed to fresh highs above 1.5600 early in the New York session as US traders join in to find out China weakened the yuan again on Wednesday. GBP/USD managed to rise past yesterday’s highs and climbed to a 6-day peak of 1.5629 as the greenback falls across the board. At time of writing, GBP/USD is trading at 1.5612, recording a 0.29% gain on the day. Earlier, UK reported unemployment rate stood unchanged at 5.6% in June, while average weekly earnings excluding bonus were unchanged at 2.8%YoY. The US calendar is pretty light, with JOLTS jobs opening due at 14:00 GMT (5.300M exp). GBP/USD levels to watch In terms of technical levels, GBP/USD could find next resistances at 1.5629 (Aug 12 high), 1.5650 (Aug 5 high) and 1.5700 (psychological level). On the other hand, supports are seen at 1.5533 (Aug 12 low), 1.5500 (psychological level) and 1.5457 (Aug 10 low). Aug 12,2015 OctaFX.Com News Updates Trade with OctaFX - the Most Reliable Forex broker!
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