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Session Recap: USD extends the rally, NFP eyed FXStreet (Edinburgh) - The greenback continues its march north almost unabated on Friday, lifting the US Dollar Index (DXY) to fresh highs in over a decade, and in turn confining the riskier assets to challenge lower levels. The euro is trading in levels last seen in September 2003 around 1.0940/30 with high chances of seen further supports breached in case of a positive surprise from the US Payrolls in February. Continuing in the G10 space, the sterling quickly breached below the 1.5200 key support and seems to have found support around 1.5160. In addition, the greenback is clinging to the area of 120.00 against the Japanese yen, with the area of 120.40/50 still remaining elusive for USD bulls. Ahead in the day, US Non-farm Payrolls will be the main highlight today. Consensus expects the US economy to have added 240K jobs during February vs. January’s 257K. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Mar 06,2015 OctaFX.Com News Updates

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EUR/JPY: Consolidating the downside and bearishness FXStreet (Guatemala) - EUR/JPY is currently trading at 132.40 with a high of 133.60 and a low of 132.12. EUR/JPY remains under pressure and this time the ECB's Drghi left the room with the euro down at fresh lows. However, in respect of the ECB meeting, Carsten Brzeski, analyst at ING bank explained that, overall, the ECB’s macro-economic assessment was much more upbeat than in previous months. "It looks as if at least the ECB is a strong believer in the positive economic impact of its own QE programme." Technically, Karen Jones, chief analyst at Commerzbank explained that the EUR/JPY is expected to remain under pressure given that last week we saw failure ahead of the 38.2% retracement at 137.65 and well ahead of the 200 day moving average at 139.20. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Mar 05,2015 OctaFX.Com News Updates

EUR/USD steadies above 1.1000 after ECB FXStreet (Córdoba) - EUR/USD steadied right above the 1.1000 area after Draghi’s comments sent the pair to a fresh 11-year low of 1.1006. Even though EUR/USD initially moved higher, it quickly surrendered gains and dropped more than 100 pips after ECB President said the ECB will launch QE program on March 9 and pledged to buy sovereign bonds with negative yields up to -0.2%. EUR/USD fell from a daily high of 1.1114 to a low of 1.1006 but the managed to stabilize around 1.1020, where it is currently trading, 0.5% below its opening price. If EUR/USD breaks below 1.1000 (psychological level), next supports are seen at 1.0917 (Sep 5 2003 low). On the flip side, resistances could be found at 1.1149 (100-hour SMA) and 1.1185 (Mar 4 high). OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Mar 05,2015 OctaFX.Com News Updates

ECB: Greece covered in press conference - ING FXStreet (Guatemala) - Analysts at ING noted that during the press conference, there were also several questions on Greece, QE and ELA. Key Quotes: "The bottom line of Draghi’s answers was that the ECB would only buy government bonds rated lower than investment grade if the countries are in a bailout programme and the programme is not in a review period." "Moreover, the ECB could not buy more than 33% of a single issuer." "For Greece, all of this means that the ECB could at the earliest start purchasing Greek bonds only in June or July, if and when Greece has reimbursed the bond expiring in June which the ECB had (partly) purchased under the old SMP programme." "Finally, Draghi also said that ELA for Greek banks had been extended by 500 million euro. The ECB’s stance on Greece has definitely not softened." OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Mar 05,2015 OctaFX.Com News Updates

AUD/USD: Further rate cuts priced in for April? FXStreet (Guatemala) - AUD/USD is currently trading at 0.7776 with a high of 0.7842 and a low of 0.7772. AUD/USD is suffering to the downside and has lost the 0.78 handle with a move from 0.7820 resistance area. However, whether there is much more room to the downside at this stage, with the majority of the market that feels the RBA will be making further moves may have made their own moves already and a cut in April could have already been priced in. Analysts at Westpac Banking Corporaton explained that in the RBA's statement, it was told there that, “Further easing of policy may be appropriate”, while rates were kept steady at this meeting, “for the time being”. Their analysts observes that this phrase has been used 8 times over the past 5 years, with a change in rates being delivered within 2 months on all 8 occasions. It was also noted that RBA’s Lowe conceded that the Aussie is now a lot closer to fair value than it has been for some years. "Risks still seem to the downside for AUD in the month ahead but we switch back to neutral on the week." Technically, however, Karen Jones at Commerzbank, explained that the AUD/USD remains capped by its downtrend at 0.7883 and for now it will maintain a negative bias. "The market failed at this downtrend last week and charted an outside day to the downside which suggests that we are likely to see the resumption of downside pressure." OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Mar 05,2015 OctaFX.Com News Updates

USD/JPY pressuring 120.00 – FXStreet FXStreet (Barcelona) - Valeria Bednarik, Chief Analyst at FXStreet, gives the technical outlook for USD/JPY, expecting the pair to remain in consolidation mode ahead of tomorrow’s US employment figures. Key Quotes “The USD/JPY pair reached a daily high of 120.39 before the news, reversing its intraday gains and now pressuring the 120.00 figure.” “The 1 hour chart shows that indicators turned lower from overbought levels, but that the price remains well above its 100 and 200 SMAs.” “The price also stands above a daily descendant trend line coming from the multi-year high reached last year at 121.84, now offering support around 119.90” “In the 4 hours chart, the technical indicators lost upward potential above their mid-lines, not giving too much clues on what's next on the pair.” “The most likely scenario is some consolidation around the current levels, ahead of Friday's US employment figures.” “Support levels: 119.90 119.40 119.10” “Resistance levels: 120.45 120.90 121.35” OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Mar 05,2015 OctaFX.Com News Updates

Core Inflation is still low – Draghi FXStreet (Mumbai) - The European Central Bank President responded to queries on inflation by stating that the core inflation would stay low and sees the output gap closing gradually by 2017. With regards to the impact of sliding oil prices, he stated that the stimulus program has damped the second-round deflationary effects of weak oil prices. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Mar 05,2015 OctaFX.Com News Updates

ECB Draghi reiterates QE program is open ended FXStreet (Mumbai) - The European Central Bank President Mario Draghi stressed the fact that the bank’s QE program is open ended - as he stated readiness to continue with the monthly EUR 60 billion asset purchases beyond September 2016. However, Draghi also stated that the bank cannot print money to buy government bonds. When questioned about the bonds with negative yields, the President reiterated the bank’s readiness to buy buy negative-yielding bonds up to the deposit rate. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Mar 05,2015 OctaFX.Com News Updates

USD/JPY deflates from highs FXStreet (Edinburgh) - The greenback is losing the grip now, pushing USD/JPY back to the area of 120.20 after hitting intraday highs beyond 120.40. USD/JPY a tad lower on US data The pair is leaving the region of session highs after Initial Claims to 320K in the week ended on February 20th vs. 295K expected and 313K from the previous week. Further data showed Unit Labour Costs expanding 4.1% during the fourth quarter while Non-farm Productivity contracted 2.2% during the same period. Next on tap will be US Factory Orders, with consensus expecting an expansion of 0.2% on a month to January. USD/JPY key levels At the moment the pair is advancing 0.47% at 120.28 with the next hurdle at 120.48 (high Feb.11) ahead of 120.68 (high Jan.5). On the downside, a break below 119.47 (low Mar.4) would aim for 119.38 (low Mar.3) and then 119.17 (21-d MA). OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Mar 05,2015 OctaFX.Com News Updates

BoE’s might hike rates despite low inflation, August likely – Danske FXStreet (Barcelona) - Mikael Olai Milhøj, Analyst at Danske Bank, explains that the BoE might hike rates in August, but risks also tilted towards a later hike in Q3 or Q4, but expects the central bank to hike irrespective of the inflation remaining low. Key Quotes “As expected, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) just announced that it voted to maintain the Bank Rate and the stock of asset purchases at 0.50% and GBP375bn, respectively.” “We still expect the first hike to arrive in August but stress that risks are tilted towards a hike later in Q3 or possibly in Q4.” “There are several reasons for our somewhat dovish view. Firstly, the UK recovery remains on track and we expect solid growth both this year and next, supported by the low commodity prices, positive real wage growth and increasing growth in Europe.” “Secondly, the unemployment rate is currently at 5.7% and is approaching the Bank of England’s estimated medium-term equilibrium unemployment rate at 5.5%, implying that the slack in the labour market is diminishing. In the Inflation Report from February, the Bank of England estimated that slack is around 0.5% of GDP.” “Thirdly, both wage growth and core inflation are increasing, implying no deflationary tendencies.” “Fourthly, the MPC recognises that the very low inflation is due to temporary factors that should drop out at the end of this year, implying that inflation could increase sharply.” “As the MPC recognises that monetary policy works with a lag, we expect it to hike despite low inflation if the medium-term outlook calls for a tighter monetary policy.” OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Mar 05,2015 OctaFX.Com News Updates

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EUR/USD hits fresh 11-year lows FXStreet (Córdoba) - EUR/USD came under renewed pressure at the beginning of the American session and printed fresh 11-year lows. After showing little interest in US ADP private employment figures, EUR/USD faced selling interest and broke below the low scored on Jan 26 and fell to its lowest level since Sept 2003 at 1.1080 so far. EUR/USD technical levels At time of writing, EUR/USD is trading at the 1.1090 zone, recording a 0.75% loss on the day, with immediate supports lining up 1.1045 (Sep 8 2003 low) and 1.1000 (psychological level). Meanwhile, resistances on bounces are seen at 1.1185 (daily high) 1.1217 (Mar 3 high) and 1.1244 (Feb 27 high). OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Mar 04,2015 OctaFX.Com News Updates

EUR/USD keeps lows around 1.1120 FXStreet (Edinburgh) - EUR/USD remains unmotivated and depressed in the vicinity of 1.1120, retracing the bullish attempt to 1.1130/40. EUR/USD now looks to the ISM, ADP report Disappointing results from the Services PMIs in the euro area during February sparked the current leg lower, which found some support in the 1.1120/15 band. The greenback extended its upside momentum today, ahead of the ADP Employment report and the key ISM Non-Manufacturing in the US economy. Market consensus expects the US private sector to have added 220K jobs during February, while the ISM is expected a tad lower at 56.5 vs. 56.7 previous. EUR/USD levels to consider As of writing the pair is retreating 0.47% at 1.1122 facing the next support at 1.1115 (low Mar.4) followed by 1.1098 (11-year low Jan.26) and finally 1.1047 (low Sep.8 2003). On the flip side, a breakout of 1.1218 (high Mar.3) would expose 1.1245 (high Feb.27) and then 1.1271 (10-d MA). OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Mar 04,2015 OctaFX.Com News Updates

Strong Eurozone retail sales confirm the positive growth momentum – Danske FXStreet (Barcelona) - Pernille Bomholdt Nielsen, Senior Analyst at Danske Bank, reviews the Eurozone retail sales data release, and further forecasts euro-area GDP to print an above consensus figure at 1.5% in 2015, and private consumption to see a boost. Key Quotes “Euro area retail sales increased for a fourth month in a row in January, when they were up 1.1% m/m. The figure for December was revised slightly higher to 0.4% m/m from 0.3% m/m in the first release.” “The increase in January was mainly driven by strong German retail sales, which showed an increase of 2.9% m/m, and sales in Portugal which were very strong, increasing 6.8% m/m. French retail sales were up 0.1% m/m” “The fourth month in a row of higher retail sales confirms our view that the recovery in the euro area is gaining momentum and that it is driven by higher growth in private consumption. The strong start to private consumption in Q1 even suggests some upside risk to our forecast for private consumption.” “We expect GDP growth to be 1.5% in 2015, which is above consensus of 1.2%.” OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Mar 04,2015 OctaFX.Com News Updates

USD/CAD carving a triangle formation, to break higher – BBH FXStreet (Barcelona) - The Brown Brothers Harriman Team comment on the BoC rate cut expectations and further share the technical outlook for USD/CAD. Key Quotes “BOC Governor Poloz dampened expectations for a cut today with last week's reiteration that the January rate cut was an insurance policy to buy time.” “Yesterday's somewhat firmer than expected Q4 GDP (2.4% vs. 2.0% consensus) should have solidified such expectations, but the details were less encouraging, keeping some wary of a cut today. Inventory accumulation accounted for 0.4 percentage points while the two sectors the central bank has identified as key for the recovery, investment and exports, both fell.” “The US dollar has been carving out a large triangle pattern against the Canadian dollar since the end of January. The bottom of the triangle is flattish around CAD1.2450. The top is marked by a falling trend line that coming in now near CAD1.2620. We look for an eventual break higher.” OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Mar 04,2015 OctaFX.Com News Updates

EUR/SEK points to further downside – Danske Bank FXStreet (Edinburgh) - Signe Roed-Frederiksen, Senior Analyst at Danske Bank, sees the Swedish krona strengthening further in the upcoming months. Key Quotes “In the Scandies the focus is on EUR/SEK, which continues to fall like a stone”. “The market is currently re-pricing Sweden from an economy that has been lagging the global recovery and fighting deflation to one where the bottom has been reached”. “Technically, EUR/SEK looks oversold but the momentum is strong. We are fundamentally bullish long-term on the SEK and are reviewing our short-term negative stance”. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Mar 04,2015 OctaFX.Com News Updates

Stay long GBP FX volatility into UK elections – BAML FXStreet (Barcelona) - Strategists at BofA-Merrill Lynch, give the trade setup for GBP into the UK elections, suggesting to remain long GBP FX volatility using GBP/USD. Key Quotes “we continue to believe the optimal way to trade the election is to be long GBP FX volatility.” “In our GBP Year-Ahead report we expressed our preference to be long GBP volatility by owning EUR/GBP straddles. However, we were reluctant to do so at that point with volatility trading on a 10% handle.” “The recent sell-off in G10 FX volatility more broadly provides us with an opportunity step into a trade. However, we have chosen to switch focus to GBP/USD given much of the nearterm event risk in the Euro Area (Greece, ECB QE) has now passed and perhaps with it, appetite to own EUR-based options.” “In our view, owning GBP/USD straddles on a 7% handle looks good value” “The Trade – Own 2mth GBP/USD Straddles Buy a 2mth GBP/USD at the money straddle (1.5370), which expires on 30 April for 2.37% in GBP terms.” OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Mar 04,2015 OctaFX.Com News Updates

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Forex Top Movers: Pacific pairs rise; Dollar on the defensive FXStreet (San Francisco) - Pacific pairs such as the Australian or the New Zealand dollar are trading higher on Tuesday as investors are betting for the AUD after the RBA no-cut in interest rates. The NZD is trading in reflection trade. On the other side, US dollar is trading on the defensive as the USD is posting losses against its major competitors but recovering some ground. Top Movers to the upside are AUD/USD, +0.92% to 0.7837; CAD/CHF, 0.79% to 0.7706; and NZD/USD, +0.70% to 0.7563. To the downside, losers are USD/CAD, -0.79% to 1.2433; USD/SEK, 0.78% to 8.2644; and USD/RUB, 0.76% to 62.09. On majors, EUR/USD is +0.08% to 1.1185; GBP/USD is +0.11% to 1.5370; and the USD/JPY is -0.50% on the day to 119.70. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Mar 03,2015 OctaFX.Com News Updates

Forex Top Movers: Pacific pairs rise; Dollar on the defensive FXStreet (San Francisco) - Pacific pairs such as the Australian or the New Zealand dollar are trading higher on Tuesday as investors are betting for the AUD after the RBA no-cut in interest rates. The NZD is trading in reflection trade. On the other side, US dollar is trading on the defensive as the USD is posting losses against its major competitors but recovering some ground. Top Movers to the upside are AUD/USD, +0.92% to 0.7837; CAD/CHF, 0.79% to 0.7706; and NZD/USD, +0.70% to 0.7563. To the downside, losers are USD/CAD, -0.79% to 1.2433; USD/SEK, 0.78% to 8.2644; and USD/RUB, 0.76% to 62.09. On majors, EUR/USD is +0.08% to 1.1185; GBP/USD is +0.11% to 1.5370; and the USD/JPY is -0.50% on the day to 119.70. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Mar 03,2015 OctaFX.Com News Updates

ECB: Virtual currencies could offer better service than traditional providers – Coindesk FXStreet (Barcelona) - The CoinDesk Analysis Team, shares the key points of ECB’s report on digital currency, with the central bank describing the virtual currency system as “inherently unstable” but potentially transformative in the realm of payments. Key Quotes “The European Central Bank has released a new report on digital currency, describing it as “inherently unstable” but potentially transformative in the realm of payments.” “The ECB outlined a number of areas in which digital currency development could broadly impact the traditional payments space, noting that defects in the remittance ecosystem could provide an opportunity for the technology to flourish in the long term.” “The report's authors state that digital currencies like bitcoin, given their cost structures, make the technology a potentially attractive option for both domestic and international remittances.” “While acknowledging the technological resources required to build such a network, the ECB notes: "...there is major room for improvement, especially in [the remittance] field, and hence a VCS could have the potential to offer a better service than traditional providers (banks, money remitters and informal remittance systems)”." “The ECB goes on to say that a significant barrier to broader adoption for remittance is the lack of centralized protections for those who opt to use digital currencies.” OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Mar 03,2015 OctaFX.Com News Updates

EUR/USD: lower lows supporting additional declines – FXStreet FXStreet (Barcelona) - The EUR/USD pair trades soft printing lower lows, with the 20 SMA limiting the upside for the pair, notes Valeria Bednarik, Chief Analyst at FXStreet, as she shares the technical outlook for the single currency. Key Quotes “The bearish trend ruling the EUR/USD pair, took another step this Tuesday, with the pair falling down to 1.1154, a couple of pips below its previous low, whilst the upside was limited by selling interest around the 1.1210 level.” “Earlier in the day German Retail Sales surged 5.3% yearly basis, supporting the short lived spike to the mentioned daily high." “As the US session starts, the pair trades below its 20 SMA in the 1 hour chart, while the technical indicators aim higher below their midlines, reflecting the latest bounce from the daily low, but far from suggesting a strong advance on the makes.” “In the 4 hours chart, the price stands below a strongly bearish 20 SMA whilst the Momentum indicator lies flat below 100 and the RSI holds at 41, all of which should continue to keep the upside limited.” “Support levels: 1.1140 1.1095 1.1050” “Resistance levels: 1.1210 1.1250 1.1285” OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Mar 03,2015 OctaFX.Com News Updates

Brazil and Mexico showing sharp differences – TDS FXStreet (Edinburgh) - Strategists at TD Securities exposed the opposing directions regarding the macro and FX environment in both countries. Key Quotes “We expect differentiation between Mexico and Brazil to become more pronounced as Brazil enters a recession on the back of difficult fundamentals and a substantial fiscal adjustment, and inflation remains high as the risk of energy rations looms large. Meanwhile, the recovery in Mexico appears to be underway and the country is poised to capitalize on stronger US growth via manufactured exports”. “Despite the weaker currency, Banxico is likely to remain on hold until the Fed begins hiking in the second half. In Brazil, fiscal policy will be supportive of the BCB’s goals, and we expect the Copom will leave rates elevated for a prolonged period of time, rather than looking to cut in the face of weak growth or the first inflation print that suggests an inflection point and the first signs that inflation is on a declining path”. “With the gradual unwinding of the BCB swaps program and poor growth prospects, we expect BRL to depreciate over the course of the year. In Mexico, we expect MXN to appreciate over the course of the year, benefitting from stronger US growth, eventual hikes from Banxico, and FDI inflows towards the end of the year. However, we recognize that MXN volatility will remain high”. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Mar 03,2015 OctaFX.Com News Updates

USD/CAD may rise to 1.31 in Q3 – BAML FXStreet (Barcelona) - Ian Gordon of BofA-Merrill Lynch, forecasts USD/CAD to rise to 1.31 in Q3 before falling slightly to 1.30 by 2015-end, viewing oil prices as the primary driver for this bearish view. Key Quotes “We see USD-CAD rising to 1.31 in Q3 before ending the year at 1.30.” “We continue to believe CAD will remain under pressure as oil prices will likely fall further (based on BofAML forecasts), and the risk management approach of the BoC pushes it in the direction of an easing bias.” “Contrasted with increasing risks of a June Fed rate hike, policy differentials should also pressure the currency.” OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Mar 03,2015 OctaFX.Com News Updates