OctaFX_Farid

Flash: What will come out of EZ and UK data? – TD Securities FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - Tim Davis, Global Strategist, Rates and FX Research at TD Securities eyes the calendar packed week ahead in UK and EZ. Key Quotes: “We see upside risks to the German ZEW survey (Tues) and Q2 GDP (Wed) being released this week, though improvements have been smaller elsewhere and France is still struggling, which may limit upside for aggregate Eurozone GDP”. “UK unemployment (Tues) will be front and centre given it is the new anchor of BoE policy, though we see strong risks of a disappointment number that could see gilts rally in spite of the risk that the simultaneous release of the BoE Minutes may show some division on QE and forward guidance”. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Aug 12, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates

Flash: Jitters in global equity markets, USD bid FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - Sebastian Gally, strategist for Societe Generale said Jitters in global equity markets are giving the USD some bid. Key Quotes: “…but with a slew of US data releases ahead we are likely to re-establish the short USD long risk relationship until we head for early September with the next NFP release”. “This suggests that the upward trajectory in EUR/USD is probably not over yet, while USD/JPY which correlates well with positive US economic surprises is showing signs of stabilizing”. “EUR/USD is continuing to settle lower after failing to breach its longer-term downtrend. As of last Tuesday the market had moved to a marginal long EUR/USD position which most likely increased by Friday and is now being squeezed”. “We are medium-term bears in EUR/USD, but it seems too early for the major move lower. We would wait for a clean breach above 1.3400 to establish further shorts”. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Aug 12, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates

Portuguese minister assures Portugal fully committed to budget goals FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - The Minister of Regional Development in Portugal Poiares Maduro said today that the country had agreed to carry out spending cuts worth 4.7 billion euros, as required by the Troika in exchange for bailout funds. According to previous reports the country´s government was considering reducing the spending cuts to 2 billion euros. "Portugal remains fully committed to its obligations under the assistance program as agreed under the last regular review (of the economy) by the Troika," Poiares Maduro told Reuters on Monday adding that “the 2014 budget is being prepared according to those commitments and the values agreed.” Two Portuguese ministers stepped down in July, expressing their disagreement towards the amount of budget cuts required by the international lenders and triggering a political turmoil in the country. Currently Portugal is required to reduce its budget deficit to 4% of GDP in 2014 from 5.5% of GDP this year. The Troika inspectors are due to arrive in Lisbon for another review of the Portuguese bailout program at the end of August. The country´s government will present the budget for 2014 before parliament on October 15. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Aug 12, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates

GBP/USD cannot shake negativity, trading at support FXstreet.com (New York) - The GBP/USD foreign exchange rate earlier surrendered its grip on the 1.5500 level Monday, only to drop lower and entrench itself in negative territory during US trading. GBP/USD strategic bias According to Karen Jones, an analyst at Commerzbank, “The GBP/USD’s recent sharp gains last week took it to 1.5574 from where it has been easing back these past few days. We remain unable to rule out stabs into the 1.5605/26 May high and top of the channel, though. The Elliott wave count is suggesting we should stall here, but we have a number of conflicting signals.” GBP/USD technical levels At the time of writing, the GBP/USD is presently operating at 1.5477 Monday, now falling at a rate of -0.10% off its opening. Technically speaking, the GBP/USD is testing support at 1.5484, a break of which will open up additional means at 1.5459 and 1.5422, notes the Mataf.net analyst team. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Aug 12, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates

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USD/CAD hits ceiling at 1.0293 FXstreet.com (Chicago) - USD/CAD soared amid speculations on commodities demand triggered by positive Chinese production data but retraced shortly thereafter below 1.0293 zone. Price action indicated the pair respected supports at 1.0297 (July 31st lows), 1.0262 (July 24th lows) ahead of 1.0249 (July 29th lows) and resistances at 1.0300 (July 27th highs), 1.0312 (July 24th highs) followed by 1.0323 (July 20th lows) as it traded at 1.0290 at closing of American markets. The FXstreet trend index reported the pair as slightly bearish on one-hour timeframe analysis with daily losses adding up to 0.44% along a CCI indicator pointing down. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Aug 9, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates

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Flash: EUR/USD scope for 1.3417 – UBS FXstreet.com (New York) - UBS Strategists, Gareth Berry and Geoffrey Yu take a technical perspective at today's EUR crosses. Key quotes “With the EUR/USD bull trend intact, as reflected by the MACD above its zero line potential is for the pair to move above 1.3345 to test the key resistance at 1.3417. Support is at 1.3233 ahead of the critical 1.3120, suggesting a bullish outlook.” In terms of the EUR/CHF, “With the trending and momentum pointing lower potential remains for further downside. Support is at 1.2268 ahead of 1.2219. Upside should be limited with a strong resistance is at 1.2348.” Moving to the EUR/GBP, “Following the test of critical support at 0.8628, the cross advanced. Potential is for a move above 0.8694 to test the critical resistance at 0.8815.” Finally, concerning the EUR/JPY, “With the MACD still above the zero line, the risk is for further upside. Resistance is at 133.80. Any downside will again be held by strong support at 128.86.” OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Aug 7, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates

Precious metals consolidating, gold still held below 1300.00 FXstreet.com (New York) - Precious metals have been trading higher Wednesday, refusing to break lower below pre-established supports. Gold consolidates Gold prices have been consolidating within a tight range below 1288.00 resistance level, where the latest bearish wave continues to be intact, and thus the suggested bearish scenario. The price is approaching a pivotal support at 1268.00 which if broken will confirm further downside. At the time of writing, gold prices are trading at USD $1287.15 per oz. Wednesday. Silver support is intact Silver spot prices were pushing lower, attempting to break below 19.25 support level, so far the support is still intact – a sustained break below shall confirm further downside. The price of silver has now moved to USD $19.55 per oz. during US trading. WTI maintains neutrality WTI crude oil continues to fluctuate above the ascending support for the bullish wave, and below 105.85 resistance level, and thus the bias remains neutral, unless we see a break below or above the aforementioned levels. In these moments, WTI crude oil is negotiating a price of USD $104.93/bbl Wednesday. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Aug 7, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates

EUR/USD keeps pushing higher FXstreet.com (Edinburgh) - The bloc currency is inching higher on Tuesday, lifting the EUR/USD to another test of weekly highs around 1.3330. EUR/USD consolidating above 1.3300 The EUR rally is picking up pace in the European afternoon, bolstered by investors’ preference for riskier assets in detriment of the greenback, dragged to session lows – in terms of the Dollar index. According to weekly charts, Tim Riddell, Head of Global Markets Research at ANZ suggested, “Despite pockets of apparent impulsive price action, the broader profile remains that of a likely protracted consolidation pattern into year end. The near term show of strength could trigger an early push towards the upper bounds of the range, but the favoured profile is for failure in front of 1.35 and for an interim flush to define range support – beware bull-traps”. EUR/USD levels to watch At the moment the pair is up 0.0314 at 1.3324 and a breakout of 1.3345 (high Jul.31) would target 1.3417 (high Jun.19) en route to 1.3456 (high Feb.14). On the downside, the immediate support aligns at 1.3246 (low Aug.6) followed by 1.32233 (low Aug.5) and then 1.5200 (psychological level).FXstreet.com (Edinburgh) - The bloc currency is inching higher on Tuesday, lifting the EUR/USD to another test of weekly highs around 1.3330. EUR/USD consolidating above 1.3300 The EUR rally is picking up pace in the European afternoon, bolstered by investors’ preference for riskier assets in detriment of the greenback, dragged to session lows – in terms of the Dollar index. According to weekly charts, Tim Riddell, Head of Global Markets Research at ANZ suggested, “Despite pockets of apparent impulsive price action, the broader profile remains that of a likely protracted consolidation pattern into year end. The near term show of strength could trigger an early push towards the upper bounds of the range, but the favoured profile is for failure in front of 1.35 and for an interim flush to define range support – beware bull-traps”. EUR/USD levels to watch At the moment the pair is up 0.0314 at 1.3324 and a breakout of 1.3345 (high Jul.31) would target 1.3417 (high Jun.19) en route to 1.3456 (high Feb.14). On the downside, the immediate support aligns at 1.3246 (low Aug.6) followed by 1.32233 (low Aug.5) and then 1.5200 (psychological level). OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Aug 7, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates

Flash: CAD Technical Outlook –TD Securities FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - Research teams at TD Securities offer their analyses on CAD. Key Quotes: “USD/CAD recovery stalls in the mid 1.04 area today but broader signals are very constructive and we look for the USD bull trend to get back on track quickly”. “Modest USD/CAD dips are a buy”. “EUR/CAD pushes through 1.38”. “AUD/CAD stabilizes but weak trend shows no sign of reversing”. “GBP/CAD spikes towards the upper end of the broader trading range”. “CAD/JPY downtrend pick up momentum again”. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Aug 7, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates

FGBP/USD rally capped at 1.5530 region FXstreet.com (New York) - The GBP/USD foreign exchange rate surged higher throughout US trading, having jumped on the BoE, though the rally seems to have cooled recently. Presently, the GBP/USD is operating off its highs at 1.5532, now testing 1.5500 in these moments. Technically speaking, resistances will trigger for the pair at 1.5500, onto 1.5550, and 1.5570, notes the Technical Analyst Team at ICN.com. GBP/USD strategic bias The BoE Inflation Report was the Bank’s official start of forward guidance, and it’s hard to interpret the document as anything but dovish. In addition to clearly talking down rates—as they did in their July meeting – the Bank also upheld the potential for further QE if conditions warrant. According to the TD Securities Team, “Despite the clearly dovish implications of the report, it seems to have some credibility issues with the market, with the moves in GBP interest rate futures running counter to what would be expected. The GBP/USD reaction was initially negative, but has quickly turned and the currency is now at a fresh cycle high in the July/August bull run. The reaction may not be complete however, and today could remain a volatile day for the GBP.” OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Aug 7, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates

Flash: Yen Bid Ahead of BOJ Decision - BBH FXstreet.com (London) - Marc Chandler, Global Head of Currency Strategy at BBH highlights the BoJ. Key Quotes: “The BOJ's 2-day meeting concludes tomorrow. Although surveys show not expectations for new initiatives, a Bloomberg poll found that the vast majority of those queried expect the BOJ to increase the amount of its asset purchases in the coming months. Five see the action coming in the fourth quarter this year, 15 in H1 14, and 5 in H2 14 or later”. “The BOJ has revised up its assessment of the economy for seven consecutive months, but recent data has been disappointing and growth next year is anticipated to slow, partly under the weight of the controversial retail sales tax that is to be implemented in April 2014 and another hike in Oct 2015”. “The BOJ has successfully managed to stabilize the JGB market after a rise in both yields and volatility followed the announcement of very aggressive asset purchase program in about four months ago. The BOJ is buying JPY7 trillion (~$72 bln) a month of securities, mostly JGBs”. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Aug 7, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates

Flash: Is GBP/USD undervalued heading into BoE? – BMO Capital Markets FXstreet.com (New York) - The current net short positioning in the GBP based on CFTC data alone appears to be a remnant of two things, primarily: the early 2013 GBP sell-off and the embedded GBP weakness inspired by the July BoE statement alongside the concurrent slump in UK rates, suggests Greg Anderson, Global Head of FX Strategy at BMO Capital Markets. Key quotes “With this in mind, the most likely avenue for shock in FX over tomorrow’s BoE event risk would appear to the upside in GBP/USD.” “Should the BoE formally adopt Fed/ECB-style forward guidance on rates and leave market participants on a purely data-dependent path, we think its unlikely that the GBP will remain below $1.5450, given the extent of upside surprises in the recent dataflow.” OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Aug 6, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates

USD/JPY back to the edge of the abyss FXstreet.com (Chicago) - USD/JPY accumulated -3.43% monthly losses, -1.20% weekly losses and 0.61% daily losses as the pair was unable to maintain its position above 98.00 key psychological support. Price action indicated the greenback weakened against a stronger yen up 0.62% in terms of relative performance. After navigating above the 98.5 regions, the price cracked down back to 6-weeks low levels. On outlook for the BoJ’s monetary policy statement later this week, market participants seemed to feel bearish against the dollar. Trading at 97.71, the pair oscillated between supports at 97.57 (June 5th highs), 97.41 (June 27 lows), 97.21 (June 21st lows) and resistances at 97.75 (June 11 lows), 97.83 (June 26 lows) ahead of 97.95 (June 24 lows). The ICN technical analysis team confirmed bearish sentiment based on the following statements: “After touching levels around 98.60, the pair dropped proving its bearish bias. Stochastic is becoming more negative reflecting the negative bias, as RSI is moving to the downside below line 50. The pair is also stable below Linear Regression Indicators, therefore we hold on to our negative expectations.” OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Aug 6, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates

USD/CHF careens off 0.9270 level FXstreet.com (New York) - The USD/CHF summarily reversed off the 0.9270 region Tuesday afternoon during US trading, diving deeper towards the 0.9250 level in short-order. USD/CHF strategic bias According to the Technical Analyst Team at ICN.com, “The USD/CHF failed to stabilize above Linear Regression Indicators but has yet to stabilize above 0.9265. Therefore, the possibility of a new attempt to the upside is valid today as long as the pair stabilizes above 0.9200.” The USD/CHF seems quite a sizable distance away from the 0.9300 level, despite trading as high as 0.9297 earlier today. Presently, the pair is now operating at a -0.19% loss, buried at 0.9253. Briefing the technicals, the USD/CHF will look to test support at 0.9246, ahead of 0.9226, and 0.9176, calculates the Danske Research Team. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Aug 6, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates

GBP/USD riding turbulent gains FXstreet.com (Chicago) - GBP/USD accumulates 0.12% daily gains so far after reaching weekly highs close to 1.5400 to quickly retrace below 1.5370 regions, where it currently navigates. Outperforming data in the UK pushed the pound to higher levels as house prices (YoY) out beat expected 4.3% for a 4.6%. Yearly industrial and manufacturing production were 1.2% vs. previous -2.3% and an expected 0.6% as well as 2.0% vs. previous -2.9% respectively. Nonetheless, as trade balance data was released in the US at $-34.22B vs. previous $-44.10B and projected $-43.50B, the pound was sent to 1.5332 lows. Price action indicated market participants were bullish as the price rose above 1.5370 regions within minutes. Trading at 1.5381, the FXstreet trend index reported the pair as slightly bullish with key supports at 1.5307, 1.5269 ahead of 1.5231 and resistances at 1.5429, 1.5468 and 1.5507 OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Aug 6, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates

EUR/USD bounces after short-lived correction FXstreet.com (Córdoba) - The EUR/USD staged a short-lived correction from daily highs, sliding toward the 1.3280 area before finding support. EUR/USD back above 1.3300 However, EUR/USD managed to climb back above the 1.3300 mark most recently as bears lacked determination to drag the pair lower. The EUR/USD is currently trading at the 1.3310 zone, where it records a 0.4% gain on the day in a low-volume quiet summer session, with Fed Evans saying that he wouldn't clearly rule out September tapering weighing on the greenback. EUR/USD technical levels Technically speaking, the EUR/USD could face immediate resistances at 1.3320 (daily high) and 1.3345 (Jul 31 high) followed by 1.3400 (psychological level), while supports might be found at 1.3255 (100-hour SMA) and 1.3230 (Aug 5 low). OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Aug 6, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates

Flash: Upside follow through in Sterling – Commerzbank FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - With BoE Inflation report tomorrow coming up, Axel Rudolph, Senior Technical Analyst noted GBP/USD charted an outside day to the topside on Friday, and saw some follow through strength yesterday. Key Quotes: “Currently we remain unable to rule out a retest of the 1.5432 July high. Loss of 1.5100 is needed to suggest further losses to the 1.5015 May low then 1.4854/32 support zones”. “Only should 1.5435 be eroded (not favoured) we will have to allow for further upside gains to 1.5551 the 78.6% retracement”. “Shorter term (1-3 weeks): Upside corrective. Medium term (1-3 months): Longer term we look for losses to 1.4832, then 1.4229, the 2010 low”. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Aug 6, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates

EUR/USD extends gains above 1.3300 FXstreet.com (Córdoba) - The EUR/USD picked up fresh momentum and extended gains above 1.3300 after one Fed Lockhart reportedly said the Fed could start tapering its bond-buying program at any of 3 remaining FOMC meetings this year. USD weighed by taper talk Amid broad USD weakness, EUR/USD managed to break above the 1.3300 level and climbed to a high of 1.3320 in recent dealings as US stocks and commodities tumble. At time of writing, EUR/USD is trading at the 1.3310/15 zone, where it records a 0.4% rise on the day. EUR/USD levels to watch Immediate resistance is now seen at 1.3345 (Jul 31 high) followed by 1.3400 (psychological level), while supports could be found at 1.3255 (100-hour SMA) and 1.3230 (Aug 5 low). OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Aug 6, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates

Flash: Sterling could test 200 d ma 1.5545 - BBH FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - Marc Chandler, Global Head of Currency Strategy at BBH notes that Sterling traders are cautious of a surprise from Carney. Key Quote: “We think caution of a surprise by Carney has prevented sterling from benefiting from the improved economic data and the modest backing up of interest rates”. “ Barring, then, a significant surprise from Carney, we suspect sterling could trade higher; recover further against the euro, where the ECB is likely to keep rates low for longer (and risk renewed tensions after the summer holidays and German election)”. “Against the dollar, sterling can test the late July high near $1.5435. A break of that area, which also corresponds to a retracement objective from the June 17 peak near $1.5750 would likely encourage a test on the 200-day moving average seen near $1.5545”. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Aug 6, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates

US: IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism deteriorates to 45.1 in August against forecasts FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - The sentiment of US consumers dropped to 45.1 in August from 47.1 in July, the Investor's Business Daily (IBD) TechnoMetrica Institute of Policy and Politics (TIPP) informed on Tuesday. Analysts expected an improvement to 47.9. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Aug 6, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates

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Flash: BOJ preview: Likely to remain on hold - BAML FXstreet.com (London) - Strategists Masayuki Kichikawa, Shogo Fujita, Shusuke Yamada, Setsuko Yamashita and Shuichi Ohsaki at BofA Merrill Lynch noted the BoJ coming up this week. Key Quotes: “The BoJ's next policy meeting is on 7-8 August. We do not expect it to make any changes to its policy framework, such as the base money target, the pace of asset accumulation, or the IOER”. “The BoJ might need to consider additional easing in three cases: (1) if downside risks increase for the economic growth and inflation outlook; (2) if doubts arise about the effects of its quantitative and qualitative easing, in the form of an unacceptable rise in long-term yields, for example; and (3) if overseas economies falter and the yen appreciates”. “With no change expected, we look for rates and FX to be range-bound. We favor receiving the belly, like JPY 3y1y, for its good rolldown”. OctaFX.Com - Please click here to see Financial News/Forex News on OctaFx official page Aug 6, 2013 OctaFX.Com News Updates