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Introducing the world’s first trading and gaming partnership!
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HotForex Indonesia Seminar Register now for the upcoming HotForex Seminar in Indonesia to improve your FX knowledge and trading skills. Our Chief Market Analyst, Janne Muta will share valuable market insights and interesting ways to trade the market. Also, don’t miss the opportunity to meet our representatives and learn about our innovative trading products and services. More Info: Pullman Hotel Central Park Podomoro City Jl. Let. Jend S Parman Kav 28, Jakarta, 11470, Indonesia Saturday 8th August 2015 9am - 5pm Book your FREE Place Now -
Introducing the world’s first trading and gaming partnership!
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HotForex | Traders Award Winner June 2015 Many Congratulations to our Traders Award Winner who won the HTA crystal obelisk award and a $1000 CASH Prize as a showcase to the superb skills that lead to an excellent performance! Join now our Traders Award Competition! https://www.hotforex.com/en/contest/awards.html -
Hello guys, Please find below a link to a short profile background of Janne Muta. http://analysis.hotforex.com/about-janne-muta-hotforexs-chief-market-analyst/ Feel free to join Janne's webinar. Registrations are FREE! Please follow the link below to see HotForex webinar's schedule to choose what interests you more! We are more than happy to join us in all webinars! https://www.hotforex.com/en/trading-tools/trading-webinars.html
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Introducing the world’s first trading and gaming partnership!
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Free Webinar | Jak zarządzać kapitałem i ryzykiem by zarabiać na rynku forex? 5 May 17:00pm GMT (Poland Time Zone) Rejestracja: https://www.hotforex.com/pl/landing-pages/webinar-market.html?id=303 -
Introducing the world’s first trading and gaming partnership!
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Don't miss tomorrow's Live Analysis with HotForex's Chief Market Analyst Janne Muta - 5 May 1:00 GMT Book your Free place now! https://www.hotforex.com/en/landing-pages/hf-webinars.html?id=100 -
Introducing the world’s first trading and gaming partnership!
hotforex replied to standart's topic in Advertisement
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Introducing the world’s first trading and gaming partnership!
hotforex replied to standart's topic in Advertisement
Zasad korzystania ze zleceń Stop Loss 28 April 2015 17:00 PM (Poland Time Zone) W trakcie szkolenia poznasz 7 kluczowych zasad na temat tego jak efektywnie korzystać ze zleceń Stop Loss. Dowiesz się jak ustawiać SL w momencie otwarcia transakcji, jak przestawiać go na Break Even, jak stosować Trailing Stop, Volatility Stop i tego jak zarządzać wielkością SL. Rejestracja: https://www.hotforex.com/pl/landing-pages/webinar-market.html?id=301 -
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FREE HotForex Webinar! Topic: Position Management When: 28 April 2015 1:00pm GMT Learn how to manage your positions effectively in times of risk in this important webinar presented by our Chief Market Analyst, Janne Muta. We will cover: -Risk events and risk reduction -Managing weekend risk -Adding to winning positions Register Now: https://www.hotforex.com/en/landing-pages/hf-webinars.html?id=127 -
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HotForex Global Trends 2015 Report | Available Now! The HotForex Global Trends 2015 Report, prepared by our Chief Market Analyst, is now available to download. Read our exclusive outlook on global markets and economies now! Download Now: https://www.hotforex.com/en/landing-pages/global-trends.html?refid=37217 -
COFFEE FUTURES REACTING LOWER FROM RESISTANCE Market Analysis— 23 April 2015 Coffee, Weekly The last time I wrote about market moves in coffee the coffee futures were trading at 152.65 and based on the price action I suggested price should move lower and gave $145 and $125 as my downside targets. Since then target one was hit and price has moved as low as $128.80, close to the target II at $125. The first level was penetrated without any effort but then it turned into a resistance that has kept price capped for almost two months. Price of coffee found support at 161.8% Fibonacci extension level just above my target II at $125 and had a close outside the lower Bollinger Bands. Since then we’ve seen this market moving sideways inside the Bollinger Bands with roughly equal highs at $147. Price has made higher lows suggesting pressure is building against this resistance level. Coffee, Daily The 50 period MA is still pointing lower while price......read the full analysis here: http://analysis.hotforex.com/blog/2015/04/23/coffee-futures-reacting-lower-from-resistance/
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HotForex Analysis: http://analysis.hotforex.com/blog/2015/04/17/dxy-is-getting-close-to-support/ DXY, Weekly US Dollar Index (DXY) represents a basket of currencies in which the US dollar is valued. These include major currencies with different weights: EUR (57.6%), JPY (13.6%), GBP (11.9%), CAD (9.1%), SEK (4.2%) and CHF (3.6%). With euro having the highest weighting analysis made on DXY will have the greatest indication for EURUSD trading. Since March this year momentum indicators have been moving lower reflecting the fact that price has not been making new higher highs anymore. Until recently Stochastics and RSI have been moving above the overbought threshold but now are pointing lower and have moved closer to neutral values. In a price chart that means the latest price action is taking closer to the middle of the recent range. DXY has been correcting lower this week and is now close to the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. This ties up with the indication from the oscillators. Price is also approaching an accelerated trendline support but has created a lower high which suggests that price could be moving sideways over the coming weeks. DXY, Daily Both Stochastics and RSI are close to oversold levels with the latter attempting to tick higher at the time of writing. Price has reached a pivot candle from April 6th and is fairly close to a rising trendline support. This suggests that the downside is getting limited and we should be looking for buy signals for the dollar at levels at or below the current price. Nearest support and resistance levels are 97.46 and 99.46 which also coincides with the upper Bollinger Bands. Should the 97.46 support not hold the DXY the next important support level can be identified in the 4h chart at 97. The 50 day MA is currently in the region as well with a value of 97.08. This increases the validity of the level. DXY, 240 As DXY has been trending down over the last three days there has also been some wedging in the price. This suggests that there is some resistance for dollar moving lower, especially since price came to the low of 98.07 yesterday. At the moment the 61.8% Fibonacci resistance level has been acting as a resistance for rallies today. Price is moving closer to 97.46 support level which it has already almost touched once and bounced higher. Stochastics, RSI and MFI are oversold which supports the view that this market is near to buy levels. If the 97.46 doesn’t hold then the next support level at 97 should come into play but I am interested in price action based buy signals even between the levels. Conclusion In the longer term picture it is clear that the Fed speak turning dovish in March has taken steam out of the DXY rally and the index has been moving sideways. Price has created a lower high which suggests weakness and that DXY could be moving sideways over the coming weeks. But in a shorter term picture DXY is close to support levels and we should therefore be looking for buy signals the dollar. This obviously means looking for sell signals in markets like AUDUSD (close to a resistance), NZDUSD (also at resistance). At the same time USDJPY is at support. Should the price action confirm my analysis this could be a time to favour USD over other currencies. Later on today we will have the CPI numbers from US and this could cause some action should there be a strong deviation from analysis expectations. You will find today’s economic calendar with the highest impacting events only. Please visit HotForex.com for full calendar. Janne Muta Chief Market Analyst HotForex Disclaimer: Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial instrument.
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Weekly chart: Gold’s likely to move lower Gold, Weekly In my latest Gold analysis from March 18th I wrote: These levels are exactly the levels that attracted buyers in Q4 2014 which suggests that there might still be some demand for Gold just below the current price. However, the psychology might have changed since December last year. Strong growth in the US labour market we have seen since then coupled with the rate hike expectations could lead to Gold breaking the support this time around. I am not taking a view that it will happen as support is support as long as it works. A close above yesterday’s high at 1159.30 would be a positive signal while a close above the 1165.70 resistance in would improve it even further. This would warrant buying intraday dips after over the coming few days with a target at 1190. Now we’ve seen Gold closing moving higher from the support level and hitting my target at 1190. In addition, this market has moved beyond the target and turned lower at 1224.50 resistance. At the same time Gold created a bar with a narrow range between the open and closing prices hinting a move lower. This has since then materialised and Gold has moved lower this week. This is suggesting further moves lower in the coming two weeks or so. The next important weekly support is likely to be found near the lower weekly Bollinger Bands and 1131.50 to 1142 range. Long term picture is still bearish while in the medium term I expect Gold to move sideways between the above mentioned support and resistance levels. Gold, Daily In the daily picture Gold is trading close to the 50% Fibonacci level and the Stochastics are getting close to the oversold levels. This suggests that the move lower over the last few days could slow down a bit. Yesterday we saw a rally from the 50% Fibonacci level but.. Read the full analysis here: http://analysis.hotforex.com/blog/2015/04/15/weekly-chart-golds-likely-to-move-lower/ Janne Muta Chief Market Analyst HotForex Disclaimer: Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial instrument.
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GBPNZD Ranging Above Support The pair has just recently moved higher from weekly support level 1.9379 while another one supported price at 1.9244 sent price higher in the beginning of January. For the last three to four weeks price has been bouncing between this support and a resistance created by a weekly low (at 2.000) from December last year. Stochastics is oversold and price action takes place near lower Bollinger Bands suggesting the pair should have more upside than downside potential. On the bearish side however I should mention the fact that the pair creates lower weekly highs suggesting selling pressure coming in at fairly close to the support. This is not a very bullish sign and could lead to further consolidation at support or eventually price breaking lower. GBPNZD, Daily Price is reacting lower from a resistance at 1.9700. This resistance is created by a daily pivot candle from April 7th and coincides with a 50% Fibonacci level at 1.9691. Stochastics are pointing higher and the RSI has created a higher low while the latest low at 1.9380 was roughly equal to the low from March this year. This bullish divergence supports the upside bias but the price needs to break above the current resistance in order to create a higher high. Should the pair keep on making lower pivotal highs the pressure against the support would increase and the support could break. It is therefore essential to follow the price action over the coming days. GBPNZD, 240 min The four hour picture shows... Follow the link to read the analysis http://analysis.hotforex.com/blog/2015/04/14/gbpnzd-ranging-above-support/ Janne Muta Chief Market Analyst HotForex Disclaimer: Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial instrument.
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Introducing the world’s first trading and gaming partnership!
hotforex replied to standart's topic in Advertisement
FREE webinar | Exit Strategies 14 April 1:00 GMT Join Janne Muta for this highly focused, in depth session that will introduce you to the key aspects of setting price targets and understanding exit signals. -Learn how to set simple and multiple price targets - Understand what signals and why to use in your exit strategy - Discover time based exit signals Register Now: https://www.hotforex.com/en/landing-pages/hf-webinars.html?id=125 -
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FREE Forex Webinar | Emotion Control in FX - April 8, 2015 1:00pm GMT The brain chemistry behind emotions when trading FX. - The Brain Chemistry Behind Trading FX - Recommended Risk Management & Emotion Control Tips - Currency Trading Dangers[/li] Register here: https://www.hotforex.com/en/landing-pages/webinar-market.html?id=113 -
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HotForex Traders Award Winner | March 2015 We would like to congratulate our Traders Award Winner who won the HTA crystal obelisk award and a $1000 cash prize! Join our Traders Award Competition here: https://www.hotforex.com/en/contest/awards.html?refid=37217 -
Approaching Resistance After NFP Disappointment The EURUSD rallied after the combination of a disappointing NFP release, and downward back revisions in the figures. The pair is approaching a resistance area created by a combination of technical factors. The resistance levels of 1.1052 and 1.1098 coincide with 50 day MA and the upper Bollinger Bands. This resistance has been tested twice and after the latest test EURUSD made a higher low. This suggests the pair will be trying to move higher from here. The next important daily resistance levels are closer to the 1.1460 which could well come into play now that the NFP release was such a disappointment. Price action at the resistance levels is going to be interesting to follow. If the pair corrects lower from it I expect the correction to be rather subdued. The surprisingly weak jobs figure means that now the Fed doves have further evidence of softening economy and a better case to postpone the rate hike. This is seen in the markets across the board as the USD is being sold against other currencies across the board. Janne Muta Chief Market Analyst HotForex Disclaimer: Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial instrument.
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Weekly Hammer At Support Send USDCAD Higher USDCAD (weekly) has been moving sideways since the beginning of February. The proximity of the year 2009 high has caused the sideways move. I suggested in my analysis at the time that USDCAD should move above the latest highs as US economy is stronger than the economy in Canada. The fact that USDCAD has maintained the support well and has now created a weekly hammer candle at the support supports my view. Bears might point out that Stochastics oscillator and RSI (7) have created lower highs and therefore signal that the momentum is waning. This however, is what happens each time price moves sideways. Therefore, oscillators do not tell us anything we wouldn’t know by reading price action. Nearest support and resistance levels are at 1.2409 and 1.2835. The year 2009 high at 1.3064 would be the next major resistance once price moves beyond the 1.2835. Follow the link to read the full analysis http://analysis.hotforex.com/blog/2015/03/30/weekly-hammer-at-support-send-usdcad-higher/
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Live Webinar | Short Term Scalping Strategies in FX Don't forget to sign up for tomorrow's webinar | Short Term Scalping Strategies in FX Senior trader and FX researcher, Josh, will be your host for this dedicated webinar on FX Scalping Strategies. The session will cover: - Price Action vs. Mean Reversion in Scalping . - Example of a Powerful Scalping Strategy. - How to manage risk. Book your free place now: https://www.hotforex.com/en/landing-pages/webinar-market.html?id=119 -
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Live Analysis with Janne Muta Mar 17, 2015 12:30pm GMT Join our Chief Market Analyst, Janne Muta, in this LIVE market analysis session. [li]Watch as Janne analyses FX, Commodity and Stock Markets in real time. Learn how professional traders approach analysis and trading. Get your trading questions answered live.[/li] [li][/li] Join now for FREE https://www.hotforex.com/en/landing-pages/webinar-market.html?id=118 -
Copper’s Relative Strenght Due To China Read more here: http://analysis.hotforex.com/blog/2015/03/16/coppers-relative-strenght-due-to-china/ Copper is in a long term bear channel and moved in February to a level that has supported price in the past. This was also the first time since year 2008 that Money Flow Index moved into overbought zone in Monthly timeframe. In February 2007 price touched 2.40 level and moved higher over the next two years. Now there was another bounce from the same level and the price of Copper is on the rise for the second month in a row. The nearest resistance level is approx. at 2.72 while the next major resistance is at 2.88. Copper, Weekly Copper (an industrial metal) has been stronger performer than precious metals since the latest US Jobs report came in with a surprisingly high number and strenhgtened the US dollar. While Gold and Silver have declined by almost 3% since March 5th Copper has at the time of writing gained 1.1%. However, the US rate hike expectations mean the US dollar strengthens and buying power amongst non-USD based investors decreases for dollar based assets such as Copper. This combined with slowing economic growth in China slows down the Copper bulls and has caused the price to fluctuate below resistance levels. On the other the hand price has held up and even edged higher as market participants believe that easier lending conditions should improve demand in China, the biggest consumer of Copper globally. The price of copper has made two weekly lower highs since touching the 2.72 resistance level (a former support from June 2010) while the MFI (7) is overbought and Stochastics are close to the same levels and hinting that the momentum is waning. This could lead to further fluctuation between the 2.59 support and a high of 2.73 from couple of weeks ago. Other support levels are 2.55 and 2.40, a high and low of the January pivot candle high and low. Copper, Daily The price of copper is near to the upper Bollinger Bands and Stochastics is getting overbought. Price has just recently bounced from a support at 2.59 forming yet another higher low. This was technically a good sign as it confirmed the level that used to resist price moves higher is now a support. The fact that this level now coincides with the lower daily Bollinger Bands makes it more significant support area. Conclusion Fundamental factors that both support the price of Copper and resist its move higher translate into a ranging market, price action that honours the technical levels at both ends of the range. Levels near to 2.59 support level used to resist moves higher and are now providing support while the move to 2.72 resistance was rejected. This suggests that short term traders should look for trade opportunities at or close to these levels while longer term position traders might want to consider longs closer to the 2.40 support and shorts closer to the 2.88 resistance levels. This is the likely range copper futures over the coming weeks and months as major news stories or surprises on either the US Federal Reserve’s rate policy or Chinese consumption of Copper they might provide the trigger to move the price of Copper to these levels. Chinese premier Li Keqiang commented that the government will be ready to support the Chinese economy should the slowdown in growth affect employment and incomes. He wasn’t specific on the measures the government might use but a hope of economic stimulus in China should support the price of Copper. Against this backdrop traders might want to be buyers near support levels rather than trying to find shorts. This view would be negated if the US Fed indicated that it would hike rates more than expected. However, it is likely that the Fed will be cautious in raising rates. Join me on Free Webinar on Tuesday 17th of March at 12:30 pm GMT. I will show you live how to analyse the markets and look for setups for high probability trades. Register HERE for FREE and as usual it is better to log in early to get your seat! https://www.hotforex.com/en/landing-pages/webinar-market.html?id=118 Janne Muta Chief Market Analyst HotForex Disclaimer: Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial instrument.
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Introducing the world’s first trading and gaming partnership!
hotforex replied to standart's topic in Advertisement
We would like to congratulate our Traders Award Winner who won the HTA crystal obelisk award and a $1000 cash prize! Join our Traders Award Competition here: https://www.hotforex.com/en/contest/awards.html -
CADJPY Trading In A Range After A Shooting Star Candle - Read more: http://analysis.hotforex.com/blog/2015/03/13/cadjpy-trading-in-a-range-after-a-shooting-star-candle/ CADJPY has weakened substantially since November last year and has over the last weeks bounced higher from a support at 91.78. The support is loosely defined by the lower Bollinger Bands and a pivot candle from March 2014. Last week price reacted lower from a weekly low creating a shooting star candle and confirming a resistance level at 96.74. A couple of weeks ago the pair bounced from 94.17 forming a support level. DCADJPY, Daily There was a shooting star last week in the daily chart as well. CADJPY has since then moved sideways between resistance at 96.74 and a rising trendline. The resistance coincides roughly with 38.2% Fibonacci level (drawn from December 2014 high to the January 2015 low) and upper Bollinger Bands. Bollinger Bands are narrowing which indicates that the pair is nearing a breakout but to which direction? The last two days indecision is clearly visible in the chart. Stochastic Oscillator is close to being oversold and is about to cross over its signal line. This together with the rising trendline encourages the bulls but the above shooting stars and resistance that are relatively close dampens the enthusiasm. 240CADJPY, 240 min The pair has been making lower highs and breaking support levels since the move to 96.74 was rejected. Fluctuations created a triangle that was resolved to the downside and provided one shorting opportunity on a rebound as the pair tested the lower end of the triangle and failed to penetrate it. Since then we have had a new lower low and lower high as the pair has been moving towards the lower end of the range. Projection from triangle points to 50% Fibonacci level (near 94.17 support). Should that support fail the next interesting support level is at 93.03 as it coincides with a 261.8% Fibonacci extension. I have left the extension levels off from the chart to improve readability. Conclusion Trading in the middle of the range is always tricky while the easiest money is made at the edges and the pair is currently trading pretty much in the middle of the range. However, the weekly and daily shooting stars at 96.74 resistance level indicate willingness to sell the CADJPY at those levels while the lower highs and lower lows in 4h chart suggest that the pair should be testing the 94.17 level in not so distant future. This far the 38.2% Fibonacci level and the rising trendline have prevented the price moving lower. In addition there was bullish divergence in the Stochastic Oscillator at the time the pair bounced higher from the trendline. The intraday picture therefore has both bullish and bearish elements while the weekly shooting star points to lower prices from current levels. The wide range candle from the beginning of February indicates that demand between 91.78 and 94.17 was strong. Quick moves into this area should be therefore met by willingness to bid the pair higher. Should such a quick move happen I would be interested in long signals at or near to the 93.03 support. I will be monitoring the levels close to the upper daily Bollinger Bands (at around 96.20) and the shooting star high. Join me on Free Webinar on Tuesday 17th of March at 12:30 pm GMT. I will show you live how to analyse the markets and look for setups for high probability trades. Register HERE for FREE and as usual it is better to log in early to get your seat! Janne Muta Chief Market Analyst HotForex Disclaimer: Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of purchase or sale of any financial instrument.
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Introducing the world’s first trading and gaming partnership!
hotforex replied to standart's topic in Advertisement
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