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Forex Forecast for 2-6 November 2015 First, a review of last week's forecast : most experts and graphical analysis insisted that EUR/USD would be moving in a 1.1000-1.1100 sideways corridor. Even the US Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates could not hamper this forecast. After crashing by 160 plus points Wednesday evening, by the end of the week the pair returned to the indicated boundaries and ended the week at around 1.1000; about 80% of the indicators and half of the experts voted for GBP/USD to go down to support at 1.5200 at the most. The remaining 50% of the experts and graphical analysis talked about a sideways trend with resistance around 1.5470. Both forecasts turned out to be right - first, GBP/USD gradually went down to 1.5225 but then recovered and reached 1.5470 Friday night; for USD/JPY the experts and the indicators determined a sideways corridor with support at 120.50 and resistance at 122.00. All that happened except that the corridor shifted down by about 50 points to a 120.00-121.50 range, with 120.50 as a pivot point; the forecast for USD/CHF was only upward movement, and the pair did reach 0.9950. Now just 50 points separate it from the landmark 1.0000. The forecast for the coming week. Summarizing opinions of several dozen analysts from leading banks and broker companies as well as forecasts made on the basis of different methods of technical and graphical analysis, the following can be proposed : just one (!) analyst predicts that EUR/USD will rise to 1.1200. All the others (the experts, the indicators and graphical analysis) believe the pair will drop to support around 1.0800. With this, according to graphical analysis on H4, the pair will first fall to support at 1.0955, rebound to 1.1055 and only then move downwards hitting the bottom at 1.0600. It won't settle there but rather try to make it to around 1.0800; graphical analysis and the experts predict some fluctuations for GBP/USD within a 1.5440-1.5470 range at the beginning of the week. Then the pair should go down under bearish pressure. Graphical analysis on H4 suggests that the main support will be 1.5315 while 33% of the analysts insist that the fall will be bigger and the weekly bottom will be at 1.5250; indicators on H4 and D1 maintain neutrality regarding USD/JPY. As for the shorter timeframes, they predict a slight drop to 120.00, a key level for the pair for the past 11 weeks. Graphical analysis on H4 agrees with this. According to 70% of the experts, the pivot point will be 121.50 again, and generally the pattern of the previous week is expected to repeat. At the same time, a quarter of the experts believe that the pair will not give up attempts to get closer to 122.00; the forecast for USD/CHF is still upwards. Although the experts and indicators on H1 and H4 don't rule out that the pair may take a breather within 0.9810-0.9900, the ultimate target remains 1.0000-1.0100. As for a longer-term monthly forecast, 25% of the analysts and graphical analysis on D1 warn that on reaching 1.0000, the bulls may become weaker and the pair will roll back to 0.9500. Roman Butko, NordFX

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Forex Forecast for 26-30 October 2015 The previous forecast was fulfilled 100% : regarding EUR/USD, 73% of the analysts insisted that the pair would first fall to support at 1.1300 and then down to 1.1120. Until mid-Thursday, the pair barraged against the level of 1.1300 but on the news about the ECB's interest rate, it crashed to the mentioned level of 1.1120. One would think that EUR/USD might stop there, however, thanks to the National Bank of China, the pair broke through this support level on Friday and reached the landmark of 1.1000 where it had been last in the middle of August; the GBP/USD was almost unanimously predicted to be in a sideways trend within a 1.5420-1.5500 range for most of the week, which happened. Further forecasts differed. In this case, graphical analysis was 100% correct - the pair was supposed to go down to support at 1.5350 where it finished the week in fact; as for the USD/JPY pair, 64% of the experts and almost all tools of technical analysis predicted that the break through the bottom of the triangle, which the pair had been drawing since late August, would be short-lived. So it happened - by Friday the pair reached the said 120.80 resistance and then went to the next peak at 121.45, thus transforming the triangle into a horizontal channel; both experts and technical analysis unanimously predicted upward movement for USD/CHF, differing only on how fast it would transpire. In line with one of the versions, the pair started to go up right away on Monday, broke through the top boundary of the channel and moved to resistance at 0.9600. One third of the experts were convinced that it would not stop there but rise by 100 points more. That turned out correct - USD/CHF gained 100 points and then another 100, eventually reaching 0.9800. The forecast for the coming week. Summarizing the views of several dozen analysts from leading banks and broker companies as well as forecasts based on various methods of technical and graphical analysis, the following can be put forward : the indicators clearly point downwards for EUR/USD. However, 50% of the analysts and graphical analysis suggest that the pair will be moving in a sideways corridor of 1.1000-1.1100. They are backed by another 33% of the analysts, differing only in that they drop the support line by 50 points to 1.0950. Just 17% of the analysts insist the pair would return to the 1.1300 resistance; around 80% of the indicators vote for a fall of GPB/USD. Half of the experts agree but say that the fall won't be major - the main support will be at 1.5200. The other 50% of the experts and graphical analysis on H4 believe that the pair has reached the bottom and will be moving in a 1.5300-1.5470 sideways channel; the indicators point upward for USD/JPY. Surprisingly, 100% of the experts concur and reckon that the pair won't be able to fall below support at 120.50 but will bounce off it towars 122.00; the outlook for USD/CHF is up. The experts, most indicators and graphical analysis on H1, H4 and D1 agree with it. Support is around 0.9740-0.9765, the Pivot Point is at 0.9800, and the next target is 0.9900. Only 14% of indicators on N1 and just 1 indicator on D1 remind that the pair may still crash by a further 100 points to support at 0.9665. Roman Butko, NordFX

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